US Institute for the Study of War predicts some "raids" of the Russian Armed Forces in northern Ukraine

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US Institute for the Study of War predicts some "raids" of the Russian Armed Forces in northern Ukraine

Yesterday, the head of the Russian state, Vladimir Putin, called on the Russian Defense Ministry to eliminate the possibility of shelling Russian territory from the Ukrainian side. These words of the President of the Russian Federation allowed American analysts from the Institute for the Study of War to decide that Russia would be preparing some kind of "raids" in northern Ukraine.

According to experts from the Institute for the Study of War, in this way the Russian leadership creates the conditions for the escalation of the conflict through raids across the border. From a military point of view, this is justified by the fact that Ukrainian formations will be diverted and dispersed in several main directions. As a result, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be "clamped" in the north-east of Ukraine.



Analysts claim that such raids can supposedly be undertaken from the territories of the Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions. Rather large Russian forces are concentrated there, which can take part in such operations.

On the other hand, it is not very clear how American analysts would see Moscow's reaction to regular shelling of border settlements. Indeed, as a result of shelling, Russian citizens are killed and injured, civilian infrastructure and residential buildings of Russians are being destroyed. The armed forces of the Russian Federation are obliged to protect the citizens of the country and respond to the shelling of Ukrainian formations in the most severe way.

The aggressive actions of the Kyiv regime cannot but meet with a response from the Russian leadership and the armed forces. Therefore, even if raids are carried out, they will become a completely natural reaction to the actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Actually, it would be strange if retaliatory measures were not taken.
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    1. 0
      2 February 2023 11: 11
      The very evidence .... and this is after yesterday's publicly posed task of the GDP to the relevant ministry.
      1. +8
        2 February 2023 11: 28
        In general, the topic of discussing the "forecasts" of a certain sharaga called the "Institute for the Study of War", which received attention from the Russian media only after the start of the NWO, is incomprehensible.

        The topic that the inhabitants of the border regions of Russia have been subjected to massive lethal attacks from Ukraine every day for a year now, and we practically cannot stop it in the bud, raises constant questions and does not find an answer.

        But we also have other regions that are already adjacent to NATO countries, and the inhabitants of these regions are asking the same question as the inhabitants of the Bryansk, Kursk and Belgorod regions - "And we will also be protected by our native state when the NATO bloc uses its border bits to create problems on the border with Russia?
      2. +3
        2 February 2023 11: 32
        The very evidence .... and this is after yesterday's publicly posed task of the GDP to the relevant ministry.
        Well, of course, because all the tasks that the GDP sets for the relevant ministries are always fulfilled, clearly and ahead of schedule. With no exceptions.
        1. -3
          2 February 2023 11: 37
          It is necessary to understand that this GDP did not tell us, but to them ..... Politics is a delicate matter.
    2. +6
      2 February 2023 11: 12
      The Institute for the Study of War is a whopping seven percent cooler than the OBS agency. And at their gatherings, I feel that they do not only drink tea and cakes. And now the question occupies me - why is so much attention paid to this extremely unreliable source on various resources?
      1. +1
        2 February 2023 11: 16
        Beautifully named, study war ....
      2. HAM
        +3
        2 February 2023 11: 20
        This "institute" needs to organize the conduct of "laboratory work" on its territory, otherwise the "study of war" takes place in absentia ... without practice there is no normal study ...
    3. +1
      2 February 2023 11: 13
      experts say ... the Russian leadership creates conditions for the escalation of the conflict

      fussed like cockroaches on the table
    4. +2
      2 February 2023 11: 16
      with the new technology of the West, the shelling will further intensify
      1. +1
        2 February 2023 11: 33
        with the new technology of the West, the shelling will further intensify
        Perhaps it will even reach raids in the Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions.
        1. 0
          2 February 2023 11: 41
          so they build a line of defense there..........
    5. +7
      2 February 2023 11: 16
      Vladimir Putin called on the Russian Defense Ministry to eliminate the possibility of shelling Russian territory

