Military Review

American expert: Confrontation with China is more difficult for the US than the once Cold War with the USSR

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American expert: Confrontation with China is more difficult for the US than the once Cold War with the USSR

As Benjamin Mainardi, an expert from the US Center for Maritime Strategy, notes, preparing for a world in which the United States will have to coexist and compete with other world players, and primarily with China, is more difficult than preparing for a direct conflict.


According to Mainardi, Washington should prepare for a much more difficult confrontation with Beijing than its military games and exercises that simulate a military clash with China.

The expert is sure that the notion of competition with China as a one-time military clash is at best an erroneous approach, and at worst a dangerous mistake of strategic foresight.

Few people seriously consider, for example, the dynamics of an attempted blockade of Taiwan, or that the war might start on another front. The PRC has already begun experimenting with informal blockade mechanisms similar to those used by Russia in the Black Sea during a special operation in Ukraine, the expert notes.

Mainardi recalled that the Biden administration's 2022 National Security Strategy defines the relationship between the United States and China as a "strategic rivalry." However, according to the expert, the winner in this race will be the one who can withstand all-round competition across the entire spectrum of diplomatic, informational, military, economic, financial, intelligence and law enforcement areas in the long term.

The threats posed by China are many and varied, Mainardi said. And in this regard, the confrontation with the PRC is more complicated than the once cold war with the USSR. The Chinese economy is much more resilient than that of the USSR and definitely more closely connected to the global economic system. Competition with China, of course, will require military power, but for this it is necessary to use the full range of national capabilities, from intelligence and diplomacy to international finance and industrial potential, the expert emphasizes.

He said, as the recently released US Administration's National Security Strategy and National Defense Strategy aptly point out, China's challenge to international rules and norms goes far beyond the threat of invading Taiwan. Its militarization of the islands in the South China Sea is contrary to the decision of the Permanent Court of Arbitration against China's claims. It should be noted here that Mainardi apparently forgot how many international norms the United States itself has violated in recent years.

The problem is also the penetration of China around the world through its mechanisms for investing in international development, bringing geopolitical dividends to Beijing. Moreover, China is the leading country in cyberattacks against the United States, its military, industry and population, Mainardi said.

With such diverse threats, each of the relevant US agencies is called upon to play a role in the growing strategic competition with China, the expert concludes.
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  1. The comment was deleted.
  2. Andobor
    Andobor 24 November 2022 17: 40
    +2
    Do not piss the Americans, Russia, and before the USSR, had 5000 nuclear warheads, and China had only 500.
    1. Woroshilow
      Woroshilow 24 November 2022 18: 19
      +1
      They have a different parity, a guarantee of mutual economic destruction, and looking at the events unfolding in the world, for the Americans this is much worse than our warheads.
      1. Damir Shamaev
        Damir Shamaev 24 November 2022 20: 45
        0
        Come on, they will survive without cheap iPhones. Still, it's better to be poor than dead or alive, but bathe in the radiation of alpha, beta, gamma particles.
  3. voice of reason
    voice of reason 24 November 2022 17: 46
    +4
    Mattress makers have yet to make many amazing discoveries. About the fact that an aircraft carrier in a modern war is a big mass grave, and not a "projection of power in the ocean" for example. However, they always fought ineptly and stupidly. Best of all in world wars, they learned to sit behind the backs of the belligerents and then come to the division. there was someone to learn from. From their former owners, the British. The same jackal habits. That is OK. History tends to punish the cunning. Perhaps we will still see how the striped ones will bite their elbows due to the lack of highmars and air defense lost in Sumeria when their front from Alaska to Australia flares up. Then they will remember every projectile, howitzer and rocket that they have now given away and then will be missed.
  4. Ulan.1812
    Ulan.1812 24 November 2022 18: 03
    +3
    So let them resist. You look mattress covers will climb to us less.
  5. Glock-17
    Glock-17 24 November 2022 18: 27
    +2
    I do not think that a long confrontation with Russia in Ukraine is beneficial to the United States. China, meanwhile, is gaining strength and waiting for whose corpse will flow down the river.
    1. Nickelium
      Nickelium 24 November 2022 19: 08
      -3
      The forces of China will instantly end if sanctions are imposed on them.
      1. Glock-17
        Glock-17 24 November 2022 20: 03
        0
        Imposing sanctions on China will have the opposite effect on the US economy. Politically, this will serve as a pretext for even greater rapprochement between China and Russia. So I don't see sanctions as a panacea.
        1. Nickelium
          Nickelium 24 November 2022 21: 18
          0
          So it will be after Russia. The monkey has not yet realized that she was fucked .. that she was shod in general.
          1. Glock-17
            Glock-17 24 November 2022 22: 31
            +1
            There is no doubt that if Russia hypothetically falls, then the next step for the West will be to close China's access to the resources of the Far East. Here Japan is not averse to profit.
            1. Nickelium
              Nickelium 25 November 2022 05: 34
              0
              Here's how to convey it to the monkey. And then she, in the style of our rulers, thinks that everything will resolve itself. But the West is a Doberman. Cling to - won't let go.
      2. gsev
        gsev 24 November 2022 20: 26
        +1
        Quote: Nickelium
        The forces of China will instantly end if sanctions are imposed on them.

