American expert: Western restrictive measures against Russian oil have completely failed

According to an American expert, Sankey Research analyst Paul Sankey, Western restrictions on Russian oil have "completely failed." The expert said this on the air of the CNBC TV channel.

Sankey noted that new attempts to influence Russian oil revenues are likely to be ineffective.

Recall that in December last year, the EU introduced a price limit for Russian oil, and on Sunday the EU plans to take the same measures against oil products from Russia. The West is thus trying to reduce Russia's income from the sale of energy resources.

However, many Western experts do not believe that the West has achieved its goal.

The idea of ​​limiting the price of Russian oil was a "real bomb" in itself, the expert believes, but, in his opinion, it "completely failed."

Sankey noted that, despite all the anti-Russian rhetoric of the West, Russian oil supplies there continue.

In addition, according to some Western experts, Russian oil will still find its way to markets where it remains desirable, for example, in India or China.

Moscow has plenty of ways to find workarounds for its oil, Sankey said. The expert considers the supply of "Malaysian" oil to China as one of the examples. Malaysia supplies China with 1,5 million barrels of oil per day, producing only 400 barrels per day, Sankey notes. Obviously, this is definitely not Malaysian oil, the expert added.

Comments

[tralflot1832]

No matter how they failed, budget revenues fell, if you look at the report of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation.

[olegff68]

Recently I was in the Tuapse area, I did not consider a single tanker in the roadstead. Last year, dozens stood in line. So from reading self-soothing articles, the budget will not be filled.

[poquello]

Quote: olegff68

from reading self-soothing articles, the budget will not be filled.

so, from American attempts, their storage facilities are also not filled up, and they continue to drain the strategic reserve, I assume that their dumping will end earlier

[fif21]

Quote: olegff68

So from reading self-soothing articles, the budget will not be filled.

I agree with you. Therefore , in addition to a good law prohibiting the sale of hydrocarbons to countries that set a price ceiling , a law on a discount of no more than 5 % should be added . As they say, out of harm's way, and more in the budget!

[Aaron Zawi]

Quote: tralflot1832

No matter how they failed, budget revenues fell, if you look at the report of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation.

Well, at the beginning of the year, this is not an indicator. Let's look at December.

[blackGRAIL]

Of course, the initial period is not an indicator, and they will continue to try to come up with workarounds. But so far, the largest shipping company in China (and the world) China Cosco Shipping with a fleet of more than 1,4 thousand ships has refused to transport oil from Russia. Refused to work with Russia and the Greek Avin International, whose fleet has 35 tankers with a total capacity of 2,5 million tons. Both companies are refusing to ship Russian Far East ESPO oil, which trades above $60 a barrel. Small private ship owners continue to carry Russian oil at prices above the ceiling, but Shell and Exxon Mobil, the largest Western oil companies, refuse to work with them.

[tralflot1832]

As if the tankers on the marine traffic are red.

[Sergey Romanchenko]

Well, how would we wage a war, no? Napoleon said three things are needed for war, 1 money 2 money 3 again money.
Even though it's called.

And what money do you care about the budget. Best in the nearest DOSAAF go there you can get primary military training.
The best learn to handle a machine gun and pull themselves up 10 times than to rant about the country's budgets.

To you Muscovites, Petersburgers, my words will seem nonsense, but when I lived near Lugansk in 2013, I also thought so.

We all have yet to take Kyiv, whether we like it or not. (

[Beetle1991]

Yes?
But the Russian agency Argus (which monitors the oil market) claims that the discount on Urals oil has reached $40 per barrel.
The Minister of Fuel and Energy also says that the situation is not simple.

[Aaron Zawi]

Quote: Beetle1991

Yes?
But the Russian agency Argus (which monitors the oil market) claims that the discount on Urals oil has reached $40 per barrel.
The Minister of Fuel and Energy also says that the situation is not simple.

I do not argue. I myself read similar figures, but firstly the year has just begun, and secondly, you will not sell oil, you will have to concrete the wells.

[Beetle1991]

Well, not quite concrete. Preserve.
You can jam, but if you jam in a brazen, then the well gives much less.

In general, yes, you need to sell on any.

[lubesky]

Maybe a little off topic, but last year they announced that the Supreme Commander would ban the export of round timber from the country ... On July 1 last year, he canceled the privilege for connecting the site to electricity from 550 rubles to 5000 per sq. m. (The Chinese really need electricity)

So what's with the circle? Do we end up taking it out?

If our strategy is to drop the west and become a raw material warehouse for New Megaasia, then we should get something very much from Asia in the future for this. But who is "WE"? "They" are not us. I want to say what exactly will the common people get from this strategy?

[Woodman]

Quote: lubesky

On July 1 last year, he canceled the privilege for connecting the site to electricity from 550 rubles to 5000 per sq.

