Military Review

Completely different Minsk agreements. Version - oil 2023

34
Completely different Minsk agreements. Version - oil 2023



Overseas "favor"


For the first time in the NWO, Belarus is not included by the European Union in the new - 9th sanctions package against the Russian Federation. It, as yet to be specified, is finally introduced either from the end of December 2022 or at the latest - in mid-January 2023.

Experts not too loyal to Minsk and personally to the Belarusian leader remind in this regard that Belarus and Ukraine decided to simultaneously raise tariffs for the transit of Russian oil from 2023. Whether they "conspired" on this issue, or ...

In any case, the relevant decisions in Kyiv and Minsk were adopted almost to the same day: on November 21 and 22. The same critics noted that the lists of countries and territories unfriendly to Russia and Belarus are by no means identical.

More precisely, the Belarusian list, we emphasize, does not include Ukraine (!), and in general it is significantly shorter than the Russian one. Say, unlike the Russian register of unfriendly states, the Belarusian one also lacks Taiwan, Singapore, South Korea, the actual US protectorate - the Federated States of Micronesia.

By the way, the Belarusian unfriendly list, unlike the Russian one, also includes offshore re-exports Andorra, Monaco and San Marino. Probably, the non-inclusion of Belarus in the next anti-Russian package of sanctions is connected with this.


Although it is possible that this "benefit" is also due to the de facto joint decisions of Minsk and Kyiv to simultaneously increase oil transit tariffs for the Russian Federation. Moreover, all branches of the Druzhba oil pipeline remain outside the EU sanctions, so Russia's dependence on oil export transit is, of course, increasing. Therefore, the accounts of transit partners have and will have to be paid in full.

Synchronized swimming"


As for transit fees, the Belarusian state company Gomeltransneft Druzhba notified Transneft of a record increase in the tariff for pumping oil through the Druzhba pipeline by 39% from January 1, 2023. This was announced to the media on November 23 by the official representative of the Russian company Igor Demin.

At the same time, Ukrtransnafta informed Transneft about the upcoming increase in the same tariffs. Let us note in this connection that one of the Friendship branches from the Russian Unecha (Bryansk region), crossing Southern Belarus, joins in the Lvov region of Ukraine - in Brody - with the southern branch of the Friendship ...

Attention is drawn to the synchronism of the actions of Minsk and Kyiv to increase the "floating" prices for the transit of Russian oil. Surely this synchronism is due, first of all, to the fact that oil pumping through the Druzhba is unlikely to be reduced.

In more detail, the Belarusian decision means that the tariff on the direction Unecha (Vysokoye) - Molodechno - the border with Poland (Adamova Zastava) will increase to 581,44 rubles. per 1 ton, and in the direction of Unecha (Vysokoye) - the refinery Mozyr - Brody - up to 249,71 rubles. for 1 ton.

“We received a corresponding letter from our Belarusian colleagues, where they ask for an increase in the tariff by 39% with the justification that they expect a halving of cargo turnover through their system from next year,”

- said I. Demin.


But this official argument is hardly objective. For an increase in transit tariffs in the absence of demand will eliminate transit pumping altogether. According to available information, Minsk believes that restrictions and even bans on the world market - at least in the West since December 5 - on the supply of Russian oil in tankers will force the Russian Federation to increase oil pipeline supplies.

Are they laying straw?


Therefore, it is necessary to “prepare” in advance, that is, to raise oil transit tariffs ahead of time. It should be noted in this regard that since February 1, 2022, tariffs for pipeline oil transit through Belarus have increased by only 7,4% compared to the level of 2021.
As a result, the tariff on the direction Unecha (Vysokoye) - Adamova Zastava amounted to 418,3 rubles/t, on the direction Unecha (Vysokoye) - Brody - 179,65 rubles/t. The Belarusian side then proposed to increase these tariffs by 24,5%.

Will it be possible to “persuade” Minsk again to a lower level of increase in these prices?

Meanwhile, a similar decision of the Ukrainian side became a weighty support for the mentioned position of the Gomeltransneft Druzhba company. Namely, on November 21, I. Dyomin announced that Ukrtransnafta had sent a letter to Transneft about raising tariffs for pumping oil through Ukraine in 2023.

According to him, "Transneft is studying the letter and is preparing an appeal to the government of the Russian Federation." Mr. Demin did not publicly specify the level of tariff increase in Ukraine. But, according to Bloomberg, Kyiv decided to raise the tariff by 2,1 euros to 13,6 euros/t, according to the official version, “due to rising costs due to damage to Ukraine’s energy infrastructure.” By the way, from April 1, d. the tariff for pumping oil through Ukraine increased by a third - up to 11,5 euros / ton.

After Kyiv's mentioned April increase in tariffs, Russian payments to Ukrtransnafta increased from $103 million to $138 million in annual terms. And from January 1, 2023, the transferred amount will increase to $163 million, if Kyiv does not increase the same tariffs again within a year.