        The United States has already imposed all the sanctions they could on China. The supply of modern equipment to China has been stopped. And everything outdated China produces itself and can sell itself in the absence of a naval blockade. A lot is shipped to the US and Europe for resale to Africa, Latin America and Africa. Russia, for example, does not directly purchase power supplies for 700 rubles from China, but prefers to buy them for 2000-3000 rubles under the Minwell trademark. China could simply compensate for the cessation of sales to the US by stopping paying tribute in the form of investments in US real estate and its stock market. Moreover, China should do this before the aggravation of relations with the United States. Now the war in Ukraine allows China to fight against NATO and the United States with foreign Russian hands simply by supplying expired and slightly outdated missiles that will not help in the war with the United States and Japan. Unfortunately, China does not take advantage of this opportunity to allow the US to defeat Russia and then China one by one. All the same, Stalin, without entering the Korean War, soundly supplied the PLA with weapons during this war. China acts short-sightedly without fear that immediately after the defeat of Russia in Ukraine, bases of Uyghur, Tibetan and Manchu separatists and bases of long-range missiles shooting through the territory of the PRC for 3000 km from Siberia and Central Asia will appear on its northeastern border immediately.
        1. Nickelium
          Nickelium 24 November 2022 21: 16
          -1
          And here it is not. And how do you like the Russian version of sanctions for China. How long will the monkey last in this case?
          It is in the absence of a naval blockade. What if she will?
          China supplies missiles??? I'll disappoint you, but it's not.
          If Russia is defeated, Russia becomes hostile to China. And the whole border will burn. And I'm not talking about Afghanistan, India ..
          1. gsev
            gsev 24 November 2022 21: 35
            0
            Quote: Nickelium
            And here it is not. And how do you like the Russian version of sanctions for China. How long will the monkey last in this case?

            Russian sanctions are as insane as the Chinese labor battalions during World War 2 to help Imperial Japan. In the end, Lech Walesa openly demands that the EU destroy 2/3 of the Russians, and few of the 1500 million Chinese will be allowed into the golden billion. Therefore, for Russia and China, any thermonuclear war with NATO is a lesser evil than capitulation in the Second Cold War or a second national humiliation.
            1. Nickelium
              Nickelium 24 November 2022 22: 20
              -2
              For Russia - maybe, but for China - certain death. Therefore, China is doomed.
              1. gsev
                gsev 24 November 2022 22: 45
                0
                Quote: Nickelium
                Therefore, China is doomed.

                In alliance with Russia, China has a good chance to survive in a nuclear war against the United States. Even if China loses 2/3 of its population, it will be able to recover faster than the United States, which will become a country of blacks and Latinos. And then it will be an average between Spain and Liberia. In principle, the United States is developing in this direction even without a war. All calculations in the US aviation industry are made by people educated in Russian and Chinese customs. That is why Musk distances himself from terry support for Russophobia and Ukraine. And even to Rogozin's stupid joke about trampolines, he cleverly and tactfully responded with a desire to meet with the descendants of the team of Chief Designers.
                1. Nickelium
                  Nickelium 25 November 2022 05: 31
                  0
                  China itself does not want this union, fearing that if Russia strengthens, it will lay claim to Manchuria up to Port Arthur.
                  1. gsev
                    gsev 25 November 2022 16: 00
                    0
                    Quote: Nickelium
                    fearing that in the event of a strengthening of Russia, she would lay claim to Manchuria to Port Arthur.

