Military Review

Head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation: Embargo and oil price ceiling worsen the prospects for Russian exports and increase pressure on the ruble

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Head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation: Embargo and oil price ceiling worsen the prospects for Russian exports and increase pressure on the ruble

There is now a lot of talk and criticism in Russian social networks about the fact that in our country the military and political leadership is accustomed to embellish reality, both when reporting to the top and before the public. It turns out that this does not happen everywhere and not always.


After today's meeting of the Board of Directors of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, the Chairman of the Central Bank, Elvira Nabiullina, during a press conference, made a number of statements and forecasts that cannot be called rosy. Moreover, her opinion is in some way contrary to the statements, including those made at a high official level, that Western sanctions practically do not harm the Russian economy, both now and in the future. It turns out that they can do harm, you should be prepared for this.

Thus, commenting on the establishment of a price ceiling for Russian oil, introduced by the G7 countries, the EU, Australia and Norway, coupled with the EU embargo on transportation by sea tankers, Nabiullina said that this decision would negatively affect the income of Russian hydrocarbon exporters. According to her, the entry into force of the sanctions coincided with the fall in world prices for hydrocarbons, which is associated with a deterioration in the outlook for the global economy.

An extended period of low prices, or additional strong declines, could lead to a sustained loss of income for exporters, escalate geopolitical tensions, tighten sanctions, worsen the prospects for Russian exports and mean a faster contraction in the trade balance, putting pressure on the ruble

- said the head of the Bank of Russia.

In itself, the depreciation of the ruble seems to be beneficial for exporters. But only if there is something to buy for the received currency. And in the context of global Western sanctions, the growth of imports in Russia is practically excluded even in the future. The fall in exports in monetary terms will also lead to a reduction in budget revenues. This is the very truth that both Russian economic actors and the government should accept in order to plan and take the right actions.

However, at the moment the macroeconomic situation in Russia remains quite stable. This is also evidenced by the fact that at today's meeting of the Board of Directors of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation it was decided to leave the key rate unchanged at 7,5%. At the same time, the regulator predicts a further decline in inflation to 5,0-7,0% in 2023 and a return to the target of 4% in 2024 and subsequent years.
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112 comments
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  1. Metallurg_2
    Metallurg_2 16 December 2022 19: 36
    +18
    The greatest pressure on the ruble is exerted by the IMF agents who determine the country's financial policy.
    1. Comrade I
      Comrade I 16 December 2022 19: 57
      +14
      "Agents" who appointed?
      1. Alf
        Alf 16 December 2022 20: 07
        +23
        Quote: Comrade Y
        "Agents" who appointed?

        But but but ! The king is good!
        1. Kotov_Oleg
          Kotov_Oleg 16 December 2022 20: 24
          +19
          Apparently, the increase in the retirement age in the absence of a real increase in jobs for the 60+ category seemed to me, as well as the indexation of the insurance pension by 4,8% with an increase in tariffs for utilities from 9%. (second time this year).
          How much better.
          1. Alf
            Alf 16 December 2022 20: 27
            +7
            Quote: Kotov_Oleg
            it seemed to me

            That's exactly what you thought. It says that "everything is going according to plan" ...
          2. husband
            husband 16 December 2022 21: 02
            +8
            They promised 9% but increased it by 15%. MO. I counted and was stunned - well, just quite brazenly
            1. zloybond
              zloybond 16 December 2022 21: 18
              +2
              So our caring West sold half of Russian assets - now she is worried ....
              1. Kotov_Oleg
                Kotov_Oleg 16 December 2022 21: 33
                +6
                It does not fly in space, it operates in the system. After all, someone ... presented her candidacy for the appointment more than once .... Therefore, it is already inappropriate to represent her extreme.
                In addition to tariffs, from January 1, the mandatory monthly contribution for major repairs also increases. Will you order Nabiullina to blame for this?
                Haze.
            2. AdAstra
              AdAstra 16 December 2022 21: 29
              +1
              So on the spot, the law allows for all sorts of muddy formulations over 9 to throw hi
              1. Alf
                Alf 16 December 2022 21: 37
                +6
                Quote from AdAstra
                So on the spot, the law allows for all sorts of muddy formulations over 9 to throw hi

                And which party is pushing the laws? Who has the majority in the Duma?
                1. AdAstra
                  AdAstra 16 December 2022 21: 41
                  +5
                  Like who? At United Russia, so that they all burn in hell hi
                  1. Alf
                    Alf 16 December 2022 22: 15
                    +2
                    Quote from AdAstra
                    Like who? At United Russia, so that they all burn in hell hi

                    Oto well ...
            3. Sibiriya
              Sibiriya 16 December 2022 21: 41
              +2
              To understand what a central bank is

