NWO in Ukraine: what is happening and what to expect next
When discussing the NMD, one of the most pressing issues for Russian society is the slowdown in the offensive of the allied forces and the prolongation of the conflict. This fact has become the subject of all kinds of speculation on the information front, both from the Ukrainian media and from domestic opinion leaders. At the same time, the insufficient number of troops in Ukraine is cited as the reasons for the "delay", and some kind of abstract "mobilization" is proposed as a logical solution to this problem.
In this article, we will try to figure out how things really are, whether mobilization is really a solution in the current situation, and when we should expect some significant shifts at the front.
What are the risks of mobilization?
To begin with, let's abstract from all other issues and clearly articulate why the participation of conscripts in the NWO is a bad idea.
A similar solution was announced in an article by Viktor Biryukov "When will Russia start to fight for real?"
Only announced mobilization can significantly strengthen the Russian army, but already in the Russian Federation ...
Mikhail Remizov, president of the Institute for National Strategy, wrote back in May about what mobilization should be like.
... to return to the question of the use of "draft" units in the conflict zone.
... to return to the question of the use of "draft" units in the conflict zone.
Turning to stories. During the military campaign in Vietnam, the greatest danger to the United States was not so much the war itself, but the social explosion within the country. It was conditioned by sending all the same conscripts to the war, not all of whom were eager to fight.
Such people either openly criticized and sabotaged the draft, or, having returned from hostilities, joined the ranks of the anti-war movement, often becoming its most odious and active participants.
A vivid media example of such “sabotage” is the position of the famous boxer Muhammad Ali, who was even deprived of his title because of his refusal to serve in the US armed forces.
Stepping on this rake in Vietnam and analyzing the experience of later wars (Iraq, Afghanistan), the United States developed a number of techniques aimed at destabilizing order within the country, which to some extent opposes them.
The methodology is simple - through all sorts of "committees of soldiers' mothers" and "opinion leaders" to incite anti-war sentiments within the country, using, among other things, the strongest argument against which it is difficult to object - the real grief of parents who lost their sons, who did not make war by their conscious choice and for a combination of reasons (physical and psychological) they were poorly adapted for this war.
We all witnessed how mature our enemy was in the development of this technology and how massive the attack on the information space of Russia was. Through various information channels, a flurry of not just abstract slogans, but the most specific directive instructions fell upon the wives and mothers of servicemen.
This fact shows that our enemy was preparing to use similar tactics against us, therefore, mobilizing and attracting conscripts will be a great gift for him.
It must be clearly understood that the involvement of conscripts is a last resort, since it involves huge risks in the social sphere. This is especially true for the first months of the NWO, when the reaction of society is still not fully understood.
Why did Russia withdraw troops from Kyiv?
Save people by losing land - land can still be captured. Save the land by losing people - you will be left without people and without land.
It must be clearly understood that there are tactics of warfare that allow a deliberately weaker army to defeat a stronger enemy. The most striking example is the Vietnam War.
The superiority of the United States was colossal, but the tactics used by the Vietnamese made it possible to inflict unacceptable damage on the Americans through the use of guerrilla warfare methods.
In the case of NMD, the most disadvantageous for Russia will be the use of artillery ambushes by Ukraine, coupled with the actions of the DRG.
When advancing, the army is forced to move in relatively large columns along the roads, and each "ribbon" in this case becomes a very good target for any artillery weapon. Unfortunately, this is exactly what we saw at the beginning of the NWO - in one of the previous articles, I already mentioned that it was a huge mistake to move in columns to how measures were taken to suppress enemy artillery.
In order for the ambush tactics to work as efficiently as possible, it is necessary to achieve maximum secrecy of fire weapons, and the best helper in this is the "brilliant green". It largely neutralizes Russia's advantage in artillery and strike aviation, and also improves the efficiency of Ukrainian DRGs.
As long as there are leaves on the trees, it is extremely undesirable for Russia to conduct large-scale offensive operations.
Good news for us is that the "Vietnamese" scenario in Ukraine does not work all year round. And in mid-October, when the leaves fall from the trees, the situation will change dramatically - Russia will be able to realize its advantage to the fullest extent possible. It is during this period that new offensive operations should be expected.
As for Kyiv and its environs, this area is extremely favorable for ambush operations against the accumulation of equipment. It did not seem expedient to take Kyiv, and it was simply pointless to stand still under attacks from ambushes, exchanging at an “unfavorable rate”.
Russia on the edge
Article “The attack cannot be stopped. Prolongation of the conflict in Ukraine" the following thesis is given:
In my opinion, the Russian military is pushing the enemy to the limit.
Indeed, this point of view is very popular ... in Ukrainian public. On our part, I still want to call for at least a little respect for our opponents from NATO.
