American experts find out why the DPRK demonstrated a lot of intercontinental ballistic missiles at the parade

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American experts find out why the DPRK demonstrated a lot of intercontinental ballistic missiles at the parade

At the parade held in Pyongyang on February 8 in honor of the 75th anniversary of the founding of the Korean People's Army, in addition to other types of weapons, 11 Hwaseong-17 intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and 5 large containers were demonstrated for the first time, in which, according to some assumptions , there were new North Korean solid-propellant ICBMs. American experts Bruce Bennett and Yong Zhong Kim decided to find out in an article for the online publication 19FortyFive why North Korean leader Kim Jong-un needed such a demonstration of a large number of ICBMs.

The simplest explanation, experts say, is that the leader of the DPRK thus showed his people, who live in very difficult conditions, that he is still a powerful ruler who is not only respected, but also feared throughout the world. The presence of a nuclear weapons, especially the delivered ICBM, should just confirm this.



The demonstration of military force was supposed to return the attention of Western leaders to the chairman of the DPRK. Because the United States was so focused on the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the threats from China, US President Biden didn't even mention North Korea in his February address to Congress. The display of North Korean ICBMs may have been aimed at bringing Kim back to Western media attention.

Having shown the world the presence of missiles capable of delivering nuclear warheads not only to the territory of hostile South Korea and Japan, but also to the United States, Kim Jong-un openly warned Washington, Seoul and Tokyo that in the event of an attempted military invasion of the DPRK, Pyongyang has something to answer the aggressor. Kim may also hope to destroy the South Korean-US alliance by threatening to use nuclear weapons against the United States if Washington uses nuclear weapons to support South Korea.

Is the United States willing to trade New York or Los Angeles for the security of Seoul? There seems to be a significant degree of skepticism on the subject in South Korea.

- say the authors of the article.

Experts suggested that some of the ICBMs shown at the parade could be dummies. After all, even successful missile tests, which Pyongyang demonstratively produces more and more often, does not at all mean the ability of the DPRK to create a sufficient number of long-range nuclear weapons capable of causing significant damage to potential enemies.

The authors of the article believe that the United States and its allies in Northeast Asia underestimate the threats of the North Korean leader, and his desire to build up an arsenal of solid-propellant ballistic missiles with nuclear warheads. Washington is too caught up in the conflict in Ukraine and risks missing the moment when North Korea has dozens of ICBMs and hundreds of nuclear weapons, the authors of the article warn.
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  1. +16
    15 February 2023 13: 03
    Well, let them be dummies. Look, the dummy of the President of the United States has been shown to the world for so long, and nothing! laughing
    1. +5
      15 February 2023 13: 26
      Why the DPRK dummies? Seoul is within range of MLRS and cannon artillery. All missiles for Japan.
      1. +2
        16 February 2023 10: 30
        Well, now New York is within reach. It is very important.
    2. +5
      15 February 2023 13: 32
      Quote: Cat Alexandrovich
      Well, let the dummies

      This is the denial stage of the five stages of accepting the inevitable.
      Quote: Cat Alexandrovich
      Look, the dummy of the President of the United States has been shown to the world for so long

  2. +7
    15 February 2023 13: 03
    But the Japanese appreciated it when the DPRK missiles flew through their islands ...., they had no doubts, the "Patriots" did not help.
  3. -2
    15 February 2023 13: 06
    Westerners are afraid to fight against North Korea, because they are sure that they will definitely press the red button and ruin everything, and they are fighting against Russia on all fronts, both secretly and openly, because they are sure that in Russia they will endlessly draw red lines.
    1. +6
      15 February 2023 13: 27
      Quote: sanik2020
      because we are sure that in Russia they will endlessly draw red lines.