              Much to think about
          3. Plantagenet
            Plantagenet 17 December 2022 08: 38
            0
            Jobs will be exactly the same. There will not be enough workers. Some were washed away by mobilization. Some went on the run abroad. Plus, an increase in the production of defense products will require additional recruitment of employees. Another thing is whether these people will meet the qualifications of those who dropped out? what
            1. VPK-65
              VPK-65 17 December 2022 14: 20
              0
              Quote: Plantagenet
              will these people meet the qualifications those who left?
              Those who match highly qualified you won’t find it with fire for a long time, but “The best of the best lick their wounds in the city garbage dumps” ©
              St. Petersburg is the birthplace of the manufacture of microcators (Izmeron) that allow you to measure with an accuracy of up to 0,0001 mm, and finding workers who are used to and know how to use them will not work. Those who try to get settled looking even at the details with precision 0,001 mm turn pale and leave, instantly forgetting about the salary of 120-150 tons. and other goodies. And without this, what kind of gyroscopy ...
              The team is a hodgepodge from all over the former CIS (1-2 people from each republic). Here and look for frames))
              This is for workers, but for engineers (designers) it is even worse. There are three left from the old school, one presenter, the whole load is on them. With a dozen young ones from which there is little sense.
              Technologists - well, these, as always (the gasket between the designer and the worker) sit in their technical bureaus and do not see or hear anything. They have such a job - to write disinformation for enemies, so that those secrets of the motherland are not known)) It is not for nothing that they have 110 rubles in the USSR. they paid, and design engineers from 500r and above, by the way, designers (unlike technologists) go to workers all the time - they also need to know at least the equipment for which you can design products, and that’s a dime a dozen, know your nonsense they write ...
              The year before last, our head of the technical bureau went on a business trip to Chelyabinsk to open a new plant. He left for a month (with his misinformation), and arrived after 2. How are you "successes" I ask? and he: well, I guessed that our technologies do NOT correspond to reality, but that EVERYTHING is so! It was only after that that he rushed around the workers with bundles of drawings for a couple of months and wrote real technologies with which he went on a business trip for the second time ... already for 3 months. I came back, I ask: is everything all right? - with technology now, yes, but there are still a lot of problems - people were recruited from the street, equipment was bought not quite right, but ... these are no longer our problems. This is how we live...
              1. SavranP
                SavranP 21 December 2022 21: 10
                0
                Microcator, perhaps a micrometer? It has just 100 nm resolution, has two drums coarse and fine, with scales. When the part to be measured is clamped, read the scales. What are the difficulties? The designer, in Soviet times, usually worked in the design bureau, the technologist in the shop and the salaries of technologists were higher. At present, the accuracy of manufacturing parts is ensured by equipment: machining centers and other CNCs. Accuracy control is performed by optical measuring systems. Something like this, and not somewhere there, but in the Russian Federation.
      2. 4ekist
        4ekist 16 December 2022 23: 00
        +2
        So, commenting on the establishment of a price ceiling for Russian oil......

        Let this head of the Central Bank comment on how the reserves of the Bank of Russia ended up in the West, were not withdrawn in time and were blocked, where Russia's gold reserves are stored, how much gold was taken out and sold to England, and so on.
      3. zenion
        zenion 17 December 2022 15: 34
        -1
        So they themselves appointed them in order to achieve incomprehensibility, hush up for clarity.
    2. alekc73
      alekc73 17 December 2022 08: 37
      0
      Naebulina blew 300 mln. ZVR. Although they warned more than once. Do not keep money with strategic competitors. Surely she knew about CBO much earlier than mere mortals. Question. Why is she at work?
      1. zenion
        zenion 17 December 2022 15: 36
        -1
        No need to worry sharply, they have already sharply divided them. On the advice of the former Yeltsin - grab as many as you can, now they cannot be found anywhere.
  2. Mavrikiy
    Mavrikiy 16 December 2022 19: 37
    -1
    The head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation: The embargo and the oil price ceiling worsen prospects for Russian exports and increase pressure on the ruble
    Shahimzadovna, what are your prospects? requestI'm looking forward to it, I can't eat. request
    1. dimy44
      dimy44 16 December 2022 19: 39
      +15
      Quote: Mavrikiy
      what about your prospects?
      Compensate for losses by raising fuel prices within the country, business then ...
      1. Mavrikiy
        Mavrikiy 16 December 2022 19: 53
        +2
        Quote: dimy44
        Compensate for losses by raising fuel prices within the country, business then ...

        I agree, it’s businesslike, but “no matter how much the rope hangs, you still fit into a whip” (Vysotsky)
      2. Zakirov Damir
        Zakirov Damir 16 December 2022 20: 02
        -6
        Quote: dimy44
        Quote: Mavrikiy
        what about your prospects?
        Compensate for losses by raising fuel prices within the country, business then ...

        The idea is vice versa. There will be a redistribution of oil to the domestic market, which should lead to lower prices in the domestic market. The only question is how elastic it will be.
        1. Alf
          Alf 16 December 2022 20: 08
          +7
          Quote: Damir Zakirov
          which should lead to lower prices in the domestic market.

          Herr Hauptmann! Wholesale prices will drop. Maybe...But guaranteed not retail! Do you know many cases when gas station prices fell in modern Russia?
          1. Zakirov Damir
            Zakirov Damir 16 December 2022 20: 26
            -7
            Quote: Alf
            Quote: Damir Zakirov
            which should lead to lower prices in the domestic market.

