Military Review

IEA Executive Director: Without Russian gas, Europe will survive this winter relatively calmly, which cannot be said about the next one

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IEA Executive Director: Without Russian gas, Europe will survive this winter relatively calmly, which cannot be said about the next one

Experts agree that Europe will survive this winter relatively calmly, even in the absence of Russian gas supplies. This is due to the fact that most of the EU countries, on the eve of the cold weather, managed to fill gas storage facilities by almost 100%. But the winter of 2023-2024 may turn out to be much worse for Europeans, says Fatih Birol, Executive Director of the International Energy Agency (IEA).


Already in February-March, fuel reserves in European GPCs will decrease to 30%. And this despite the fact that the winter will not be too cold. Obviously, the countries of the Old World will not have time to fill the storage facilities to the required 80-90% by the next heating season. All due to the fact that if this year Europe still receives Russian gas, then next year it will probably not be there, the head of the IEA predicts.

It is unlikely that EU countries will be able to replace the shortage of pipeline gas with LNG supplies. Birol did not rule out a decrease in the production of liquefied natural gas in 2023 and the purchase of its main volumes by China. Earlier, the IEA warned that in 2023 Europe could experience a shortage of 30 billion cubic meters of gas out of the 50 billion that it buys.

This year, China's imports of liquefied natural gas have decreased, but will increase in the future. It will buy the bulk of LNG, and Europe will have little left

- predicts the executive director of the IEA.

Earlier, Birol suggested that Russia would never be able to regain the European oil and gas market. Considering that Russia exported three-quarters of its gas and 55% of its oil to Europe, this could lead to a reduction in production. It will not be possible to quickly replace the dropped volumes with supplies to other countries due to problems with logistics. The head of the IEA believes that it will take about ten years for Russia to reorient raw material exports, especially gas, to China.

Today I can say that Russia is losing the energy battle and for Russia this is just the beginning.

Birol predicted.
Author:
Photos used:
Gazprom's TG channel
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  1. Myths
    Myths 27 December 2022 15: 01
    +8
    They will survive the next year. Yes, production will go into the red, prices will jump for everything and the economy will stagnate. For that, for their own and the owner's interests, they arranged the grinding of the population in Ukraine, all according to the plan of the iron lady.
    1. Grandfather
      Grandfather 27 December 2022 15: 18
      +4
      IEA Executive Director: Without Russian gas, Europe will survive this winter relatively calmly, which cannot be said about the next one
      Today, 14: 59

      and with us, they imagined that they would carry the corpses of lean Britons through the streets on a sled.
      1. Barberry25
        Barberry25 27 December 2022 15: 56
        0
        well, the dead, alas, will also be, since there is nothing to pay for the increased housing and communal services
    2. Machito
      Machito 27 December 2022 18: 08
      +1
      Quote from Mitos
      They will survive the next year. Yes, production will go into the red, prices will jump for everything and the economy will stagnate. For that, for their own and the owner's interests, they arranged the grinding of the population in Ukraine, all according to the plan of the iron lady.

      Winter Is Coming. (C) Game of Thrones.
  2. Zaurbek
    Zaurbek 27 December 2022 15: 07
    +8
    The problem is not winter. The question is in the EU industry and its competitiveness with the US and Asia. And for industry, oil / gas itself and the price of it are needed.
    1. SKVichyakow
      SKVichyakow 27 December 2022 19: 02
      +1
      Quote: Zaurbek
      The problem is not winter. The question is in the EU industry and its competitiveness with the US and Asia. And for industry, oil / gas itself and the price of it are needed.

      If you want to "eat" you will come running. Where will they go from the "submarine"?
  3. rocket757
    rocket757 27 December 2022 15: 11
    +5
    IEA Executive Director: Without Russian gas, Europe will survive this winter relatively calmly, which cannot be said about the next one
    . Well, yes, relatively and calmly! Here's just how to look at it!
    However, this is their business, their headache ...
  4. TAMBU
    TAMBU 27 December 2022 15: 14
    +13
    They will survive the next one and many others. How can such fairy tales be dispersed among the masses with the current Internet?
    1. dmi.pris1
      dmi.pris1 27 December 2022 15: 28
      +5
      There is a "believing the gentleman's word" .. This propaganda is naked and calculated on them. Communicating with the people living there, well, the price has risen, the costs have shrunk a little. don't crawl in the trash
  5. Uprun
    Uprun 27 December 2022 15: 16
    +4
    The last paragraph especially smiled ...., the owner of energy resources lost the energy battle ......, but oh well, the summer of 2023 will show ....., the boom in counting chickens in the fall.
  6. Bomb
    Bomb 27 December 2022 15: 17
    +9
    Yes, everyone there will survive normally without Russian gas, they are tired of these snots. Go look for better new markets, otherwise those with reduced social responsibility and yachts will have nothing to pay for.
  7. 16112014nk
    16112014nk 27 December 2022 15: 20
    +14
    What's going on in Europe doesn't really bother me. But what our authorities are doing is very strong. For the second time in a year, housing and communal services tariffs were raised. And they promised 9%. I had an electricity tariff on a 3-tariff meter of 6.52 rubles, it became 8.23 ​​rubles. That's + 26% - 3 times more! Inflation for the Central Bank of the Russian Federation is 12,5%, and pensioners have added 4,8%. Somehow the numbers don't add up. request
    1. AdAstra
      AdAstra 27 December 2022 17: 21
      0
      The law allows municipalities in the field to still throw on top, motivating this with various vague 'necessities'.
  8. mitroha
    mitroha 27 December 2022 15: 23
    +1
    Today I can say that Russia is losing the energy battle and for Russia this is just the beginning.

