"Dirty water"
The economic ring around Iran continues to shrink. Recently, the European Union adopted another (already 19) package of sanctions against Tehran. As is known, the representatives of the European Union in the summer refused to buy crude Iranian oil, which dealt a rather significant blow to the financial system of the Islamic Republic. Now the Europeans, who are trying in every way to impose a cessation of nuclear research on Iran, decided to go even further and refused to buy Iranian gas, banned Iran from selling oil and gas equipment, metals and alloys, and also instructed insurance companies to refuse to insure Iranian short-term loans.
There is information that these sanctions are ready to support Turkey, which, although geographically and does not apply to the European Union, is trying with all its might to please the West, which is expressed, inter alia, in its excessive attention to the Syrian problem.
By such measures, Brussels makes it clear to Tehran that even its rapid reorientation to the markets of Southeast Asia will not give an opportunity to overcome the severe economic crisis that has hit Iran over the past year.
The first crisis hit, which economic experts attributed precisely to the announcement and real manifestations of European sanctions against Iran, fell as early as the beginning of this year, when the national currency of the Islamic Republic began to sink against the US dollar and euro. In general, it would be difficult to imagine the independence of the fall of the Iranian currency from the activities of the financial systems of the West. Outwardly, everything looks extremely transparent and is described by economic laws: they say Iran was shackled in sanctions, the economy began to agonize, since the main raw material - Iranian oil - could not flow into European markets, and therefore the Iranian rial began to fall. However, with all due respect to modern economic laws, we must understand that any ups and downs of one or another world currency are primarily not associated with objective laws in the world of markets, but with the banal speculations of those who can push through any financial transactions. own position. After all, the rate of rial began to fall even before the Europeans completely refused to supply oil from Iran. Moreover, the rate of Iranian currency significantly subsided even when Iran entered into partnership agreements on the sale of additional volumes of crude oil to China. This state of affairs clearly indicates that the main reason for the fall of the Iranian economy is not at all in real combinations of hydrocarbon sales with their production, and certainly not in Iran’s problems with short-term and long-term insurance, but in financial manipulations, which able to change the situation in a given economy of the world without any external sanctions.
Obviously, Iran today is falling prey to a provoked financial boycott by the West, which is expressed, among other things, in the fall of the national currency. In particular, the Iranian rial today is simply impossible to exchange for a dollar or euro at the official rate. Now “black” exchangers are working, which set the exchange rate at the level of 35,5-36 thousand rials for 1 dollar. At the beginning of the year, the US dollar was worth about 20000 rials on the same “black” market, and in October 2011 its unofficial weighted average cost was determined at the level of 11-12 thousand rials. It turns out that in just a year, the Iranian currency rate fell simply catastrophically: the official value is more than 80%, but the unofficial value is 3 times.
It is obvious that the fall after the next sanctions package will only worsen, and therefore in Iran by the end of the year the crisis may lead to a total complication of the economic situation. Due to the fact that Iran’s banking sector is forced to work practically in isolation, so that financial flows are not stopped by the United States or the European Union, the Iranian authorities, headed by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, simply cannot fully meet their social obligations. This leads to the fact that in Iranian society there is growing discontent with the policies of the current authorities, which frankly plays into the hands of the West. Even those who yesterday declared their indispensable support for the policies of the current Iranian president are increasingly criticizing his inability to actively resist the West. But the West, as you know, can skillfully use even a small, but certainly a powerful handful of disgruntled Iranian authorities in order to announce the need to launch an invasion in order to defend democratic principles ...
Apparently, seeking the last reserves for non-military confrontation with the West, Iran is taking such a step as announcing its readiness to arrange an environmental catastrophe in the Strait of Hormuz, unless the EU and the US stop strangling Tehran with endless sanctions. In particular, the possibility of smashing one of the oil tankers on the rocks of the Strait of Hormuz was announced by the Commander of the IRGC (Islamic Revolution Guards Corps) Mohammad Ali Jafari. After the tanker loaded with oil will be directed to the rocks, all the oil can cover the waters of the strait and block the way for the ships that go through the strait. Such a move, according to Jafari, will be aimed primarily at the Gulf States, supplying crude oil to the United States and Europe by tankers, while supporting sanctions against Iran. A peculiar demarche in the style of "so do not you get to anyone" ...
Obviously, when the Iranians declared that they were ready to block the Strait of Hormuz, the same Americans believed that we were talking about using the Iranian fleet, which Washington promised to cope quickly enough. But if it is really about filling the water area of the Gulf of Hormuz, then the strategy and tactics of possible military operations against Iran will have to be changed. Not only will tankers with vital fuel for Europe and the United States not be able to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, but American aircraft carriers that obviously did not perform “democratic” operations, cruising not over water but over huge oil spots, will have to tight ...
The environmental catastrophe that Iran can arrange at sea may well become a real dead end for the US and NATO naval units, which have recently been relied upon in the event of a possible launch of an operation to “force Iran to close its nuclear program.” In such a situation, the same Americans will literally have to carry every Iranian tanker, which the Iranians themselves can at any moment sink to the bottom in order to realize the “Dirty Water” plan.
