Military Review

American edition: If the front lines do not change in 2023, the forecast for Ukraine will be grim

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American edition: If the front lines do not change in 2023, the forecast for Ukraine will be grim

If the fighting in Ukraine does not end in 2023, the circumstances will be in favor of Moscow. This is written by the American edition of The Washington Post.


According to the American publication, a $45 billion package of financial and military assistance to Ukraine approved by the US Congress will last for a year. But then it is not very clear what to do next - to continue investing new funds in Ukraine or still make a decision to resolve the conflict?

Although the Kyiv regime is on the side of assistance from the West, including not only weapon and military equipment, but also money, personnel training and information support, the Armed Forces of Ukraine (Ukrainian Armed Forces) may face new problems if the conflict is not resolved in 2023.

The American edition lists several major problems. First, the Russian armed forces are strengthening defensive positions, reinforcing them with thousands of mobilized military personnel.

Secondly, in 2022, Russia made a number of mistakes, but it is unlikely that it will repeat them again, the publication believes. In addition, Moscow's goals at the first stage of the special military operation were too ambitious. Now Russia can abandon global goals in favor of tactical ones, the publication believes.

Thirdly, the depletion of ammunition will play a major role. It is not a fact that the Russian army will run out of them faster than the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Although the American edition nevertheless emphasizes that the increase in production capacity in Russia is unlikely to correspond to the consumption of shells at the front.

If the front lines do not change in 2023, the outlook for Ukraine will be bleaker

concludes The Washington Post.

The Kyiv regime will have to finance the maintenance of many hundreds of thousands of military personnel, provide them with weapons and ammunition. The Ukrainian economy will continue to collapse, which will effectively turn Ukraine into a country completely dependent on Western trenches.

If this happens, Russia will be able to restore its offensive capabilities and then again make a new attempt to establish control over Ukraine. Thus, the “war of attrition”, which the American edition writes about, will be much more beneficial for Russia, and not for Ukraine and the West.
Photos used:
Telegram channel of Vladimir Zelensky
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  1. Uprun
    Uprun 9 January 2023 11: 09
    +19
    "The Ukrainian economy will continue to collapse, which will effectively turn Ukraine into a country completely dependent on Western trenches." How about something different today?
    1. Alexga
      Alexga 9 January 2023 11: 13
      +11
      "The Ukrainian economy will continue to collapse, which will actually turn Ukraine into a country completely dependent on Western trenches."

      I think that Ukraine is only a tool here, the US is interested in a similar state of the whole of Europe.
      1. Xroft
        Xroft 9 January 2023 11: 56
        -2
        I do not understand why everyone writes that the West does not have the ability to support Ukraine.

        They resolved this issue by confiscating our 400 billion. At the same time, we did not take any action to seize the assets of the West, and the money was actively withdrawn from the Russian Federation for the last year.
        Now, virtually all major Western investments in our economy have been withdrawn, and asset parity has long since disappeared.
        And the West can keep Ukraine half-alive for decades at the current level of conflict and at the same time earn very well, actually spending money from the Russian Federation on its military-industrial complex by supplying weapons to Ukraine. And how many more left-wing schemes to withdraw money supposedly to help Ukraine? Bottomless abyss. The elites of Ukraine, who are at the helm right now, are only too happy to send meat for slaughter as long as the money is flowing. They do not risk anything in a year, we have already understood this, fortunes are increasing and they are legitimate in the West as long as they sing to their tune.

        Taking an analogue of Syria, where the human potential is ten times less, the conflict is still going on. A new generation has already grown up there that lives forever in war and goes to war again.
        1. Alexga
          Alexga 9 January 2023 12: 04
          +10
          They solved this issue by confiscating our 400 billion

          Let's clarify, the amount of 300 billion is frozen, not confiscated. If everything was simple, then they would simply be taken away and given to the right place. All talk about it now is just informational background. The consequences of such actions are unpredictable, and there are significantly fewer suicides in business than in politics. So, all this is still Ukrainian Wishlist and Western scarecrows.
          1. Xroft
            Xroft 9 January 2023 12: 07
            -2
            The amount of assets is approximate and estimated everywhere.
            I don't see what's stopping them from doing it. Remember the story of the northern stream and how the business behaved. Well, or what happened to the assets of Libya, or even quite recently Venezuela.