      Those. Did the return of Crimea not impress you? They took him when they crossed the lines. The NWO itself, when they cut through a land corridor to the Crimea and took the Sea of ​​Azov, was also in response to the crossing of lines. The entry into Russia of Zaporozhye, Kherson region and LDNR is again in response to the intersection of lines. Wounding, capturing and liquidating up to half a million generations of young men with the wrong ideology is the answer on the line. The liquidation of biolaboratories, the reactor at the Kharkov Research Institute and the capture of the ZNPP is the answer to the line. Energy strikes are the answer. The reorientation of sales markets and the rejection of the world currency in foreign trade - you can’t imagine worse for the World Order, etc. For some reason, all this is ignored in our country and doubts are sown in the determination of our political leadership.
      1. The comment was deleted.
  4. +8
    15 February 2023 13: 08
    American experts find out why the DPRK demonstrated a lot of intercontinental ballistic missiles at the parade
    A subtle allusion to thick circumstances. "Don't touch us - we won't touch, but if you touch us, we won't let it go! And we won't drown in water, and we won't burn in fire!" (c)
  5. +7
    15 February 2023 13: 17
    Kim Jong-un openly warned Washington, Seoul and Tokyo that in the event of an attempted military invasion of the DPRK, Pyongyang has something to answer the aggressor
    And we are sure that if necessary, he will answer for a long time without hesitation. Therefore, they talk a lot, but they are afraid to bother.
  6. +6
    15 February 2023 13: 40
    What's there to guess? Their propaganda screams that the Russians understand only force, but the fact is that the West itself understands only force, and only force. He needs to show this strength from time to time, and the North Korean leader understands this.
  7. +5
    15 February 2023 13: 47
    showed his people living in very difficult conditions
    Everything is relative.
    For example, I feel good in your "bad". This is first.
    And secondly: none of us knows for sure how difficult these conditions are.
    Yes, such a myth exists (and is supported).
    But the same myth was maintained in relation to Iran ...
    And in India, "their own people" in what "difficult conditions do they live"? ..
    Two fugitives are sitting... on an American trash can... analyzing... over a bowl of soup.
  8. -3
    15 February 2023 14: 59
    Lend Kim a couple of Intercontinentals.
    1. +1
      16 February 2023 10: 44
      Hwaseong 17 operates at a range of 15000 km covering the entire United States, in addition, it has a shared warhead. Presumably 4 warheads.
  9. +4
    15 February 2023 15: 06
    Hwaseong-17 mobile ICBM for liquid fuel weighing approximately 100 tons. Combat load 3 tons with a range of 15 thousand kilometers. 11 such missiles on mobile launchers from 11 axles passed at the parade.
    And they demonstrated 11 missiles, since the tests of this missile took place last year and they want to show the United States that in less than a year they riveted a dozen of such missiles. They can carry MIRVs with at least 6 warheads, and thus information for the Pentagon will take place in at least 66 new warheads per year. If 97 interceptors are needed to intercept each block with 4% probability, then at least 264 new interceptors per year must be produced and placed in the mines.
    1. 0
      16 February 2023 16: 41
      And where is it interesting that the DPRK lays out the characteristics of its missiles?
      1. 0
        16 February 2023 22: 54
        And where is it interesting that the DPRK lays out the characteristics of its missiles?

        Military experts incl. from the USA analyze videos and photos. So the 8-axle Chinese tractor WS-52100 has a load capacity of 80 tons. A batch of 6 such vehicles was bought by the DPRK in China in 2011 (the United States passed this information to China, and China banned further sale of these timber trucks to the DPRK in accordance with UN sanctions). Therefore, an 11-axle tractor has a maximum load capacity of about 110 tons.
        The range over 15000 km was determined from the calculation of the range of the tests, taking into account the flight path.
        The combat load of 3 tons is calculated based on the size and weight of the launch vehicle.
        Thermonuclear blocks of similar foreign ICBMs weigh 500-750 kg, depending on the power of the charge. Divide 3000 kg by 500 -750 kg and get 6 or 4 warheads.
        So nothing complicated.
  10. +2
    15 February 2023 15: 23
    Why not lease a couple of missiles to Comrade Kim (the United States is giving Trident to England)? One sanction will be more or less, now it is no longer important
    1. +2
      16 February 2023 10: 48
      ICBMs with a shared warhead Hwaseong 17 are already in service. North Korea is interested in hypersonic technologies and submarine construction technologies.
      1. +1
        16 February 2023 15: 03
        You have to think about submarines. Preferably positively and quickly
  11. +3
    15 February 2023 16: 14
    Experts suggested that some of the ICBMs shown at the parade could be dummies.
    Of course, they could have been, but they might not have been ... Ukraine still claims that the Crimean bridge does not exist ...
  12. +1
    15 February 2023 17: 47
    Shouldn't we buy tractors from Kim?
    Maybe it will be cheaper than dad's.
    Yes, and dad doesn’t have so many wheels ...
  13. +3
    16 February 2023 14: 54
    In my opinion, they live badly where you have to kneel before a black man, whom you don’t even know, and not in the DPRK.
  14. +1
    16 February 2023 16: 37
    I saw a video of this parade, very beautiful by the way.
  15. -2
    16 February 2023 18: 28
    What is the point of these parades? Well, if only the lieutenant colonel of the reserve Lukashenka flashes in the new marshal's tunic :)
    The military intelligence of a potential adversary is quite aware of where, who, how and how much.
    In the 80s, the USSR knew not only the number and types of aircraft at American bases, but even the names and ranks of their commanders.