Military Review

American analyst: I do not believe that Russia will sell at least one barrel of oil if the West imposes a price ceiling

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American analyst: I do not believe that Russia will sell at least one barrel of oil if the West imposes a price ceiling

Oil market analyst Julian Lee warns US and European authorities of possible serious problems in the event of a real introduction of the so-called ceiling on Russian oil prices.

According to Julian Lee, cited by the major Bloomberg publication, Western governments, intending to impose a ceiling on oil prices from Russia, "expect to slide smoothly into the winter."

Lee:

But I do not believe that even one barrel of Russian oil will be sold at a fixed price. The Kremlin is betting that if the Siberian pumps stop, it will hit oil consumers (in the West) more than Russia itself.

The American expert notes that today not a single person in the world can guarantee that oil prices will go down after the introduction of the price ceiling. According to Julian Lee, the market will react nervously to the approaching December 5, which may result in jumps in oil prices.

By the weekend, the price of a barrel of oil corrected to around $92,2 per barrel on the Brent benchmark. Earlier it was reported that Russia could create its own standard of oil and, if the West refuses to trade it on market principles on Western exchanges, it will bring it to other stock exchanges. Such a step, according to experts, is capable of striking both the Western exchanges themselves and the petrodollar. It is predicted that the volume of world trade in dollars in this regard may fall from the current 38% to 33% in the next year or two.
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  1. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 17 October 2022 07: 03
    +8
    Western governments, about to impose a ceiling on oil prices from Russia, “expect to smoothly slide off in the winter”
    I don’t know what Europe is counting on, but it’s not the first time for the Americans to violate their own sanctions when they start to bake. From our side, the warning sounded loud and clear - we will not sell to those who will introduce a fixed price for oil (gas). Therefore, the American is right when he says that
    But I do not believe that even one barrel of Russian oil will be sold at a fixed price.
    1. smart ass
      smart ass 17 October 2022 07: 55
      +4
      Why won't the European Union impose a price ceiling on US LNG?! These prices do more damage than oil prices
    2. Zoldat_A
      Zoldat_A 17 October 2022 08: 12
      +5
      Quote: rotmistr60
      From our side, the warning sounded loud and clear - we will not sell to those who will introduce a fixed price for oil (gas).

      They would have heard.
      Apparently, they were beaten off by American "promises"
      MOSCOW, 12 October. /TASS/. Russian President Vladimir Putin quoted Nobel laureate Milton Friedman on the reasons for the shortage of goods in the markets, commenting on the idea of ​​the West to impose a price ceiling on Russian energy resources.

      “In this regard, I will quote the American economist, Nobel Prize winner Milton Friedman: “If you want to create a shortage, for example, of tomatoes, then you just need to pass a law according to which retailers cannot sell tomatoes for more than two cents per pound. You will immediately get a shortage of tomatoes. It's the same with oil or gas. "Let me remind you that Milton Friedman passed away in 2006, he had nothing to do with the Russian government, and he certainly cannot be listed as an agent of Russian influence," Putin said on Wednesday, speaking at forum "Russian Energy Week".
      1. Vasyan1971
        Vasyan1971 17 October 2022 08: 36
        +4
        Quote: Zoldat_A
        Milton Friedman passed away in 2006, he had nothing to do with the Russian government and can no longer be listed as agents of Russian influence

        Delov then! Recorded posthumously... request
        1. Zoldat_A
          Zoldat_A 17 October 2022 09: 13
          +4
          Quote: Vasyan1971
          Quote: Zoldat_A
          Milton Friedman passed away in 2006, he had nothing to do with the Russian government and can no longer be listed as agents of Russian influence

          Delov then! Recorded posthumously... request

          If "dead souls" voted for Biden and he communicates with the dead at a press conference, then why not?
  2. Pilot
    Pilot 17 October 2022 07: 07
    -1
    Duc, depending on what price limit there will be, if at 60 Baku (in the United States they planned to limit), then I think they will sell it, they sold it cheaper - our bourgeoisie must eat somewhere. They extract oil and do not produce it, why will they regret it for free if the income is higher than the cost of production and transportation. For now, they are afraid that they will not sell it.
    1. Ratmir_Ryazan
      Ratmir_Ryazan 17 October 2022 07: 15
      +15
      If our people follow the lead of the West, then the restrictions will only intensify. From December 5, 60 dollars, then 40, then 30, etc.

      Russia consumes half of the produced oil 5 million barrels out of 10 million itself + there are exports to non-traditional countries - India, China and others, this is quite enough, part of which they resell to the same West.

