Strange military operation
The special military operation in Ukraine, which, as the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation has repeatedly stated, “is going according to plan,” raises more and more questions. The main question is what kind of plan is this, if it provides for the abandonment of territories with people who believed that Russia came forever, began to receive Russian passports, and now are forced to either flee or fear reprisals from the Ukrainian authorities?
What kind of plan is this if Donetsk, after six months, the NMD continues to be under fire from Ukrainian artillery, and Ukraine continues to militarize and pump up Western weapons, the supply of which flows freely in a continuous stream?
Let's talk about the stated goals of the special operation and what we have today.
Eight years of the Minsk agreements and an incorrect assessment of the situation at the time of the start of the NWO
After the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the start of the uprising in the Donbass against the authorities who came as a result of the coup in Kyiv, the patriotic public repeatedly called on the Kremlin to annex Luhansk, Donetsk, and indeed the whole historical Novorossia. There was an opportunity to do this “with little bloodshed” – after the Crimea, where the Ukrainian military did not offer any resistance to Russia, the Ukrainian army was demoralized, many commanders were ready to go over to the side of the Russian military if they appeared in the steppes of Ukraine.
The former commander of the DPR militia, retired FSB colonel Igor Strelkov, has repeatedly claimed that the commanders of Ukrainian military units negotiated with him, who hesitated and were ready to go over to the side of the militia if Russia sent troops.
However, instead, Moscow limited itself to providing assistance to Donetsk and Luhansk, and Minsk agreements were signed with Ukraine, following which the proclaimed LPR and DPR, not recognized by Moscow, were to return to Ukraine on special, in fact, autonomous conditions, and had to go through a process federalization of Ukraine. Thus, the Kremlin wanted to “zero out” the results of the Ukrainian Maidan and influence Ukrainian politics through the Donbass.
Various political scientists and TV presenters have been assuring the Russian public for many years that Russia cannot send troops to Ukraine, because otherwise “the third world war will begin”, and the treacherous Americans are deliberately “luring” the Russian Federation there. Therefore, Moscow does not need to interfere in the intra-Ukrainian conflict, and Ukraine will fall apart by itself under the weight of its own mistakes and crimes.
In fact, Kyiv, using the support of the United States and Britain, declaratively declaring its adherence to the Minsk agreements, constantly came up with reasons why their implementation was being delayed, while Ukraine increased the combat capability of the army, which was trained by American and British instructors. Ukrainian artillerymen “trained” by firing at the peaceful cities of Donbass, saboteurs “exercised” by blowing up civilian objects.
Ukrainian society was pumped up with anti-Russian propaganda. After almost eight years of marking time, Moscow began to realize that it was impossible to reach an agreement with Ukraine. However, they did not fully realize that the year 2014 was far from being on the verge, and the situation had changed a lot in eight years.
Back on January 3, a month and a half before the start of the special military operation, Igor Strelkov made a forecast in his Telegram channel, in which he quite accurately described what it would be like:
Ukraine is preparing for war by all means available to it. Her puppeteers, too. And in the Russian Federation, there is no preparation for a real serious war "from the word at all." All military measures that are taken covertly (not from enemies, but from the layman) are suitable for preparing for some next “small-victorious” short campaign against the militia with Kalash and carts.
The beginning of the SVO showed that the colonel's forecast was fully justified.
Those who planned the military operation in Ukraine did not take into account that Ukraine in 2014 and Ukraine in 2022 are completely different states. The mood of the people has also changed, and, importantly, the mentality of the Ukrainian soldiers. If in 2014 they were mostly Russian people ready to reunite with Russia, then in 2022 they are mostly ideological fighters for the independence of Ukraine, pumped up with propaganda and trained by instructors from the USA and Britain.
About the goals of the SVO and their achievement
Initially, several goals were declared for the special military operation in Ukraine, but most of them (except, in fact, the defense of Donbass) were formulated so abstractly that it was rather difficult to determine what exactly was meant. We are talking primarily about the wording "demilitarization" and "denazification". What are these animals and what do they eat with? What exactly is the meaning of these concepts? On this score, analysts and experts give different interpretations, while the official authorities remain silent.
