The National Interest warned Ukraine about the consequences of losing access to the Black Sea

If Ukraine loses access to the Black Sea coast and loses its Black Sea ports, this will be a catastrophic blow for Kyiv. Ilya Timchenko, the author of the American magazine The National Interest, is convinced of this.

According to the observer, Ukraine will actually turn into a “stump state”, which will no longer be able to play any significant role in Eastern European politics. The loss of the Black Sea coast will be a disaster both in military and economic aspects, Timchenko believes.

First, Ukraine will face serious problems in exporting its products, most of whose traffic is oriented precisely through the Black Sea. Land routes are not as significant as the Black Sea ports in this respect.

Secondly, Kyiv will lose control over the pipeline that supplies gas to Romania, and this will also weaken the Ukrainian state economically.

Thirdly, the military potential of Ukraine will be repeatedly weakened. From a maritime country, Ukraine will turn into an analogue of Moldova or Slovakia - that is, without access to the sea. The West will not be able to help Ukraine by sea.

Here we can add that without the Black Sea ports, Kyiv will no longer be so interesting to the West. This does not mean, of course, that the United States will abandon the strategy of constant destabilization in Eastern Europe, on the borders of Russia, but they will have to use other states as a "ram".

Likely candidates for this role are Poland with its "Baltic sisters" and, to a lesser extent, Romania. Ukraine without seaports will indeed become a "stump", in which the West will quickly lose interest. Maintaining the economically and strategically useless agrarian western regions of Ukraine, without industrial potential, large natural resources and access to the sea, will be pointless for Washington and Brussels.

It is worth adding that for Russia, the return of the Black Sea coast, if it occurs in the course of a special military operation in Ukraine, will also be a restoration historical justice. The Black Sea lands, which today are part of Ukraine, were conquered and then repeatedly defended and liberated by the power of the Russian weapons. It was the Russian army that conquered these lands from the Crimean Khanate and the Ottoman Empire, and then the Soviet army liberated them from the Nazis.

All the largest cities in the South of Ukraine with their industrial enterprises, ports, railway stations, educational institutions were created, built and developed by the Russian Empire and the Soviet Union. In 1991, this moment was not taken into account, and Ukraine completely unreasonably received Russian cities and territories, watered with the blood of Russian soldiers. Therefore, the return of the Black Sea coast, if it happens, will be not only an economic and military blow to Kyiv, but also a national victory for our country.

Comments

[Vladimir Vladimirovich Vorontsov]

According to the observer, Ukraine will actually turn into a "stump state"

***
- In short - a stump ...



***

[The black]

Born to grunt cannot swim! ... why do they need the sea? Let them spud beet in Zhmerinka

[Reptiloid]

....Ukraine completely unreasonably received Russian cities ...

The return of all these cities and territories must take place. As the GDP said ---- decommunization. Then, in the 20th century, the leaders thought that the proletarian Russian regions and cities would change the bourgeois Selyuk consciousness. Did not work out. Selyuks still hate them today

[Myths]

Namely - the neoplasm must be completely cut out, and not in pieces. The West will not lose interest even if something remains cut off from the Black Sea. And the West is not worried about people, but about territories, and this article confirms this.

[Reptiloid]

Various arguments exist. How about Kyiv and the surrounding area. So it is about Westerners. And, remembering the past --- the USSR, Soviet power had a picture of the future. They specifically talked about the project and this favorably differed from the whites. They didn't have a clear definition. There was no picture of the future attractive to the majority.
There is an opinion --- it would be good for Westerners in Poland. Let them push them. And how will it happen? what specific plans ours have about those different territories we do not know.

[Uprun]

So it is, if they lose territories, then people are no longer important to them, they will stop supporting .... and tumble in money.

