Liao Yiwu: China should fall apart!
I. Premium Strategy
The epithets of the dissident Liao Yiwu in relation to his native China are far from being the most flattering. Having received the prestigious and rather large German award given to writers by local publishers and booksellers on 14 in October, this comrade spoke of his faraway homeland as a “trash heap” and a “dictatorial empire”, whose fate is unenviable: it will collapse.
These words of a political migrant were welcomed by the President of Germany and members of the government. Inspired by the support of the audience and the receipt of 25.000 euro, Yiwu She urged to the fragmentation of China. To crush China, in his opinion, is necessary in order to ensure the security of all mankind. These words, spoken in Germany, came just a few days after the joint statement by the foreign ministers of Germany and China, in which Berlin wished to deepen the already deep cooperation with Beijing. Moreover, Guido Westerwelle visited China to mark the anniversary of the 40 anniversary of diplomatic relations between Germany and China. Herr Westerwelle called the relationship of Germany and China not as something, but a “strategic partnership.”
Journalists and analysts talk and write a lot about the double standards of the West. Is this what, by "strategic partnership" Berlin implies efforts to break up non-brotherly China? However, Liao Yiwu is far from Solzhenitsyn, and the German prize is not at all Swedish.
Meanwhile, China is the second supplier of goods to Germany and the fifth buyer of German goods. To desire the collapse of China with a similar economic trend (growing, by the way), at least short-sighted. Now only one “Volkswagen” plans to invest a billion dollars in the Chinese economy. Where will he invest in the disintegration of China - at the request of the dissident Yiwu?
According to German Foreign Policy magazine, Liao Yiwu is a typical representative of those social groups in China who can be successfully used against the Chinese government. The group of dissatisfied includes wealthy urban residents of the middle class. Their increasing economic and political appetites may well contribute to that future strategic alliance with the West (with the same Germany, we add, as an advanced EU country) against the government of the PRC.
Thus, the German government sees the strengthening of "strategic partnership" through such a "disintegration" of China, which would lead to democratization there by the victory of the middle class. In the meantime, in order to pave the way, Berlin is winning the sympathies of Chinese human rights activists and cultural and art figures who are more than benevolent in their attitude towards the West. Through caressed and rewarded "Trojan Horses", Berlin expects to gain wide access to the Chinese middle class, which - in the West they have little doubt - will come to power sooner or later, displacing the corrupt ruling elite with its autocracy and other political sins, to the point of strangulation freedom of speech. And better to change the power sooner than later.
Western political flirting with a Chinese dissident is taking place against the background of changes in China: the other day, Hu Jintao, the chairman of the PRC and the general secretary of the Communist Party, approved the list of new members of the government. However, it’s still premature to talk about changing the political course.
List signed Hu Jintao, his deputy Xi Jinping and former PRC leader Jiang Zemin. In addition to Xi Jinping, Vice-Premier Li Keqiang, Vice-Premier for Finance Wang Qishan, Party officials Liu Yunshan, Li Yuanchao, Zhang Dejiang and Zhang Gaoli were included in the new leadership appointed for 10 years. Officially, the composition of the Chinese leadership will be announced after approval at the plenary session of the Central Committee of the Communist Party 1 in November, and the transfer of power will take place on November 8 at the XVIII CPC Congress, where Xi Jinping will accept the post of general secretary. Further, in March 2013, at the session of the parliament, Comrade Jinping should be elected chairman of the PRC, and Li Keqiang - prime minister of the State Council. Economic reforms, and even more so political ones, are not expected by analysts from these people. However, all those who now come to power have a common - belonging to approximately one generation. Almost all new leaders suffered during the cultural revolution, and their adult life was already in the country with a market and a kind of capitalism.
Probably, the Germans and the West in general are waiting for change from people from the Shanghai city party committee and children of the former leaders of the PRC who are preparing to sit in the chairs of the country's top leaders - about the same way as Western politicians from Gorbachev in the late eighties waited for changes, and even more former communist party leader. The script is really - time-tested.
The framework of this scenario fits well with the European premium strategy of previous years.
Nobel Peace Prize in 2010 year got Chinese human rights activist Liu Xiaobo. This comrade a year earlier received a prison sentence in 11 years in China for attempting to undermine the state system. Unlike Liao Yiwu, Xiaobo promoted not a fragmentation of China into small states, but a regional confederation.
Germany patronizes Chinese cultural figure Ai Weiwei. Art Review magazine ranked this comrade among the hundred most influential people in the art world. Understandably, and he conflicts with the Chinese authorities.
Against the background of such prosperity of Chinese dissidents in the Western world, the Nobel Prize in 2012 literature of the year Mo Yan, also Chinese, was criticized. They scolded him not for the books, but for the fact that he "obeyed" the authorities and was loyal to the government. Detractors probably forgot that this prize, whatever they wrote about its “political correctness”, is awarded for literary achievements, and not for dissidence.
Shpigel Reporter Suzanne Beyer interviewed Wu Liao Yiwu.
