What to fly into battle tomorrow?
Soon we will celebrate a year since the beginning of the NWO, which, whatever you call it, is a war, even if some fundamentally see a significant difference in the names. True, the essence of this does not change much, military losses are no different from special operations.
Now we will talk about losses, more precisely, about their compensation. The Russian Aerospace Forces suffer losses during the CBO, and these losses must be replenished.
Unfortunately, the lack of accurate information on losses does not make it possible to speak clearly about the numbers, the Russian Ministry of Defense, of course, does not give figures, but to believe the reports of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in which the same aircraft is sometimes indicated three times - not to respect yourself, but relatively honest experts say that since the beginning of the air defense system, the losses of the airborne forces have amounted to at least 30 aircraft of new models (Su-34, Su-35, Su-30) and about 20 aircraft of old models (Su-24 and Su-25) models.
Lose Aviation in the course of hostilities - this is not something that is normal, but understandable. If aviation conducts active operations, enemy opposition is quite natural. But just as natural should be the work of the military industry, which is obliged to supply new aircraft to replace those destroyed or exhausted.
But with this we are not as good as we would like. The production of aviation equipment remained at the pre-war level and in 2022 the Aerospace Forces received only 33 new aircraft:
- 4 Su-30SM2;
- 10 Su-34M;
- 7 Su-35S;
- 6 Su-57;
- 2 Yak-130;
- 4 Il-76MD-90A.
Frankly not rich, although the increase in the pace of construction of the Su-57 and Il-76MD-90A is somewhat encouraging. Otherwise, of course, it is not close to the historical minimum of 2010, when only 16 aircraft were built for the Aerospace Forces, but we should not forget that now is military time.
Su-57
NskPlanes Photos
Six fighters transferred last year to the Aerospace Forces increased the number of aircraft of this model to 10 units (the 11th, or rather, the first aircraft, the lead fighter of the series was lost as a result of an accident).
All six aircraft manufactured and delivered in 2022 “lit up” at an intermediate landing at the Novosibirsk Tolmachevo airport in May (two) and December (four) 2022, respectively. This, on the one hand, fully confirms the efficiency of the aircraft, and the second point - indicates that these Su-57s were sent to the European part of Russia.
There is information that the first two Su-57s were sent to the 185th Center for Combat Training and Combat Use of Fighter Aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces at the Privolzhsky airfield in the Astrakhan region.
Seven more Su-57 aircraft (including four transferred in December 2022) entered the 4th Order of Lenin of the Red Banner Center for Military Testing and Training of Personnel of the Aerospace Forces named after V.P. Chkalov at the airfield in Lipetsk.
Another aircraft entered the first aviation unit of the Russian Aerospace Forces, planned to be re-equipped with these fighters - the 23rd Guards Fighter Aviation Regiment of the 303rd Guards Mixed Aviation Division of the 11th Army of the Air Force and Air Defense of the Eastern Military District at the Dzemgi airfield in Komsomolsk-on - Cupid.
Su-35С
With these aircraft, this is how: in September 2022, three Su-35S, the last made under the 2020 contract, went to the 185th Center for Combat Training and Combat Use of Fighter Aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces at the Privolzhsky airfield in the Astrakhan region. They became the first Su-35S aircraft in this Center, allowing to expand the range of training of this center.
Another four Su-35S, which were handed over in December 2022, were aircraft produced under a 2021 contract for the construction of 24 aircraft of this model. There is information that these aircraft also ended up at the disposal of the 185th Center at the Privolzhsky airfield.
In total, under four contracts of the Russian Aerospace Forces since 2009, 108 Su-35S aircraft have been received. It is worth noting that all seven new aircraft did not go to combat units, but to the combat training base for pilots.
Sioux 34M
Ten bombers were manufactured under a 2020 contract for 24 Su-34M aircraft and three batches of 4 units (June), 3 units (November), 3 units (December) were transferred to the Aerospace Forces.
Seven aircraft built in 2022 were sent to the 277th bomber regiment in Khurba, which in theory made it possible to equip the third squadron of the regiment with Su-43M aircraft instead of Su-24M2. However, the losses suffered by the regiment both during combat operations within the framework of the NMD and during flight accidents (a collision of two Su-34s in January 2019 over the Tatar Strait) indicate that the regiment still remains understaffed.
Three more aircraft went to the disposal of the 47th bomber regiment in Voronezh to make up for the losses incurred in the NVO.
Thus, the number of built Su-34s reached 148 units. In August 2022, according to available information, the Russian Defense Ministry signed a contract with OKA for the supply of another 15 Su-34M aircraft.
Su-30MX2
Four Su-30SM2 fighters in November 2022 were transferred to the disposal of the 4th Guards Naval Assault Aviation Regiment of the 34th Composite Aviation Division of the Baltic Aviation fleet in the city of Chernyakhovsk, Kaliningrad region.
The aircraft were built under a new contract signed in August 2020. The fulfillment of this contract indicates the resumption of deliveries of the Su-30SM, which were suspended back in 2018.