Is this a deliberate lie or something else? Pay attention to the dates.

From July 1, 2022, the payment for connection to the power grid began to depend on the capacity. In 2022, at least 3000 RUR will have to be paid for each kilowatt, from July 1, 2023 - at least 4000 RUR, and from July 1, 2024 - at least 5000 RUR.

And just something the past year with the future mixed up. Well, the price tag for preferential categories is 1000 rubles.

Quote: lubesky

So what's with the circle? Do we end up taking it out?

We take out, we take out, but how else.

So, as it turned out, there is no document that would unequivocally prohibit the export of untreated or poorly processed wood (let's call it NCTP for brevity). There is nowhere such a place in laws or by-laws where it would be written "Export of NCPC is prohibited." Moreover, formally it is still allowed, despite the order of the President.

But that's just the point that formally. It turned out that a complete ban would be contrary to Russia's obligations to the WTO, and Europe has already filed a complaint against us, which I wrote about in a previous article.
But they will get a good deal of butter there, since legally Russia acted much more cunningly, thereby circumventing the WTO ban.

Russia, firstly, has reduced the number of export points through which our timber can be exported. Up to two (and there were more than 30). One to Europe and one to ... North Korea. And now these points simply physically cannot miss any significant volumes.

From January 1, 2022, timber can only be exported from Russia through two border checkpoints, one of which is located on the border with Finland (Luttya), and the second on the border with North Korea (Hasan).
Secondly, the export duty was increased to a protective 80%.

So, formally, the introduction of an embargo on the export of unprocessed timber does not mean an absolute ban on exports, but in reality, the export of NCPC is simply physically impossible in any significant volumes.

But that's not all. When I wrote about this ban earlier, they objected in the comments: they say the ban will be bypassed, they will issue the NCPC for being processed, according to the documents. But not fools work here in Rosleskhoz either. They foresaw it.

Therefore, from January 1, protective duties were also introduced on the so-called "cover goods", under the guise of which unscrupulous exporters could export raw wood. So, the level of duties on sawn timber and timber with a moisture content of over 22% has been set almost to a prohibitive level. Thus, it turns out that Rosleskhoz went even further than Putin's order than simply banning the NCPC. Banned "to the heap" and the export, although processed, but wet - that is, fresh wood.

But so that wet lumber could not be exported under the guise of dry, on top of everything else, the list of allowed points of passage through the border was reduced: those where precise control over the exported products caused difficulties were excluded. That is, it is now possible to export lumber only if the checkpoint is equipped with equipment that measures the moisture content of wood.

But that's not all!

From January 1, 2022, the transportation of wood and its processed products is allowed only if there is an electronic accompanying document. Over 10 days of 2022, more than 100 thousand electronic accompanying documents of a new type were generated through the special application LesEgais.mobile.
So the movement of any forest within the country will be clearly recorded and reflected in electronic form. The forest is now monitored no worse than alcohol. Even better.

And here is the result: recognition came even from where they were not expected - from Greenpeace. And this organization, let me remind you, is always and in everything against the Russian authorities, no matter what they do. But even they can't argue here:

“There have never been such severe restrictions on the export of raw wood and sawn timber and such strict control over the movement of timber within the country in Russian history. And that's not all - new restrictions and requirements have already been adopted, which will come into effect gradually (from March and October 2022, January 2023), and the following are being prepared at the level of bills or draft by-laws, ”says Alexei Yaroshenko, Head of the Forestry Greenpeace Department and News Editor of the Greenpeace Forest Forum.

[lubesky]

Quote: Lesovik

Is this a deliberate lie or something else? Pay attention to the dates.

Let's pay attention of course

Quote: Lesovik

And only the past year was confused with the future

So maybe look at the date? Maybe you got the year mixed up? And the difference for ordinary people between 3000 rubles and 5000 rubles per HF - believe me, like a dead poultice.

Are you lying deliberately in the end? As a result, the BENEFITS were canceled last year on July 1. What is my lie?

Quote: Lesovik

Well, the price tag for preferential categories is 1000 rubles.

Well, we have a lot of beneficiaries: Can you indicate the percentage of the population?

[Woodman]

Quote: lubesky

What is my lie?

I quote:

Quote: lubesky

On July 1 last year, he canceled the privilege for connecting the site to electricity from 550 rubles to 5000 per sq. m.

So what is your lie?

Quote: lubesky

And the difference for the common people between 3000 rubles and 5000 rubles per HF

Those. if you keep 5000 from every 2000 from your salary, then you won’t feel the difference? Are you sure from the "simple" people?

Quote: lubesky

Well, we have a lot of beneficiaries: Can you indicate the percentage of the population?

Well, if you don’t want to become poor, as well as a disabled person, and you are not a veteran, then nothing prevents you from replenishing the preferential category of large families.