Where will the oil stream go?


In 2022, Russian oil through Druzhba was and is received mainly by six oil refineries (refineries) in Eastern Europe: one each in Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, the Czech Republic and two in East Germany.


The total volume of deliveries through this artery in 2021, according to Transneft, amounted to 35,9 million tons; this year this figure is estimated at 27-28,5 million tons. Taking into account the “tanker” sanctions, in 2023, the pumping through the “Druzhba” is predicted to be at least 35 million tons. Moreover, this artery remains outside the anti-Russian sanctions.

As for the simultaneous growth of Belarusian and Ukrainian tariffs at Druzhba, this is also due to the fact that, we repeat, the central branch of Druzhba (the Unecha pipeline - the Mozyr refinery) is docked with the Ukrainian sector of Druzhba in Brody. Accordingly, Russian oil is pumped through this Belarusian-Ukrainian artery in a single technological regime. So why not raise transit tariffs here at the same time?

We have to take into account the transit policy of Minsk and Kyiv also because the Russian Federation since the beginning of the 2010s has refused to use the northern branch of Druzhba, connected to the Lithuanian and Latvian terminals in the Baltic - Butinge and Ventspils. Moreover, this is impossible in modern conditions due to the increasing confrontational policy of Lithuania and Latvia towards the Russian Federation.

In Belarus and Ukraine, as we see, they may well simultaneously increase their oil transit revenues. Taking advantage of the sanctions situation on "tanker" oil from the Russian Federation, and the use of the Belarusian-Ukrainian route "Friendship" for transit. So the aforementioned synchronicity between Minsk and Kyiv cannot but be alarming ...
Author:
Photos used:
universe-tss.su, m.sports.ru, nation-news.ru, rusdozor.ru
34 comments
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  1. parusnik
    parusnik 21 December 2022 05: 38
    +8
    So the aforementioned synchronicity between Minsk and Kyiv cannot but be alarming ...
    Uh-huh .. "- It's raining outside, and we have a concert." (c)
    1. Civil
      Civil 21 December 2022 07: 33
      -1
      Rygorych in his rapper ... and eat a fish (oil transit) and don’t sit down with the Kremlin (he doesn’t climb directly into the NWO) ... well, he most likely received loans.
      1. dSK
        dSK 21 December 2022 08: 31
        +7
        "Russia has allocated an additional 105 billion rubles to our Belarusian partners to finance promising import-substituting joint projects in mechanical engineering, machine tool building, and electronics." /19.12.22./
  2. Lech from Android.
    Lech from Android. 21 December 2022 05: 41
    +5
    Friendship is friendship and tobacco apart ... without investing a single ruble in oil production, our Slav brothers want to fight as much freebies from Russia as possible.
    Here are the smart bugs.
  3. Uncle lee
    Uncle lee 21 December 2022 05: 43
    0
    As for the synchronous growth of Belarusian and Ukrainian tariffs at Druzhba
    So it's out of friendship between our Slavic peoples! recourse
  4. tralflot1832
    tralflot1832 21 December 2022 06: 30
    +1
    In 2022, from Belarus, through the territory of Russia, it exported 3 million tons of oil products to third countries. Probably not for free. In 2, Poland ordered 23 million tons, Germany ordered oil from Kazakhstan. To which Transneft replied, but Kazakhstan did not contact us! ?
  5. Nikolay Malyugin
    Nikolay Malyugin 21 December 2022 08: 19
    +5
    You can blame an ally for commercialism when you yourself are not looking for benefits. If Minsk raises the cost of transit, then this is primarily due to inflation. All countries where our pipelines go receive one or another benefit. It’s impossible without this. Here, in general, there is a fork in what descends on the people. And what descends on a large business class. For some, an unsettling time, incessant films about the war. For others, we will not leave you in trouble and will not leave you at a loss, live in peace, as you lived.
  6. User_neydobniu
    User_neydobniu 21 December 2022 09: 23
    +14
    Belarus, which raises oil transportation tariffs, is bad
    The oligarchs of the Russian Federation who pump oil into the countries of the West, who support Ukraine and give it weapons to whom they kill citizens of the Russian Federation, are good

    So, the main thing is not to confuse ...
  7. Taimen
    Taimen 21 December 2022 09: 35
    +7
    Questions are constantly thrown in the articles about how to take more resources out of the country. And we. we are discussing this robbery in all seriousness. Yes, even more. He was right that we are a gas station country. We raise prices with our own, but with strangers, at least take everything out there. A colony of the West with a colonial administration. Again, the ruble is lowered in the ass, the appointees of our Red Sun. And again the silence of the lambs.
    1. Cananecat
      Cananecat 21 December 2022 12: 26
      -1
      Quote: Taimen
      Questions are constantly thrown in the articles about how to take more resources out of the country. And we. We are discussing this robbery in all seriousness.