            Herr Hauptmann! Wholesale prices will drop. Maybe...But guaranteed not retail! Do you know many cases when gas station prices fell in modern Russia?

            And where to go for autorefuelers?
            Well, oil producers will reduce wholesale prices for gas stations, but if the volume of sales by the end consumer does not change (it will not change, because, according to your logic, prices will remain the same), then what is the point of dumping oilmen cheaper?

            It makes sense if the volume of products sold increases and profit increases due to the volume. So prices will fall anyway, but the whole question, as I pointed out, is the elasticity of demand.
            1. Alf
              Alf 16 December 2022 20: 38
              +8
              Quote: Damir Zakirov
              if the volume of products sold increases and profit increases due to the volume.

              This is in theory, but in practice in Russia it is somewhat different. Gas stations will not reduce prices, why, they will buy it anyway, but the margin will jump ... If there was a network of STATE gas stations in the country and prices were reduced according to the Decree, then private traders would be discounted, and so there is no point for private traders to become cheaper.
              1. Zakirov Damir
                Zakirov Damir 16 December 2022 20: 57
                -6
                Quote: Alf
                Quote: Damir Zakirov
                if the volume of products sold increases and profit increases due to the volume.

                This is in theory, but in practice in Russia it is somewhat different. Gas stations will not reduce prices, why, they will buy it anyway, but the margin will jump ... If there was a network of STATE gas stations in the country and prices were reduced according to the Decree, then private traders would be discounted, and so there is no point for private traders to become cheaper.

                If the volume of sales does not increase, and the selling price for autorefuelers remains the same, then as an oilman I will return the price to the previous level. Why the hell should I sell cheaper what is already going well.!

                There are laws of the market and the interests of subjects. Let's play a totalizator, who will get more minuses!
                1. Alf
                  Alf 18 December 2022 13: 44
                  0
                  Quote: Damir Zakirov
                  There are laws of the market

                  Yes, there are no "laws of the market", there is a market, what we have, what they have.
          2. alexoff
            alexoff 18 December 2022 02: 06
            0
            In 2009, they lowered it, then the seething was strong, they say prices fell three times over the hill, and you are raising us! They took it and lowered it, not much truth and not for long, but a fact
        2. Al manah
          Al manah 16 December 2022 21: 02
          +2
          Since the beginning of autumn, diesel fuel (DF) at gas stations has risen in price by almost 3,3% (1 ruble 79 kopecks). Over the past four weeks, the price growth has accelerated from 13 kopecks a week at the end of October to 52 kopecks last week. A similar increase in prices for diesel fuel was observed at the end of last year, also from September, and also the main rise in price was in October, November and the winter months.

          https://rg.ru/2022/11/25/rastet-na-holode.html?_openstat=rg.ru;blocks;sujet-materials-title;article
        3. tralflot1832
          tralflot1832 16 December 2022 21: 07
          0
          Here is a screenshot from the St. Petersburg oil exchange. All questions about the price, to the owners of gas stations.
        4. 4ekist
          4ekist 16 December 2022 23: 08
          +3
          Zakirov Damir .. There will be a redistribution of oil to the domestic market, which should ...

          We always get more expensive by rubles, and if it gets cheaper, then by a penny. No miracle will happen.
          1. Zakirov Damir
            Zakirov Damir 16 December 2022 23: 34
            -3
            Quote: 4ekist
            Zakirov Damir .. There will be a redistribution of oil to the domestic market, which should ...

            We always get more expensive by rubles, and if it gets cheaper, then by a penny. No miracle will happen.

            And what now, to die oil companies?
            Also, promotions will go: "When refueling a full tank - a 10 liter canister as a gift!".
    2. Gardamir
      Gardamir 16 December 2022 19: 52
      +3
      Shahimzadovna, what are your prospects?
      They told you they don't hand over their own. So she's doing great. This is the bike he rides to work.
    3. AAK
      AAK 16 December 2022 20: 50
      +2
      That's someone who, and the snake, bespectacled by its actions, earned itself a long time ago on the "tower" ... but alas ... ".. if hundreds of billions end up with your enemies, then someone needs it ..."
      1. zenion
        zenion 17 December 2022 15: 48
        -1
        Everything is done for the people, for their good, and the people, all done well, are still not happy. The people are offended that they don’t do enough for him, but they could do more and harder, not only wet, but also in another way that they still don’t know, haven’t felt and haven’t tried.
  3. marchcat
    marchcat 16 December 2022 19: 37
    +4
    It becomes somehow scary when "such" people begin to make predictions.
    1. Mavrikiy
      Mavrikiy 16 December 2022 19: 57
      0
      Quote: marchcat
      It becomes somehow scary when "such" people begin to make predictions.

      "And I keep clear days for myself, and I return gloomy days to Shahimzadovna" request
  4. al3x
    al3x 16 December 2022 19: 42
    +6
    Sokhuvzadovna said that Russia now has enough gold in foreign exchange reserves. According to her logic and her work, we can conclude that before the arrest of 300kkk euros, there were too many of them. Is this not sabotage?
    1. Zakirov Damir
      Zakirov Damir 16 December 2022 20: 07
      -1
      Quote: al3x
      Sokhuvzadovna said that Russia now has enough gold in foreign exchange reserves. According to her logic and her work, we can conclude that before the arrest of 300kkk euros, there were too many of them. Is this not sabotage?