Answering the question “How do you feel about writer Mo Yang, who won the Nobel Prize in literature?”, Yiwu said that he was “stunned.” For him it is “like a slap in the face”. At the same time, the dissident remarked that two years ago he was delighted with the decision to award the Nobel Peace Prize to his close friend, the writer Liu Xiaobo, languishing in detention in China. For yiwu
And suddenly - Mo Yan. Yiwu calls him the "state poet." So, the dissident says, there are no universal values? Or is there something arbitrary, depending solely on the decision of the Nobel Committee?
Here, the reporter asked a very correct question: “Do you make a distinction between a peace prize and a literature prize?”
Comrade Liao replied, sulkily:
We are in China, he said (although he lives in Germany), we are dealing with a dictatorial system - “we, the writers, must have a clear position towards it”.
And what is the political position of Mo Yan? "He is an example of how a regime can influence a writer." This man, said Yiwu, praised Mao.
According to the dissident, the difference between him and Yang is that if the second is familiar only with “glossy, superficial China,” then he, Yiwu, a tough critic of the government, is acquainted with lower-level China, with its dirtiest bottom.
Suzanne Beyer notes in response that Mo Yan is not the author of the compromising series. He may be a conformist, she says, but he does not shy away from criticism in his works.
No, no, argues Yiwu, the writer Yan “artistically” moves away from the fight.
According to Yiwu, only those who oppose the Chinese government are true:
Finally, the dissident believes that rewarding Mo Yan is extremely harmful. After all this
In conclusion, Herr Yiwu said that Chinese party officials were extremely annoyed by his Yiwu award in Germany, which proves how effective such a policy can be in promoting the ideas of civil society and in the search for truth.
The dissident stated:
By the way, in parallel with Yiwu, another award - already in the USA - got Chinese Yu Ji, former vice president of the Independent Chinese PEN Center and author of many books. Yu migrated to the United States in January of this year with his wife and son. In a press statement he gave upon arrival, he described years of painful censorship and told the free people of America about police torture he was subjected to in December 2010.
This dissident was awarded the prize "Civil courage." The award ceremony took place on October 17 in New York.
In his speech, which was called Solzhenitsynsky (as we see another parallel) “Buttling a calf with an oak tree”, Yu Ji warned Western countries about the dangers of tolerance towards human rights violations in China - in exchange for cheap goods and cheap labor.
So, Western ideals have already been appointed among Chinese dissidents. At their head, of course, is the awarded Herr Yiwu. True, it is unlikely that he will be able to influence the policy of the new ruling elite, as well as the West, while China’s disintegration prefers “cheap goods and cheap labor”. What is the basis of the ideas of the German Trojan horse about the collapse of China?
Ii. "A pile of garbage", which is destined to fall apart
Literary Prize of the Association of German Publishers and Booksellers was handed Yiwu how
A Chinese immigrant called in response, "This empire must collapse." With her, he spoke at a ceremony in Frankfurt 14 October, which was attended by the President of Germany.
Liao yiwu started speech from a story about a nine-year-old boy, third-grader Liu Peng, who was killed by a bullet in June 1989 in Tiananmen Square.
Referring to the "Tao Te Ching," Yiwu said that Lao Tzu described the desire of all mankind to have a home. Native land is as important for the elderly as the mother’s breast for the child. And the satisfaction of this basic human desire does not require the idea of a "great nation." And even the opposite - what is needed is the division of the country into small territories.
That dictatorial empire that we have today, said Yiwu, originally consisted of numerous small states or their fragments. Yes, at that time fires of war raged around, and then one or another state was under occupation or on the verge of annexation. Nevertheless, historians agree that that period (right up to the Epoch of Spring and Autumn and the period of the Fighting Kingdoms) was an unsurpassed time of glory and unprecedented political, economic and cultural flourishing. Since then, there has never been the degree of freedom of speech and discussion, the competition in science and art.
Today? Today, according to Yiwu, every tradition is turned upside down. The Communist Party usurped and shamelessly distorted the Chinese intellectual heritage. Didn’t the party members read the classics, the dissident asks, do they not know that, for example, Confucius was not a representative of the “Chinese nation”, but he lived in the small state of Lu?
Confucius was 56 years old when he argued on political topics with his ruler. Then, fearing for his life, he fled from his country - just to stay alive. He lived in exile, traveling through different states. In this light, according to Yiwu, Confucius should be considered the spiritual ancestor of political dissidents.
The same Chinese empire left in stories huge bloody footprints. The name of the first emperor, Qin, will “stink to the skies” for ages: here it is the construction of the Great Wall, the burning of books, and the murder of scientists.
The construction of the Great Wall, according to Yiwu, was supposed to keep people from contact with the outside world and serve to turn China into a prison. The whole country was forced to work slavishly - for the benefit of this gigantic project. As for the burning of books and the killing of scientists, this was supposed to cut people off from their own traditions.
Emperor Qin published "A Call to All Scientists" on purpose - only to lure 460 philosophers from all parts of the country to the capital and bury them there alive.
Two thousand years later, for such a thing, he received great praise from a new despot - named Mao Zedong. Mao boasted: Qin Shi Huang has buried the entire 460 Confucianists, and we have done away with tens of thousands of counter-revolutionaries.
