American experts speculate on the reasons why Russia is "in a hurry" to launch a decisive offensive

It has been repeatedly stated in Kyiv that Russia is preparing for a large-scale offensive, similar to the one that launched the NVO last year. Meanwhile, its terms were voiced by Ukrainian intelligence very vaguely - “winter-spring” of 2023.

Now, both officials in Kyiv and representatives of Western intelligence are confident that the Russian Armed Forces will launch their decisive offensive in the next 10-15 days.

It is worth noting that the above version is also supported by the American Institute for the Study of War. At the same time, the experts spoke about the reasons why Russia, in their opinion, is “in a hurry” to launch a decisive offensive.

First, according to experts, the Kremlin will try to have time to complete the SVO until the promised weapons arrive in Ukraine. Apparently it's about tanks NATO pattern.

Secondly, according to ISW employees, the Russian command is in a hurry to carry out an offensive operation before the onset of thaw, which is expected around April. Experts believe that it was this factor that became the main obstacle that prevented the RF Armed Forces from achieving its goal last year.

As for the Russian offensive itself, Ukrainian intelligence has previously said that it could start in one of three directions, from the south, east or north. However, now they are sure that the RF Armed Forces will launch a decisive offensive from the territory of the LDNR to completely take it under control.

Comments

[Trapp1st]

American experts reflect on the reasons why Russia is "in a hurry"

Has anyone other than "American experts" noticed any rush?

[Virus-free crown]

What's there to "notice"? L - logic
Either now, or already in May - if we are talking about a "large-scale offensive"

[Constantine N]

The United States jointly delivers specially modern armored vehicles and long-range precision bombs. Armored vehicles will not allow Russian troops to advance, and bombs will bomb Russian territory. In the worst case, it will generally allow Ukraine to win.
Therefore, it is logical that you need to achieve as much as possible before deliveries.
It looks like the course of the NWO by the West was originally planned

[I dare to_notice_]

Nope ..
Already absolutely.
So far, only ... slowly descend the mountain.

[Trapp1st]

So far, only ... slowly descend the mountain.

Meanwhile, Russia

[ABC-schutze]

It is easy to be an American "expert", because - "no need to think" ...

With them, everything is simple. They are "planning" operations "for" Russia and its Armed Forces, according to the "calendar". As at one time in the Union they planned "fulfillment - overfulfillment" of planned indicators, by "significant" dates ...

Yeah, soon "exactly a year", from the beginning of Russia's NWO, on February 24th. So Putin, "wishing to demonstrate some success", "gave an order" to the military ... Or, soon May 09th, and Putin, for his speech at the parade, "needs to show the Russians" ... Or, etc. d. in that spirit...

Well, and all sorts of "non-expert", NATO-EU-European, limitrophe, Lyashsky and Kyiv mongrels of a lower rank and yapping thinner, spread this overseas "expert" crap from their "analytical" centers to their philistine audiences ...

[Mikhail Drabkin]

The decisive offensive ... Ukrainian intelligence said ... could begin in one of three directions, from the south, east or north

--1. The offensive will begin when success is guaranteed, not on the basis of mudslides. Because any Russian action without success will be worse (in the information war) than inaction.

—-2. This cannot be a "decisive" action. There is no military leader with experience for this. There is a strong-willed Surovkin, but he has no experience of a victorious offensive. There may be a local tactical offensive, but there is no need to rush into the inferno of the fortified Donbass - now Russia is crushing and bending the Armed Forces of Ukraine ... like a python compresses the rings.

—-3. The quality of intelligence of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is much better, unfortunately, than fortune-telling on the coffee grounds of the obvious ... north, east, south. The task of advancing in the north of the LPR to the border may be necessary and achievable.

--4. Russian infantry is invincible in close combat. Invincible!

--5. God forbid Russia to hurry for any reason except "everything is ready to defeat the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the operation.. DEFEAT the Armed Forces of Ukraine..!"

[Cheshire]

I especially liked about the strong-willed Surovikin. I look forward to continuing...

[dfk-80]

Please inform the Russian infantry of paragraph 4.
For under a hail of land mines, cluster munitions and potentially chemical weapons, any infantry is mortal.
The motivations for this infantry have not yet been brought up much - 200 thousand for life at the front and 12 million for death in the same place, so far it is acting mediocre.

