American Institute for the Study of War: Russian Armed Forces seized the initiative and launched a major offensive in the LNR

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American Institute for the Study of War: Russian Armed Forces seized the initiative and launched a major offensive in the LNR

Experts from the American Institute for the Study of War believe that the Russian Armed Forces launched an offensive in the Luhansk direction.

Recall that earlier Western and Ukrainian intelligence reported that, according to their data, Russian troops will launch a large-scale offensive over the next two weeks. At the same time, the most likely direction for its start was precisely the section of the Svatovo-Kremennaya front.



Specialists from ISW write that the pace of advancement of the RF Armed Forces in the aforementioned sector has increased markedly in the last week. According to geolocation data, Russian troops have already approached Dvurechnaya.



According to American experts, the fact that the Russian command considers the Luhansk direction as one of the priorities is also indicated by the transfer of regular units to this area. In particular, several regiments of the 144th and 3rd motorized rifle divisions, a regiment of the 90th tank divisions, units of the 76th Airborne Division, as well as several unidentified units of the Southern Military District of the Russian Federation.

At the same time, ISW emphasizes that the command of the RF Armed Forces has not yet committed units of the 2nd motorized rifle division into battle. The latter was transferred to this direction back in January after undergoing training and coordination on the territory of the Republic of Belarus.

Thus, American experts believe that the Russian Armed Forces seized the initiative and launched a major offensive in the LPR, but it has not yet reached its maximum pace.
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26 comments
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  1. +5
    9 February 2023 11: 25
    Oops... And here's your panama... It seems that this institute has begun to speculate that the wild Russians are not at all going to attack in the way that the colony studies institutes in the USA and their guinea pigs in the reservations were waiting for... Moreover, it would be logical, that the development of the Russian offensive will not be the way these institutions expect NOW. For example, they can suddenly bang a breakthrough where they don’t expect until the mattresses with their slaves thoughtfully leaf through the doctrine of a mass offensive of two divisions and three regiments ...
    1. +1
      9 February 2023 19: 16
      Experts from the American Institute for the Study of War believe that the Russian Armed Forces launched an offensive in the Luhansk direction.

      And yesterday at VO there was a topic about these same iksperds:
      The American think tank, also called the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), believes that Russian troops will not be able to launch a large-scale offensive as planned in advance, because they do not have enough "combat power"

      These iksperds are way cooler than British scientists! lol
  2. +3
    9 February 2023 11: 29
    . According to geolocation data, Russian troops have already approached Dvurechnaya.
    . Come on! This is bullshit, don't be fooled! wassat Better listen to Zelya, and do as he says, and "FSE will pass")))
  3. +1
    9 February 2023 11: 31
    But the Insidious Putin, in spite of Western intelligence, will give the order to attack not within 10, but after 11, 12, 13, etc. days
    1. 0
      9 February 2023 13: 14
      ..or there will be an order not to advance in order to confuse the enemy
  4. +2
    9 February 2023 11: 34
    They poured water ... they themselves understood what they wanted to say? what understandable ... money is being worked out ....
  5. +3
    9 February 2023 11: 36
    If they expect to see columns of tanks, masses, horses, people, everything is mixed up ... They are mistaken. It will be exactly what is happening in the Donbass. Biting off small areas along the entire front, "development" of the territory, shooting further, coverage of settlements from all sides. But somewhere more intense. We need to protect people and equipment. At the same time, inflict maximum damage to people and equipment of the enemy. For like this, we are unlikely to defeat the adversary right away, but we can lose resources. Well, let's beat back a few small towns. To then give without a fight - more? This is called a caliph for an hour.
    Still, the "main" forces are a stupid traitor and executioner of the people of the so-called. Ukraine - Zaluzhny - has not thrown into battle yet. So, he still expects to cross it by the spring-summer. And in order to grind this mass, we need people and equipment.
    1. -1
      9 February 2023 11: 41
      You rightly noticed that the human potential there is by no means exhausted, as they want to show us through military commissariat raids. And they will be given equipment, as much or so much as they want. But we can quite get it back from the "compressed" spring. ..
    2. +4
      9 February 2023 11: 50
      Quote: Ivanushka Ivanov
      Well, let's beat back a few small towns. To then give without a fight - more? This is called a caliph for an hour.