Therefore, Yiwu concludes: the new state was built on killing people. During the great famine, from 1959 to 1962, about 40 million people died throughout the country. In June, 1989 of the year, once again feeling that power was in danger of overthrow, the Communist Party mobilized 200 of thousands of soldiers and massacred in Beijing.
The days of the Chinese empire, according to Yiwu, are numbered. He states:
Yiwu ended it with the words:
Iii. Who benefits?
Natalia Meden ("Fund of Strategic Culture"), reading the article about Liao Yiwu in the popular and influential German newspaper "Frankfurter Allgemeine", notes:
Germany, whose turnover with China grows annually. will not pursue a frankly "democratic policy" towards the PRC. It is one thing to pay a scholarship (state) and give a premium to a (private) dissident, and quite another to step on the throat of your own capitalist song. The same can be said about the whole of the European Union. The rate of slowdown in China’s economic growth is not so significant as to seriously say that in Europe, China will soon cease to play a significant role. Will not stop. Moreover, the EU has long been entrusting the truly great role of the savior of the eurozone to the PRC. It is not without reason that the chairman of the European Council, Herman Van Rompuy, notes that at the moment China and the eurozone should move further in opening markets and creating equal conditions for all. is he says:
“China is ready to pull the EU out of debt” - such headlines are not uncommon in the press. And the Chinese themselves confirm this.
Back in February, 2012, in the very first minutes of the China-EU summit, held in China, Premier Wen Jiabao said:
China and the EU were called partners, inseparable in their development.
At the same time, Europe has repeatedly expressed in the sense that there is a frightening economic dependence of the EU on the PRC. In response, representatives of the Chinese Communist Party with a smile said that Beijing does not intend to "buy Europe." We are talking only about the financing of the investment stabilization fund, which could save the eurozone from the debt crisis.
However, it is naive to assume that the Chinese will not derive economic benefits from their investments. The Europeans, who are afraid of Chinese expansion into their markets and buying companies, should have previously thought not only about profit, but also about economic independence. When the entire West transferred production to Taiwan, China, India, Singapore (now the remnants are transferred to Vietnam) and when the crisis struck, the past independence was really in question. If twenty years ago, China relied on foreign investment, now Western Europe worships the god of foreign (Chinese) investment. Who would have thought that the situation would change so drastically?
If Europe, anxious to become a Chinese “purchase”, but facing a possible collapse of the euro zone, is counting on money from China, then the United States, which also encourages Chinese dissidents, sees strengthening of China’s geopolitical dominance - at least regional (APR).
Back in early January 2012, US President Obama announced that the planned budget cuts in the country's military spending would not affect the ability of the US to withstand competition with strategic adversaries. Quote:
Rђ RІRѕS, words Republican Committee Chairman in the Parliamentary Committee on Armed Forces, Buck McKeon, who criticized the Obama program to cut military spending:
However, one should be objective: Americans should not blame China for total hostility. Beijing is not at all eager to confront Washington. In addition, US hysteria begins hysteria: tensions in relations between America and China in 2012 are associated with the adoption of a document entitled “Sustaining US Global Leadership: Priorities for 3 Century Defense” in Washington, DC on January 21. This strategy states that the strengthening of the PRC in the long term may affect the economy and security of the United States. The key points in the adopted US military strategy are reduced to a reduction in the number of American armed forces while simultaneously concentrating budget resources on the development of satellites and unmanned aircraft. The strategy also implies a reorientation of resources to the APR.
Analyst Ilya Kramnik считаетthat the “regrouping of US military power toward the Asia-Pacific region” is obvious. Speech, in his opinion, should be the news of the deployment of US forces against China.
As part of the American fleet - 11 aircraft carriers and 10 aircraft carrier strike groups. At sea at the same time can carry out military service no more than six carrier strike groups. Each carrier strike group in combat service is the basis of the military power of one operational fleet of the US Navy. Today, they have deployed five fleets, of which the Seventh is now in the western part of the Pacific Ocean and the eastern part of the Indian, that is, where a confrontation with China is possible. Moreover, if the Fifth Operational Fleet (operating in the Persian Gulf) is the first in force today, then the Seventh is the second. And the naval forces of the People's Liberation Army of China are considered the potential adversary of the Seventh Fleet.
I. Kramnik also believes that another major element of the US military strategy in the APR is the deployment of a joint US-Japanese missile defense system in the Far East.
Add from yourself: time will work not for America, but for China. The United States is cutting Pentagon costs, and they plan to reduce them for another ten years, while China, on the contrary, is increasing defense spending. In a few years, the PRC can enter the “first fiddle” of the world economy and at the same time establish leadership in military spending. There is so much talk about China in this sense that the Americans are already confused, and in one of the latest Pew polls a significant proportion of respondents (41%) noted thethat the leading economic power of the world is China.
But is America interested in the collapse of China - according to Herra Yiwu's scenario? A variety of financial institutions and human rights organizations would like to see China "democratic" and "open", but for three decades of their desire, Beijing has remained authoritarian and relatively closed. Under the new government, it is likely to remain the same.