      Vice versa! We paid and 10 months "we walk in Ukraine to the fullest." Movies are not free!
  5. 23424636
    23424636 16 December 2022 19: 43
    0
    there is infa that nabiulina wrote a letter of resignation a long time ago. but she is being held as irreplaceable. 300 lost yards of greenery did no harm to this henchman of the Western vector of the economy. she simply does not understand how to live without oil and gas. After all, in her opinion, the Russians themselves cannot create products that satisfy domestic demand. Everything has to be bought. But there is no currency and sanctions interfere. It's time to change this Tatar for something that thinks in categories other than blind imitation of Western theories of banking stability.
    1. filibuster
      filibuster 16 December 2022 19: 54
      +2
      after all, in her opinion, the Russians themselves cannot create products that satisfy domestic demand.


      Oh, it's bad that many of Nabiulina's critics have never even read the law on the Central Bank. And how to live without oil and gas probably does not understand the government and the president.
    2. dmi.pris1
      dmi.pris1 16 December 2022 20: 03
      +5
      Aa! Tied to the galley? Of course, it would be better to make her work out these 300 lards .. Otherwise, she would drown the hand-drawn steamer ...
    3. Alf
      Alf 16 December 2022 20: 12
      +3
      Quote: 23424636
      It's time to change this Tatar for something that thinks in categories other than blind imitation of Western theories of banking stability.

      Is it only her? And what about the one who said that he was satisfied with her work and appointed her to this post again? Her work fully coincides with the course of the Russian government.
  6. Million
    Million 16 December 2022 19: 44
    +1
    When will Nabiulina be removed from her post? Although she is Putin's protege ...
    1. fa2998
      fa2998 17 December 2022 15: 25
      0
      There are all "proteges". Do what you want - they don't give up. hi hi hi
  7. Natalya Yurievna
    Natalya Yurievna 16 December 2022 19: 45
    +3
    Well, everything is as always! Putin about the balance of the military-industrial complex and the state defense order, Nabiulina - just try it!
  8. mag nit
    mag nit 16 December 2022 19: 45
    0
    Elvirka received another training manual from the IMF, which is scratching the ears of the Russians.
    1. Aaron Zawi
      Aaron Zawi 16 December 2022 19: 56
      +3
      Quote: mag nit
      Elvirka received another training manual from the IMF, which is scratching the ears of the Russians.

      In fact, it relies on preliminary figures. The situation may improve, but it depends only on India and China.

      From November 15 to December 14, each barrel of Urals, Russia's main export grade, was sold abroad for an average of $57,49, the Finance Ministry said in a monthly report. Over the month, the price fell by 19%, or $19,6, and was at its lowest level since December 2020.
      We are talking about the average price, which takes into account the relatively high quotes of the second half of November. In December, when the sanctions came into force, the cost of Urals dropped to $40 when shipped from the ports of the Baltic Sea, and as of the middle of the month rose to $45, according to Bloomberg data.
      ESPO oil, which is exported by tankers from Far Eastern ports, is more expensive - about $70 per barrel. But its volumes are much smaller than Urals, which accounts for 60% of Russian oil exports.

      The federal budget, where oil revenues account for every third ruble, already felt “pain” in November: taxes from oil companies turned out to be 25% lower than a year earlier - 569,6 billion rubles against 763,5 billion.

      1. Old Horseradish
        Old Horseradish 16 December 2022 20: 00
        0
        How is the Israeli economy doing? Roma Abramovich regularly supports the loot as a true citizen of the Holy Land? Or prefers Portugal?
        1. Aaron Zawi
          Aaron Zawi 16 December 2022 20: 09
          +4
          Quote: Old Horseradish
          How is the Israeli economy doing? Roma Abramovich regularly supports the loot as a true citizen of the Holy Land? Or prefers Portugal?

          He's doing well. GDP growth this year is expected to be up to 6%. But inflation is high. Above 5%.
          As far as I know, Mr. Abramovich invested only in buying a house for himself. In general, Russian Jewish billionaires are not known for investing in the Israeli economy. Except in real estate.
          1. Tusv
            Tusv 16 December 2022 20: 19
            +3
            Quote: Aaron Zawi
            He's doing well. GDP growth this year is expected to be up to 6%. But inflation is high. Above 5%.

            As accountants say, reducing debit (GDP growth. I lived like this) with credit (inflation. Chitob We lived like that), the balance is still zero
            1. Aaron Zawi
              Aaron Zawi 16 December 2022 21: 09
              0
              Quote: Tusv
              Quote: Aaron Zawi
              He's doing well. GDP growth this year is expected to be up to 6%. But inflation is high. Above 5%.

              As accountants say, reducing debit (GDP growth. I lived like this) with credit (inflation. Chitob We lived like that), the balance is still zero

              What? laughing
              1. Tusv
                Tusv 16 December 2022 21: 27
                +1
                Quote: Aaron Zawi
                What?