Let's assume for a moment that the front really froze due to the fact that the Russian army (10 times destroyed) is bursting at the seams and resisting the enemy at the limit of its capabilities. The military analysts of our partners report the situation to the political leadership. Having huge resources, this same political leadership simply throws an “extra” cent on the scales that are frozen in balance, and now the Russian defense has been broken through in several directions. On CNN, columns of Russian prisoners are shown, and Scholz and Macron, smiling, drink champagne and make payoff demands to Putin - gas contracts at extortionate prices for Russia, etc.
However, it is worth turning on the TV and this is not observed. On the contrary, Scholz, for a moment - the leader of the locomotive of the European Union, at a venerable age, like an errand boy, rushes between various authorities, trying to solve the problem with turbines. Not Putin or Lavrov, but Scholz. The question is - why is that? What happens, does he need more? Weird. Somehow it doesn't fit. But let's move on.
Gas prices. They do not look like bondage for Russia. Breaking records. Norway, obviously, as an act of demonstrating the unity of the "entire civilized world" refuses to sell gas to Europe at a discount (for the sake of the "idea").
And there are two options here. Either Strelkov-Girkin and a number of journalists are indeed much more informed about the real state of affairs than the entire military leadership of NATO. Either the situation is far from what is declared. Which of these two options is more realistic, let each reader decide for himself.
Mutual grinding
In the previous chapter, we analyzed the situation by the method of "by contradiction". Let's add some observations to this and check the consistency of a number of theses:
... in fact, the war turned into a positional one, with the daily grinding of each other by means of artillery and missile weapons.
Regular attempts by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to attack outside the DPR speak of quite acceptable and free existence ground army units of the enemy.
Yes, SVO at the moment is indeed positional in nature for the reasons stated above.
However, other claims are highly controversial. If you try to analyze what is happening, based on the video from the scene, you can really find videos that capture the successful actions of the Ukrainian side, basically these are all the same actions from ambushes, explosions on mines, the use of various fragmentation munitions by dropping them from civilian quadrocopters and etc.
If, from the whole variety of videos, you try to “blind” something in between, then this video will look something like this - a forest belt, along which trenches stretch for hundreds of meters. The manpower of the enemy swarms in them, mainly with manual weapons. The ground around, as a rule, is pitted with Russian shells, which, apparently, should tell us about the deplorable state of Putin's military machine and problems with the supply of ammunition.
A similar scenario is shown, as a rule, from three angles.
The first angle shows a soldier of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with his head buried in the ground, waiting for an artillery shelling.
The second angle is the shelling of Ukrainian positions by Russian artillery, filmed from the Russian drone.
The third “perspective” is a video filmed by the surviving Ukrainian military, where they stand in a crowd in a shed and explain the reasons why they decided to leave their positions and, as you might guess, “free existence” is not included in the list of these reasons.
But it includes constant, incessant shelling (artillery, Tanks, ATGMs, aviation) from the Russian side, as a result of which the Ukrainian side suffers losses sufficient for entire units to lose their combat capability and the ability to continue to perform even such primitive combat tasks as sitting in earthen burrows.
Based on this, I personally do not quite understand what kind of "free existence", and even more so - "mutual grinding" are we talking about? The question is rhetorical.
1 soldiers for the Armed Forces
Since the beginning of the military operation in the information theater of military operations, our "non-partners" have been actively promoting the idea of recruiting a million-strong army by Ukraine.
I propose to soberly assess the likelihood of this event occurring.
Officially, there are still about 40 million people in Ukraine. However, even during the political fuss in Ukraine, a number of figures voiced information that these figures do not correspond to reality, and not least due to corruption - you can draw up a beautiful budget for dead souls. Everything is classic.
Gordon, in one of his issues, claimed that as of 2017, “well, if 27 million” live in Ukraine. Kolomoisky, on the other hand, claimed that 2014 million people left the “square” from 2017 to 8. Suppose that Gordon got excited, and at the time the conflict began in Ukraine there were 35 million people. An additional 10 people have fled the country since the start of the conflict, according to the UN. That is, the population of Ukraine at the moment is about 000 million.
It may be objected to me that some of the Ukrainians who lived (temporarily or permanently) in other countries returned to Ukraine in order to join the armed forces of Ukraine.
In this regard, I consider the story of the Ukrainian patriot-blogger Mykola very informative (let's call him that so as not to advertise this person). This character emigrated to the United States long before the events began, where he served in the US Army. At the same time, he led a YouTube channel, on which, as befits a true patriot of Ukraine, he praised everything Western and scolded the “scoop” with or without reason. After the events of 2014, Mikola's "patriotic issue" sharply worsened. There was a lot of content about the strength of the US Army and the weakness of Russia, discussions on near-military topics, but on February 24, the incredible happened.