                    Russia, with its subarctic climate and terry capitalism, is now unable to compete with China. Anti-communist propaganda on television and on the Internet discouraged Russian girls from marrying and giving birth. Russia in 50 years will become a Chechen-Uzbek-Azerbaijani-Tajik Russian-speaking country, where scientists and designers will be considered losers and squeezed out of the country, perhaps even to Azerbaijan and Tajikistan and not only to the USA and Europe.
                    1. Nickelium
                      Nickelium 25 November 2022 22: 00
                      0
                      Some complete nonsense. Russia has a thousand-year history. And there were deafening failures and stunning successes. And every time the Gusevs, Milyukovs, Sobchaks, Gozmans got out and said that Russia was not capable of anything. And then Russia made another breathtaking spurt and all these turkey geese climbed back into their rat holes, poisoned by their poison.
                      1. gsev
                        gsev 26 November 2022 18: 30
                        0
                        Quote: Nickelium
                        And there were deafening failures and stunning successes.

                        There were successes when the authorities curtailed the rights of the parasitic classes in favor of those who fought or worked or directed the masses of people to produce not luxury goods, but what was necessary for production and the army. Remember the movie "Tobacco Captain" or the play "Undergrowth". So far, our government is more sensitive to the supply of gas to Ukraine and ammonia to the United States than to its own aircraft industry. Managers transporting gas through Ukraine to factories in the Czech Republic, Bulgaria and Germany to produce weapons that kill our soldiers get more Russian aircraft designers.
                      2. Nickelium
                        Nickelium 26 November 2022 20: 14
                        0
                        The key here is "yet". If the authorities fail to cope, then history ruthlessly throws them into the dustbin like Vasily Shuisky or Kerensky. And history does not care about ammonia and villas in Nice. And the one who played on the occasion of the allies ends up in the mine of Alapaevsk.
                      3. gsev
                        gsev 26 November 2022 21: 49
                        0
                        Quote: Nickelium
                        And history does not care about ammonia and villas in Nice.

                        It seems that the shareholders of Gasprom divided the dividends into treats for about 10 billion dollars. With these funds, the DPRK could develop in 9 months the entire line of drones that the army in Ukraine needs so much. But our diplomats in Pyongyang have not stopped threatening Kim to continue to comply with all sanctions against this country.
                      4. Nickelium
                        Nickelium 26 November 2022 22: 07
                        0
                        I already wrote above that history will throw the losers in the trash. What's the point of tasty treats if they're taken away?
                      5. gsev
                        gsev 26 November 2022 22: 17
                        0
                        Quote: Nickelium
                        What's the point of tasty treats if they're taken away?

                        What sweets did Chubais, Pugacheva, Khamatova, Galkin, Tinkov and hundreds of thousands of those who fled after the announcement of mobilization lose? They confiscated their apartments and settled there the Moscow riot police who live on bird's rights in a hostel squeezed out from the tram depot?
                      6. Nickelium
                        Nickelium 27 November 2022 04: 12
                        0
                        Vestimo large. Don't worry about confiscation. Do you really think that such goodness will go unnoticed? Especially the goodness of foreign agents.
  6. Jsem_CZEKO68
    Jsem_CZEKO68 24 November 2022 20: 00
    0
    USA by se měla starat o občany USA a né se hrát na policajta celého světa! Už je každý nenávidí, protože sami nedodržují pravidla, které rádi vyžadují po jiných. U Cínských hranic nemají co dělat.
    1. Nickelium
      Nickelium 24 November 2022 21: 19
      0
      Dude, are you really Czech or are you just trolling couch warriors here?
      1. Jsem_CZEKO68
        Jsem_CZEKO68 24 November 2022 21: 32
        0
        Ano, jsem Čech a doufám že netroluju. Nestydím se za svoje názory. Nepodlézám ani Rusům, ani Ukrajincům, jen se snažím vycházet z pravdy, že konflikt na Ukrajině vznikl už v 2014..a možná ještě dříve. Jsem rád že si můžu přečíst názory občanů RF a občas i Ukrajinské. Oceňuji, že je to tady dost objektivní, není snaha tu lhát.
        1. Nickelium
          Nickelium 24 November 2022 22: 21
          0
          Dude, I didn't understand anything, but it's cool.
          1. gsev
            gsev 24 November 2022 22: 54
            +2
            Quote: Nickelium
            Dude, I didn't understand anything, but it's cool.