[smart ass]

How dare you?! Everyone knows that this is the Ukrainian sea! Proud Ukrainians dug it up before the beginning of time! learn history

[Napayz]

Like gritz - hands remember something. Dig a new one)))

[volodimer]

hands remember. Dig a new one)))

Where??? in Europe there is no place left for a new sea ... Instead of Poland? It was necessary to immediately expand the Dnieper in 91m ... otherwise they built some kind of fence along the border there.
So the scale and cut would be grandiose, great Ukrainian, to match both the people and the state.
And we definitely wouldn't. Who will force the river 10-20-50 km ... And along it, the 6th-7th or whatever American fleet would bring its aircraft carriers into the kuev, scare Old Lukashenko.
It's too late, now for the "great builders" one serious task remains: to dig a tunnel from small Britain to the states so that the "javelins" do not linger on the way.
By the way oh!!!! Send prisoners to dig a tunnel from the mainland to Sakhalin. Should be done in a couple of years.

[Revolver]

Quote: Black

..why do they need the sea?

Need. To proudly declare that Ukraine is also a great maritime power. So, if the Black Sea is taken away from them, they will dig out a new sea for themselves. Well, there is experience, if, of course, you believe them. And the dug-out black soil will be sold to the one who offers more money ... in the pocket of those who are negotiating the sale personally.

[max702]

Instead of dashing light cavalry attacks on Kyiv, Sumy, Kharkov, it was necessary to repeatedly strengthen the blow in the south and cut off access to the sea in the early days of the NWO. But according to a rotten agreement, we have what we have ..

[Flooding]

I see that your words are not to your liking.
And here I will put a like.
For the avatar.
It looks very good against the background of the red star.
Kind of creative.

[Sergey Kuzmin]

Ukraine without seaports will indeed become a "stump", in which the West will quickly lose interest. Maintaining the economically and strategically useless agrarian western regions of Ukraine, without industrial potential, large natural resources and access to the sea, will be pointless for Washington and Brussels.

therefore it is very important to intercept all cars and railroads going to Nikolaev and Odessa. The cities themselves, by the way, can not be stormed. Why lose strength in street fights if the same result can be achieved with less effort and money? Intercept transport roads in convenient places, gain a foothold there, make well-fortified support outposts ... and let the Ukronazis break their heads later ... Thus, our Armed Forces will be able to impose on the Ukronazis their maneuver war tactics, where they can use the existing technical superiority. Russian troops will only have to crush the Ukronazis with artillery, missiles and aircraft if they try to unblock the intercepted transport routes.

[alex neym_2]

Where the infantry has not passed, there is no territory ... so you have to enter the cities.

[Xnumx vis]

Quote: aleks neym_2

Where the infantry has not passed, there is no territory ... so you have to enter the cities.

We'll have to .. Will we take Odessa and Nikolaev? I have a growing suspicion that we will liberate the Donbass, we will gain a foothold in Khersonshchen and part of the Zaporozhye region and that’s it. Peace, some kind of Budapest negotiations, Abramovich's monkey face from behind Lavrov's shoulder ... and a freeze for seven years .. And then the Nazis will go on the offensive again. Maybe I'm a skeptic .. Maybe. Or maybe not .

[aszzz888]

Thirdly, the military potential of Ukraine will be repeatedly weakened.

As I understand it, one of the MAIN tasks of the NWO is the COMPLETE absence of the Armed Forces in the unnecessary (it is possible, and as the state itself). To not a single battalion!, even police departments. For then, as practice shows, they begin to restore troops again.

[Two]

It's interesting how!

[Irek]

The entire Black Sea region is primordially Russian land ....

[Reptiloid]

..Ukraine without seaports will become a stump .....

In this form, it will immediately become uninteresting to the progmatic WestHA-HA-HA! It is in this form that Kyiv will give loans to the West

[FoBoss_V]

To Slavyansk and Kramatorsk is still like walking to the moon. And they talk about Nikolaev and Odessa

[Konung]

It's a question of time. Odessa will be Russian, there are no other options and never will be.

[realist]

Ukraine must remain within the boundaries of the city of Kyiv, without rail and air communication with other states. All through Russian customs. Let the outskirts live ....

[DymOk_v_dYmke]

From a maritime country, Ukraine will turn into an analogue of Moldova or Slovakia - that is, without access to the sea. The West will not be able to help Ukraine by sea.