      And you propose to loop the supply of resources within the country, you probably have processing facilities that are idle with well-established sales markets within the country? Let's talk about it... no? Don't you have anything like that? Well, well ... every critic is simply obliged to offer an alternative path, but you don't?
      And there is another option to take everything away and divide ... guess three times what will happen to the divided?
      1. nickname7
        nickname7 21 December 2022 19: 56
        0
        Do you propose to loop the supply of resources within the country

        Probably need to sell but not too much, 1:1. Those 300 yards of frozen, these are resources donated for free, even if these resources were in the ground.
    2. Xnumx vis
      Xnumx vis 21 December 2022 14: 42
      -1
      Quote: Taimen
      more bend down

      From Ukraine? Only there they say so - "they rush" .. Svidoukr?
  8. steelmaker
    steelmaker 21 December 2022 09: 40
    +2
    The question is put not correctly and not in it an essence. Why is Russia still providing strategic raw materials to countries that hate Russia, supply weapons to kill our children and impose sanctions to make the people of Russia suffer???? Not there the author is looking for the guilty!
    1. Derbes19
      Derbes19 21 December 2022 11: 33
      +4
      Because Russia needs money, including for the NWO. And neither provides, but sells. Are there other ways to get money? Since they were not engaged in industry and science, it remains to pump oil. main source of currency.
      1. steelmaker
        steelmaker 21 December 2022 13: 13
        +1
        . "Are there other options where to get money?"
        Stupid question. And what, you can earn money, only to "trade the Motherland"? How about changing the economic model? And then the United States will get less, and maybe even a cookie! Are you worried about this? Just do not tell me that the money from the sale of oil and gas goes to all of Russia!
        1. Derbes19
          Derbes19 21 December 2022 14: 02
          +1
          So I wrote that since they were not engaged in the economy, then it remains only to trade resources. The question now is not about what should have been done. (Engage in science and industry) And the fact that nothing else remains as you say, "trade the Motherland." Although there is nothing shameful in the sale of resources. The main economies of the world do not shun this in any way.
          1. steelmaker
            steelmaker 22 December 2022 21: 30
            +1
            "I wrote"
            And I say that it is necessary to change the economic model, and you confirm that for the sake of "dough" it will do.
            1. Plate
              Plate 24 December 2022 13: 29
              0
              Changing the model is a matter of at least 5-10 years to get the first results. And money, a lot of money, is needed for CBO yesterday.
    2. nickname7
      nickname7 21 December 2022 19: 59
      +2
      Why does Russia still provide strategic raw materials to countries that hate Russia,

      The computer that you use is exchanged for oil. If we do not exchange, we will not have goods from the world market.
    3. Il'nur
      Il'nur 23 December 2022 23: 24
      0
      provides strategic raw materials to countries that hate Russia

      And then, it’s interesting how the payment is made, and where this money goes, they also banned euros and dollars, but there didn’t seem to be anything about paying for oil in rubles, and if for euros, why do we need euros if we can’t buy anything for them, or the funds received for oil again in the egg-cap?
  9. kor1vet1974
    kor1vet1974 21 December 2022 10: 08
    +3
    There is a war with the collective West, as we are told, and a trade in resources, with those with whom we are at war.. True, it is written in the first comment: It is raining outside, and we have a concert.
    1. Zakirov Damir
      Zakirov Damir 21 December 2022 16: 53
      0
      Quote: kor1vet1974
      There is a war with the collective West, as we are told, and trade in resources, with those with whom we are at war ...

      If it helps to destroy the enemy, then it's right!

      On the other hand, they also go to shit when they transfer money to us for energy resources. Maybe it's time for the local audience to unite with the European public and arrange a kind of tandem? With the Baltic States for example?
      1. Plate
        Plate 24 December 2022 13: 31
        +1
        All in all, it's actually pretty funny. It's as if Hitler didn't have oil to fill the Tigers before the Battle of Kursk, and he would buy it from Stalin. And Stalin would not have advanced technologies to rivet tanks of the Tiger level for the Battle of Kursk, in connection with which he would buy machine tools and hire specialists in the Reich.
        1. Zakirov Damir
          Zakirov Damir 25 December 2022 00: 57
          0
          Quote: Plate
          All in all, it's actually pretty funny. It's as if Hitler didn't have oil to fill the Tigers before the Battle of Kursk, and he would buy it from Stalin.

          It's funny that you have been living under capitalism for 31 years and still remember socialism. Didn't fit into the new system?