The arrival of the Su-30SM2 in the staff of the 4th GvMShAP made it possible to complete the rearmament of the 1st squadron of the regiment and begin the rearmament of the 2nd squadron from the Su-24MR and Su-24M aircraft to the Su-30SM2.
At the end of 2022, the number of Su-30SM and Su-30SM2 in the Russian Aerospace Forces amounted to 124 units, including 30 aircraft in Naval Aviation.
Yak-130
Combat training aircraft, which are the main training aircraft in the country's military universities, were built according to a contract dated August 2020 for 25 aircraft. So far, only 4 aircraft have been received under this contract, 2 in 2021 and 2 in 2022.
In total, the Ministry of Defense received 120 Yak-130 aircraft.
IL-76MD-90A
From April to December 2022, Aviastar PJSC in Ulyanovsk handed over five newly built Il-76MD-90A aircraft to the Russian Ministry of Defense at once. This is actually a production record for Ulyanovsk aircraft manufacturers.
All aircraft became part of the 235th military transport regiment based in Ulyanovsk. In fact, the 235th regiment is armed with 14 Il-76MD-90A aircraft, and Aviastar built 18 aircraft in total. Under the contract of 2012, 13 aircraft, the rest - under the contract of 2021 for the construction of another 14 aircraft.
What can be said about the prospects for increasing the construction of aircraft? From the above data, it is obvious that the new aircraft went according to the order for the acquisition of combat training centers, and not for line units. And planes will have to be sent there, since the Aerospace Forces is and will continue to suffer losses.
Some experts say that in 2023 Russian aircraft factories can provide the Aerospace Forces with another 7-8 Su-57s, up to 12 Su-34Ms, up to 10 Su-30SM2s, and up to 12 Yak-130s. In addition, 1-2 Tu-160M bombers produced from the Soviet backlog can be handed over. Transport aviation can receive up to 4 Il-76MD-90A aircraft and 1 Il-78M-90A flying tanker.
Many? If the situation with the work of Ukrainian air defense is not resolved, then no, not much. This, perhaps, will not even be enough to compensate for normal losses and natural decline in the development of the aircraft's service life.
Is it possible to somehow increase the production of aircraft? Many experts believe that yes, you can. Through exports.
It is no secret that the export operations of the Russian military industry are not going through the best of times. Deliveries of combat aircraft from Russia may have been updated historical minimum. This is due, among other things, to the sanctions pressure of the United States and its allies, as well as the closure of information on export transactions, which does not allow for a qualitative analysis.
However, it became known that 2 Su-30SME aircraft were built for export according to the contract for Myanmar. In total, Myanmar ordered 6 aircraft, these are the first two.
6 Yak-130 aircraft were delivered to Vietnam. Vietnam has ordered 12 Yak-130s, with the first 6 delivered in 2021. With the delivery of the second six, the contract is closed.
The contract for the supply of 14 Su-30MKI/Su-30MKA aircraft for Algeria continued. This is under an additional contract, in addition to the general conditions. In 2021, the first 2 aircraft were delivered, there was no information about the transfer of the Su-30MKA in 2022.
Most interesting is the deferred contract with Egypt for the supply of 35 Su-30 fighters. All aircraft were built back in 2020-2021, but something went wrong with the contract. Perhaps the fault of CAATSA - Countering America's Opponents through Sanctions, "An act to counter America's opponents through sanctions." This US federal law, passed in July 2017 under the Trump administration, aims to provide the United States with the legal tools to impose sanctions against "the destabilizing activities of the Iranian, Russian, and North Korean regimes."
There, in the document, there is paragraph 231, which allows the imposition of sanctions on countries that have bought weapon in Russia without the permission of the United States represented by the President or Congress. Considering that Egypt is a participant in the Camp David arms deal, it is very doubtful that Su-35s will fly to this country.
Meanwhile, 30 aircraft have already been manufactured and are stored on the territory of KnAAPO and in Zhukovsky. In the picture from the Su-57, these Su-35s, which are located on the territory of the plant, are clearly visible.
Now there has been information that Iran is now laying claim to the Egyptian Su-35s.
Of course, it is quite possible that the Su-35, against the background of the fact that the Su-35S are already going to the VSK, can be given to our strategic partner, although there is an opinion that the Russian Aerospace Forces would find a case for 30 brand new aircraft.
And given the broken contract with Indonesia, the reserved capacity for the production of machines for export can be used to produce aircraft for the Aerospace Forces.
CBO, which is approaching its first anniversary, will require a lot more equipment. Especially as expensive as aviation. And here the balance between work for export and aircraft for the Aerospace Forces is very important. Export is useful both financially and politically, but aircraft for the Russian Aerospace Forces will be needed tomorrow. And as you can see from the delivery figures, today is not the time to produce dozens of aircraft.
If the Aerospace Forces really face the threat of a shortage of aircraft, it makes sense to abandon external contracts and devote all their efforts to replenishing the ranks of the Russian Aerospace Forces. With all available forces for this.
- Roman Skomorokhov
- Press services of UAC, United Aircraft Corporation
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