If the USSR collapsed without being the first economic partner of the Western countries, then the Western economy is very dependent on China. 55% of the turnover of the EU, the USA and Japan, an ally of the USA, accounts just for China. But China is also dependent on the Western economy. The PRC controls the bonds of the US Federal Reserve on 1,15 trillion. dollars. China is so dependent on the global economy that it is ready to pour into America and the EU again and again. True, the trouble is that China’s foreign debt is growing, making 2012 billion dollars in the second quarter of 785,17 of the year.
The internal debt of China is huge, at the beginning of March 2012 of the year amounted to 2,78 trillion. dollars, or 43% of GDP.
The rise of the Chinese economy will be provided only with the rise of the global economy, since domestic consumption in the relatively poor Celestial Empire leaves much to be desired. Now the US remains the flagship of the global economy, but the crisis is a crisis, and the US national debt has exceeded 16 trillions of dollars. If the American and European economies do not get better, then the Chinese economy, which is dependent on foreign market conditions, also faces a strong slowdown, if not a recession.
In the coming years, judging by the forecasts of eminent analysts, the world economy is waiting for the continuationbanquet crisis. The other day, 10 had a hard time promising the global economy the chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, Olivier Blanchard. is he saidthat the world will need at least a decade to get rid of the effects of the financial crisis, and Europe will remain the main source of instability. To deal with the crisis in the eurozone, the expert suggests reducing prices in debtor countries and, conversely, increasing them in economically strong countries - in particular, Germany will have to allow inflation to rise.
With such a gloomy forecast, neither Europe nor the United States can be interested in the disintegration of China. Rather, no matter what the Pentagon thinks here, the whole West is interested in strengthening the Chinese economy. Another thing is if America remains the world leader or not. But in the era of open economy and total competition, someone quickly rushes forward, and someone at the same rapid rate begins to lag behind ...
And what if we assume, as some analysts think about, that something else is being started: for example, the global union of Germany and China? In September 2012, Chancellor Angela Merkel arrived in China with a contract for fifty A320 airliners. In addition, the Germans and the Chinese agreed to further increase the volume of mutual trade. From here conclusion is made: Berlin and Beijing form a tacit global union and implement a coherent policy.
The air transaction, assessed by the parties in 3,5 billion dollars, is just one of the expressions of the processes that have long been taking place in relations between China and Germany. Following the visit of the German Chancellor, Beijing and Germany also outlined plans for financial rapprochement, involving the use of the yuan and the euro in bilateral trade, as well as investments in the Chinese interbank bond market by German banks. Wen Jiabao announced his readiness to continue investing in eurobonds, despite the high crisis risks.
That is, China follows the same course and confirms its readiness to pull the EU out of the crisis swamp. Together with Germany. What a breakdown here! ..
As for awarding a dissident Yiwu, a propagandist of the literary idea of the disintegration of China, it serves as an excellent factor that distracts the West from the convergence of a strong Germany with a strong China. Besides awarding something - private ...
So, we have a total interdependence of the economies of the EU and China and China and the United States - against the background of the rapid strengthening of economic relations between Beijing and Berlin. It is highly unlikely that in this situation, somewhere in Germany or the United States will begin to implement the scenario of the collapse of China on the Soviet model, slipped by the German president as an immigrant Yiwu. Perhaps years after 10, when the crisis will be left behind? .. Wait and see. But all this is extremely doubtful. Breaking China is not beneficial to anyone.
In order to destroy the big country according to the western “democratic” scenario, not without reason claiming to be the world leader in the sphere of economy and armaments (the current military budget of the PRC is over one hundred billion dollars), it is necessary to split it into independent “republics”. S. Gorbachev, behind whom in addition Yeltsin’s figure would loom, preferably in the company of “Chicago boys”. In China, there is no such leader now, including among new candidates for the posts of government members, and nothing speaks about his coming appearance. The conditions are not the same.
The epithets of the dissident Liao Yiwu in relation to his native China are far from being the most flattering. Having received the prestigious and rather large German award given to writers by local publishers and booksellers on 14 in October, this comrade spoke of his faraway homeland as a “trash heap” and a “dictatorial empire”, whose fate is unenviable: it will collapse.
These words of a political migrant were welcomed by the President of Germany and members of the government. Inspired by the support of the audience and the receipt of 25.000 euro, Yiwu She urged to the fragmentation of China. To crush China, in his opinion, is necessary in order to ensure the security of all mankind. These words, spoken in Germany, came just a few days after the joint statement by the foreign ministers of Germany and China, in which Berlin wished to deepen the already deep cooperation with Beijing. Moreover, Guido Westerwelle visited China to mark the anniversary of the 40 anniversary of diplomatic relations between Germany and China. Herr Westerwelle called the relationship of Germany and China not as something, but a “strategic partnership.”
Journalists and analysts talk and write a lot about the double standards of the West. Is this what, by "strategic partnership" Berlin implies efforts to break up non-brotherly China? However, Liao Yiwu is far from Solzhenitsyn, and the German prize is not at all Swedish.
Meanwhile, China is the second supplier of goods to Germany and the fifth buyer of German goods. To desire the collapse of China with a similar economic trend (growing, by the way), at least short-sighted. Now only one “Volkswagen” plans to invest a billion dollars in the Chinese economy. Where will he invest in the disintegration of China - at the request of the dissident Yiwu?
