Israeli scenario - total military training for Russians
Source: mkset.ru
people with guns
In Russia, big changes are coming in the organization of military conscription. On the one hand, the president signed a decree on raising the age of conscription from 18 to 21, while the age limit will increase to 30 years. Chairman of the State Duma Committee on Defense Oleg Kargapolov recently said that this year the conscription will take place according to a “mixed scheme”, when men aged 18-30 will go to the army. It will take some time for the final transition to the new scheme.
We are witnessing the first steps towards a gradual increase in the size of the army to one and a half million people. In the same series, the decision on the possibility of signing a contract by military personnel from the first year of military service. In many respects, this is why the draft age is increased to 21 years - most of them manage to get a civilian specialty, and decisions are made more consciously than at 18 years old.
Victor Sobolev. Source: runaruna.ru
But it seems that these measures are not enough to increase the defense capability of Russia. So says Lieutenant General Viktor Sobolev, a member of the State Duma Committee on Defense from the Communist Party, who recently proposed to conduct total "courses for a young fighter." A military registration specialty must be present in all, without exception, young men who are able to hold weapon.
It's like a kind of two-tier compulsory military service. First of all, those fit for military service are subject to conscription, and secondly, the rest of those who have not served go through special fees. According to the general, out of ten persons liable for military service, nine were not in the army. Sobolev plans to conduct military training for at least six months. Thus, the necessary mobilization reserve for a real war with NATO will be formed.
Also in Sobolev's plans are cardinal changes in the mobilization base of the country's deployment. Now a considerable part of the soldiers are being trained and combat coordination in military schools. This negatively affects the educational process and the training of future officers.
In the vision of the lieutenant general, every man should have minimal skills in combined arms combat and be fit for military service. Now, according to Sobolev,
In a recent interview with URA.RU, General Sobolev clarified the nuances of the initiative:
The age limit has not yet been designated, but it is now difficult to call recruits for training camps young people. What does it say?
First of all, about the death of the concept of a professional army and a high-tech war of the future, for which Russia has been preparing for the past decades. Now it all comes down to a banal trench warfare, in which the winner is not the one who has more missiles and bombers, but who has more infantry. And not just infantry, but highly motivated and trained manpower.
This, by the way, lies the stability of the Ukrainian army. Since 2014, the country has been living in a state of partial mobilization - at least six waves of conscription have passed in the country, in addition to military service. APU killed two birds with one stone.
First, several hundred thousand Ukrainians remembered what weapons are and how to use them. And several tens of thousands more went through the notorious ATO and came out with combat experience. Although not all.
Secondly, in the army, they explained to the silly kids what kind of threat Russia poses to them and what needs to be done with it. For several years, an extremely militarized society developed right next to our country, openly hating its big neighbor. This abscess was once supposed to burst, and it needs to be treated only surgically.
The special operation seriously changed the views of the Russian leadership on military planning. The situation when a country with the second army in the world for almost a year is forcing the demilitarization of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the third ten of all military ratings cannot but be alarming.
By the way, the adequacy of the assessments of various rating agencies has yet to be assessed, but this is a slightly different conversation.
Israeli script
If the SVO ends tomorrow or in a year, the situation with military conscription will be clearly transformed. And here, not only the Ukrainian scenario, but also the Israeli one will be very useful. There are several conceptual intersections with Israel at once.
First, in its defense strategy, Jerusalem openly reserves the right to deliver a preemptive strike against the territory of any state that poses a threat.
It sounds like "the doctrine of a lightning-fast preventive strike in order to neutralize the armed forces of the enemy." What the IDF has repeatedly demonstrated. Therefore, the Israelis do not have such frenzied anti-Russian hysteria.
Secondly, the country recognizes that Jews are and will continue to be persecuted on a national basis, so they will have to defend their right to life with arms in their hands. Similarly, now Russians for pro-Kiev nationalists are people of the second or third grade. Our country is now getting a second Palestine at hand, with a small caveat - the enemy has a developed industry and is supported by the leading countries of the world.
Whether we like it or not, we will have to look towards the Israeli experience. You just need to decide to what extent. Ben Gurion once said:
After completing the mandatory 30-month service (for women - 24 months), each citizen registers with a specific military unit and maintains combat readiness with annual fees. The latter can last up to 55 days. And another Hebrew expression that describes the situation very accurately. This time from the Chief of the IDF General Staff at the dawn of the emergence of Israeli statehood, Yigal Yadin:
In Russia, there is an analogue - BARS or the Combat Army Reserve of the country, it was organized relatively recently in 2021 and is still small in number.
Source: neprizyvnoi.ru
It is rather difficult to say how viable the initiative of General Sobolev is.
First of all, there are questions about semi-annual fees. In some sectors of industry and the national economy, the mass withdrawal of employed men for such a period can cause a collapse. On the other hand, if we reduce fees to 20-30 days, what can we teach non-serving men? The monthly "course of a young fighter" will turn into a sham.
There are opponents of Sobolev's idea in the State Duma. Andrei Kartapolov, head of the Duma Defense Committee, believes that the Russian mobilization system meets all modern challenges and threats. Deputy Alexander Tolmachev proposes a compromise - to introduce a three-week course for the mobile reserve. If for those who served in the army this will help to revive their skills, then for the rest it is absolutely not enough. Tolmachev in his Telegram channel supplements the amendment:
It is highly desirable that yesterday's purely peaceful men receive the basics under the guidance of military officers of the NWO.
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