The Institute for the Study of War of the United States named the two "most likely" directions of the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces

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The Institute for the Study of War of the United States named the two "most likely" directions of the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces

In the United States, military experts continue to discuss the likelihood of a large-scale offensive by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on Ukrainian positions. The US Institute for the Study of War names the two most promising, from the point of view of its specialists, directions for the offensive of Russian troops.

According to the organization's experts, a new offensive is unlikely to be carried out on the northern regions of Ukraine, especially from the territory of Belarus. So far, there are no signs that the RF Armed Forces are forming strike units on Belarusian territory.



The Institute for the Study of War believes that the rumors spread about a possible offensive by Russian troops from the north to Kyiv are a manifestation of a campaign to disinform a potential adversary. In reality, the Russian troops do not face such a task.

The most “probable” scenario is an offensive in the Luhansk direction, which will aim to liberate the part of the territory of the Lugansk People’s Republic previously occupied by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as advance in the Kharkiv region. Previously, the RF Armed Forces controlled part of the settlements of the Kharkov region, but then they were forced to leave them.

The second "possible" scenario is an offensive in the area of ​​Ugledar. In fact, it is already happening: Russian troops continue to storm Ugledar, yesterday there were reports of battles in the dacha sector in the south of the city. But, apparently, under the Ugledar direction, American analysts understand a wider southwestern direction.

Russian troops can launch an attack on that part of the Zaporozhye region, which is still controlled by Ukrainian formations, and also try to influence the Ukrainian defense lines in the Donbass from the south. In any case, the primary task remains the liberation of those territories that are already legally part of the Russian Federation.
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    1. +12
      28 January 2023 09: 56
      judging by the news, the offensive can be - anywhere except the Kherson and Kyiv regions - strong news .. just an unexpected analysis .. laughing
      1. +3
        28 January 2023 09: 58
        I agree, an offensive in the south to Odessa will put an end to Ukraine ...
        1. +1
          30 January 2023 17: 36
          Why all of a sudden? Not any economic laws of war apply to ukrov, they are supported from the outside. Only complete demilitarization can put an end to Ukraine
        2. -1
          30 January 2023 22: 00
          The attack on Odessa - ideally, but in real life it is unlikely, an important bridgehead - Kherson - has been lost and water barriers will have to be forced, which is associated with heavy losses. Odessa, Nikolaev and Ochakov are protected by strong garrisons from land, so it is better to go to these cities from the sea. The most realistic thing is to attack Kharkov and Zaporozhye and complete the liberation of these cities ...
      2. +4
        28 January 2023 10: 00
        Captains are obvious .. This "institute". But the budget is probably being mastered
        1. +2
          28 January 2023 10: 04
          somewhere on the Internet they wrote that their annual budget is under 200 million rubles.
        2. +2
          28 January 2023 16: 57
          Well, yes, smart gentlemen of pleasant appearance work there, moderately well-fed and well-to-do. That is, wherever you poke into the map of Ukraine except Kyiv, everywhere they promise an offensive by the RF Armed Forces. But they do not rule out an attack on Kyiv either. You never know what, and if, but suddenly. I am proud of the RF Armed Forces, America said that ours will attack everywhere!!! Tremble Zelensky!
        3. 0
          29 January 2023 17: 33
          Well, actually, something very similar recently and Rybar issued
      3. -1
        28 January 2023 16: 50
        the offensive can be - anywhere except the Kherson and Kyiv regions

        They also forgot the absence of our offensive from Poland, from Warsaw. Russia does not yet provide for an NWO for the liberation of Poles and various other tribalts from Russophobia ..
    2. 0
      28 January 2023 10: 13
      the primary task remains the liberation of those territories that are already legally part of the Russian Federation.
      This is how our president spoke about it, and an entire institution is not needed for such an analysis.
    3. +3
      28 January 2023 12: 29
      This institute is a division of the North American Intelligence Agency. His job is propaganda and confusion
    4. -1
      28 January 2023 13: 52
      What "smart" analysts)))
      Here, even the hedgehog understands that Russia will recapture the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions from the Banderlogs. according to the Constitution of the Russian Federation, they are already the territory of Russia.
    5. +3
      28 January 2023 16: 52
      yes, now is a golden time for political scientists of all levels and stripes. And it doesn’t matter how realistic their analyzes and forecasts are - everyone is in demand) Globa and Co. nervously smoke and envy)
      1. 0
        30 January 2023 10: 29
        Quote: Tarasios
        yes, now is a golden time for political scientists of all levels and stripes. Globa and Co. nervously smoke and envy)

        laughing good wink good lol
    6. 0
      30 January 2023 17: 33
      In my amateurish opinion, it is necessary to hit from Belgorod and Crimea towards each other, along the right bank of the Dnieper, well, just in case, take Chernigov
    7. +2
      30 January 2023 19: 47
      The question here is whether there will be an offensive in principle. And at what cost. There are no plans / actions to stop the supply of weapons / fuel. There are no plans to withdraw corny Internet communication hubs, TV either - zombies and propaganda of the greenery will continue.
      And most importantly, when communicating with the head of the Nordstream, which is the main one for the Germans in the Nord Streams, Putin told a secret about the goals of the NWO. And we were told about de-tion and de-tion.
      I would understand about bioweapons and nuclear statements, and then the rest.
    8. 0
      1 February 2023 22: 05
      American experts know everything. In any operation, a win-win algorithm is used. Given the current situation, it is quite clear that the morale and psychological state of the military personnel of the RF Armed Forces is tense. There will be no military operations according to the rules. The only thing that will have to be dealt with tightly is the border of the Russian Federation. If this does not happen in the coming months, then we will have to fight with the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the territory of Russia.

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