According to German Foreign Policy magazine, Liao Yiwu is a typical representative of those social groups in China who can be successfully used against the Chinese government. The group of dissatisfied includes wealthy urban residents of the middle class. Their increasing economic and political appetites may well contribute to that future strategic alliance with the West (with the same Germany, we add, as an advanced EU country) against the government of the PRC.
Thus, the German government sees the strengthening of "strategic partnership" through such a "disintegration" of China, which would lead to democratization there by the victory of the middle class. In the meantime, in order to pave the way, Berlin is winning the sympathies of Chinese human rights activists and cultural and art figures who are more than benevolent in their attitude towards the West. Through caressed and rewarded "Trojan Horses", Berlin expects to gain wide access to the Chinese middle class, which - in the West they have little doubt - will come to power sooner or later, displacing the corrupt ruling elite with its autocracy and other political sins, to the point of strangulation freedom of speech. And better to change the power sooner than later.
Western political flirting with a Chinese dissident is taking place against the background of changes in China: the other day, Hu Jintao, the chairman of the PRC and the general secretary of the Communist Party, approved the list of new members of the government. However, it’s still premature to talk about changing the political course.
List signed Hu Jintao, his deputy Xi Jinping and former PRC leader Jiang Zemin. In addition to Xi Jinping, Vice-Premier Li Keqiang, Vice-Premier for Finance Wang Qishan, Party officials Liu Yunshan, Li Yuanchao, Zhang Dejiang and Zhang Gaoli were included in the new leadership appointed for 10 years. Officially, the composition of the Chinese leadership will be announced after approval at the plenary session of the Central Committee of the Communist Party 1 in November, and the transfer of power will take place on November 8 at the XVIII CPC Congress, where Xi Jinping will accept the post of general secretary. Further, in March 2013, at the session of the parliament, Comrade Jinping should be elected chairman of the PRC, and Li Keqiang - prime minister of the State Council. Economic reforms, and even more so political ones, are not expected by analysts from these people. However, all those who now come to power have a common - belonging to approximately one generation. Almost all new leaders suffered during the cultural revolution, and their adult life was already in the country with a market and a kind of capitalism.
Probably, the Germans and the West in general are waiting for change from people from the Shanghai city party committee and children of the former leaders of the PRC who are preparing to sit in the chairs of the country's top leaders - about the same way as Western politicians from Gorbachev in the late eighties waited for changes, and even more former communist party leader. The script is really - time-tested.
The framework of this scenario fits well with the European premium strategy of previous years.
Nobel Peace Prize in 2010 year got Chinese human rights activist Liu Xiaobo. This comrade a year earlier received a prison sentence in 11 years in China for attempting to undermine the state system. Unlike Liao Yiwu, Xiaobo promoted not a fragmentation of China into small states, but a regional confederation.
Germany patronizes Chinese cultural figure Ai Weiwei. Art Review magazine ranked this comrade among the hundred most influential people in the art world. Understandably, and he conflicts with the Chinese authorities.
Against the background of such prosperity of Chinese dissidents in the Western world, the Nobel Prize in 2012 literature of the year Mo Yan, also Chinese, was criticized. They scolded him not for the books, but for the fact that he "obeyed" the authorities and was loyal to the government. Detractors probably forgot that this prize, whatever they wrote about its “political correctness”, is awarded for literary achievements, and not for dissidence.
Shpigel Reporter Suzanne Beyer interviewed Wu Liao Yiwu.
Answering the question “How do you feel about writer Mo Yang, who won the Nobel Prize in literature?”, Yiwu said that he was “stunned.” For him it is “like a slap in the face”. At the same time, the dissident remarked that two years ago he was delighted with the decision to award the Nobel Peace Prize to his close friend, the writer Liu Xiaobo, languishing in detention in China. For yiwu
“It was a confirmation that universal human values and moral standards exist, and that the Nobel Prize encourages writers to defend the moral code.”
And suddenly - Mo Yan. Yiwu calls him the "state poet." So, the dissident says, there are no universal values? Or is there something arbitrary, depending solely on the decision of the Nobel Committee?
Here, the reporter asked a very correct question: “Do you make a distinction between a peace prize and a literature prize?”
Comrade Liao replied, sulkily:
"For me, truth is primary, and literature is secondary."
We are in China, he said (although he lives in Germany), we are dealing with a dictatorial system - “we, the writers, must have a clear position towards it”.
And what is the political position of Mo Yan? "He is an example of how a regime can influence a writer." This man, said Yiwu, praised Mao.
“Truth is not one of its priorities.”
According to the dissident, the difference between him and Yang is that if the second is familiar only with “glossy, superficial China,” then he, Yiwu, a tough critic of the government, is acquainted with lower-level China, with its dirtiest bottom.
Suzanne Beyer notes in response that Mo Yan is not the author of the compromising series. He may be a conformist, she says, but he does not shy away from criticism in his works.
No, no, argues Yiwu, the writer Yan “artistically” moves away from the fight.