      Doctrine Moltke, from the textbook - to fight the army, not to seize territory. Having defeated the army - take as much territory as you like, capturing the territory - you will receive from the army in extended battle formations. What our liberota doesn’t understand, and surprisingly, an institution that called itself studying war ... It’s like doctors without borders - they’re never doctors, you have to understand ...
      1. +2
        9 February 2023 11: 56
        So the Tsar at the very beginning said that the goal was demilitarization
      2. 0
        9 February 2023 17: 06
        I am also amused by such reasoning about territories; an undefeated army can always return lost territories.
      3. 0
        9 February 2023 18: 29
        Quote from Bingo
        Doctrine Moltke, from the textbook - fight the army, not seize territory.

        You are offering the wrong choice. In your opinion, the seizure of territory excludes the destruction of the army. But this is directly related.

        Why did the Germans in this case reach Moscow? They would grind quietly at the border in the Baltic region for five years! They would hit him in the forehead and stupidly wait for the result!

        Your mention of the Germans is completely inappropriate here. Because their strategy is energetic and offensive, which implies a lightning-fast blitzkrieg. This is a tactic of detours, girths and circles. And with the destruction of enemy manpower, everything is in perfect order there, in contrast to standing still.
  6. +4
    9 February 2023 11: 38
    ISW: The Russian Armed Forces seized the initiative and launched a major offensive in the LPR,
    Just yesterday, they analyzed the statement of this "institute" that "the Russian troops do not have enough "combat power" for a large-scale offensive" and now you have quite the opposite.
  7. 0
    9 February 2023 11: 41
    Only if you suddenly see Konev, Zhukov, Rokosovsky and other Soviet marshals of the Great War, do not call this offensive "big". And don't show them Konashenkov and Shoigu. They may not be able to resist...
  8. +3
    9 February 2023 11: 42
    Don't.. Don't.. Haven't started.... We don't have enough shells and weapons. Yeah....
    Don't expect us to attack..
  9. +2
    9 February 2023 11: 43
    This is called "zugzwang" (a position in checkers and chess in which any player's move leads to a deterioration in his position). Now the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is "scratching its turnip" in search of a solution, and a very painful question arises before it - where to get reserves in order to transfer them to the next "seed of fire" in a fire order.
    1. +1
      9 February 2023 11: 48
      Don't tell me... There are no reserves. They still have half of Ukraine in reserves. They will catch them, give out sticks and send them to hell with the phrase - you will get weapons in battle. And that some x. Hol against vyaknet? Shoot immediately. And so he can be captured in time to surrender ...
    2. 0
      9 February 2023 15: 16
      Don't worry about them. They also have reserves.
      And yes, get out of the house. Ukraine is a large country, as of January 1, 2022, 41 million people. Even if you sum up their unofficial losses and refugees, you will be extremely surprised how many more people there are left
  10. +2
    9 February 2023 11: 51
    Oops, has it already begun? And their headquarters is waiting only in 10 days, in the morning the info was on VO.
  11. +4
    9 February 2023 11: 51
    Just an American Vanga. Now, if they predicted the liberation of Crimea and the Russians really left it, it would be an insider. And to say that the snow is white, well, you probably guessed it laughing laughing lol
  12. +3
    9 February 2023 11: 53
    I hope they will take the Sumy and Chernihiv regions this time, Sumy to make it easier to take Kharkov, and Chernihiv to take Kyiv by the balls.
  13. +2
    9 February 2023 11: 55
    Very large?
    Such as in 1943 - 1944 the Red Army carried out?

    1. -2
      9 February 2023 12: 04
      The Red Army has reached Berlin in 5 years, here they have not been able to stop the shelling of Donetsk for 9 years.
      1. +1
        9 February 2023 12: 41
        But what about the war in Spain? If we apply analogies
  14. +1
    9 February 2023 12: 10
    American Institute for the Study of War: Russian Armed Forces seized the initiative and launched a major offensive in the LNR
    . Russia at least somehow STARTED, CAME TO WAR.
    Whether this will be enough to eradicate the infection from the Ukrainian land is not a clear question at the moment.
  15. 0
    9 February 2023 16: 22
    Well, the Americans know better. A whole institute, after all.

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