      What does this calling mean? Wish? Directive? Decree? Is it okay to discuss? Will of the people? …. This is something new in the President's addresses. How to understand it and in what terms?
      1. +4
        2 February 2023 11: 31
        It means "expressed extreme concern"! And that's all for now ... And the dates, I guess, are mid-February - March ...
    6. -4
      2 February 2023 11: 19
      Diese "US-Analysten" werden das Vorgehen der russischen Föderation
      schon noch kennenlernen...; insbesondere, wenn die ersten Angriffe
      direkt auf das Territorium der Hauptverantwortlichen Schwerverbrecher,
      die VEREINIGTEN STAATEN selbst erfolgen wird...!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
      1. 0
        2 February 2023 14: 23
        1erWahrheitsMinistet_1984:
        …wenn die ersten Angriffe
        direkt auf das Territorium der Hauptverantwortlichen Schwerverbrecher,
        die VEREINIGTEN STAATEN

        —-Alle sind dann Kaputt sein, geehrte wahrheits Quelle…
    7. 0
      2 February 2023 11: 25
      the Russian leadership creates conditions for the escalation of the conflict through raids across the border
      This institute has a strange logic. The shelling of Russian territory by Ukraine does not create conditions for escalation, but the opposition of Russian troops to these shelling will immediately create. "And for the sopatka?" (film "Peculiarities of national hunting").
    8. +1
      2 February 2023 11: 28
      An interesting thing is this "Institute for the Study of War." They sit in soft chairs for thousands of kilometers, guessing on coffee grounds theorize...
      They study what they have not seen with their eyes.

      Reminded ...
      1. +2
        2 February 2023 12: 17
        Well, the outstanding Russian Soviet historian Knorozov, who was engaged in deciphering Indian writing, visited Mexico and Guatemala only in his old age, but at the same time he enjoys great prestige in these countries.
        1. +2
          2 February 2023 13: 03
          Quote: Sergej1972
          the outstanding Russian Soviet historian Knorozov, who deciphered Indian writing, visited Mexico and Guatemala only in his old age, but at the same time he enjoys great prestige in these countries.


          "The criterion of knowledge is experience".

          The classics have been talking about this for a long time.
          "The waves rolled over the pier and fell down with a swift jack ..." laughing

          - Have you been to the Caucasus?
          - I'm leaving in two weeks.
          - Aren't you afraid, Lyapsus? There are jackals!
          - It scares me a lot! They are not poisonous in the Caucasus!
          After this answer, everyone was wary.
          “Tell me, Lyapsus,” Persitsky asked, “what do you think jackals are?”
          - Yes, I know, stay away!
          - Well, tell me if you know!
          - Well, such ... in the form of a snake.
          - Yes, yes, you are right, as always. In your opinion, after all, the saddle of a wild goat is served at the table along with stirrups.
          - I never said that! shouted Troubetzkoy.
          - You didn't speak. You wrote. Napernikov told me that you tried to foist on him such verses in Gerasim and Mumu, supposedly from the life of hunters. Tell your conscience. Lyapsus, why are you writing about something that you have not seen in your life and about which you have not the slightest idea? Why is your peignoir in the poem "Canton" a ball gown? Why?!
          "You are a tradesman," Lapis said boastfully.
          - Why in the poem "Race for the Budyonny Prize" does the jockey tighten the supon on the horse and then sit on the irradiation? Have you ever seen soup?
          - Saw.
          - Well, tell me what it is!
          - Leave me alone. You are psycho!
          - Did you see the wrapper? Have you been to the races?
          - You don't have to be everywhere! Lapis shouted. - Pushkin wrote Turkish poetry and had never been to Turkey.
          - Oh, yes, Erzurum is located in the Tula province.