“So he puts himself above the truth. I don't like that. ”
According to Yiwu, only those who oppose the Chinese government are true:
“If you are going to adhere to the truth, then you need to distance yourself from the Chinese government, and indeed from any form of politics, including even the policies of democratic countries. When China was an honorary guest at the Frankfurt Book Fair three years ago, Mo Yan was part of the official delegation. He was a symbol of the Communist Party and the culture of China ... "
Finally, the dissident believes that rewarding Mo Yan is extremely harmful. After all this
"A bitter example of the fuzzy morals of the West."
In conclusion, Herr Yiwu said that Chinese party officials were extremely annoyed by his Yiwu award in Germany, which proves how effective such a policy can be in promoting the ideas of civil society and in the search for truth.
“I have been living in Germany for over a year,” said Yiwu, “and I got the impression that people here are in search of the truth ...”
The dissident stated:
"Germany is my spiritual home."
By the way, in parallel with Yiwu, another award - already in the USA - got Chinese Yu Ji, former vice president of the Independent Chinese PEN Center and author of many books. Yu migrated to the United States in January of this year with his wife and son. In a press statement he gave upon arrival, he described years of painful censorship and told the free people of America about police torture he was subjected to in December 2010.
This dissident was awarded the prize "Civil courage." The award ceremony took place on October 17 in New York.
In his speech, which was called Solzhenitsynsky (as we see another parallel) “Buttling a calf with an oak tree”, Yu Ji warned Western countries about the dangers of tolerance towards human rights violations in China - in exchange for cheap goods and cheap labor.
So, Western ideals have already been appointed among Chinese dissidents. At their head, of course, is the awarded Herr Yiwu. True, it is unlikely that he will be able to influence the policy of the new ruling elite, as well as the West, while China’s disintegration prefers “cheap goods and cheap labor”. What is the basis of the ideas of the German Trojan horse about the collapse of China?
Ii. "A pile of garbage", which is destined to fall apart
Literary Prize of the Association of German Publishers and Booksellers was handed Yiwu how
“To the Chinese author, who continues to wage an eloquent and fearless battle against political repression and speaks in a loud and clear voice of the oppressed and powerless people of his country.”
A Chinese immigrant called in response, "This empire must collapse." With her, he spoke at a ceremony in Frankfurt 14 October, which was attended by the President of Germany.
Liao yiwu started speech from a story about a nine-year-old boy, third-grader Liu Peng, who was killed by a bullet in June 1989 in Tiananmen Square.
“He will always be nine years old. I would never forget that. That is why I recorded the news of his death. But here, today, I would like to announce news about another death - this time the Chinese empire. A country where they can kill young children en masse should break up into parts, in accordance with Chinese tradition. ”
Referring to the "Tao Te Ching," Yiwu said that Lao Tzu described the desire of all mankind to have a home. Native land is as important for the elderly as the mother’s breast for the child. And the satisfaction of this basic human desire does not require the idea of a "great nation." And even the opposite - what is needed is the division of the country into small territories.
That dictatorial empire that we have today, said Yiwu, originally consisted of numerous small states or their fragments. Yes, at that time fires of war raged around, and then one or another state was under occupation or on the verge of annexation. Nevertheless, historians agree that that period (right up to the Epoch of Spring and Autumn and the period of the Fighting Kingdoms) was an unsurpassed time of glory and unprecedented political, economic and cultural flourishing. Since then, there has never been the degree of freedom of speech and discussion, the competition in science and art.
Today? Today, according to Yiwu, every tradition is turned upside down. The Communist Party usurped and shamelessly distorted the Chinese intellectual heritage. Didn’t the party members read the classics, the dissident asks, do they not know that, for example, Confucius was not a representative of the “Chinese nation”, but he lived in the small state of Lu?
Confucius was 56 years old when he argued on political topics with his ruler. Then, fearing for his life, he fled from his country - just to stay alive. He lived in exile, traveling through different states. In this light, according to Yiwu, Confucius should be considered the spiritual ancestor of political dissidents.
The same Chinese empire left in stories huge bloody footprints. The name of the first emperor, Qin, will “stink to the skies” for ages: here it is the construction of the Great Wall, the burning of books, and the murder of scientists.
The construction of the Great Wall, according to Yiwu, was supposed to keep people from contact with the outside world and serve to turn China into a prison. The whole country was forced to work slavishly - for the benefit of this gigantic project. As for the burning of books and the killing of scientists, this was supposed to cut people off from their own traditions.
Emperor Qin published "A Call to All Scientists" on purpose - only to lure 460 philosophers from all parts of the country to the capital and bury them there alive.
Two thousand years later, for such a thing, he received great praise from a new despot - named Mao Zedong. Mao boasted: Qin Shi Huang has buried the entire 460 Confucianists, and we have done away with tens of thousands of counter-revolutionaries.
Therefore, Yiwu concludes: the new state was built on killing people. During the great famine, from 1959 to 1962, about 40 million people died throughout the country. In June, 1989 of the year, once again feeling that power was in danger of overthrow, the Communist Party mobilized 200 of thousands of soldiers and massacred in Beijing.
The days of the Chinese empire, according to Yiwu, are numbered. He states:
"This inhuman empire, washing its hands in blood, causing so much suffering to the world, this huge pile of garbage has to fall apart."
