Probably, there is no person among our readers who would not think about how the NWO should end in Ukraine. The fact that we simply have to win is understandable. But what is victory is still not clear.
Will we “liberate” the entire territory of Ukraine? Do the people there want it? Or will we again pick out “foresters” from caches for 10–15 years? Will we change the political regime of Ukraine? We just remove the president and hold fair elections?
More and more politicians, experts, military men in different countries of the world are inclined to think that the war must be ended through diplomacy. It is necessary to negotiate, find a formula for peace suitable for all and stop killing each other. This plan looks very nice. And the wolves are full, and the sheep are safe. It just doesn't happen in real life.
It happens that politicians really manage to sit down at the negotiating table and even sign some agreements under pressure from their “senior comrades”. The war actually ends, but only to start again soon. Even bloodier. And so on until the moment when any of the parties does not win completely.
In the case of Ukraine, I see nothing new. Unless there are more hunters to the Ukrainian land than usual. But here you need to understand them. Being part of the state that broke the back of German fascism, Ukraine received part of the territories of its neighbors and turned into one of the largest European republics.
And the offended former owners were afraid to open their mouths against the decision of the big brother, of which Ukraine was a part. But now that the Ukrainians have given up their victory, their heroes, their ancestors, their past, the situation has changed radically. Now the neighbors are no longer asking. Now they are sure that they will return their lands. However, like the population of these disputed territories.
Or maybe there is still a chance to talk?
Of course, you can talk, but why? In order to speak, you must first determine your positions and the concessions that you are ready to make. At the same time, one must be confident in the ability of the opposing party to negotiate, in its readiness to implement the decisions made.
Alas, during the negotiations, which were held quite often within the framework of the Minsk Group, within the framework of meetings in Paris, in Turkey, Ukraine proved to be a completely incapable country, the agreements with which are not worth the time spent on them. Kyiv is just a pawn on the chessboard of world politics.
Suppose, by some miracle, both sides agreed to negotiate. And they even agreed to the option not for you, not for us. The four regions that became part of Russia and Crimea form their own state, which is free to choose its own development path. The situation is completely crazy, given that these territories are already part of Russia, but still.
What is the future of this pseudo-state?
Yes, quite understandable. This is another Nagorno-Karabakh in the near future. It will again be internally divided into supporters of Russia and supporters of Ukraine. Again, the country will go into disarray and again the neighbors will have to intervene. Whoever is stronger will win...
The other option is no better than the first.
We stop at what we have achieved so far. The front line turns into a state border. The population of the border territories hates each other with a fierce hatred. Ukraine continues to pursue a policy of de-Russification of its territory. The fascist ideology and the idea of revenge and the return of "their" lands are being planted.
Russian lands are buzzing with reports of violence against Russians in Ukraine. The situation is becoming explosive just because family ties between Russians and Ukrainians persist. In the new Ukraine, their relatives are being killed. In the end, either one or the other side will start another conflict ...
Well, the third option.
The most beautiful at first sight. Territories that have already become part of Russia, Ukraine recognizes as Russian. Territories inhabited by Russians receive the same rights as Ukrainian-speaking ones. The Russian language is recognized as the official language in these territories. Even the banderization of these territories is suspended.
I will even describe the points of this agreement. Fortunately, there are only fifteen of them. The first six are the usual technical items - scope. Three more points concern the creation of the police. Ukrainian police. It operates according to Ukrainian laws, but the chief of police is necessarily appointed from local Russian-speaking citizens. The remaining points are about language, energy, communications, and so on.
The most recent "quickly rotting" version (on the example of Kosovo)
It was not in vain that I cited the points of the “best” agreement in the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Don't think that I have taken the liberty of teaching our diplomats their job. Everything is very simple. Such an agreement already exists, and for quite a long time.
Signed in April 2013. It is called - "The first agreement on the principles governing the normalization of relations between the governments of Serbia and Kosovo." In the future, the agreement was finalized on various issues of the life of these republics.
Oddly enough, having signed these agreements, both sides are in constant search for facts of their violation by the opposite side, which leads to fairly frequent conflicts between Serbia and Kosovo. The most common cause of claims against Kosovo are the three northern municipalities of Kosovo - Zvencan, Zubin Potok and Leposavich and the town of Kosovska Mitrovica, where Kosovo Serbs make up the vast majority. We often call this region Northern Kosovo. Serbs use their own name - Ibar Kolasin.
The aggravation that we saw just a few days ago is probably the most dangerous of all. Both sides were on the brink of war. At the same time, neither Serbia nor Kosovo want to fight. Here is such a squiggle of relationships. Kosovo Serbs have brought the situation to such a point that if blood was shed in Ibar Kolasin, Belgrade would have to send troops to the region.
Now I will voice a blasphemous fact for many.
The Serbs are to blame for the current escalation. It was the Serbs who provoked the situation. I don't know if this was agreed upon with the President of the Republic of Serbia or if the Kosovo Serbs acted on their own initiative, but the fact that the situation escalated due to the ill-conceived (or well-thought-out) actions of the Kosovo Serbs is a fact.
After the conclusion of the agreement, the West began to invest huge amounts of money in Kosovo. Today, Pristina not only looks, but also lives richer than many cities in neighboring states. The consequences of the war are practically eliminated. The population receives cheap loans for the construction of houses and the development of their own business, etc.