This is a serious additional argument for the return of the Black Sea region.

[pharmacist]

"If Ukraine loses access to the Black Sea coast and loses its Black Sea ports, this will be a catastrophic blow for Kyiv, Ilya Timchenko, the author of the American magazine The National Interest, is convinced of this."

Oh really? I see the author is perspicacious and brilliant.
The title of Captain Obvious goes to Timchenko!

[Ronino]

We must do everything possible and impossible for this! Khokhloids, like demiurges, can create (or dig up) something, but alas, they cannot manage it.

[Leonidych]

Nikolaev, Odessa are Russian cities and they must be liberated without any alternatives. No negotiations on these territories. Only in Russia. All the same, we need a corridor to Transnistria. And I really want it to happen as soon as possible. Cut off the edge from the sea.

[expert]

For me, personally, some kind of strange article ...
But, without "The National Interest", neither the Ukrainian side nor the Russian side knew about the utmost importance, on the one hand, not to let themselves be cut off from the sea, and on the other, it is imperative to do this.
From the very beginning, I have been waiting for the NWO when Odessa, where I studied at the Odessa Civil Engineering Institute, will again become a Russian city destined by history!

[your1970]

Quote: Fachmann

For me, personally, some kind of strange article ...
But, without "The National Interest", neither the Ukrainian side nor the Russian side knew about the utmost importance, on the one hand, not to let themselves be cut off from the sea, and on the other, it is imperative to do this.

So they write - for English speaking New York Readers...

[expert]

Hmm, something I blunted.
You are absolutely right. I forgot that these English speakers, for the most part, have no idea where Ukraine and the Black Sea are located.

[AAK]

Well, I would not be so optimistic, taking into account the slippage in the Donbass and a complete stop in the south - Ukraine will not lose the status of a "sea power" for quite a long time ... Well, another, most likely dill, dirty trick - at 06:15 in the morning today in s. Maiskoye, Dzhankoysky district of Crimea, an ammunition depot exploded, located partly in a dilapidated barn building, partly in the open air ... like another "cigarette butt" ...

[Alexander Salenko]

But it seems to me that there is no slippage, they classically wear down the enemy on the left bank, it will be more difficult to do the same on the right bank.

[Novosibirsk]

This is going to drag on for a long time now. But control over Eastern Europe will have to be established one way or another.

[Amateur]

Thirdly, the military potential of Ukraine will be repeatedly weakened. From the sea country Ukraine...

This deep thought probably arose with the author of Ni after he found out that almost the entire naval fleet of Ukraine in the amount of two trophy motor boats was brought to the exhibition ̶d̶ ̶ ̶ ̶ ̶ ̶n̶ ̶ ̶ ̶ ̶ ̶ ̶ ̶ ̶ ̶ ̶i̶y̶y̶y̶t̶-̶a̶a̶a̶a̶a̶a̶a̶a But where the basis of the Ukroflot has gone - inflatable boats, is still unclear.

[your1970]

Quote: Amateur

this is where the basis of the ukroflot has gone - inflatable boats, it is not yet clear.

Everything is clear with them - 12 almirals of the Ukrainian Navy go fishing ...

[Uprun]

The sooner you realize the goals and objectives of the CBO, the sooner you will make life easier for yourself after it. The longer and more furiously the outskirts will snarl, the further the NWO will spread .... Tell them today - STOP! It is not known what losses of territory for the outskirts will end ... There is a chance to maintain access to the sea today. Wangyu that they will say STOP after the complete loss of Donbass with the first cover. But will we stop .... since they will not fulfill their obligations anyway, the shooting will continue on the line of demarcation ...., not for this the West pumps them up, again the notorious OSCE, observers, showdowns on each arrival and everything went on a new one .... So it's better not to stop ..., they will deceive anyway .... There is no faith either in them or in the West, from the word at all ... But diplomacy ....

[Mavrikiy]

According to the observer, Ukraine will actually turn into a "stump state", which is already won't be able to play any significant role in Eastern European politics.

Is he playing now?