In one of his previous articles,The meanings of the NWO have shifted to the field of political religion”- I noted that questions about the goals of the military operation have moved into the field of political religion: the society was asked to believe that the military operation is going according to plans to certain goals.
For a short-term military operation, the purpose of which was to overthrow Zelensky and establish a pro-Russian government in Ukraine, this may have been enough, especially considering that Russian society initially did not delve into this topic very much - the war was far away and did not concern the majority of citizens. However, society cannot rest solely on such a faith, which is practically unsupported by anything, and even more so, such a “political faith” is not capable of uniting people.
A solution was found - the LPR, the DPR and the territories of historical Novorossiya taken under control in southern Ukraine were annexed to Russia.
On the one hand, this is certainly a historic event, very bold from the point of view of international politics, because not a single modern state would dare to annex historical territories, regardless of the rules established by the American hegemon and the opinion of the so-called "world community".
On the other hand, these territories were annexed before the fighting ended on them, and this carries risks for Russia. We'll talk more about this a little later.
Another goal that cannot be ignored was the non-expansion of NATO. On February 24, in an address on the start of a special military operation, Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke a lot about the inadmissibility of NATO expansion to the east, which gave every reason to believe that one of the goals of the NVO is the inadmissibility of expanding the alliance on the borders with Russia.
“We once again made an attempt to agree with the United States and its allies on the principles of ensuring security in Europe and non-expansion of NATO. Everything is in vain. The position of the USA does not change. They do not consider it necessary to negotiate with Russia on this key issue for us, pursuing their own goals, they neglect our interests. In this situation, we have a question, what to do next, what to expect, - noted Vladimir Putin.
However, as a result of the NWO, on the contrary, contributed to the fact that Finland, located on the border with Russia, and Sweden joined the North Atlantic Alliance. This, of course, is a blow to Russia's security.
And this was recognized by the Russian Foreign Ministry - in July, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko said that Finland and Sweden joining NATO would make the Baltic Sea region a zone of rivalry. This is true, because the accession of these countries to NATO will inevitably lead to a violation of the security system in the region.
A military conflict for which no one was prepared
The military operation in Ukraine revealed all the negative aspects that take place in the Russian army - firstly, it became obvious that the army organization was stuck in the last century and was not ready for the challenges of modern warfare. I'll give you an example.
Artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine works with artillery programs for tablets and smartphones, which ensures a minimum of time for preparing data for firing. The vast majority of Russian artillerymen do not have such programs, as Andrei Morozov, a fighter of the People's Militia of the LPR, wrote about more than once. Our gunner, who controls the fire of the battery, sits at the fire control device with a map, notepad, shooting tables, an engineering calculator and counts the shooting.
In general, Russian artillery, although numerous, is technically backward. It can form World War I-style "barrages of fire" but is not part of the battlefield information system. Unfortunately, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation simply do not have such mobile high-precision systems as the HIMARS MLRS in large quantities. A severe shortage drones, surveillance and reconnaissance equipment further complicates the situation. From the "blind" artillery of little use.
Another problem is the lack of normal communication at the tactical level. Military correspondents wrote about this more than once, for example, the same Yuri Kotenok. I will quote:
“At the tactical level, there is no normal communication. And I'm talking about the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, but I generally keep quiet about the rifle regiments of the DPR mob reserve. It's just embarrassing. With this, we entered the war, sorry, in the NWO.
How does it look not on a TV show, but in reality? At the tactical (company) level, control is impossible - there is no communication. The same company commander, when making a decision, finds himself in a vacuum. "Baofengs" ukry listen and jam.
I repeat, there is NO closed communication in the tactical link. The mobilized, "mobiks", as they are called, at best have several R-159s from fifty years ago without "Istorikov".
It is impossible to fight with such equipment in the XNUMXst century - you will be defeated by an enemy equipped an order of magnitude higher. But the Russians also manage to attack without communications and a command and control system.”