          Lapis did not understand sarcasm. He continued fervently:
          - Pushkin wrote based on materials. He read the history of the Pugachev rebellion, and then wrote. And Entich told me all about the races.
          After this virtuoso defense, Persitsky dragged the stubborn Lyapis into the next room. The audience followed them. There, on the wall, hung a large newspaper clipping, surrounded by a mourning border.
          - Did you write this essay in "The Captain's Bridge"?
          - I wrote.
          - This seems to be your first experience in prose? Congratulations! "The waves rolled over the pier and fell down like a swift jack..." Well, you made the "Captain's Bridge" happy! "Bridge" will not forget you for a long time, Lapis!
          - What's the matter?
          - The fact is that ... Do you know what a jack is?
          “Of course I know, leave me alone…”
          - How do you imagine a jack? Describe in your own words.
          - Such ... Falls, in a word.
          [...]
          - I need money...
        2. +1
          2 February 2023 15: 26
          Quote: Sergej1972
          Well, the outstanding Russian Soviet historian Knorozov, who was engaged in deciphering Indian writing, visited Mexico and Guatemala only in his old age, but at the same time he enjoys great prestige in these countries.

          And astronomers and scientists specializing in the study of the moon have never been to the moon.
    9. +3
      2 February 2023 11: 48
      It is necessary like the Jews in Israel ... They are shelling their territory, they have squeezed out a piece from which they are shooting. They started shooting from the other one, squeezed it out too. So they have already captured almost all of Palestine and increased their territories by 3 times.
      And no one from the world community says anything to them ...
      So you need to do the same.
      1. +1
        2 February 2023 12: 19
        Well, not three times. By decision of the UN, a territory of 14 thousand square kilometers was supposed to be, now they control the territory of 22 thousand square kilometers, which is slightly less than the territory of the Lipetsk region.
        1. 0
          2 February 2023 14: 04
          So in proportion to the territory of the countries, we will also take all of Ukraine for ourselves ...
      2. 0
        2 February 2023 15: 28
        Quote: Ratibor_A
        So you need to do the same.

        Well, that's how we do it.
    10. Eug
      +1
      2 February 2023 14: 46
      As for me, the raids will only lead to a backlash - shelling will be more frequent - except that at first it will subside a little - until they determine non-mined approaches to the border, and, most likely, less intense ones - from "carts", i.e. from vehicles that you don’t mind leaving. We need a "security zone" along the borders - i.e. in fact, the transfer of the border itself deep into Ukraine. But - even for 30 km. either determination or strength is not enough, but if the Hymars give 170 km. or GL SDB - then ... you know, the picture is with cubes, on the sides of which are the letters O, P, Zh, A ... As for me, everyone is able to add correctly.
      1. 0
        3 February 2023 06: 49
        So it turns out that the most effective and best way to secure the territory of the Russian Federation from shelling at the moment is to go to the state border with Poland. The only way
        1. 0
          3 February 2023 12: 53
          and if they continue to shoot from there? will we rush to the English Channel? and stupidly drown the Angles in an okiya, so that they don’t shoot?
    11. 0
      3 February 2023 15: 18
      What is the point of citing ISW? A group of fools writes custom-made articles.
    12. +1
      3 February 2023 22: 24
      I do not understand the tactics of our government and the Defense Ministry at all. I am a member of my own, at the moment I am in the hospital after evacuation from the Ugledar direction, shrapnel in my hand. Why is it impossible to smash railway stations, bridges through which reinforcements and ammunition come to the enemy? This will save thousands of lives of our guys! Why can't you blow up Rada together with Zeleboba? Bomb the columns of equipment going to the front line? Or strike at fortified opniks, instead of leaky substations, which will be repaired in a few days? Why should the infantry die taking fortifications in the forehead? Is this some kind of cunning plan to destroy the healthy gene pool of Ukraine and Russia? The feeling is exactly that someone needs it, and politicians and generals are happy to try. That when all the young and healthy die, become crippled, someone else will take our place ...
      1. 0
        4 February 2023 03: 58
        Are you by any chance the daughter of an officer? And there are many here, such, novoregs

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