German expert: war over Taiwan would be more catastrophic than conflict in Ukraine

22
German expert: war over Taiwan would be more catastrophic than conflict in Ukraine

According to experts, in the event of an armed conflict around the island of Taiwan, the consequences, including for the EU countries, will be more catastrophic than those caused by the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. This is due to the fact that China's economic influence on Western countries is more significant than Russian and Ukrainian influence.

According to the Swiss TV channel SRF, citing German expert Bonnie Gleiser, the probable invasion of the Chinese army on the island of Taiwan is constantly discussed in the United States and East Asian countries, but in the EU countries this topic is not perceived as representing a serious danger. According to some analysts, after the end of the war in Taiwan, China will not stop, but will continue to take steps aimed at strengthening its dominance in the entire Asian region.



Experts believe that the Chinese authorities cannot afford concessions on issues related to Taiwan, especially since the narrative that the island should be captured is increasingly spreading among the population of the country. Chinese President Xi Jinping demanded that the leadership of his armed forces ensure that the army is fully prepared for the invasion in 2027.

The channel also states that if Taiwan decides to declare its independence and this step is supported by the United States, this will become "red lines" for China, after which an invasion will inevitably follow, in case of failure of which the entire ruling elite of the PRC will be in danger .

US confidence in its allies in the Asian region is also at stake. Based on this, Washington cannot afford a policy of non-intervention, as European analysts believe.
Our news channels

Subscribe and stay up to date with the latest news and the most important events of the day.

22 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. +1
    19 January 2023 18: 03
    Maybe, maybe, the Chinese would hardly start chewing snot.
    1. +6
      19 January 2023 18: 04
      According to some analysts, after the end of the war in Taiwan, China will not stop

      Yes Yes.
      While the USSR was alive, they also said about him that he would not stop (although Trotsky was actually slammed for that, that he called for exactly this).
      They say the same about Russia - we will not limit ourselves to Donbass until we reach Ireland.
      Well, about China.
      Nobody says something about NATO, that they will limit themselves to Finland. And so it is clear that they will eat until they choke (more precisely, until they are strangled)
      1. +1
        21 January 2023 07: 34
        The fact that Trotsky called for the expansion of the USSR was absolutely unimportant.
        But the fact that he organized the 4th International, split the communist movement, largely caused the defeat of the communists in Spain, threatened to surrender the intelligence networks of the USSR and merge the remnants of his archive with correspondence with Lenin and other bigwigs of the USSR to the West - that's why he was banged.
        And they did absolutely right.

        The man was released from the country, allowed to leave in peace, well, he would raise chickens and plant sweet potatoes.
        So no, he had to start shitting.

        That's why I'm surprised how people like Chubais are now quietly released. Because we can easily get something like Trotsky and have to clean up.
        1. 0
          21 January 2023 12: 53
          Quote: Denis812
          That's why I'm surprised how people like Chubais are now quietly released.

          He starts to buzz like Berezovsky - he ends up like Berezovsky.
          This is not aesthetically pleasing, with an ice pick on the skull (although spectacular, I must admit). Berezovsky's scarf is cleaner.
  2. 0
    19 January 2023 18: 03
    It is easier for China to take Taiwan. Taiwan and its allies have only a maritime border. Who knows, the Dutch went against the United States on the issue of equipment for the production of microchips, deciding to sell it to China. Apparently, the Chinese offered a good price.
    1. +2
      19 January 2023 18: 14
      Quote: tralflot1832
      China is easier to take Taiwan

      Is the island easier to take? Come on. There is nothing more difficult than a huge air-sea landing operation. It will require colossal efforts, amazing coherence and filigree precision. And also a specific experience, which, by the way, the Chinese never had and never have.
      Hitler at one time crushed the whole of Europe, and Britain survived only thanks to the strait ...
      1. +2
        19 January 2023 18: 24
        Quote: Doccor18
        Hitler at one time crushed the whole of Europe, and Britain survived only thanks to the strait ...