                By the way Chavo, Aron hi . This is the Russian analogue of the FAQ. Frequently asked Questions.
                I answer. Debit on the left (it's mine). Credit on the right (this is someone else's, their mother) drinks Friday
                1. Aaron Zawi
                  Aaron Zawi 16 December 2022 21: 30
                  +1
                  Quote: Tusv
                  Quote: Aaron Zawi
                  What?

                  By the way, Chavo. This is the Russian analogue of the FAQ. Frequently Asked Questions.
                  I answer. Debit on the left (it's mine). Credit on the right (this is someone else's, their mother) drinks Friday

                  1. Tusv
                    Tusv 16 December 2022 21: 32
                    +2
                    Not. I have Smelt with caviar, beer and the light is on. Candles do not need to be kept because intimacy Tupa will press the switchhi
                    1. Aaron Zawi
                      Aaron Zawi 16 December 2022 22: 02
                      0
                      Quote: Tusv
                      Not. I have Smelt with caviar, beer and the light is on. Candles do not need to be kept because intimacy Tupa will press the switchhi

                      Your grandmother didn't raise you well. tongue
                      1. Tusv
                        Tusv 16 December 2022 23: 57
                        +1
                        Quote: Aron Zaavi (
                        Your grandmother didn't raise you well.

                        My grandmother raised me well. Wrap my nostrils with cold water with 76% laundry soap every day and in the summer on a bike and somehow cope with the pandemic. I have a good grandmother. Leningrad defended
                      2. Aaron Zawi
                        Aaron Zawi 17 December 2022 00: 06
                        +1
                        Quote: Tusv
                        Quote: Aron Zaavi (
                        Your grandmother didn't raise you well.

                        My grandmother raised me well. Wrap my nostrils with cold water with 76% laundry soap every day and in the summer on a bike and somehow cope with the pandemic. I have a good grandmother. Leningrad defended

                        Did you give Hanukkan geld?
          2. Old Horseradish
            Old Horseradish 16 December 2022 20: 19
            0
            It's too bad that they only invest in real estate. After all, real estate is not an economy. So the kids for milk. So I'm right. All the loot ends up in Portugal.
          3. tralflot1832
            tralflot1832 16 December 2022 20: 57
            0
            Do not convince anyone, Abramovich's ears are sticking out in everything. And the fact that he was forced to pay all the money from the sale of Chelsea to contribute up to the last pound to the fund for helping Ukraine, and this is $ 3,5 ilrd is not interesting to anyone. He just sat in England, overgrown with acquaintances So they unblocked his accounts and "intercession" is not necessary for him. That's why he moved to Turkey. Now let's see where his "battleship" from Turkey goes. There are people in Russia who have a fortune of 40 billion. .
      2. Tusv
        Tusv 16 December 2022 20: 08
        +1
        ESPO oil, which is exported by tankers from Far Eastern ports, is more expensive - about $70 per barrel. But its volumes are much smaller than Urals, which accounts for 60% of Russian oil exports.

        So ESPO is higher than the Brend standard in quality. 10% discount is a lot.
      3. tralflot1832
        tralflot1832 16 December 2022 20: 14
        +3
        hi Aron, on the website of Nabiulin and Siluanov, like a red rag. No one is interested in the report of the Ministry of Finance of December 15, on duties on petroleum products from January 1, on futures in the oil markets. us oil and why not for rubles. Oilmen have long been trading oil painlessly for themselves. The words of an English oil trader in the 90s: We do not trade in water! They forced the oil oligarchs to act. Divide oil flows by grade, improve quality. Yes, and the Ministry of Finance needs 2 trillion in excess of the budget in December, I’m looking for why they need it.
        1. Zakirov Damir
          Zakirov Damir 16 December 2022 20: 41
          +1
          Quote: tralflot1832
          Aron, on the website of Nabiulin and Siluanov, like a red rag. No one is interested in the report of the Ministry of Finance of December 15, on duties on petroleum products from January 1, on futures in the oil markets. us oil and why not for rubles. Oilmen have long been trading oil painlessly for themselves

          So you would post an article on this topic on VO. Who needs to read with interest.
          1. tralflot1832
            tralflot1832 16 December 2022 20: 43
            0
            I am a reader, not a writer. By the way, you need to look at how gasoline is traded on the St. Petersburg Stock Exchange, the wholesale price has been constantly falling lately.
            1. Alf
              Alf 16 December 2022 22: 16
              +1
              Quote: tralflot1832
              The wholesale price has been steadily dropping lately.

              What about retail?
      4. Kaufman
        Kaufman 17 December 2022 08: 43
        0
        Neither India nor China until they can eat as much oil as we have lost in the market. With all desire. The pipelines are loaded. Tankers are also limited. The transition of oil supplies from west to east will take several years, and maybe decades. Requires a huge amount of investment. Of course, China is interested and will pump. For future deliveries. Getting down from one needle, we climb onto another ...
    2. Alf
      Alf 16 December 2022 20: 14
      +1
      Quote: mag nit
      here it scratches the ears of the Russians.

