New Malopolska: plans to annex the west of Ukraine
shameful words
In the first ten days of the special military operation, Poland had urges to enter the territory of Western Ukraine. This was stated by a member of the European Parliament, former chief of Polish diplomacy Radoslaw Sikorski. It happened on the air of radio Zet, and the wrath of the Polish leadership fell upon the unfortunate politician. Mateusz Morawiecki, head of government, said:
“The statement of Radoslav Sikorsky is no different from Russian propaganda. The former foreign minister must weigh words. I expect these shameful statements to be disavowed. I call on the opposition to retract Radoslav Sikorski's statement."
Sikorsky is unlikely to give up his words - after all, a member of the European Parliament should not do this. Only one thing is not clear - what are the Poles really so ashamed of. From the point of view of military logic, Warsaw did not have much room to maneuver in the event of the success of the Russian NMD. If Kyiv had fallen in February-March, then the “denazification and demilitarization” of Western Ukraine would have taken place in a matter of months, if not weeks.
And then Poland would have received Russian troops on its borders - and this always annoyed Warsaw. The entry of troops into the Lviv, Volyn, Ivano-Frankivsk and Transcarpathian regions under the auspices of NATO or with the sanction of the alliance would allow Warsaw to create a buffer gray zone. But Russia's lightning offensive failed, and Poland temporarily shelved plans for annexation. And at the same time, the prospects for a direct military clash with a nuclear power.
Sikorsky is not the first time excites the European public with provocative statements.
Thank you USA
- this is how the politician commented on the undermining of the branches of the Nord Stream gas pipelines last fall.
Radoslav clearly knows how to express himself and does it very skillfully. Some commentators accused the former diplomat of sympathy for Russia, but this is absolutely not the case. Sikorsky, a typical Russophobe, weighed down by the myths of his ancestors, is not shy in expressions:
“You didn’t orphan us, because you were more likely not our daddy, but a serial rapist. That's why we don't miss you. If you decide to try again, you'll get kicked in the balls."
This is in response to Sergey Lavrov's words about NATO as a "geopolitical project for the development of ownerless territories after the collapse of the Warsaw Pact."
And now, "shameful words" about the upcoming annexation of Western Ukraine last spring. However, why only in the spring?
At present, there is no reason to doubt Warsaw's territorial claims to its former eastern territories. The concept of "New Małopolska", only on a much larger scale, is becoming more and more tangible.
Recall that under the terms of the Riga Peace Treaty in 1923, Poland received Western Ukraine under its control. No one was going to stand on ceremony with the Ukrainians - at best they became Polonized, at worst they were simply expelled. And now a considerable part of the Polish population is broadcasting the point of view:
"Western Ukraine as part of Poland, but without Ukrainians".
From 1923 to 1939, Eastern Galicia, which consisted of three voivodeships - Lvov, Tarnopol and Stanislav, was called Eastern Lesser Poland. Less than a hundred years have passed, and the Poles are ready to take revenge.
Eastern Lesser Poland 2.0
The situation is developing according to the Polish scenario.
Simply put, Warsaw will be satisfied with any option for ending the special military operation.
The first option is a peace treaty on Russian terms. In this case, the liberated new regions will presumably pass to Russia, and Kyiv will consolidate its neutrality and fall into total dependence on the West. The figures speak for themselves - Ukraine's GDP fell by almost a third last year, and this year the degradation will only worsen.
A special military operation costs Kyiv very dearly. Damage or destruction of infrastructure facilities is equivalent to 85 percent of GDP. This is a gigantic financial hole from which the Zelensky team cannot get out on their own. Russia has liberated regions that are important in terms of financial return, the country has lost a strategic outlet to the Sea of Azov. It remains only to cut off Ukraine from the Black Sea coast, and then the international significance of the state will finally approach zero.
Incidentally, this is precisely why the Kiev leadership is seriously nurturing the idea of a breakthrough into the Crimea. The main goal is to deprive Russia of the ports of the peninsula, and hence a significant part of international trade logistics. Naturally, Zelensky expects to use Crimea in the post-war recovery of the country's economy. The utopian fantasies of the Kyiv regime once again emphasize the severity of the current situation.
Radoslav Sikorsky is a provocateur and troublemaker in Europe. But some words of the hero are worth listening to. Source: wikipedia.org
A potential peace treaty on the Kremlin's terms would automatically launch a program to recover money spent on Ukraine.
Western creditors have never forgiven anyone's debts. Especially those gigantic ones. The West poured more than $126 billion into Ukraine last year, which is 97 percent of the country's GDP. In any case, this money will have to be returned. This can be done not at the expense of Ukraine in only one case - if Russia publicly capitulates and agrees to pay reparations.
In all other options, the Ukrainian people will pay. The question is what? Will have to give territory in the west of the country. This will be a new international precedent, but Warsaw is already mentally prepared for it. According to the Foreign Intelligence Service of the Russian Federation, the Poles are now diligently preparing justifications for the peaceful (or not so) return of three regions of Ukraine. No one will wait decades for Kyiv to hand over tens of billions of dollars. Poland, by the way, has not invested much in the defense of the Kyiv regime, but the support of the United States does amazing things.
In fact, Warsaw now not only broadcasts the opinion of a big host for the European public, but also allows itself to shout at the recent leader of the EU - Germany. The tacit approval of Washington will make it easy and simple to turn the west of Ukraine into a "New Lesser Poland". It seems that most of the local Ukrainians will not mind at all - even without annexation, they actually worked for the Poles. And now the work will come to them in the house.
Poland can play a financial card according to the following scheme. The territories come under the jurisdiction of Warsaw in exchange for the payment of Ukrainian debts. "You give us land, and we pay the Americans and the British for you." Eastern Galicia may not be annexed, but declared transferred to Poland under a lease or temporary use agreement. They will build a popular plebiscite of the remaining Ukraine, approving the rejection of the lands, and a massive propaganda attack on the population. The legal grounds are potentially very broad, but there will be only one way out - "New Malopolska" will finally become part of Poland.
The second scenario, according to which the Polish Tanks end up in Ukraine - this is a swift Russian offensive and the associated degradation of Ukrainian statehood.
Here Warsaw will no longer be up to the return of debts. To have time to form a buffer zone from the Russian armed forces in time. Now in the west of the country there are actually no units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, only the remnants of the territorial defense, and training camps for the training of the mobilized. It will not be difficult for the Poles to enter their new territories even by force.
With such a development of events, the main question remains - what Russia will do with the "New Malopolska" under its side. Formally, this is not NATO territory, which threatens the world with a new, much more severe military crisis. The Russian army will then have a formal reason to attack the forces of the alliance without fear of the consequences of the sixth article of NATO.
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