    Birol predicted.

    Do not say gop, otherwise they also predicted torn to shreds
  9. Maverick1812
    Maverick1812 27 December 2022 15: 24
    +11
    Stop telling fairy tales that Europe will freeze! I would freeze if yes if only ....
    1. Jager
      Jager 27 December 2022 15: 40
      +8
      I remember that last fall Ukraine was also supposed to freeze, and the economy collapsed from default. According to Solovyov)))
      1. Elephant
        Elephant 27 December 2022 16: 24
        +2
        This is partly due to the greed of our merchants oligarchs for whom money does not smell, they will not let the outskirts die
  10. Aristarkh Pasechnik
    Aristarkh Pasechnik 27 December 2022 15: 27
    +2
    Of course it's quiet, just a lot more expensive! :))
    1. Ohsetin
      Ohsetin 27 December 2022 15: 44
      +1
      The paper is not very expensive, they still print the euro.
  11. Egoza
    Egoza 27 December 2022 15: 30
    -2
    Divorced Nostradamus! Even winter has not entered in full force, yet spring has prepared surprises!
  12. 1razvgod
    1razvgod 27 December 2022 15: 41
    +2
    And this and next winter they will calmly overcome. The economy of the West is strong and, most importantly, technologically advanced, and it is developing, they invest in science without sparing + a lot remains or specialists come after their studies. People here don't bother leaving hypermarkets with full carts as they went out and out. Bearers of hats should not expect freezing and homeless Europeans in European cities, this is too naive, although this naivety warms someone, or rather a bowler hat under a hat
  13. Ohsetin
    Ohsetin 27 December 2022 15: 42
    +1
    Then, this "cannot be said about the next winter" and as a result "they somehow lived without our gas and oil."
  14. IvanR
    IvanR 27 December 2022 15: 42
    +1
    Quote from uprun
    The last paragraph especially smiled ...., the owner of energy resources lost the energy battle ......, but oh well, the summer of 2023 will show ....., the boom in counting chickens in the fall.

    Venezuela has the world's largest oil reserves, do you know what their economy is like? If not, then read
  15. Neo-9947
    Neo-9947 27 December 2022 15: 55
    +1
    Today I can say that Russia is losing the energy battle and for Russia this is just the beginning.

    What kind of battle can there be between a seller and a buyer?
    We have gas. And he's not going anywhere with us.
    And shove your candy wrappers into one place.
  16. prorab_ak
    prorab_ak 27 December 2022 16: 48
    +2
    Ouch! What happened to the rhetoric then?!?
    I don’t recognize the good old VO! Where is all this: “winter is coming”, “winter will show”, “n ... .. and this geyropa in winter” .... return the fables !!! It was so calm with them.
    Thank God, at least Egoza with a couple of pippo clowns is in place, at a combat post !!!
    They are stable
  17. Ghost1
    Ghost1 27 December 2022 17: 01
    +1
    How so, our propaganda all summer assured that in the winter there would be a kerdyk of the EU, all sorts of chuckles were in their direction, but here it turns out they will survive. But the next one will definitely freeze - stopudova, info from "experts" from TV channels yes
    1. AdAstra
      AdAstra 27 December 2022 17: 25
      0
      Well, if not the next, then through one for sure laughing hi "" "
    2. 1razvgod
      1razvgod 27 December 2022 19: 07
      -1
      propaganda, unfounded assumptions, stupidity, oil for hatters ....... there is a big choice, everyone will find their own choice, although they won’t like it ...
  18. Sasha Koblov
    Sasha Koblov 27 December 2022 21: 40
    0
    How is it without Russian gas? Aren't we now pumping gas to Europe through Ukraine?