      It would be nice if she only scratched our ears, but the government acts on the basis of her recommendations ...
      1. Tusv
        Tusv 16 December 2022 21: 09
        +2
        Quote: Alf
        It would be nice if she just scratched our ears

        So the central bank does not work with individuals, therefore His Majesty the Russian people are not supposed to scratch their ears according to the law. Banks are already scratching our ears and spamming on phones and clogging TV air with low-quality advertising, too. What is 4,5% of Post Bank if Elvirka gives banks a loan at 7,5%? Dumb lie. Interest is taxed in full.
  9. Old Horseradish
    Old Horseradish 16 December 2022 19: 47
    +4
    The oligarchic beings have transferred 300 lards to the West (and possibly even trillions of dollars before that). That's where they stole them. Even the West won't find two hundred yards yet. Ask one simple question: What is their tire that they live so nicely in a low-fat country where even the army needs to collect a penny of the people's money so that it fights?
  10. Sergey Muravyov
    Sergey Muravyov 16 December 2022 19: 47
    +1
    It was high time to "tie" and "untie": the Central Bank to the system of government agencies and the ruble from the oil and gas dollar. But the "sectarians" of the liberal economists are holy and infallible...
  11. hector
    hector 16 December 2022 19: 58
    +2
    The fall in exports in monetary terms will also lead to a reduction in budget revenues. This is the very truth that both Russian economic actors and the government should accept in order to plan and take the right actions.

    Getting income from the sale of products within the country, the development of production for this, is not considered at all as an option?
    1. Alf
      Alf 16 December 2022 20: 17
      +3
      Quote: ettore
      production development for this

      It was clearly stated at the highest levels that we will not develop production, the injection of money into the domestic economy will cause rampant inflation. Production in Russia must be kept starving, but if it dies, it means it is uncompetitive ...
  12. Carlos Hall
    Carlos Hall 16 December 2022 20: 08
    0
    This lady works for the enemy. Send her to the dungeon.
    1. certero
      certero 16 December 2022 20: 33
      +1
      Quote from Carlos Sala
      This lady works for the enemy. Send her to the dungeon

      As it turned out, this lady works best for Russia.
      Much better than the Department of Defense. just compare the results and see everything at a glance
      1. Asad
        Asad 17 December 2022 07: 18
        0
        I agree with you, of all ministries and departments, the Central Bank has worked the best.
  13. fif21
    fif21 16 December 2022 20: 09
    +2
    As they learned with their false predictions. Not one of their inflation forecasts came true, which does not prevent the United Russia from turning them into a law on the indexation of social benefits. Who is lying to us that 300 lard of foreign exchange reserves have been stolen from the Russian Federation? In the west they say that only 100 lard have been found. Where's the money ? Zin! am
  14. begemot20091
    begemot20091 16 December 2022 20: 15
    +4
    but how did they give tons of currency to geyropa along with silanov? Why didn't she tell?
    1. alexoff
      alexoff 18 December 2022 02: 15
      0
      Well, it's not been given as a gift yet. Although I have not heard that Europe was put on the counter
  15. certero
    certero 16 December 2022 20: 16
    0
    How I hated Mrs. Nabiullina because the gold and foreign exchange reserves ended up in the west.
    But now, after a lapse of time, you understand that if anyone prepared well for the special operation, it is our Central Bank and our banking system.
    And I am absolutely sure that if the head of the Central Bank had been warned, she would have figured out how to withdraw gold and foreign exchange reserves.
    Hence the conclusion - professionals should be engaged in affairs, no matter what political preferences they have in their heads.
    1. hector
      hector 16 December 2022 20: 45
      +3
      Quote: certero
      And I am absolutely sure that if the head of the Central Bank had been warned, she would have figured out how to withdraw gold and foreign exchange reserves.

      About this was warned for a year, approximately, but who are they such that the celestials listen to the lower ones.
      The situation with the SVO showed that couch experts often turned out to be cooler than smart people at the top.
  16. Luka Nord
    Luka Nord 16 December 2022 20: 25
    -3
    It’s normal for us in the provinces, and whoever is in Moscow, it’s hard there bully
    Food safety at the level!
    It is difficult for those who are used to Moscow-Israel-USA.
    Well, to our escaped oligarchs, they are now being plucked like turkeys for Christmas !!!
    So guys, the devil is not our brother, and Russia is being cleansed of scum and thieves
    1. Alf
      Alf 16 December 2022 20: 33
      +2
      Quote from Luka Nord
      Food safety at the level!

      Ask where the seed fund comes from, you will be "somewhat" surprised.
      Now the share of Russian seeds is approximately 63%. But the Doctrine of Food Security says that we must have at least 75% of our seeds. At the same time, while Russia holds leading positions in wheat (97% of the market), the picture for some crops is not so rosy. For example, the situation with self-sufficiency in potato and sugar beet seeds, the head of the Federation Council Committee on Agrarian Food Policy and Environmental Management, Alexei Mayorov, recently called it close to catastrophic. Sunflower imports account for more than 70%, and for sugar beets and potatoes - more than 90%.