Yiwu ended it with the words:
“For the helpless and homeless migrant workers from China to no longer have to slave labor around the world, it must disintegrate. <...> This empire must disintegrate - for the sake of peace and tranquility of all mankind and for mothers from Tiananmen Square. "
Iii. Who benefits?
Natalia Meden ("Fund of Strategic Culture"), reading the article about Liao Yiwu in the popular and influential German newspaper "Frankfurter Allgemeine", notes:
“Some readers of Frankfurter Allgemeine write in their comments that China will not be able to break up as easily as the Soviet Union. How to say. In fact, China is very heterogeneous: in theory, fault lines can be drawn along the borders of Uiguria, Tibet, Inner Mongolia. What is there? According to official data, 56 nationalities live in China, and the Han people, to whom statistics include 92% of the population, is a conglomerate, in fact - the political unity of people from different regions. Han people speak different languages: the "universal language" Putonghua for the inhabitants of many regions is the second language. Depending on the typology, linguists distinguish between six and twelve different groups within Putonghua in China. Therefore, the most important guarantee of unity is that the Chinese themselves do not want the collapse of their country. In the XIX century. England was unable to dismember China into parts - the imperial power was preserved, albeit formally. So, an external force, interested today in the collapse of China, should have surpassed the Chinese no less than England surpassed China in the times of the opium wars. ”
Germany, whose turnover with China grows annually. will not pursue a frankly "democratic policy" towards the PRC. It is one thing to pay a scholarship (state) and give a premium to a (private) dissident, and quite another to step on the throat of your own capitalist song. The same can be said about the whole of the European Union. The rate of slowdown in China’s economic growth is not so significant as to seriously say that in Europe, China will soon cease to play a significant role. Will not stop. Moreover, the EU has long been entrusting the truly great role of the savior of the eurozone to the PRC. It is not without reason that the chairman of the European Council, Herman Van Rompuy, notes that at the moment China and the eurozone should move further in opening markets and creating equal conditions for all. is he says:
"Today, our economic interests converge more than ever."
“China is ready to pull the EU out of debt” - such headlines are not uncommon in the press. And the Chinese themselves confirm this.
Back in February, 2012, in the very first minutes of the China-EU summit, held in China, Premier Wen Jiabao said:
"China is ready to take part in solving the problems of the debt crisis in the European Union."
China and the EU were called partners, inseparable in their development.
At the same time, Europe has repeatedly expressed in the sense that there is a frightening economic dependence of the EU on the PRC. In response, representatives of the Chinese Communist Party with a smile said that Beijing does not intend to "buy Europe." We are talking only about the financing of the investment stabilization fund, which could save the eurozone from the debt crisis.
However, it is naive to assume that the Chinese will not derive economic benefits from their investments. The Europeans, who are afraid of Chinese expansion into their markets and buying companies, should have previously thought not only about profit, but also about economic independence. When the entire West transferred production to Taiwan, China, India, Singapore (now the remnants are transferred to Vietnam) and when the crisis struck, the past independence was really in question. If twenty years ago, China relied on foreign investment, now Western Europe worships the god of foreign (Chinese) investment. Who would have thought that the situation would change so drastically?
If Europe, anxious to become a Chinese “purchase”, but facing a possible collapse of the euro zone, is counting on money from China, then the United States, which also encourages Chinese dissidents, sees strengthening of China’s geopolitical dominance - at least regional (APR).
Back in early January 2012, US President Obama announced that the planned budget cuts in the country's military spending would not affect the ability of the US to withstand competition with strategic adversaries. Quote:
“Among the strategic opponents of the United States, Obama singled out Iran and China. Regarding the latter, the president remarked that in the long run, Beijing will have an increasing impact on the US economy and military sphere. ”
Rђ RІRѕS, words Republican Committee Chairman in the Parliamentary Committee on Armed Forces, Buck McKeon, who criticized the Obama program to cut military spending:
“The president should understand that the world has always had, is and will be a leader. While America is retreating, someone else is moving forward. ”
However, one should be objective: Americans should not blame China for total hostility. Beijing is not at all eager to confront Washington. In addition, US hysteria begins hysteria: tensions in relations between America and China in 2012 are associated with the adoption of a document entitled “Sustaining US Global Leadership: Priorities for 3 Century Defense” in Washington, DC on January 21. This strategy states that the strengthening of the PRC in the long term may affect the economy and security of the United States. The key points in the adopted US military strategy are reduced to a reduction in the number of American armed forces while simultaneously concentrating budget resources on the development of satellites and unmanned aircraft. The strategy also implies a reorientation of resources to the APR.
Analyst Ilya Kramnik считаетthat the “regrouping of US military power toward the Asia-Pacific region” is obvious. Speech, in his opinion, should be the news of the deployment of US forces against China.
“Most clearly,” the journalist writes, “this trend is expressed in plans to strengthen the US Navy in the Pacific and create a US-Japanese missile defense system, which has an obvious, though not declared, anti-Chinese orientation in this region.”