            Give capital a 10% profit and capital is ready for any use, at 20% it becomes lively, at 50% it is positively ready to break its head, at 100% it defies all human laws, at 300% there is no crime that it does not risk to go, at least under pain of the gallows.
            1. Alexga
              Alexga 9 January 2023 12: 24
              +6
              I don’t know what the Russian Federation will do in this case, but in Belarus they acted easier, in such a case the property of unfriendly countries will be nationalized there. The sale of foreign companies is already prohibited. Cook said about this to Lukashenka: "They are leaving? Cross yourself, spit in their wake and start working, these are your enterprises, where our people work and our raw materials are used." In Russia, I think they will do the same.
              1. Carmela
                Carmela 9 January 2023 13: 13
                0
                Quote: AlexGa
                In Russia, I think they will do the same.

                I would like to hope, but Putin is not Lukashenka. He has less room to maneuver. Do you remember what happened to the Sayano-Shushenskaya HPP?
                1. Alexga
                  Alexga 9 January 2023 13: 44
                  +2
                  Do you remember what happened to the Sayano-Shushenskaya HPP?

                  Yes, those events will be remembered forever. In a normal capitalist country, the owner would go to jail for a long time, but here the state took responsibility.
        2. Barberry25
          Barberry25 9 January 2023 13: 31
          0
          Well, those 300 billion are unlikely to be enough for them for decades, they already allocated 80 billion last year by October
        3. Andy_nsk
          Andy_nsk 10 January 2023 13: 30
          +2
          They resolved this issue by confiscating our 400 billion. At the same time, we did not take any action to seize the assets of the West, and the money was actively withdrawn from the Russian Federation for the last year.
          Now, virtually all major Western investments in our economy have been withdrawn, and asset parity has long since disappeared.

          You are mistaken, the finances of the Russian Federation and individuals from Russia are frozen, not confiscated. As for the funds of foreigners, their withdrawal abroad was prohibited even at the beginning of the NWO by a separate decree. The export of capital from Russia is a separate issue, not related to the NWO. The money received from the sale of Russia's natural resources was withdrawn, withdrawn, and judging by the lack of economic and political decisions, it will be withdrawn. And it is by no means foreign countries that should be blamed for this!
        4. isv000
          isv000 13 January 2023 21: 24
          0
          Quote: Xroft
          They decided this issue by confiscating our 400 billion.

          I think this amount is not large for a whole country with a bunch of useful things and for untied hands in relations with the West (l) th ... The Chins have a trillion hanging, and they don’t cry ...
    2. credo
      credo 9 January 2023 11: 32
      +8
      The Yankees, as direct descendants and successors of the Britons, see their role in pitting peoples against each other and getting their dividends from this strife.
      And now, suing the Kyiv junta, the Yankees want only one thing - that the war between Russia and Ukraine lasts as long as possible, until complete self-destruction, which is drummed into everyone by the next American publication. angry
      1. Mikhail Krivopalov
        Mikhail Krivopalov 9 January 2023 11: 47
        +3
        Don't other capitalist countries do this? It's just that the United States has more resources and opportunities to handle such cases.
    3. Carmela
      Carmela 9 January 2023 13: 09
      +1
      Today, something else is working, and it must continue to be bombed and destroyed. Then there will be the result that is described in the article.
    4. Vasia
      Vasia 9 January 2023 20: 28
      +1
      Quote from uprun
      "The Ukrainian economy will continue to collapse, which will effectively turn Ukraine into a country completely dependent on Western trenches." How about something different today?

      Apparently, it was meant that it would go from a state of partial self-financing to a state of "full suction", and this is very unpleasant for the West, they prefer to earn money on the Papuans, but here it is necessary to support 100% of these Papuans.
  2. Zaurbek
    Zaurbek 9 January 2023 11: 10
    0
    By February 24 - 150k fighters and 150k wounded ...... and the plan for 23 years is 150k fighters. That's all the plans. And some of the Eastern Europeans will be attracted to the company more tightly. While we started with the Poles.
  3. Alien From
    Alien From 9 January 2023 11: 17
    -2
    If the leadership does not dare to go to war, then the forecast will be even gloomier. Either the pre-pondemic times are returned, or the war. Got snot!
    1. igorbrsv
      igorbrsv 9 January 2023 11: 36
      +6
      Understood nothing. What pre-pondemic? What for?
      Everyone got snot - such a flu request
      1. Alien From
        Alien From 9 January 2023 11: 51
        -1
        What to understand is either trading and kissing, or everything is in the gun!
        1. And Us Rat
          And Us Rat 9 January 2023 12: 21
          +4
          Quote: Alien From
          What to understand is either trading and kissing, or everything is in the gun!

