The International Monetary Fund has improved the forecast of Russia's economic development for 2023 and 2024

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The International Monetary Fund has improved the forecast of Russia's economic development for 2023 and 2024

No matter how hard the states of the Western coalition, led by Washington, tried to destroy the Russian economy with an unprecedented wave of sanctions, cause chaos in the country and thereby force Moscow to abandon the continuation of the special operation in Ukraine, these plans were not destined to come true. Contrary to the forecasts of even the Russian government and experts, and even more so foreign financial institutions, the macroeconomic indicators of the Russian Federation at the end of last year turned out to be much more optimistic than expected.

This was recognized not only in our country, but also at the international level. Experts from the International Monetary Fund have adjusted Russia's economic development indicators for 2023 and 2024 based on actual data from last year, which also turned out to be better than forecast.



According to the IMF’s preliminary estimate made in April 2022, the Russian economy should have lost 2,5% of GDP; in July, experts lowered this figure to 6%, and already in October they corrected it to 3,4%. According to the January report of an international financial organization, in fact, the fall of the Russian economy over the past year amounted to 2,2%.

In this regard, the IMF also revised the forecast values ​​of the final macroeconomic indicators of the Russian Federation for 2023 and 2024. Prior to the start of the special operation, the fund's experts assumed that Russia's GDP would grow by 2,1% this year; 2,3% respectively.

In the January report, the IMF improved the forecast for global GDP growth in 2023 to 2,9%, and for the Russian economy, experts significantly raised expectations - from a fall of 2,3% to an increase of 0,3%. Next year, experts say, Russia's GDP growth will be 2,1%.

It is noteworthy that the IMF's expectations are more optimistic than those made by the Russian government, which predicts a 2023% decline in GDP in 0,8, and the Central Bank - within 1-4%. According to the Russian authorities, the country's GDP in 2024 should grow to 1,5-2,5%.



The improvement of the macroeconomic indicators of the Russian Federation was due, among other things, to the competent policy of the country's leadership in terms of regulating financial markets, reorienting exports and imports, and supporting both large businesses and SMEs. This year, the role of the state in the recovery of the economy will increase. Only their National Wealth Fund (NWF) in 2023 can allocate an additional 1,5 trillion rubles to finance infrastructure projects and support companies.
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15 comments
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  1. +1
    31 January 2023 11: 11
    That's really who to spit from the high bell tower. Again, the IMF is promoting some kind of Kremlin tower. Bow to their feet for this rating?
    1. -3
      31 January 2023 11: 18
      thanks to the competent policy of the country's leadership in terms of regulating financial markets
      After 20 years of failure, this is "a laudatory article for raising ratings, nothing more. And what are the sanctions if the West continues to trade with Russia?
    2. 0
      31 January 2023 11: 50
      I also do not see the point in this Western garbage dump.
    3. -1
      31 January 2023 12: 07
      The clown is always an optimist. Even sad.
      And if there are so many of them in one skyscraper crammed ..
  2. +1
    31 January 2023 11: 17
    Less sawn money began to be exported to the West? We have to invest at home! I think it's ok. Still, with production, especially heavy machinery, they would take up more closely and do not care about the IMF.
  3. 0
    31 January 2023 11: 19
    It is noteworthy that the IMF's expectations are more optimistic than those made by the Russian government, which predicts a 2023% decline in GDP in 0,8, and the Central Bank - within 1-4%. According to the Russian authorities, the country's GDP in 2024 should grow to 1,5-2,5%.
    . Ndas with. Go figure out what the country is really waiting for???
  4. -4
    31 January 2023 11: 22
    Everything is great, of course, to rejoice at low falls in GDP, but given that since 2012, GDP has not really been growing at all, compared to the world economy, the situation is so-so. Yes, and here you can see from the table the growth of the same India and China by 5-6 percent per year, what does our government propose?
  5. +2
    31 January 2023 11: 28
    This, of course, pleases, but only one thought haunts me, only one thought ... (c) Why do we need to first get into the deepest ass, and then heroically get out of it?
    Well, okay .... Rus' stands for a century - it does not stagger! And it will stand for centuries - it will not move! "(C)
  6. +1
    31 January 2023 11: 31
    The International Monetary Fund has improved the forecast of Russia's economic development for 2023 and 2024
    I don’t know if it’s a coincidence, but as soon as Russian financial and economic experts of a non-liberal persuasion started talking about the need to withdraw the Central Bank of the Russian Federation from dependence on the IMF, the forecast for economic development immediately began to improve. Obviously, they do not want Russia to jump off the rules established by the IMF, and therefore they throw up "bream".
  7. The comment was deleted.
  8. 0
    31 January 2023 12: 11
    Am I either so stupid or don't know so much that I alone have natural questions? From every "iron" 24x7 they tell me that we are waging an all-out war with the collective West, that we have been imposed with unprecedented sanctions on everything and everyone, down to toilet paper. They have unilaterally broken all contracts and agreements, violated all conceivable laws, direct acts of aggression and sabotage have already been carried out, gas pipelines have been blown up, pipelines have been blocked, assets and property have been stolen, the enclave has been practically blocked, strike groups are being created along the borders.
    On our part, puffing up the cheeks and expressing concern and in a whisper, such as "the answer will be crushingly terrible" will be horror-horror for you. At the same time, we seem to be the only ones in the world that continue to comply with all the laws and directives of the WTO, already incurring direct losses. Staff members and representatives of the IMF, represented by the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank, manage our banking and financial policy, guided by their instructions and regulations, blocking the possibility of investment in the development of the country, turning from a government tool into a subject that determines how we live and exist. The money of the people withdrawn from the country is invested in the development of hostile economies, the military-industrial complex and the purchase of weapons to kill our own fighters. The deliveries of energy resources to the most "friendly countries" - to the Baltic lapdogs, metals and non-ferrous metals to the west - have increased, independent ones no longer experience any difficulties with fuel, etc. etc., it remains to organize the direct supply of ammunition and logistics to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, although it is not yet a fact that it is absent. It seems that the leadership class has absolutely no understanding of patriotism, national pride, but, corny, common sense. It is very likely that there is chaos in the corridors of power, complete indifference and incompetence, generated by decades of irresponsibility and lack of control. Incompetence, lack of initiative, ossification of bureaucracy, irremovability of power and the absence of social elevators in a class society lead to sad consequences.
  9. 0
    31 January 2023 12: 14
    To believe the forecasts of the IMF is the same as to believe the forecasts of Luce ...............
  10. amr
    0
    31 January 2023 12: 49
    Quote: seacap
    Is very similar

    this is true, we are so integrated into this system and in this system we are assigned the role of a patient!
    and the authorities are trying to convince us that we are fighting them ...
  11. 0
    31 January 2023 13: 48
    Everyone thought that the army would decide everything quickly and clearly, but they were worried about the economy. It turned out the other way around
  12. 0
    31 January 2023 13: 48
    it's time to fix it at the State level - on the opinion of our "partners, cut them all with a lawn mower without anesthesia, we don't care from a big mountain
  13. 0
    1 February 2023 19: 58
    specially before February 5, they made it public in order to make the ceiling harder.

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