      Under no circumstances should Russia agree to blackmail the West.
      1. dimy44
        dimy44 17 October 2022 07: 26
        +8
        No way
        Exactly. Fell for blackmail - you will pay for life.
      2. AlexVas44
        AlexVas44 17 October 2022 07: 42
        0
        Quote: Ratmir_Ryazan
        Under no circumstances should Russia agree to blackmail the West.

        Oh, your words would be in God's ears ... By the way, the budget for 2022 is drawn up based on the oil price of $ 70.
    2. Monster_Fat
      Monster_Fat 17 October 2022 07: 25
      -8
      It seems that China is buying at this price (about $60). They write that they are already reselling Russian oil to everyone who wants it, and will continue to resell it. But setting a "ceiling" of prices is, in fact, a positive thing, because the transition to "set" prices, instead of "exchange" prices, which allow speculators who suck money out of consumers' pockets, to make money is long overdue. The only unpleasant thing is that it starts with Russia, but that's how it all happened.
      1. Ev23
        Ev23 17 October 2022 07: 37
        +5
        fixed prices are a rejection of the market. they said correctly above, first you will sell at 60, and then at 20. in this regard, the market is a more honest system. 90 bucks a barrel is not enough. you need to bring the price to 110-120
      2. yuriy55
        yuriy55 17 October 2022 07: 46
        +4
        Quote: Monster_Fat
        But setting a "ceiling" of prices is, in fact, a positive thing.

        Perhaps such a moment would be positive inside Russia in order to reduce financial spending on industry, transport and agriculture.
        In world markets, there are different rules.
        Something Biden did not make such a proposal at the extended meeting of OPEC ... Why would it suddenly?
        Russia needs to clean its own economy and banking sector from speculators. This is helped by a progressive personal income tax scale (for example, as in China or GB) and limiting the number of banking institutions.
        In addition, there are a lot of parasites who consider their false rights to resources and property to be rights from God. Fuck there. These are the rights issued by the thieves' EBN regime.
        1. ruha
          ruha 17 October 2022 08: 45
          +2
          It seems like deja vu... Why are the prices for oil products rising in Russia? After all, we have our own oil...; The price of exports is high and the shareholders do not want to lose income .... The price of exports has fallen, why are the prices of petroleum products in Russia not falling? - this is how shareholders should make up for losses from falling prices .... Everything is tied to the Wishlist of shareholders. All because there is no competition or government regulations
          1. yuriy55
            yuriy55 17 October 2022 13: 17
            +1
            Quote: ruha
            Why are oil product prices rising in Russia? After all, we have our own oil ...

            I have already said somewhere that our authorities are completely indifferent to the formation of tariffs and prices for housing and communal services (housing and communal services).
            Firstly, there is no single development for payment for services. You take this footcloth and you cannot find payment for the services of specific officials: cleaners of entrances, a janitor, locksmiths ...
            As for the prices for hot water, sewerage, electricity, there is generally a dark forest here. How, for example, is the price of electricity formed in the unified energy system?
            GRES supplies hot water, which is a cooler. We're paying for some made-up crap.
            20% VAT is just a mockery of tenants. Why would? Where are these limits on water or kilowatts? How to determine where and how much the management company owns, and where to the water utility, heating networks and the city power grid?
            This is what kind of "mind" a khanyga should be, who sells air and precipitation to the citizens of the country ...
        2. Monster_Fat
          Monster_Fat 17 October 2022 09: 13
          0
          Quite the contrary, Biden proposed limiting oil prices in OPEC, introducing the so-called "agreed" prices, but the stupid position of the United States and their European mongrels about the "princes", their insults led to the fact that he could not agree
    3. white fall
      white fall 17 October 2022 07: 33
      +3
      No one will sell for a fixed fee - because this is absolutely unacceptable in a market economy, especially when the homeless buyer dictates the price
    4. svoroponov
      svoroponov 18 October 2022 09: 13
      0
      In fact, part of the oil has already been redirected to more sane countries. If they introduce a ceiling, then the other part will leave these not good people.
      I have such an opinion - now the Americans have gutted their "rotten" oil reserves to a very good amount. Its own shale oil is not quite suitable for storage. Somewhere it is necessary to take the fallen volumes. The Europeans, having introduced the ceiling, will begin to lose Russian oil of excellent quality. This is where the States will fuss over the purchase of this oil, canceling the ceiling for their loved ones and bargaining for a discount from the market price at the expense of decent volumes (this has already been done more than once by the Americans). Business, however.
  3. Krilion
    Krilion 17 October 2022 07: 16
    +5
    they would introduce a ceiling of $120 and could sit on the priest evenly ... the exchange price is $95, the ceiling is $120 .. everyone is happy ...
    1. Zoldat_A
      Zoldat_A 17 October 2022 08: 15
      +1
      Quote: Krilion
      they would introduce a ceiling of $120 and could sit on the priest evenly ... the exchange price is $95, the ceiling is $120 .. everyone is happy ...

