Military Review

ISW: If the allies do not support Ukraine in conducting a large-scale winter operation, the ability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to maneuver battles will be limited

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ISW: If the allies do not support Ukraine in conducting a large-scale winter operation, the ability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to maneuver battles will be limited

The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has published another "portion" of analytics regarding the situation in the Ukrainian theater of operations.


Experts from the United States emphasize that the Russian Armed Forces continue to exert a serious onslaught on the Artemovsky and Avdeevsky directions in the DPR. As a matter of fact, the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are in a difficult situation in the above-mentioned areas is not denied in Ukraine either.

Even the “never discouraged” adviser to Zelensky’s office, Aleksey Arestovich, is no longer so confident in his forecast that the RF Armed Forces will not be able to take a single large city under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

In addition, the ISW believes that the West should provide support to Kyiv in conducting a large-scale winter operation, otherwise the Armed Forces of Ukraine will lose the initiative and will no longer be able to conduct maneuverable combat operations.

Tellingly, the opinion of experts from the Institute for the Study of War contradicts statements by US politicians and the military that a lull in hostilities in Ukraine should come in the winter. At least, the large-scale operation of the Ukrainian army in the West is not even mentioned.

Finally, the American experts did not bypass the losses among the Georgian mercenaries near Artemovsk. The ISW announced the injury of one and the death of six Georgian, as they are called there, “volunteers”. The day before, it was reported that several units of the so-called "foreign legion" of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were surrounded near Artemovsk and lost at least a company of personnel, including when trying to break out of the ring.
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  1. evgen1221
    evgen1221 5 December 2022 11: 28
    +3
    How will they support it? Will they sit in the trenches for everything, while the vushniks will warm up in their operas?)))
    1. Denis812
      Denis812 5 December 2022 11: 44
      +4
      They will support it this way: the APU will go forward, and Polish gentlemen with machine guns will "cover" them from behind. In case the ukrovermacht decides to suddenly retreat, then 7.62 in the head will immediately motivate you to increase the combat onslaught.
      1. Myths
        Myths 5 December 2022 12: 20
        +1
        There is more likely a hint at the supply of not only meat, but put more weapons and equipment, which would then be replaced with American ones.
    2. neworange88
      neworange88 5 December 2022 11: 44
      +8
      Vacationers, that is, military regular units of the armies of Poland, Romania, Germany, perhaps even the United States and Great Britain under a false flag - the flag of Ukraine. The jokes are over. Played out in the noble and negotiable. We are not destroying the Ukrainian railway, on the contrary, we are arranging grain deals so that, on the contrary, weapons and equipment flow like water through Odessa. They would show determination, strength, readiness to take radical measures from the very beginning and there would be no such thing as it is now, no one would even think of climbing. But the attitude towards us has changed, since everyone sees that neither fish nor meat. And since we are afraid of upsetting our Western partners, then no one will be afraid of us and they will think that Russia can be squeezed because it is weak, otherwise it would not be so negotiable. Negotiability and restraint are perceived as weakness, but they don’t negotiate with the weak, they beat the weak. We showed neither strength nor determination so that someone would have a desire to sit down with us at the negotiating table, realizing that there was no other way. On the contrary, they showed that it is not necessary to sit down at the negotiating table with us, we can be put under pressure anyway.
  2. dmi.pris1
    dmi.pris1 5 December 2022 11: 28
    +3
    And why shouldn’t they support these utyrks? There is a war against Russia and here any means are good
    1. oleg-nekrasov-19
      oleg-nekrasov-19 5 December 2022 11: 52
      +2
      Of course, they will support them, but the question is, how long is this support? In light of all this support, one important moment is brewing - a powerful blow to the railway infrastructure and bridges, so that this support remains away from the line of contact.
  3. kor1vet1974
    kor1vet1974 5 December 2022 11: 30
    +2
    Are they straining Poland, Georgia and the rest of the "volunteers", throw them in? And a bunch of weapons?
    1. Murmur 55
      Murmur 55 5 December 2022 11: 38
      +2
      kor1vet1974 hi, yes, now they are in the bulk of the geese, by the way, there is no information for two hundred of ours in Artemovsk, these who are not genatsvale for us.
      1. kor1vet1974
        kor1vet1974 5 December 2022 11: 42
        +1
        In general, they are right, stop deliveries to the West and ..kerdyk .. Only sense in this kerdyk, if our top officials said that they were not going to overthrow anyone, but only force them to negotiate. Demedovization? laughing
  4. iouris
    iouris 5 December 2022 11: 32
    0
    Limited! This is important information.
    There is no way to deprive the enemy of the opportunity to "wage a mobile war" ...
  5. Zaurbek
    Zaurbek 5 December 2022 11: 33
    +2
    For attacks on the defended areas of the Russian Federation, Hymars alone will not be enough, 404 has no advantages in artillery, no tanks ....... no aviation.
    If there is no kind of "Agreement" with the abandonment of the territory ... then - I don’t know.
  6. Sergio_7
    Sergio_7 5 December 2022 11: 34
    +2
    Finally, the American experts did not bypass the losses among the Georgian mercenaries near Artemovsk. The ISW announced the injury of one and the death of six Georgian, as they are called there, “volunteers”.