      Same for chicken, beef...
      1. alexoff
        alexoff 18 December 2022 02: 19
        0
        It is not clear why seed potatoes cannot be purchased at the nearest supermarket, I saw in the garden that if you bury potatoes in the ground in spring, then in the fall there will be a lot of them. I understand that producers can sell feminized seeds of bisexual plants so that later farmers cannot re-sow them due to the lack of male plants, but potatoes propagate with tubers that will not go anywhere - they are clones of mother plants
        1. Alf
          Alf 18 December 2022 13: 42
          0
          Quote from alexoff
          why seed potatoes cannot be purchased at the nearest supermarket

          Because what you buy in the supermarket is grown from the same foreign seeds.
          1. alexoff
            alexoff 18 December 2022 18: 46
            0
            So what? In the end, any potato is grown from foreign seeds, it was brought from another continent
            1. Alf
              Alf 18 December 2022 21: 19
              0
              Quote from alexoff
              So what? In the end, any potato is grown from foreign seeds, it was brought from another continent

              That's exactly what
              Quote from alexoff
              grown from foreign seeds,
              .Its own seed base has been destroyed ... "optimized".
              1. alexoff
                alexoff 18 December 2022 22: 13
                0
                So they bought seed potatoes over a hillock, what prevents them from reseeding them for another 20 years, until biologists grow their own?
                1. Alf
                  Alf 18 December 2022 22: 15
                  0
                  Quote from alexoff
                  So they bought seed potatoes over a hillock, what prevents them from reseeding them for another 20 years, until biologists grow their own?

                  Well, are you like a child? Either you don't understand, or you're joking. It is written in Russian in white that the RUSSIAN seed-growing centers have been destroyed and no one is thinking of restoring them. Monsanto got it.
                  1. alexoff
                    alexoff 18 December 2022 22: 22
                    0
                    So what prevents the collective farm, which planted monsanto potatoes last year, from harvesting them in the fall and leaving some for re-sowing next year?
                    1. Alf
                      Alf 18 December 2022 22: 37
                      0
                      Quote from alexoff
                      So what prevents the collective farm, which planted monsanto potatoes last year, from harvesting them in the fall and leaving some for re-sowing next year?

                      The last time I answer you, there is no more strength to endure ... You bought a great sweater, but after a dozen washes it became covered with spools and faded. Have you heard of "programmed aging"? So this potato, after a few crops, it simply stops growing, new seeds are constantly needed.
                      1. alexoff
                        alexoff 19 December 2022 00: 53
                        0
                        You can’t bury a sweater in the ground in order to dig out a couple of dozen new ones in six months. If Monsanto somehow learned to grow potatoes without eyes, that it stops growing, then there is 10% non-imported, these 10% can be used for seeds and should be enough for everyone. In general, there are domestic seeds, but they are not sold with such a service, I suppose the certificates are not the same, the yield is 5% lower, and resistance to nematodes is 10% lower, because our cunning farmers simply take imports, and their own remains in warehouses.
  17. fa2998
    fa2998 16 December 2022 20: 57
    +4
    The authorities at least agreed between themselves what to say. Only the president reported that no sanctions were a problem for us. And then the Central Bank predicts losses and a reduction in income. So who to believe? recourse
    1. Sotskiy
      Sotskiy 17 December 2022 11: 02
      +2
      Quote: fa2998
      So who to believe?

      And so you want to believe someone, after 30 years of solid lies? lol
  18. Arkady007
    Arkady007 16 December 2022 21: 35
    +2
    It is necessary to develop the production of means of production, as was done under Stalin.
    We are able to pull ourselves out of any hole if a demanding leader appears in the Government, with specific goals, able to set specific tasks and able to ask for their implementation.
  19. nikniknik
    nikniknik 16 December 2022 21: 41
    +3
    Never expect anything good from Naebullina and Silushka. Since such forecasts, people, wait, they will adopt laws on raising taxes, tariffs, what kind of bans they will come up with even more, they will impose fines and dues on ordinary people. Well, then, they decide to remove apples and beef from the consumer basket, because. they are available only to wealthy citizens, because they are delivered from abroad. Soon they will put a piece of water on the water and calculate the consumer basket. What? They survived in concentration camps (((. For that, Sechinskaya oil flows through pipelines for "dallars", ammonia also flows from Togliatti, grain and fertilizer are free to "poor countries." Give your people free grain, so cattle will be raised and beef and pork will be. "Give us fertilizer for free, and we'll have bread and sugar. So why, we'll give a loan at a "low interest rate," so, in the end, at 20% or more. Why? We need to feed the bankers. their licenses, and let the state control the advertisements of banks that mislead the people
  20. certero
    certero 16 December 2022 21: 47
    +5
    Quote: Arkady007
    It is necessary to develop the production of means of production, as was done under Stalin.

    there is one small nuance under Stalin we had Soviet power and property in the hands of the state And now we have capitalism
    1. Aaron Zawi
      Aaron Zawi 16 December 2022 22: 04
      -4
      Quote: certero
      Quote: Arkady007
      It is necessary to develop the production of means of production, as was done under Stalin.

      there is one small nuance under Stalin we had Soviet power and property in the hands of the state And now we have capitalism