          The world is not black and white, but categorical topron decisions are the lot of weak minds and narrow-minded fanatics.
          The nuance is not only to resolve the situation, but to do it with the least losses in all areas and taking into account possible prospects for decades to come, while adequately assessing your capabilities and the consequences of your decisions.
          Or do you propose to follow the example of Kyiv? Drive yourself into a bottle with your own stupidity, operate with monosyllabic schemes like an animal, bursting into barking in response to provocations and brandishing your panties?
          1. Alien From
            Alien From 9 January 2023 14: 30
            -1
            I propose not to fool people, NVO and other trade with obvious enemies
  4. Egeny
    Egeny 9 January 2023 11: 18
    +2
    Moscow's goals in the first stage of the special military operation were too ambitious

    Yes, all the way, the doctor said: "to the morgue" means to the morgue.
    "Demilitarization and denazification" - which is not clear here.)
    1. Trapp1st
      Trapp1st 9 January 2023 11: 27
      0
      Yes all the way
      You noticed one interesting thing, everyone is looking at the political squabbles in the US, even the top leadership of the Russian Federation. Those. not only that the world believes that the leadership of the Russian Federation itself is not able to change the situation, the leadership of the Russian Federation itself does not believe in this))
      1. Egeny
        Egeny 9 January 2023 12: 15
        +1
        Damn, who doesn’t love me so much, only minuses.)
        The squabbles in the states, of course, are funny, the media loves to gossip, but I doubt that the GDP takes them seriously. The situation is difficult, but the "scales" will tip in our favor.
        The leadership of the Russian Federation has determined the goals of the NWO, it is said - it will be done.)
        By the way, I love your posts.
        1. Trapp1st
          Trapp1st 9 January 2023 12: 28
          -1
          The leadership of the Russian Federation has determined the goals of the NWO
          In addition to abstract denazification and demilitorization, have you heard anything?
          By the way, I love your posts.
          Thank you, very unexpectedly, it's nice that you dilute our everyday life with your optimism.
  5. Vyacheslav57
    Vyacheslav57 9 January 2023 11: 20
    0
    If the fighting in Ukraine does not end in 2023, the circumstances will be in favor of Moscow. This is written by the American edition of The Washington Post.

    That is, the end of hostilities in 2023 in favor of Russia is not even considered? Well, as they say, we'll see.
    1. Barberry25
      Barberry25 9 January 2023 11: 36
      0
      well, their task is to force them to help Ukraine, and not vice versa
    2. Lawrence_OnYouNo
      Lawrence_OnYouNo 9 January 2023 11: 57
      0
      Quote: Vyacheslav57
      That is, the end of hostilities in 2023 in favor of Russia is not even considered? Well, as they say, we'll see.

      Well, in order to consider the end of hostilities in favor of Russia, grounds are needed !!!
      what are the reasons for the victory of Russia?
      ps
      if you look at the achievements of the RF Armed Forces over the past year ....
      1. Guran33 Sergey
        Guran33 Sergey 9 January 2023 18: 41
        -1
        pan from tsipiso so far there was one strategic mistake - they worked out plan B for a long time when the tanks and flowers failed .. the rest is tactics and getting used to the fact that there is an armed conflict in the conditions of a civil war .. The only strategically important for the outskirts is the attack on the yuges lost .. therefore sticks out tactical success in the north .. Our commander in chiefmaster of unexpected solutions ready to jumpand guess where he will jump !!! am
    3. Guran33 Sergey
      Guran33 Sergey 9 January 2023 18: 34
      -1
      I wonder if you try to publish an article about the victory of the outskirts on a Russian resource, will the admins let you through? That's it ... They have censorship at the level of the editor rehearsed to the point ..
    4. Andy_nsk
      Andy_nsk 10 January 2023 13: 19
      +1
      That is, the end of hostilities in 2023 in favor of Russia is not even considered? Well, as they say, we'll see.