How does it look not on a TV show, but in reality? At the tactical (company) level, control is impossible - there is no communication. The same company commander, when making a decision, finds himself in a vacuum. "Baofengs" ukry listen and jam.
I repeat, there is NO closed communication in the tactical link. The mobilized, "mobiks", as they are called, at best have several R-159s from fifty years ago without "Istorikov".
It is impossible to fight with such equipment in the XNUMXst century - you will be defeated by an enemy equipped an order of magnitude higher. But the Russians also manage to attack without communications and a command and control system.”
Secondly, another of the key problems that the SVO revealed was the almost complete unsuitability of a part of the military command. None of the generals is responsible for the mistakes made during the military operation, and therefore, no one corrects them. No one heard the "bells" near Belogorovka - bells were needed near Balakleya and Izyum, and then Krasny Liman, so that in the blogosphere and at the level of television experts they began to talk about the mistakes of the command. But talking alone is not enough, the question arises - will conclusions be drawn in the end?
The acute shortage of soldiers at the front, which allowed the Armed Forces of Ukraine to go on the offensive in two directions at once (Kharkov and Kherson) is also one of the main problems, however, with the two points mentioned above unresolved, it will be almost impossible to stabilize the situation. Back in May-June, there were enough people to hold the territories and even attack, but the senseless assaults of the Ukrainian fortified areas in the forehead led to the fact that the infantry (especially the People's Militia of the LPR and DPR) was "wearing off", and there was no one to replenish it.
From all of the above, one can draw a disappointing conclusion - the Russian army was simply not ready for a military conflict of such a scale as in Ukraine.
How will the situation develop in the coming weeks?
The official annexation of Donbass, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions is, as I said above, a historic event, but there should not be any euphoria about this. Because these territories still need to be kept.
It is not very clear why they decided to annex the historical territories of Novorossiya right now, when the liberation of these regions has not been completed, and hostilities continue. Now, in the event of the loss of cities and towns, the reputational losses of Russia will be much higher than before, because Russian cities will be captured by the Ukrainian army (according to the legislation of the Russian Federation). Talking about the "planned regrouping of troops" and the "gesture of goodwill", as Konashenkov likes to do, is now somehow inconvenient.
In the near future, taking advantage of the numerical superiority, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will continue to develop the offensive against Kremennaya, Lisichansk and Svatovo in the LPR, as well as Berislav in the Kherson region, with a subsequent attempt to reach Novaya Kakhovka. The main task of the Russian military, as well as the People's Militia of the LPR and DPR, in the near future is to organize defense and hold new Russian territories, until the reservists mobilized in Russia are trained and put into battle (and it is necessary to put them into battle now , the faster the better). It was necessary to deal with the defense of settlements from the very beginning, however, unfortunately, they began to think about it very late, only after the successful attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Balakleya and Izyum.
Some people call the military operation in Ukraine a “strange military operation”, and this definition perfectly reflects reality. There are no answers to the questions - why are the infrastructure of Western Ukraine not being attacked, for example, the Dobrotvorskaya thermal power plant, which often supplies electricity to Poland, but at the same time, the thermal power plant in Kharkiv is being hit? Why are the bridges across the Dnieper not being attacked? Why did our drones attack some incomprehensible objects in Odessa and Nikolaev, while heavy battles were fought in Liman, ending with the retreat of our troops?
Well, the main question that arises - what's next? Suppose our troops manage to hold out until the approach of mobilized reserves, and the situation stabilizes. Let's assume that it will be possible to knock out the Armed Forces of Ukraine and reach the borders of the Zaporozhye and Donetsk regions. What's next? The military conflict will not end there.
One of the solutions may be to freeze the conflict, with attempts to negotiate with the United States and Britain (there is no point in talking with puppet Ukraine), but the configuration of possible agreements is still unclear, since there is no ground for compromise.
However, now it is not worth making medium-term and long-term forecasts. I repeat, the main task at the moment is to protect the new Russian territories and work on the mistakes with the punishment of those responsible in the Russian military command.
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