      Yeah. Plus endless, cheap labor.
  21. Sasha Koblov
    Sasha Koblov 16 December 2022 22: 43
    -1
    Everything was bought on Western exchanges, it's time to negotiate with the Arabs and not sell cheaper than 90, and they (the West) will not go anywhere, they will crawl and ask for at least 88
  22. Radikal
    Radikal 16 December 2022 22: 44
    +4
    However, at the moment the macroeconomic situation in Russia remains quite stable.
    But for some reason, the communal apartment is not stable, I received an increase in rent by 1000 rubles. How does this compare with the stability that the author is thinking about here? winked
  23. Radikal
    Radikal 16 December 2022 22: 47
    0
    Quote: Arkady007
    It is necessary to develop the production of means of production, as was done under Stalin.
    We are able to pull ourselves out of any hole if a demanding leader appears in the Government, with specific goals, able to set specific tasks and able to ask for their implementation.

    A demanding leader in government? belay I mean what position are you talking about? bully About what, or who in general? sad
  24. iouris
    iouris 16 December 2022 23: 03
    0
    Sakhipzadovna does not participate in the meetings of the Security Council. Does she even know that there is a war going on? Do they carry out political information in the Central Bank? Yes, and Anton Siluanov, too, someone is obliged to explain. The Ministry of Finance is a "power ministry".
  25. Arsi55
    Arsi55 17 December 2022 00: 21
    +2
    The Chinese shipping company China Cosco Shipping Corp and the Greek Avin International refused to transport Russian oil from the Far Eastern ports, since the price of oil in that region still exceeded the price ceiling by $10 per barrel. Because of this, in some ports, traffic volumes fell by up to 50%.
  26. Dmitrii
    Dmitrii 17 December 2022 01: 25
    -2
    Quote: Comrade Y
    "Agents" who appointed?

    Obviously not Putin, power in Russia even now is not monolithic.
    1. Kotov_Oleg
      Kotov_Oleg 17 December 2022 05: 00
      +1
      President Vladimir Putin submitted to the State Duma the candidacy of Elvira Nabiullina for the post of head of the Central Bank, according to the website of the lower house of parliament. Read more: https://www.rbc.ru/finances/18/03/2022/62342e7b9a7947b25eef8e6f
  27. Dmitrii
    Dmitrii 17 December 2022 01: 29
    -2
    Nabiulina is a tattered sheep ... tsa. I really hope she ends up being jailed.
  28. Alexey G
    Alexey G 17 December 2022 02: 13
    -2
    An extended period of low prices, or additional strong declines, could lead to a sustained loss of income for exporters, escalate geopolitical tensions, tighten sanctions, worsen the prospects for Russian exports and mean a faster contraction in the trade balance, putting pressure on the ruble

    When will this deceitful woman who is pursuing the Fashington policy in Russia be fired.
    Let those who will offer a low price sit without oil. We will find other buyers.
  29. Sotskiy
    Sotskiy 17 December 2022 10: 52
    +1
    In itself, the depreciation of the ruble seems to be beneficial for exporters. But only if there is something to buy for the received currency.

    belay Oops!
    But what about the Gaidar-Chubais policy of the last 30 years: "Go with your ....... machines, we will buy everything abroad"?
    I remember a masterpiece! Our "partners" have thrown us! laughing
  30. Vladimir Dmitrievich Burtsev
    Vladimir Dmitrievich Burtsev 17 December 2022 12: 00
    0
    Why export oil at a loss? Russia's oil reserves will soon run out anyway. It's time for the State Duma to discuss this topic. How many times they called to get off the oil needle, and all to no avail! The oil mafia led by Novak does not give a damn about state interests, they need billions of dollars in revenue here and now. Who forbids Russian oil tycoons to put oil into processing for fuel and petrochemistry. Revenues from oil refining will give income 5 times more than now. Everything that surrounds us is oil products. Laziness and betrayal of Russia among the oil oligarchs. It's time to completely nationalize oil production and refining in Russia. NOVATEK has set up the production and export of liquefied gas, and now they have 5 times more income per cubic meter of gas. Polypropylene pipes and tires are still imported to Russia, increase the production of petroleum products and get 5 times more income. The oilmen are dumb. Gas associated with oil production is still burned. The time has come to take away licenses for barbarous oil production, and it is time to introduce oil export quotas. It's all Novak's fault. Everything that is written by me, he must have done a long time ago. It's time to fire Novak.
  31. g_ae
    g_ae 17 December 2022 12: 34
    0
    O! The best director of the Central Bank according to the US Federal Reserve for some year. It targets inflation both in the tail and in the mane, rascal.
  32. zenion
    zenion 17 December 2022 15: 32
    -2
    Will negatively affect Russian exporters. But there is not a word about what the people who do not have oil and everything else will do with all this, and even what will happen to dead wood, as well as mushrooms. What will the ants do, how will they get out of this situation. Have they managed to stock up on something that will replace fossils that are not useful to them. What will finally happen to their navigation, in which they do not participate, and finally, where did the 300 billion money go, which they did not have and will not have. What will finally happen to Nabiullina, I have never seen her so upset about this. And in this case, there are many reasons.