    Good news!
    1. YOUR
      YOUR 5 December 2022 11: 37
      +4
      When they say that they surrounded and defeated, then the loss of 6 killed and 1 wounded is nothing. Small skirmish.
  7. YOUR
    YOUR 5 December 2022 11: 36
    +2
    Not APU, but VFU. The Armed Forces of Ukraine ceased to exist, the AFU Military Formations of Ukraine remained.
  8. Murmur 55
    Murmur 55 5 December 2022 11: 36
    +1
    They will support and how, this is in the hands of EVERYONE except ordinary Ukrainians and Russians. But what will happen next, the question is questions.
  9. rocket757
    rocket757 5 December 2022 11: 42
    +1
    ISW: If the allies do not support Ukraine in conducting a large-scale winter operation, the ability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to maneuver battles will be limited
    . The allies already contain combined forces, according to the full program ... the jumpers, all that remains is to ride, to their tune.
    1. oleg-nekrasov-19
      oleg-nekrasov-19 5 December 2022 11: 57
      +2
      Undoubtedly, especially when American officers directly lead composite units in combat areas, and in these units there are up to 50% of all rabble like Poles, Georgians and British.
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 5 December 2022 12: 10
        +3
        It is clear that there can be no peaceful relations with the West ... sometimes a truce, and even then not for long.
        1. oleg-nekrasov-19
          oleg-nekrasov-19 5 December 2022 12: 23
          +2
          and Ukraine is now the cornerstone for them, they clutched their teeth, but Russia also took the "Ukrainian boar" well by the withers, pats, shakes, just like a bear its prey, until it dies, as it dies, it devours it.
          1. rocket757
            rocket757 5 December 2022 14: 56
            +1
            The West, but figs on them .... but with Ukraine, its people, everything is sad and this trouble is for a long time.
            1. oleg-nekrasov-19
              oleg-nekrasov-19 5 December 2022 15: 12
              +1
              this is how this trouble was done for many years by rewriting history, replacing Slavic values ​​​​and concepts and forming an artificially created language.
  10. Uprun
    Uprun 5 December 2022 11: 52
    +1
    In short, again the hat went in a circle ..... who can do it ...
  11. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 5 December 2022 11: 52
    0
    The West should support Kyiv in conducting a large-scale winter operation
    So the West is already providing almost unlimited assistance with weapons, finances, intelligence and the information component in the media. What other support is needed when the American and European military-industrial complex is working in the interests of Ukraine. It remains only to support their infantry and aircraft.
    1. I dare to_notice_
      I dare to_notice_ 5 December 2022 12: 37
      0
      Who is she?!..
      The American and European military-industrial complex work exclusively in their own interests.
  12. Prisoner
    Prisoner 5 December 2022 12: 08
    +1
    How are they going to support? Will they introduce regular parts of NatY?
  13. Vasilenko Vladimir
    Vasilenko Vladimir 5 December 2022 12: 13
    0
    write directly, if there is no supply of weapons, ammunition, food and ammunition, the Sumerian army will disappear
  14. Ulan.1812
    Ulan.1812 5 December 2022 12: 19
    +1
    They have been supporting the Ukronazis for eight months now.
    Not in the horse's food.
    The only way they can change the situation is to openly introduce NATO troops.
    What they won't do.
    We ourselves have created in them the illusion that they can defeat us.
    So our decisive victories are needed to deprive them of these illusions.
    We are waiting and hope.
    1. saigon
      saigon 9 December 2022 11: 01
      0
      And what can be considered a decisive victory?
      For example, the encirclement of the entire left-bank grouping of ukrovoyak is a victory, and if it is destroyed to zero, then it is decisive.
      Only we don’t have so many soldiers, only acting at the level of the BTG is not possible, in a word, either the demolition of the enemy army is completely moral or the demolition of society, and this is to endure everything in the Stone Age.
      Moreover, in principle, the western regions can already begin if we do not take it.
      1. Ulan.1812
        Ulan.1812 9 December 2022 11: 06
        0
        Quote: saigon
        And what can be considered a decisive victory?
        For example, the encirclement of the entire left-bank grouping of ukrovoyak is a victory, and if it is destroyed to zero, then it is decisive.
        Only we don’t have so many soldiers, only acting at the level of the BTG is not possible, in a word, either the demolition of the enemy army is completely moral or the demolition of society, and this is to endure everything in the Stone Age.
        Moreover, in principle, the western regions can already begin if we do not take it.

        I agree with the western regions.
        1. saigon
          saigon 9 December 2022 11: 11
          +1
          Thank you for agreeing))), otherwise I was afraid that they would argue. In principle, everything that is not planned to be taken should turn into ruins to create problems for the Poles, Hungarians and Romanians with big problems with restoration.
          1. Ulan.1812
            Ulan.1812 9 December 2022 11: 25
            0
            Quote: saigon
            Thank you for agreeing))), otherwise I was afraid that they would argue. In principle, everything that is not planned to be taken should turn into ruins to create problems for the Poles, Hungarians and Romanians with big problems with restoration.

            I have always said that we do not need Galicia. In any state, this Nazi-Bandera cancer that poisons everything around. Ukraine was brought to its current state by the Westerners, with their ideology, which subjugated the whole of Ukraine with the help of the West.
            The fact that Galicia should in no case be annexed to Russia was warned by Nicholas II by his Minister of Internal Affairs Durnovo in his analytical note.
            So I also think that Russia does not need this crap for nothing. They only cause problems.