      I think that if in 2023 the Russian army remains in its positions, does not turn the tide of the war, cannot reach the Dnieper, capture Kharkov, or, for example, reach Lvov or Kyiv with a blow from Belarus, then already "The outlook for Russia will be grim!
  6. sanik2020
    sanik2020 9 January 2023 11: 22
    0
    If the front lines do not change in 2023, the outlook for Ukraine will be bleaker

    And if something changes, bandera will be good?
    Western hacks, and not only, seem to have an idea of ​​​​this war as a computer game, whoever shoots whom first wins. And this is a civilizational conflict, only in an extremely aggravated phase. For Russia, the defeat of Bandera is a matter of its own survival, so Banderia's prospects in any case smell like kerosene. Well, the Westerners, realizing their loss in Banderia, will switch to another country on the anti-Russian front, this is their centuries-old tradition in relations with Russia.
    1. Mikhail Krivopalov
      Mikhail Krivopalov 9 January 2023 11: 49
      +2
      What kind of civilization? The usual struggle for resources and markets within the framework of capitalist development. The crisis of capital is solved by wars and the devouring of the weaker
  7. Roma 1977
    Roma 1977 9 January 2023 11: 23
    +8
    And if the front line changes, will the forecast for Ukraine become more optimistic? The Ukrainian narrative on the Internet often looks like: "When Ukraine wins ..." - but Ukraine will not win anyway. In a sense, Ukraine is a tool whose resource is spent by the West in the fight against Russia. The West may lose, Russia may lose. But at the same time, Ukraine cannot win in principle, based on the rules of the game. Ukraine's win is non-participation in the war. But the war has already begun.
    1. igorbrsv
      igorbrsv 9 January 2023 11: 39
      0
      Ukraine is now in any scenario "miscarriage"
  8. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 9 January 2023 11: 27
    0
    ...the outlook for Ukraine will be grim
    The West is still full of idiots who believe in the "victory" of Ukraine. Therefore, they shout that "the path to peace is an increase in the supply of weapons."
    1. igorbrsv
      igorbrsv 9 January 2023 11: 40
      0
      I don't think they believe anymore. It's just that they are forced to engage in nanism
      1. Lawrence_OnYouNo
        Lawrence_OnYouNo 9 January 2023 13: 06
        0
        Quote: igorbrsv
        I don't think they believe anymore. They are just forced

        this is not a question of baseless assumptions and faith .... this is at least a calculation and forecast made on the basis of deep immersion in the topic !!!!
      2. Carmela
        Carmela 9 January 2023 13: 22
        0
        Quote: igorbrsv
        I don't think they believe anymore.

        And if you listen to the Ukrainian bosses (Reznikov, Podolyak, Zelensky), then the West believes in them and will not surrender them.
        Blessed are the believers, for they will be deceived and betrayed, and they will not even understand it.
  9. alexey_444
    alexey_444 9 January 2023 11: 32
    -1
    The US budget this fall will show what to transfer the benefit cup. If it goes on as it goes, then next year it will be necessary to exchange billions of sotochka and in 25 a hundredth, etc. Obviously, it’s too much to get so much money out of Europe, all the more it is still needed, it’s still too early to solve a completely golden pig, so in 24 will be over.
  10. igorbrsv
    igorbrsv 9 January 2023 11: 32
    +1
    . If the front lines do not change in 2023, the outlook for Ukraine will be grim

    I wonder in which case the forecast for Ukraine will be gloomy request
    1. your1970
      your1970 10 January 2023 17: 19
      0
      Quote: igorbrsv
      . If the front lines do not change in 2023, the outlook for Ukraine will be grim