As part of the American fleet - 11 aircraft carriers and 10 aircraft carrier strike groups. At sea at the same time can carry out military service no more than six carrier strike groups. Each carrier strike group in combat service is the basis of the military power of one operational fleet of the US Navy. Today, they have deployed five fleets, of which the Seventh is now in the western part of the Pacific Ocean and the eastern part of the Indian, that is, where a confrontation with China is possible. Moreover, if the Fifth Operational Fleet (operating in the Persian Gulf) is the first in force today, then the Seventh is the second. And the naval forces of the People's Liberation Army of China are considered the potential adversary of the Seventh Fleet.
I. Kramnik also believes that another major element of the US military strategy in the APR is the deployment of a joint US-Japanese missile defense system in the Far East.
Add from yourself: time will work not for America, but for China. The United States is cutting Pentagon costs, and they plan to reduce them for another ten years, while China, on the contrary, is increasing defense spending. In a few years, the PRC can enter the “first fiddle” of the world economy and at the same time establish leadership in military spending. There is so much talk about China in this sense that the Americans are already confused, and in one of the latest Pew polls a significant proportion of respondents (41%) noted thethat the leading economic power of the world is China.
But is America interested in the collapse of China - according to Herra Yiwu's scenario? A variety of financial institutions and human rights organizations would like to see China "democratic" and "open", but for three decades of their desire, Beijing has remained authoritarian and relatively closed. Under the new government, it is likely to remain the same.
If the USSR collapsed without being the first economic partner of the Western countries, then the Western economy is very dependent on China. 55% of the turnover of the EU, the USA and Japan, an ally of the USA, accounts just for China. But China is also dependent on the Western economy. The PRC controls the bonds of the US Federal Reserve on 1,15 trillion. dollars. China is so dependent on the global economy that it is ready to pour into America and the EU again and again. True, the trouble is that China’s foreign debt is growing, making 2012 billion dollars in the second quarter of 785,17 of the year.
“It would seem,” writes in "Expert" Vasily Koltashov, head of the Center for Economic Research at the Institute of Globalization and Social Movements (IGSO), is okay, because the repayment of this debt is guaranteed by state gold and foreign exchange reserves, but since they are placed in foreign debt securities, a significant withdrawal of funds from them will only provoke a panic and the fall of the external demand that will not benefit Chinese manufacturers. ”
The internal debt of China is huge, at the beginning of March 2012 of the year amounted to 2,78 trillion. dollars, or 43% of GDP.
The rise of the Chinese economy will be provided only with the rise of the global economy, since domestic consumption in the relatively poor Celestial Empire leaves much to be desired. Now the US remains the flagship of the global economy, but the crisis is a crisis, and the US national debt has exceeded 16 trillions of dollars. If the American and European economies do not get better, then the Chinese economy, which is dependent on foreign market conditions, also faces a strong slowdown, if not a recession.
In the coming years, judging by the forecasts of eminent analysts, the world economy is waiting for the continuation
With such a gloomy forecast, neither Europe nor the United States can be interested in the disintegration of China. Rather, no matter what the Pentagon thinks here, the whole West is interested in strengthening the Chinese economy. Another thing is if America remains the world leader or not. But in the era of open economy and total competition, someone quickly rushes forward, and someone at the same rapid rate begins to lag behind ...
And what if we assume, as some analysts think about, that something else is being started: for example, the global union of Germany and China? In September 2012, Chancellor Angela Merkel arrived in China with a contract for fifty A320 airliners. In addition, the Germans and the Chinese agreed to further increase the volume of mutual trade. From here conclusion is made: Berlin and Beijing form a tacit global union and implement a coherent policy.
The air transaction, assessed by the parties in 3,5 billion dollars, is just one of the expressions of the processes that have long been taking place in relations between China and Germany. Following the visit of the German Chancellor, Beijing and Germany also outlined plans for financial rapprochement, involving the use of the yuan and the euro in bilateral trade, as well as investments in the Chinese interbank bond market by German banks. Wen Jiabao announced his readiness to continue investing in eurobonds, despite the high crisis risks.
That is, China follows the same course and confirms its readiness to pull the EU out of the crisis swamp. Together with Germany. What a breakdown here! ..
As for awarding a dissident Yiwu, a propagandist of the literary idea of the disintegration of China, it serves as an excellent factor that distracts the West from the convergence of a strong Germany with a strong China. Besides awarding something - private ...
* * *
So, we have a total interdependence of the economies of the EU and China and China and the United States - against the background of the rapid strengthening of economic relations between Beijing and Berlin. It is highly unlikely that in this situation, somewhere in Germany or the United States will begin to implement the scenario of the collapse of China on the Soviet model, slipped by the German president as an immigrant Yiwu. Perhaps years after 10, when the crisis will be left behind? .. Wait and see. But all this is extremely doubtful. Breaking China is not beneficial to anyone.
In order to destroy the big country according to the western “democratic” scenario, not without reason claiming to be the world leader in the sphere of economy and armaments (the current military budget of the PRC is over one hundred billion dollars), it is necessary to split it into independent “republics”. S. Gorbachev, behind whom in addition Yeltsin’s figure would loom, preferably in the company of “Chicago boys”. In China, there is no such leader now, including among new candidates for the posts of government members, and nothing speaks about his coming appearance. The conditions are not the same.
Observed and translated by Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
- especially for topwar.ru
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