It would seem that what can be expected from a patriot of Ukraine who has military training according to NATO standards, is suitable for service by age and, using his media resources, actively procrastinates the topic of a million-strong Ukrainian army. The most logical assumption is that this person will get on a plane and go himself to contribute to the cause, about which he talks so much. But, alas, fate decreed otherwise.
Approximately a month after the start of the CBO, Mykola goes through all 5 stages online (denial, anger, bargaining, depression, acceptance) and ultimately experiences a catharsis, the climax of which is a monologue that our hero finally realized himself as an American of Ukrainian origin, and not Ukrainian. And he made a difficult decision, "to be a good father and an American, but a bad Ukrainian."
Why am I talking about this character - yes, because exactly the same catharsis happens at about the same time in tens of thousands of his brothers all over the planet. Someone recognizes himself as a Pole, someone as a Frenchman, someone as an Englishman or a Canadian.
What is striking in this whole story is the naivety with which these characters massively believe that only they are so smart that they could come up with such a beautiful story, while others cannot come up with anything like that, and the desired million will be typed without them.
The question arises - how are things going with the recruitment into the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the territory of Ukraine itself? I propose to turn to Ukrainian sources of information and get acquainted with the fact that says Dr. Komarovsky about recruitment into the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Anyone who is interested can listen to the video in its entirety, but here I will limit myself to short exposures.
1. “Terrible corruption” flourishes in the military registration and enlistment offices – the question arises, who uses the services of this corruption? Another fact is also noteworthy. On the example of Ukraine, we can see the difference between a truly democratic society and a totalitarian regime. The people of Ukraine signaled about corruption in the military registration and enlistment offices, and the authorities immediately responded. Apparently, having failed to defeat corruption, the Ukrainian state decided to lead the process by simply legalizing "bribes" by imposing bail for men to leave the country. At the same time, they carried out demonstrative arrests of “private traders” who “dumped” on the ground, drawing up exit documents for smaller amounts.
2. Komarovsky reports on the recruitment of people aged 55+ with serious chronic diseases into the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The fact that such facts really take place has also been documented in other videos. For example, for the presence of "age" people among the captured SU fighters in their reports paid attention Shary.
Conclusions
What conclusions can be drawn from the above? You should not get carried away with jingoistic patriotism, but also you should not believe everything that is said from the “other side”.
In my opinion, Ukraine is extremely limited in human resources. In addition, the very fact of increased attention of Ukrainian "colleagues" to this issue is already a method of manipulation, when it is proposed to discuss any subject, "slipping" the question of how important it is in general.
But in itself the amount of "manpower" is not a decisive factor, although it is capable of exerting a certain influence.
The total advantage of the Russian army in truly important elements has not gone away. These elements include:
- attack aircraft;
- the number of artillery and the quality of the preparation of calculations;
- the ability to strike with cruise missiles at important infrastructure facilities and places of accumulation of enemy forces throughout the entire depth of enemy territory;
- the number of armored vehicles.
Do not forget about the achievements of Russia:
1. The capture of Mariupol and the creation of a bridgehead on the Black Sea for a further offensive on Odessa.
2. The United States spent 8 years on the creation of national battalions, their training, armament and training. All this was destroyed. Stocks of expensive and complex weapons were also lost by Ukraine (some were used with varying degrees of effectiveness, some were destroyed by air strikes in warehouses and caches, some were captured by ours as trophies).
3. The stocks of "Bayraktars" and weapons for them were knocked out.
4. Oil refineries, elements of railway infrastructure and repair facilities on the territory of Ukraine were destroyed, which together greatly reduced the ability of Ukraine to form and maintain any large motorized formations.
5. A significant number of Ukrainian air defense and aviation systems were destroyed - losses that Ukraine will not be able to compensate for in any way.
6. The economy was undermined. In fact, Ukraine has become a weight on the leg of the West. And ahead of winter.
And this is a very interesting question, how the situation will develop - at whose expense Ukraine will warm up and with what? How will gas be distributed within the "united Europe"?
The mobilization of Russia is also traced in the direction of attack UAVs (Drone production plant in Dubna near Moscow switches to work in three shifts; Sources report the signing of an agreement between Iran and Russia on the supply of attack drones).
Personally, I consider this component (strike drones) the most important for success in Ukraine, and I am glad that there are signs that our leadership is seriously addressing this issue.
The resumption of the active phase should be expected closer to October.
However, it is important to take into account that one should not concentrate only on Ukraine - an additional recruitment into the ranks of the RF Armed Forces is not at all for this.
There are a lot of unplayed cards, both by the West and by us:
– China and Taiwan (an issue that could one day make the world switch to hieroglyphic news reports);
– the situation in Serbia;
- Transnistria;
- Nagorno-Karabakh;
– Poland and western Ukraine;
– the gas valve and the consequences of the crisis for Europe;
- Republic of Belarus;
- political opposition within Western countries (Germany, France, the Baltic states).
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