        .. Or a hidden resource-financial noose around the neck.
        1. +1
          19 January 2023 22: 08
          Quote: DymOk_v_dYmke
          Or a hidden resource-financial noose around the neck.

          You can talk a lot about this, but it seems to me that if Britain were not an island, it would have lasted even less than France ...
      2. +1
        19 January 2023 18: 28
        We compared the capabilities of Hitler and the capabilities of the PRC. To begin with, the PRC privatizes the islands of Taiwan, which are closer to the PRC than to Taiwan. And then organizes a naval blockade and that's it. Only you need to decide on this.
        1. +1
          19 January 2023 22: 16
          Quote: tralflot1832
          PRC. To begin with, the PRC will privatize the islands of Taiwan ...

          Democrats can get involved already at this stage. If the samurai are overhauled, and even pulled up, then no blockade may work at all.
          Either a massive attack and a fleeting operation in 3-5 days, or it’s not worth starting.
          Without help, the island will not pull, this is natural, and a lot will depend on how much the Democrats want to get involved.
  3. 0
    19 January 2023 18: 07
    a war over Taiwan would be more disastrous than the conflict in Ukraine
    Everyone there is against returning to their homeland, strangers live there. Burn the island, with all adherents of the United States, and that's all business. This is not a continental territory. Give time to escape, 48 hours, and then according to the situation.
    1. +4
      19 January 2023 18: 13
      GOOD, 23+ million people???? Are you out of your mind?
      Well, if, for example, in Ukraine, propaganda zombified the people, then what, burn everyone or something, and not re-educate?
      It was not for nothing that Stalin, who understood this issue very well, said that we were fighting against Nazism, and not against the German people. Remember, the people that you try to defeat only by military means will defeat you sooner or later. And all of history bears witness to this. Only involvement in one's society, without total repressions, gradual modeling of consciousness, moreover, without lying, etc.
      And in the end, it turns out that the GDR remained the last ally of the USSR until we abandoned them ...
      1. 0
        19 January 2023 18: 19
        Well, if, for example, in Ukraine, propaganda zombified the people, then what, burn everyone or something, and not re-educate?
        It's too late to re-educate, like those who fled Russia at the beginning of the NWO. How much have we achieved in negotiations with Ukraine??? They used the negotiations to strengthen the Natsiks. And they are not independent, neither Ukraine nor Taiwan. You know the main troublemaker.
      2. +2
        19 January 2023 19: 15
        Quote: Quote Lavrov
        Only involvement in one's society, without total repressions, gradual modeling of consciousness, moreover, without lying, etc.

        Everything you said is good and right...

        Only in the Tribaltic for 45 years have they "modeled" a lot? And how they licked! "European showcase of socialism", damn it! I have not seen such a school in which the "Adventures of Electronics" (Vilnius) was filmed in the entire Soviet Union. And he drove it, thanks to the presence of relatives, from Sakhalin to Brest and from Frunze to Petrozavodsk.
        Ukraine was fraternal both in spirit and in blood. The whole country first built, then liberated, then built again. There were two General Secretaries with the "oppressed, robbed and occupied Russia" of Ukraine. Was there a "society"? Was! And where does it all go? More than three decades "The Night of the Rebels" the dead Bandera" lasts. Well, we thought that they were all imprisoned and they were all "reforged" - but it’s like that, climbed out ...
        Georgia, except for tangerines and Stalin (I don’t specifically remember about Colchis, so that those who had to ride it don’t throw slippers), gave nothing - but did they live badly?
        Moldova was taught to twist canned fruits and vegetables into jars.

        And now what? "Occupants"? But who in the history of mankind has seen such an "occupation"?

        It just doesn't work well.
        I'm exaggerating greatly, of course, but now it's only left and right to divide the "lambs from the goats" with the question "Whose Crimea?" And those who are "to the left" build roads in Siberia for soldering. Maybe another 50 years is enough.
    2. +1
      19 January 2023 18: 16
      Quote: Good
      Burn the island, with all adherents of the United States, and that's all business.

