Belarus outside the brackets, but where is Greece?
It is clear that after the indirect accession of Belarus to the NWO, President Alexander Lukashenko closed the path of an intermediary for Moscow, and even more so for Kyiv. But a holy place is never empty: Turkey has appeared on the arena.
This country, although it is a member of NATO, is confidently maneuvering between the West and Russia, while not forgetting the Muslim countries. If earlier Erdogan, having excused himself for the Bayraktars, took a rather pro-Russian position, now he has begun actively urging Russia to end hostilities.
This is at least, as a maximum - to start peace negotiations with Ukraine. Moreover, Erdogan believes that the ceasefire should be unilateral, that is, the Russian military will stop hostilities, but the Ukrainians will do what they want. It is not clear how peaceful negotiations are possible in such a situation.
Vladimir Putin turned out to be more predictable during a telephone conversation with the Turkish president. He said that peace talks are possible given the new territorial realities. What does this mean in translation from the Aesopian language of the Russian leader?
Nothing less than that Ukraine must recognize the loss of Crimea, Donbass, the entire coast of Azov and the territories adjacent to it, otherwise there will be no peace process. It is unlikely that the Turkish president will be satisfied with such a position, especially since Turkey has always tried to penetrate into Crimea politically and economically.
Erdogan himself is far from an angel. As a zealous Muslim, he does not seem to celebrate the New Year, and in general, as they say, he does not use alcohol and other psychoactive substances. But his aggressive post-New Year rhetoric against neighboring Greece is suspicious.
The fact is that Greece organizes more and more military bases on the islands of the Aegean Sea. It would seem that the two NATO countries should not quarrel over this. But it wasn’t there: Erdogan openly stated on television that Ankara was not going to attack Greece, but then he immediately explained that if Greece attacked first, then Turkey would definitely “give back”.
Where he got the idea that Greece is going to attack Turkey is not clear. The militarization of the islands in the Aegean Sea is a natural process that began after the mass penetration of Middle Eastern refugees into the European Union. Moreover, the President of Turkey actually threatened Greece with Typhoon missiles with a range of more than 500 kilometers.
Not a hidden threat
As a matter of fact, the pre-war situation (and it cannot be said otherwise) has been brewing since May last year after the speech of Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis in the US Congress on May 17, where he announced an unprecedented large number of flights of Turkish fighters over the Greek islands. Once again, we must repeat: both countries are members of NATO, therefore, are allies. But Turkey does not care.
For Russia, this is not a good precedent. For Ukraine - too. Russia can turn from an ally into an enemy at any moment if it begins to strengthen its military power in the Black Sea, Ukraine will face the same fate if its shells mistakenly fly too far into the Black Sea.
In addition, the Russian military base in the Armenian Gyumri has long been an eyesore not only to Azerbaijan, but also to its allied Turkey. In September 2022, Erdogan found himself at the center of a scandal related to Turkey's purchase of Russian weapons, as well as his visit to the SCO summit.
The reaction to criticism was immediate: Turkey clearly relaxed its control over the crossing of the border with Greece by refugees. This practically forced the Greek authorities to declare their intention to build a wall on this section of their border.
But such a deterioration in relations with the EU did not stop Erdogan in November from accusing Russia of supporting Kurdish organizations in Iraq and Syria. In Turkey, they are considered terrorist. At the same time, not a word was said about Ukraine: all the same, Ankara counts on the role of an arbitrator in resolving the conflict.
If indeed Turkey, in accordance with Erdogan's veiled November threats, sends troops to the adjacent Kurdish territories, and Russia begins to "show" it, then Erdogan will have every right to a very specific answer.
Something like - we do not interfere with you to conduct NWO on the territory of a sovereign country, we do not impose sanctions and generally increase cooperation. In such a situation, Erdogan's position on the special operation is a win-win move.
Headache for the Sultan
Kurdistan is Turkey's main headache. There are no more noticeable national minorities there. The rest of the Armenians and Greeks are mostly Islamized and Turkicized, while those who preserve their own culture in everyday life tend not to stand out against the Turkish background.
The same can be said about the diaspora of Circassians and Crimean Tatars. The Kurds, on the other hand, stubbornly resist assimilation, often resorting to terrorist tactics. In those territories where the Turks plan to invade, there are full-fledged armed formations that pose a real threat to the Turkish borders.
It's no secret that the US supports the Kurds in Syria. As for the Kurds of Iraq, the position of the Americans is rather unclear. Therefore, Turkey's invasion of Syria and Iraq will definitely mean a diplomatic conflict between Turkey and the West.
Russia now takes a position regarding the Kurds that is close to ignoring, but with Erdogan's aggressive actions, it is unlikely to refrain from criticism. Although it may refrain for the reason stated above.
The way Erdogan manages to maneuver between East and West can be seen even in small things. Whatever the US claims to Turkish foreign policy and procurement weapons in Russia, the US State Department gave the Turks a New Year's gift.
Small, but raising the self-esteem of the country. Now in American English, Turkey will be called not Turkey, but Türkiye, as in the original language. This was done in response to a request from the Turkish government, which for some reason only now became concerned that in English the word Turkey also means a turkey, and not just a country.
And if such gifts continue, and not only from the United States, but also from Russia and the European Union, then soon the whole world will simply turn a blind eye to the islands in the Aegean Sea, and to Syrian and Iraqi Kurdistan. Because everything starts small.