      I wonder in which case the forecast for Ukraine will be gloomy request

      In the case of sharp change of power in the Russian Federation.
      With the subsequent redistribution or nationalization of everything and everyone.
      Moreover, it doesn’t even matter which government wins, the industry will collapse automatically. Well, and accordingly, everyone will be sharply not up to Ukraine.
  11. Barberry25
    Barberry25 9 January 2023 11: 40
    +1
    Well, I don’t know how NATO will solve the problem of shells there, but we have two moves: 1) to completely equip the troops with AGS, heavy machine guns, 82 mm mortars and anti-tank systems, and up to the formation of heavy weapons departments at each platoon, this will reduce the logistical load, since 2-3 trucks of grenades and mines for the AGS and 2b24 / Tray will close the need for a week and save a bunch of 152 mm shells to repel an attack .. 2) Deliveries of modernized Rapiers. which, in the basic basis, as anti-tank guns, can fire at 8 km, but if we remake the carriage and increase the elevation angle, then we can get a range of 14+ km, and we have a lot of shells for 100 mm artillery. As a result, we can save up to 50 thousand shells per month.
  12. rocket757
    rocket757 9 January 2023 11: 41
    0
    American edition: If the front lines do not change in 2023, the forecast for Ukraine will be grim
    . As some hawk senator of theirs said ... to the last skakuas and nothing else.
  13. HUNTERDON
    HUNTERDON 9 January 2023 11: 42
    +1
    Quote: AlexGa
    I think that Ukraine is only a tool here, the US is interested in a similar state of the whole of Europe.

    - including Russia.
  14. Alex242
    Alex242 9 January 2023 11: 55
    0
    Quote: igorbrsv
    I don't think they believe anymore. It's just that they are forced to engage in nanism

    they just have nowhere to go, (on a submarine, to the last soldier)
  15. vovka
    vovka 9 January 2023 11: 56
    +2
    All NWOs tell us that everything is bad with them, their president is a clown, in the USA an old senile, that we are defeating everyone! And the reality is very different.
    1. Barberry25
      Barberry25 9 January 2023 12: 38
      0
      in fact, Russia is fighting against Ukraine and NATO in the form of supplies and mercenaries, and in a very limited mode for the whole country.
      1. Lawrence_OnYouNo
        Lawrence_OnYouNo 9 January 2023 13: 12
        -2
        Quote: Barberry25
        and in a very limited mode for the whole country.

        what are you trying to say?
        that the Russian Federation can still go into unlimited mode and the enemy will run?
  16. Kuziming
    Kuziming 9 January 2023 12: 04
    0
    The simple decisions of the first stage of the confrontation ended for both sides.

    All opposing systems experienced a new extreme impact. The subtle mechanisms of maintaining balance were disturbed. Regulation by the old methods ceases to work.
    Systems will be forced to adapt, re-regulate in order to maintain their stability.


    Now that the quick military solution hasn't worked for both the American bloc and Russia, it's time for a variety of multifaceted factors:
    - motivation
    - economics
    - political stability
    - technical solutions
    - technological breakthroughs
    - food security
    - energy
    - demographic problems.
    These diverse factors are to some extent interdependent, but to a greater extent autonomous. And they all need to be calculated and controlled.
    As the military pressure on the systems continues, the problems will constantly get worse and multiply.

    Why is it important to control them?
    Because each of them can become a "weak link". And the system can get disrupted due to both food problems and migration problems.
    Take the EU. They are in an energy crisis right now. He pulls a reduction in the catch of fish, for example. And so on, in chains.

    The delay in extreme tests will lead to the fact that a purely military confrontation will be accompanied by a confrontation between systems in terms of testing them for stability in a variety of ways.
  17. APASUS
    APASUS 9 January 2023 12: 04
    0
    According to the American publication, a $45 billion package of financial and military assistance to Ukraine approved by the US Congress will last for a year. But then it is not very clear what to do next - to continue investing new funds in Ukraine or still make a decision to resolve the conflict?

    The naivety of some publications rolls over. What percentage of the US military-industrial complex (out of $45 billion) will go back to Congress? The war will not end, I think at least a couple more years. Cardinal changes must take place in the USA, but for now the US military-industrial complex controls the Congress, in particular
  18. fax66
    fax66 9 January 2023 14: 42
    -1
    "American edition: If the front lines do not change in 2023, the forecast for Ukraine will be gloomy..."
    And for Russia in this case, the forecast will be cheerful?
    IMHO - If the front lines do not change in 2023, then this will mean that the Russian economy and military leadership are completely exhausted, in short, NOTHING GOOD for Russia.
  19. isv000
    isv000 13 January 2023 21: 20
    0
    American edition: If the front lines do not change in 2023, the forecast for Ukraine will be grim

    And if the front line passes in the Mukachevo region, then everything will be ok for Ukraine ?! Well, Americans, well fool ...