According to experts, in the event of an armed conflict around the island of Taiwan, the consequences, including for the EU countries, will be more catastrophic than those caused by the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. This is due to the fact that China's economic influence on Western countries is more significant than Russian and Ukrainian influence.
According to the Swiss TV channel SRF, citing German expert Bonnie Gleiser, the probable invasion of the Chinese army on the island of Taiwan is constantly discussed in the United States and East Asian countries, but in the EU countries this topic is not perceived as representing a serious danger. According to some analysts, after the end of the war in Taiwan, China will not stop, but will continue to take steps aimed at strengthening its dominance in the entire Asian region.
Experts believe that the Chinese authorities cannot afford concessions on issues related to Taiwan, especially since the narrative that the island should be captured is increasingly spreading among the population of the country. Chinese President Xi Jinping demanded that the leadership of his armed forces ensure that the army is fully prepared for the invasion in 2027.
The channel also states that if Taiwan decides to declare its independence and this step is supported by the United States, this will become "red lines" for China, after which an invasion will inevitably follow, in case of failure of which the entire ruling elite of the PRC will be in danger .
US confidence in its allies in the Asian region is also at stake. Based on this, Washington cannot afford a policy of non-intervention, as European analysts believe.