          Quote: Plate
          And Stalin would not have advanced technologies to rivet tanks of the Tiger level for the Battle of Kursk, in connection with which he would buy machine tools and hire specialists in the Reich

          I'm from a city where metal was produced for every second tank and every third projectile during the Second World War.. What kind of city?
          1. Plate
            Plate 25 December 2022 09: 47
            +1
            Quote: Damir Zakirov
            It's funny that you have been living under capitalism for 31 years and still remember socialism.

            Yes, I, in fact, first wrote about Hitler. What kind of socialism is there?
            Quote: Damir Zakirov
            I'm from a city where metal was produced for every second tank and every third projectile during the Second World War.. What kind of city?

            Honestly I do not know. Perhaps some kind of Magnitogorsk? Well, one way or another, obviously from somewhere in the Ural region.
            1. Zakirov Damir
              Zakirov Damir 25 December 2022 11: 00
              +1
              Quote: Plate
              Yes, I, in fact, first wrote about Hitler. What kind of socialism is there?

              In general, I believe that I have not lived my life for the last 31 years. For the first almost 24 years under the USSR, he lived his own life, and then another. And everything seemed to be, but not what I wanted!

              So it was called NWO, so as not to change the usual course of life. I am an applied mathematician by my first education, an economist by my second, and therefore a rational person. So I support trade with the "enemy" if it allows you to destroy it.

              Yes, and I do not want a dollar for 150 rubles and exorbitant prices. I think you do too. We did not have an "iron curtain" like Stalin did, and we cannot afford not to trade with the enemy. Everything else in the media about this is clumsy show-off!


              Quote: Plate
              Honestly I do not know. Perhaps some kind of Magnitogorsk? Well, one way or another, obviously from somewhere in the Ural region.

              That's right, Magnitogorsk. Magnitka melted - Chelyabinsk assembled tanks.
              And although the region is a donor in the Russian Federation, classmates write that the economic atmosphere is bleak and there is a feeling of a dying city.
  10. lopuhan2006
    lopuhan2006 21 December 2022 11: 42
    +7
    Well ..... money drips into all the pockets of the participants, and funerals come only to those who will never see this money. The strange world has become thoroughly rotten and corrupt. Questions without answers, and the more questions, the less answers and those who want to answer. Now something truthful cannot be written, but lies can be carried from everywhere ... So where is the state where the people are free? Do people deserve this freedom?
    1. alekseykabanets
      alekseykabanets 21 December 2022 11: 51
      0
      Quote: lopuhan2006
      Do people deserve this freedom?

      Wait and see.)))
    2. Cananecat
      Cananecat 21 December 2022 12: 34
      0
      Quote: lopuhan2006
      money drips into all the pockets of the participants, and funerals come only to those who will never see this money

      And when it was different?
      Someone waved a saber at a civilian, and someone at that time traveled abroad through the Council of People's Commissars with pockets full of gold ... someone was starving in besieged Leningrad, and someone ate sausage in the same Leningrad, someone on vouchers of the Central Committee to Italy went for clothes, and at the same time someone was blown up in the mountains by Italian mines ... society cannot be homogeneous in principle ... it is high time to understand and accept this.
      1. steelmaker
        steelmaker 21 December 2022 13: 23
        +1
        "And when was it different?"
        Where did you receive your education? And what about free education, medicine, free housing, pensions, etc., what did these "buns" receive?
        . "someone was starving in besieged Leningrad,"
        But about Leningrad is not necessary. No need to repeat any crap after Navalny, Solzhenitsyn and other enemies of Russia.
        1. Cananecat
          Cananecat 21 December 2022 13: 52
          0
          Quote: steel maker
          No need to repeat all the crap

          And you delve into the archives ... you will discover a lot of interesting things for yourself.
          1. steelmaker
            steelmaker 22 December 2022 21: 39
            +1
            "And you dig in the archives .."
            And you, in the archives, only perceive what suits you? Compose Navalny's brains, they pay him in foreign currency, he will endure!
    3. vlad2000
      vlad2000 27 December 2022 15: 30
      -1
      why are you surprised? under capitalism it’s always like this. you have to choose either to have money fall into your pocket or die in a trench for those who are dripping)))) here are the top and middle management and their children chose the hard fate of getting rich in war. and those who can earn money with their brains they rushed to hell. True, their authorities immediately christened them traitors .... well, it can be seen because of resentment that they did not want to protect their well-fed life. Well, the rest of you are welcome to the trench with empty pockets.)))))
  11. Ulan.1812
    Ulan.1812 21 December 2022 11: 44
    0
    Lyosha Chirkin is a cool political scientist.
    I studied with him at the institute.
    When, after the military department, they underwent an internship in Murom on the basis of the railway. dor. brigades.
    He made all the men laugh when, to the remark of the sergeant, why the nails were not cut, Lyosha answered, but I don’t know how, my mother always cuts my nails.
    Everything is so crazy, for a 22-year-old child, her mother cuts her nails.
    Recently, we graduates met again at the annual meeting and recalled this incident.
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