It would seem, live and rejoice. But it doesn't work. In addition to the territories that I have listed above, the rest of the territory of Kosovo is inhabited by ethnic Albanians. Leaving out details, one can say that, on the one hand, the Kosovo Serbs from North Kosovo want full autonomy, and on the other hand, the Albanians are not eager for such a “federalization” of the country.
The crisis that has arisen today is a consequence of precisely this internal confrontation. Roughly speaking, the Kosovo Serbs went to unbalance the political system of Kosovo. In protest against the delay in federalization, and this is also a fact, the Serbs withdrew from all municipal authorities. Thus, legally there is simply no power in Ibar Kolasin!
What happened next?
Pristina could not allow anarchy and took a number of steps that directly contradict the agreement. On the territory of Northern Kosovo, the Albanian special forces began to conduct raids, and this is expressly prohibited by the agreement. The arrests began. In response, the Serbs began to build barricades, block roads, and pickets.
KFOR units, which were redeployed to the north of Kosovo, tried to save the situation. Remember the messages from that time? Almost in each of them, the red line was the idea that no one controls the situation, it develops on its own, and how it will all end is unknown.
However, after a violent outburst of emotions, events calmed down. There was a sort of unsettling calm.
I don't want to delve further into the situation. Put forward versions about the actions of the Albanians or the Serbian president. There, too, everything is confusing and twisted enough. Small countries surrounded by strong neighbors are forced to “turn around” and adapt to the actions of these neighbors.
And the reason for all these political differences, I think, lies in the economy. I will write this way, according to rumors, in the north of Kosovo there are deposits of rare earth metals, which, under the conditions of sanctions against Russia, are very necessary for Europe and the United States. Control of these deposits will give the government - either Serbia or Kosovo - an excellent trump card when discussing the next aid.
Let me remind you that the West has already prepared the third package of assistance to Serbia, designed for several years. I do not think that President Vucic is unaware of this package and the assistance that the West is ready to provide to his country. Moreover, I am almost certain that this aid has already been taken into account in Serbia's budget.
By the way, remembering the events of the weekend, when the Serbs, in their desire to help the Kosovo Serbs, tried to break through the cordon of the Serbian police at the border. The slogans used by the Serbs look somehow strange. It seems that reality has shifted slightly from its usual place. The essence of the slogans is simple - the Russians are with us, the Russians will help.
I wonder how the Serbs see this, how can this be done without having a common border, without access to the sea and, consequently, seaports, surrounded by NATO countries? There will be no next "throw of Russian paratroopers". There are simply no Russian paratroopers nearby. And there are no ways to deliver them to the territory of Serbia. Unless, of course, the fate of planet Earth is at stake. I'm talking about World War III...
The worst thing that can happen is an attempt by Serbia to resolve the conflict by force. Yesterday, the President of Serbia announced that the country is increasing the number of its special forces four times. A little earlier, he sent a request to NATO to allow the introduction of Serbian special forces in the amount of 1 people into the territory of North Kosovo.
It is clear that Kosovo will not be able to resist the Serbian army. However, it seems to me that in this case, Albania will come to the aid of the Kosovo Albanians. Then the situation will change radically. Already Serbia will not have a chance. But most importantly, the war will break out again in the Balkans. And again, it will take a lot of effort to stop it.
There will be no negotiations, there will be surrender
When I began to prepare material on the search for ways to resolve the Ukrainian crisis, I formulated my conclusion on the situation. Yesterday, after the statement of President Putin and Minister Shoigu, he confirmed his correctness. The country's leadership came to the same conclusions.
What, as it seemed to me, was the main thing in the speeches of the president and the minister? I would like to point out a few main ideas.
First of all, that we understand the threat from the West. The threat of a third world war, a global war of annihilation. And we are not going to back down. If you want war, get war.
Another important conclusion.
Negotiations with the global West will not lead to anything just because our opponents are not ready to recognize the equal rights of the West and Russia. The last decades of diplomatic work have shown the deceit and unwillingness to implement the decisions made by the West.
Now for the current situation.
The tasks and goals of the SVO have not changed. We have not abandoned a single point, and the army will solve them radically. Despite the opinion of the West and the wishes of the West. There will be no negotiations to freeze hostilities. There will also be no contracts. We'll just hit and destroy...
Further already specific military conclusions.
The army will be strengthened. The resources directed there will be increased. This applies not only to material and financial resources, but also to human resources.
It follows that the army is once again on the verge of serious reform. The reasons are clearly named by Sergei Shoigu. Increasing threat from NATO and shortcomings identified during the JEE. At the same time, the President of Russia stressed, it is also important, that there will be no fanaticism here. The Armed Forces will be reformed without prejudice to other sectors of the economy.
And one more important conclusion for our work.
The MoD acknowledges that there are shortcomings in the work. Admits that he accepts criticism. That is, what we are often reproached for, I mean materials about shortcomings in supplies, training, mobilization, etc., is recognized as correct and necessary. This is not to discredit the army, but to help identify shortcomings.
Well, my conclusion on Ukraine.
There will be no more negotiations. The only time when the President of Ukraine will be able to sit at the table next to the President of Russia (if, of course, he can, based on the fact that Ukraine, by attacking Dmitry Rogozin and DPR Prime Minister Vitaly Khotsenko, turned its politicians into a legitimate target) is the signing of an act of unconditional surrender.