      Sanctions-restrictions introduced? Introduced.
      Is the oil missing? No.
      Everyone is happy, everyone is doing well. You can think about new "restrictions" ... laughing
  4. The comment was deleted.
    1. Volodin
      Volodin 17 October 2022 07: 22
      +12
      Quote: Nikolay RT
      The United States simply threw the Russians out of the European energy market, Europe does not need our oil and gas - too toxic raw materials. We will sell our fossils to all sorts of garbage, like Iran, Afghanistan. Another multi-move by Vladimir Vladimirovich

      Who was it intended for? If you think that in Russia they don’t know how to “google”, then I will disappoint you. Over the past six months alone, American companies have increased their imports of Russian oil by 30 (!) percent.

      Iran, if you don't know, has enough of its own oil. So come up with something else...

      Also, if again you are not in the know, Russia trades in such grades of oil that it is simply impossible to refuse completely on the Western market.
      1. GIS
        GIS 17 October 2022 08: 45
        +1
        it is on this "Achilles heel" that they must be beaten. Venezuela and we supply stock grade Urals. no others
    2. GIS
      GIS 17 October 2022 08: 42
      +1
      fuck yourself a statement: "THE DISCHARGES" ...
      where will you be from, by any chance not from the neighboring garbage heap?
  5. yuriy55
    yuriy55 17 October 2022 07: 35
    -4
    American analyst: I do not believe that Russia will sell at least one barrel of oil if the West imposes a price ceiling

    I am not a professional analyst and do not hypothetically belong to the United States, but I can say from my own experience that Russia is exactly the country where, when oil prices fall on the world market, fuel prices on the domestic market rise. Although, I remember the times when gasoline cost 10 kopecks per liter and a taxi traveled at a rate of 20 kopecks for landing and 10 kopecks / km.
    *****
    To be honest, I would like to believe that the time will come when oil (and steel products too) produced in the USA will be sold for dollars. It is believed that countries will find an alternative to the declared global legal tender in the form of the dollar.
  6. Two
    Two 17 October 2022 07: 43
    +2
    hi Our agreement will allow the West to continue to set all sorts of limits on any product sold overseas. The world openly despise weaklings!
  7. Uprun
    Uprun 17 October 2022 07: 51
    +1
    This is a vicious practice .... today Russia, tomorrow China .... and so on down the list ..... Who gave them the right to dictate terms of trade and prices .... is the market. If you don’t like it, go further along the rows, maybe someone will sell for your price ..... Nonsense, the buyer sets prices ..., while not all buyers, but exceptional ..... They go through the forest ...... to another board...
  8. bukyak84
    bukyak84 17 October 2022 07: 58
    0
    Quote: Nikolay RT
    The United States simply threw the Russians out of the European energy market, Europe does not need our oil and gas - too toxic raw materials. We will sell our fossils to all sorts of garbage, like Iran, Afghanistan. Another multi-move by Vladimir Vladimirovich

    Hah .. la .. tina calm down))
  9. APASUS
    APASUS 17 October 2022 08: 35
    +2
    The Americans need to destroy Europe, as they once did with the USSR. So there will be a price ceiling and the Russians will cut off raw materials to Europe. The end of the EU economy is near, under the joyful exclamations of democracy of the Poles and the Baltic states
    1. GIS
      GIS 17 October 2022 08: 47
      0
      so far they are happy, and then they will cry and they will pop to us .... but do we need them in this form? it is necessary to set conditions for joining the new CIS
      1. APASUS
        APASUS 18 October 2022 08: 42
        0
        Quote: GIS
        it is necessary to set conditions for joining the new CIS

        Such neighbors are not even needed for nothing. Purely theoretically, they are not capable of creation, but there are enough to trade with their snout
  10. Petr_Koldunov
    Petr_Koldunov 17 October 2022 09: 22
    +2
    The introduction of a price ceiling for goods in the world of developed capitalism is an idea that cannot be more delusional!
    Ah, no! Come up with! This is the imposition of a price ceiling on a product from ONLY ONE country while the same product from other countries continues to trade at market rates.
  11. Covid
    Covid 17 October 2022 10: 14
    0
    Oil is sold to make money. Now the EU buys oil from Russia more expensive than China. or India. Give them a discount. The price of oil at 92,2 dollars per barrel for Russian oil is a conditional price.
    Here we are talking about a 20% discount for China.
  12. Vladimir61
    Vladimir61 17 October 2022 15: 29
    +2
    Here from the "ceiling" those who will get nothing from the common table will be licked off.