      And in Ukraine?
      Burn the junction railway stations, blow up the tunnels and screw up all the military cargo going to Ukraine ... Including the ships in the Black Sea going without inspection.
  4. +2
    19 January 2023 18: 19
    Oh, this mania is to fight in foreign territories with the wrong hands / lives.
    It won't lead to good.
  5. ASM
    0
    19 January 2023 18: 24
    The Chinese only puff up and know how. They have to sit on the river and wait for the corpse of the enemy - it's in the blood. They won't do anything - they're just window dressing. They are nonentities.
    1. +1
      19 January 2023 18: 55
      Of course, they are not great warriors, but also on the island, however, they are the same Chinese.
      1. 0
        20 January 2023 00: 50
        Quote: Kolvizin
        Warriors, of course, they are not great,

        However, in the 20th century, they started a war with the United States and all their UN allies on the Yalu River and ended it at the 38th parallel. Who else in the 20th century showed the ability to fight on equal terms against the United States?
    2. +1
      20 January 2023 00: 47
      Quote from A.S.M.
      They won't do anything - they're just window dressing. They are nonentities.

      And the whole outfit for you, all household and computer equipment, LED light bulbs in the house, a mobile phone, aren't they made in China? The US army was driven away from Yalujiang almost to Seoul Kumhua, several thousand square kilometers were captured from India, and Fr. Damansky was recaptured at the peak of the power of the USSR, the islands were taken away from Vietnam. Until the beginning of the 19th century, China was the workshop of the world and the West, when trading with it, could offer nothing but weapons in exchange for Chinese goods. The first trade caravan sent from Russia to China made more profit than all the tax revenues from Siberia in a year.
  6. 0
    19 January 2023 18: 31
    Serfs argue where their lord will get stronger in the muzzle. Poland is the hyena of Europe, Germany is the lackey of Europe. "Lord! How uncomfortable it is in front of Don Pedro!" (With) laughing
  7. fiv
    0
    20 January 2023 06: 39
    German experts stand shoulder to shoulder with British scientists in the fight for the lack of common sense. Both the Russian Federation and the PRC only want to live and develop peacefully.

"Right Sector" (banned in Russia), "Ukrainian Insurgent Army" (UPA) (banned in Russia), ISIS (banned in Russia), "Jabhat Fatah al-Sham" formerly "Jabhat al-Nusra" (banned in Russia) , Taliban (banned in Russia), Al-Qaeda (banned in Russia), Anti-Corruption Foundation (banned in Russia), Navalny Headquarters (banned in Russia), Facebook (banned in Russia), Instagram (banned in Russia), Meta (banned in Russia), Misanthropic Division (banned in Russia), Azov (banned in Russia), Muslim Brotherhood (banned in Russia), Aum Shinrikyo (banned in Russia), AUE (banned in Russia), UNA-UNSO (banned in Russia), Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar people (banned in Russia), Legion “Freedom of Russia” (armed formation, recognized as terrorist in the Russian Federation and banned), Kirill Budanov (included to the Rosfinmonitoring list of terrorists and extremists)

“Non-profit organizations, unregistered public associations or individuals performing the functions of a foreign agent,” as well as media outlets performing the functions of a foreign agent: “Medusa”; "Voice of America"; "Realities"; "Present time"; "Radio Freedom"; Ponomarev Lev; Ponomarev Ilya; Savitskaya; Markelov; Kamalyagin; Apakhonchich; Makarevich; Dud; Gordon; Zhdanov; Medvedev; Fedorov; Mikhail Kasyanov; "Owl"; "Alliance of Doctors"; "RKK" "Levada Center"; "Memorial"; "Voice"; "Person and law"; "Rain"; "Mediazone"; "Deutsche Welle"; QMS "Caucasian Knot"; "Insider"; "New Newspaper"