[Stirbjorn]

Therefore, the return of the Black Sea coast, if it happens, will be not only an economic and military blow to Kyiv, but also a national victory for our country.

Undoubtedly! There was nothing left - to take Nikolaev and Odessa. True, everything is the same (hit and victory) and about Kyiv, for example, you can say.

[Zaurbek]

This should be our top priority ... In addition to access to the Black Sea, these are:
- Access to Southern Europe
- Connection with PMR
- Fertile lands
- Ports
- Resorts in warm places
- the absence of all this in Ukraine and the stopping of their potential for the future.
- Security on the Black Sea.

[Yulian]

If Russia regains Odessa and the Black Sea region, which is now Ukrainian, it will be a blow not only to Ukraine but also to Turkey with its plans for the revival of the Ottoman Empire. So one should expect thin knives in the back from a friend of Erdogan.

[Corrosion inhibitor]

Erdogan himself will answer for Erdogan if he starts throwing fools around him. And you are not in a hurry ... to determine Turkey's foreign policy. It is still more than balanced and pragmatic today. You can deal with such neighbors.

[Yulian]

And in today's terrorist attacks near Simferopol, the Crimean Tatars are not involved, who have already done this and have always been about Turkey?

[Corrosion inhibitor]

"Crimean" - no. And the "Roman Tatars" are involved. Not only Turks look like Turks.
I suggest that you start focusing on the specific steps of countries in foreign policy ... so that later it will be easier to recognize saboteurs.

[Yulian]

And this Lemur Islamov who staged the energy blockade of Crimea in 2015. of which Tatars was from Roman or Crimean?

[Corrosion inhibitor]

What was, was, and what will happen next - it will be clear a little later. Now you don't have to ask me questions, if you can't wait.

[iouris]

Historical Ukraine had no access to the Black Sea. And historical Russia had.

[ratoborets]

Historical Ukraine did not exist in nature. This is a chimera created by the Polish-Austrian invaders in the Russian lands.

Back in 1648, during the time of Bohdan Zinovievich Khmelnytsky, the territory controlled by the Cossacks was called the Hetmanate, and people called themselves "Russian people, Orthodox people." Nowhere was there any mention of Ukraine (as a state, and not the name of a territory-outskirts) was not.
Even the current Zapadenschina-Galicia as part of Poland-Rzeczpospolita never called itself Ukraine, but called themselves Russians, and the territory within Poland was called the Russian Voivodeship (Województwo ruskie) with the center in Lvov. Unfortunately, the centuries of rule by Catholic Poles and Austrians were not in vain, and out of the Russian people they created the Vyrus-Okraintsy. First, they introduced the religion of serfs-slaves, Uniatism (which made it possible to make eternal serfs-slaves out of the vyrus, because they would never become full-fledged Catholics, but they no longer considered themselves Russian-Orthodox), and then in the days of Austria-Hungary to gradually introduce Ukrainianism is the main goal which was opposed to pro-Russian movements and Muscovites.

[Corrosion inhibitor]

... Ukraine will actually turn into a "stump state" ...

This is the purpose of the SVO. If and always has been ... and will be until it is achieved.
U.k.r.y Maidan made their choice. So We did the same - now their way to the sea is ordered.
In the best case - at sea only through customs it will be possible ...
According to M. Zadornov, customs is "it is possible there" ... but not anywhere, as before
The pretensions to the Kuban and the Crimea and the Lokhov pseudo-movie will now be cast a hundred times over for them, and for more than one decade.

[RoTTor]

Ukraine, since it failed to become the second France, will become the second Switzerland, which lives perfectly even without the sea.
The country-phenomenon that inherited from the USSR, which in 1991 had one of the largest merchant and fishing fleets in the WORLD, the most powerful shipbuilding, etc., does not have a fleet at all.
Unlike neighboring Belarus, where there is no sea, but there is a fleet.
Since Ukraine has finally become a near-sea riverine country without a fleet, there is no need to disgrace yourself by teasing the seas and rivers with your impotence and puffing out your cheeks.