            If you are really interested, then with the help of the Internet Yandex translator, everything can be translated into Russian in a couple of clicks. The Chinese really like the German internet translator dippl.
            1. Nickelium
              Nickelium 25 November 2022 05: 23
              0
              I am aware of Promt and Google translators. But this must be forwarded to the Czech gentleman, since he writes to the Russian edition.
              1. gsev
                gsev 25 November 2022 16: 05
                0
                Perhaps the Czech does not want to be read by those who are too lazy to translate using the Internet. So he can save himself from reading stupid comments on his statements.
                1. Nickelium
                  Nickelium 25 November 2022 21: 51
                  0
                  The Czech does not want to be read, but stubbornly writes to a Russian-language publication. Logic is bullshit.
                  Well, about stupid comments: I don’t think that such a brilliant idea came to the Czech’s head. Is he aware of the local battles between the Novodvorsky and the Girkins?
        2. gsev
          gsev 24 November 2022 22: 51
          +1
          Quote from Jsem_CZEKO68
          Ano, jsem Čech a doufám že netroluju. Nestydím se za svoje názory. Nepodlézám ani Rusům, ani Ukrajincům, jen se snažím vycházet z pravdy, že konflikt na Ukrajině vznikl už v 2014..a možná ještě dříve. Jsem rád že si můžu přečíst názory občanů RF a občas i Ukrajinské. Oceňuji, že je to tady dost objektivní, není snaha tu lhát.

          Je hezké vědět, že v České republice-zemi výrazné slovanské kultury-byl zachován otevřený postoj k Rusku.
          1. Glock-17
            Glock-17 24 November 2022 22: 56
            +1
            Please translate. Can you translate please
            1. Jsem_CZEKO68
              Jsem_CZEKO68 24 November 2022 23: 04
              +2
              Preloženo Google, omlouvám se
              Quote from Jsem_CZEKO68
              Yes, I'm Czech and I hope I'm not a troll. I am not ashamed of my opinion. I'm not being condescending to either Russians or Ukrainians, I'm just trying to assume that the conflict in Ukraine started in 2014... maybe even earlier. I am glad that I can read the opinions of citizens of the Russian Federation, and sometimes Ukrainians. I appreciate that everything here is quite objective, there is no attempt to lie.

              It's nice to know that in the Czech Republic, a country with a strong Slavic culture, an open attitude towards Russia has been preserved.
              1. Nickelium
                Nickelium 25 November 2022 05: 25
                -1
                It seems to me that Pan is somewhat mistaken about the strong Slavic culture in the Czech Republic. There is still more of a German imprint can be traced. In general, Slavic culture is strongest in the Balkans, although there are often people of non-Slavic origin there.
          2. Jsem_CZEKO68
            Jsem_CZEKO68 24 November 2022 23: 20
            0
            Děkuji vám za názor. Mnoho občanů ČR (většinu) to velmi mrzí, co se stalo po volbách v ČR a naši politici vedeni USA a CIA velmi poškodili vztahy s Ruskem. Navíc to udělali velmi urážlivým způsobem pro Rusko a my obyčejní lidé víme, že máte právo nás nenávidět. Ale i proto jsem tady , abych vám tady řekl Jen fašistický západ vráží mezi nás Slovanské národy klín, ale lidé u nás neztrácejí víru a naději na SVOBODU a normální život, protože si pamatují historii..