[lubesky]

Quote: Lesovik

So what is your lie?

Don't evade the answer. Unclear. So the benefit was canceled from July 1 last year or not? Or because of the difference of 3 and 5 thousand for you the whole statement is false??? You are responsible for your words.
Are you okay with Russian? In my statement, the essence is not in the amount of the new tariff, but in the abolition of the benefit itself. What did you notice, something about DATE, something about an error in YEARS, but it turned out that I was not mistaken in years

Quote: Lesovik

Those. if you keep 5000 from every 2000 from your salary, then you won’t feel the difference?

Yes, you are a demagogue, then how does the jump from 550 rubles to 45000 rubles DO NOT PLAY for you, calling my statement false, but you yourself are worried about the difference of 30000 rubles between 3000 and 5000 rubles. You are not consistent.

Quote: Lesovik

Are you sure from the "simple" people?

The difference between 550 rubles and 45000 rubles DOES NOT matter to you - are you yourself from the common people?

Quote: Lesovik

Well, if you don’t want to become poor, as well as a disabled person, and you are not a veteran, then nothing prevents you from replenishing the preferential category of large families

I do not interfere with answering my question on the merits - approximately what percentage of the masses would you classify as beneficiaries?
A preferential tariff of 1000 rubles from 550 rubles to 15000 rubles does not seem like a leap to you, you write about the new benefit as some kind of breakthrough for beneficiaries

[Woodman]

Quote: lubesky

Or because of the difference of 3 and 5 thousand for you the whole statement is false???

Undoubtedly. There is a lie. Nothing prevented you from writing the truth.

Quote: lubesky

In my statement, the essence is not in the amount of the new tariff, but in the abolition of the benefit itself

Your statement clearly states that since July 1 last year, the connection price has changed from 550 rubles. up to 5000.
Re-read and stop fidgeting.

Quote: lubesky

a jump from 550 rubles to 45000 rubles DOES NOT PLAY for you, calling my statement false, but you yourself are worried about the difference of 30000 rubles between 3000 and 5000 rubles

It was you, not me, who said earlier that

Quote: lubesky

for ordinary people between 3000 rubles and 5000 rubles for HF - believe me, like a dead poultice.

I just suggested that you are "terribly far from the people."

Quote: lubesky

Approximately what percentage of the masses would you attribute to beneficiaries?

Veterans, the disabled, the poor, those with many children - about 20% of the population, i.e. every fifth.

Quote: lubesky

you write about the new benefit as some kind of breakthrough for beneficiaries

I am writing that the price for preferential categories is more than acceptable.
You better explain to me what is the percentage of connection costs of the total cost of building a house? By the way, this is much easier to find out than to find out the percentage of beneficiaries relative to the population.

[Armen Sologyan]

It would be great to ban the shipment of Russian resources to the United States, as well as firms and companies with the participation of firms and companies from NATO countries. And then the United States bought LNG from Russia and then sold it to third countries, for example, in the EU. In general, Russian resources should not be sold to NATO countries for the supply of weapons to the Kyiv regime and theft of Russian assets.

[Amper]

Of course Rosneft will be sold! Speculators and swindlers will find a common language, at least for 5 rubles/barrel, but bargain! GDP is a resource sales genius!

[Arkadich]

The US Treasury Department, the International Energy Agency and the world's leading media draw their estimates of the price of Russian oil supplies from data from the Russian Ministry of Finance.
This is because the pricing of contracts between the Russian Federation and India / China is NOT in dollars, but in rubles, rupees and yuan. The United States simply does not see transactions to pay for this oil and cannot analyze them.
The most interesting things happen behind the scenes. India and China share the payment: part of it is paid officially (the same $49 to the ceiling), and part (from $20 to $30) is deposited on the accounts of special firms. With the help of these funds, the Russian Federation bypasses sanctions and pays for high-tech imports. In addition, this is just a bottomless barrel of opportunities for corruption of officials from both the PRC and India, and the Russian Federation.

The United States knows about the trick, but is silent. Otherwise, you will have to admit that the ceiling is complete garbage and the States are not really able to influence the world oil market;
Therefore, formally everyone is happy - the United States "defeated" the Russians, China and India have a discount for schematosis and formally do not violate the US ceiling, Russians with cash and black cash who needs it.

[Aaron Zawi]

Quote: Arkadich

Therefore, formally everyone is happy - the United States "defeated" the Russians, China and India have a discount for schematosis and formally do not violate the US ceiling, Russians with cash and black cash who needs it.

You are a dreamer.

[Arkadich]

Refute. Oil is sold in the same volumes, money is coming in, with an understandable drawdown, and the purchase of the necessary imports does not stop. There are problems, but who doesn't? Israel?