[Sarmat Sanych]

The incoming information confirms what I wrote earlier - Zaluzhny is urgently trying to plug numerous holes in the front with reserves that were saved for the "spring (blackened out) summer offensive." Plus, Arestovich began to broadcast about Minsk-3 and the 38th parallel (yeah, dream on, @beat).
Something must have happened...
The gradation of mriy is rapidly changing, from "in a month in the Crimea" to "leave us at least a little territory"
They also said in Prigozhensky language, to the Dnieper, and there they will look at their behavior.
Vladimir Vladimirovich's next proposal is always worse than the previous rejected one.
PSFSB announced a week of inspections of fees "for mavics".
The number of howls about "malicious government shuts up the truth-tellers" has doubled. Has anyone noticed how Khokhlism is quietly flowing towards us? Every ass-hetman decided to bred and the State did not order him ... I have - XNUMX signatures and that's it, I already decide and I can complain about the State that it does not allow me to do my deeds, I'm a Fluority on the Internet ...
Zodno acquired by military bloggers Msk / St. Petersburg Nedviga will be checked.
PPSPlanet continues to shake:
In Turkey (Kahramanmaras) there was a new earthquake of magnitude 5,0.
Taiwan hit by a 5,1 magnitude earthquake.
In Argentina, 5,1 points.
In the United States in Cook Inlet (Alaska) with a magnitude of 3,2, in the state of New York 3,8 points. Apparently, this is just the beginning.

[Mavrikiy]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

PPSPlanet continues to shake:

Duc, the lice are stuck. And when the GDP wakes up and does not throw them into the Atlantic.

[Romanenko]

Well, guessed who and what could, now you can bet on all sorts of fortunetellers.
Let's see what the CBO will show, I think everyone will be surprised.

[Uprun]

All three arguments and past .... Even if the 2nd battalion of tanks on the LBS 800 km ....., in the breakthrough area, yes, and so, past times, without much comment. Past two - mudslide. The winter of 2022-2023 is probably one of the warmest, therefore, the soil did not freeze to a depth that can confidently hold heavy equipment, moreover, rains are not uncommon - companions of mudslides. Past three - the direction of the main gift - LDNR. LBS in this section is not one hundred kilometers, from Kharkov to Zaporozhye region, catch ..... In general, who said that there would be a main blow? Is that what they want? So let them carry on with it?

[rotmistr60]

They think, they assume... The time will come and you will find out exactly where and by what forces. And the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be recognized first of all by feeling the beginning on themselves. And to drive you in the first place from the Donbass is simply necessary.

[tralflot1832]

Like sofa ekperd, lope of the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the left bank and lope on the right bank of the Dnieper? We smash the bridges across the Dnieper to dust and, in my opinion, hello NATO on the right bank, who will close the front from the right bank .. Or not hello ?! Maybe that's why we nightmare the Armed Forces of Ukraine almost along the entire front line. Probably the first time this year I "wang."

[Murmur 55]

tralflot1832, along the way, they don’t tell us something, because the information background is one and in fact a little different.

[tralflot1832]

Along the way, the lineups from social networks disappeared and in general everything is covered in darkness. I used to have an SF marker, the whole issue is closed. Strict discipline and rightly so.

[Aag]

"...Firstly, according to experts, the Kremlin will try to have time to complete the SVO before then...".
And how, in the opinion of American experts, does the Kremlin plan (planned) to complete the NWO? What should it look like politically, geographically, militarily? Maybe they know something? - and then in our media there is more and more controversy among experts, analysts - they still can’t agree on the goals and objectives of the NWO.

[Dilettante grandfather]

Regarding the Russian offensive itself, Ukrainian intelligence has previously stated that it could begin in one of three directions, from the south, east or north

What deep analytics!

[UAZ 452]

You need to be a real expert in order to confidently and reasonably exclude the possibility of strikes from the west (or maybe they excluded them in vain), as well as from above and below

[Vadim Topal Pasha]

Quote: Grandfather is an amateur

Regarding the Russian offensive itself, Ukrainian intelligence has previously stated that it could begin in one of three directions, from the south, east or north

What deep analytics!

There will be a ride if the main blow comes from the west! Hungary and/or Poland

[Vadim Topal Pasha]

And what significance can NATO weapons in ridiculous quantities have for deciding on the timing of the start of the offensive? (See the article "Why steal the ridiculous numbers of Leopards and F-16s?" https://trymava.rf/?p=40565

[Alex242]

First, according to experts, the Kremlin will try to have time to complete the SVO until the promised weapons arrive in Ukraine. Apparently we are talking about NATO-style tanks.

Secondly, according to ISW employees, the Russian command is in a hurry to carry out an offensive operation before the onset of thaw, which is expected around April. Experts believe that it was this factor that became the main obstacle that prevented the RF Armed Forces from achieving its goal last year.

camping in the states, too, there are couch experts ... they give forecasts like weather forecasters ...

[Alexander Evgenievich F]

I liked the great conclusion of the MERICAN EXPERTS -
As for the Russian offensive itself, Ukrainian intelligence has previously said that it could start in one of three directions, from the south, east or north.
WHY EXCUSE NOT FROM THE WEST?

[Alexander Ponamarev]

What kind of experts are they? when, in their entire meager history, they fought only with weak tribes and technologically undeveloped countries

[SeregaBoss]

American experts = British scientists. That's all I wanted to say.

[Dmitry Trukhtanov]

Luhansk region is already 99% under control, it makes sense to attack in this direction only if you return the Kharkov region or as a distraction

[Danila Rastorguev]

While in Ukraine the middle age among men is still alive, no major offensives are possible ... the demographics of db are about the same as before the storming of Berlin in the 45th.