If the oil is deliberately spilled, then even the very fact of a possible military attack on Iran will soon become doubtful. After all, the West will obviously not attack Iran at a time when oil tankers from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar cannot reach the coast of the United States and Europe. It is necessary first to carry out the cleaning, so that their countries are not left without fuel, and this in itself can be considered humiliation for the West.
In general, it can be stated that Iran is still responding as best it can, and it must be recognized that a possible Iranian response is clearly capable of spoiling the blood of supporters of a speedy strike on the Islamic Republic.
There is information that these sanctions are ready to support Turkey, which, although geographically and does not apply to the European Union, is trying with all its might to please the West, which is expressed, inter alia, in its excessive attention to the Syrian problem.
The commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Mohammad Ali Jafari, is planning an environmental catastrophe in the Strait of Hormuz to temporarily lift international sanctions against Iran
By such measures, Brussels makes it clear to Tehran that even its rapid reorientation to the markets of Southeast Asia will not give an opportunity to overcome the severe economic crisis that has hit Iran over the past year.
The first crisis hit, which economic experts attributed precisely to the announcement and real manifestations of European sanctions against Iran, fell as early as the beginning of this year, when the national currency of the Islamic Republic began to sink against the US dollar and euro. In general, it would be difficult to imagine the independence of the fall of the Iranian currency from the activities of the financial systems of the West. Outwardly, everything looks extremely transparent and is described by economic laws: they say Iran was shackled in sanctions, the economy began to agonize, since the main raw material - Iranian oil - could not flow into European markets, and therefore the Iranian rial began to fall. However, with all due respect to modern economic laws, we must understand that any ups and downs of one or another world currency are primarily not associated with objective laws in the world of markets, but with the banal speculations of those who can push through any financial transactions. own position. After all, the rate of rial began to fall even before the Europeans completely refused to supply oil from Iran. Moreover, the rate of Iranian currency significantly subsided even when Iran entered into partnership agreements on the sale of additional volumes of crude oil to China. This state of affairs clearly indicates that the main reason for the fall of the Iranian economy is not at all in real combinations of hydrocarbon sales with their production, and certainly not in Iran’s problems with short-term and long-term insurance, but in financial manipulations, which able to change the situation in a given economy of the world without any external sanctions.
Obviously, Iran today is falling prey to a provoked financial boycott by the West, which is expressed, among other things, in the fall of the national currency. In particular, the Iranian rial today is simply impossible to exchange for a dollar or euro at the official rate. Now “black” exchangers are working, which set the exchange rate at the level of 35,5-36 thousand rials for 1 dollar. At the beginning of the year, the US dollar was worth about 20000 rials on the same “black” market, and in October 2011 its unofficial weighted average cost was determined at the level of 11-12 thousand rials. It turns out that in just a year, the Iranian currency rate fell simply catastrophically: the official value is more than 80%, but the unofficial value is 3 times.
It is obvious that the fall after the next sanctions package will only worsen, and therefore in Iran by the end of the year the crisis may lead to a total complication of the economic situation. Due to the fact that Iran’s banking sector is forced to work practically in isolation, so that financial flows are not stopped by the United States or the European Union, the Iranian authorities, headed by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, simply cannot fully meet their social obligations. This leads to the fact that in Iranian society there is growing discontent with the policies of the current authorities, which frankly plays into the hands of the West. Even those who yesterday declared their indispensable support for the policies of the current Iranian president are increasingly criticizing his inability to actively resist the West. But the West, as you know, can skillfully use even a small, but certainly a powerful handful of disgruntled Iranian authorities in order to announce the need to launch an invasion in order to defend democratic principles ...
Apparently, seeking the last reserves for non-military confrontation with the West, Iran is taking such a step as announcing its readiness to arrange an environmental catastrophe in the Strait of Hormuz, unless the EU and the US stop strangling Tehran with endless sanctions. In particular, the possibility of smashing one of the oil tankers on the rocks of the Strait of Hormuz was announced by the Commander of the IRGC (Islamic Revolution Guards Corps) Mohammad Ali Jafari. After the tanker loaded with oil will be directed to the rocks, all the oil can cover the waters of the strait and block the way for the ships that go through the strait. Such a move, according to Jafari, will be aimed primarily at the Gulf States, supplying crude oil to the United States and Europe by tankers, while supporting sanctions against Iran. A peculiar demarche in the style of "so do not you get to anyone" ...
Obviously, when the Iranians declared that they were ready to block the Strait of Hormuz, the same Americans believed that we were talking about using the Iranian fleet, which Washington promised to cope quickly enough. But if it is really about filling the water area of the Gulf of Hormuz, then the strategy and tactics of possible military operations against Iran will have to be changed. Not only will tankers with vital fuel for Europe and the United States not be able to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, but American aircraft carriers that obviously did not perform “democratic” operations, cruising not over water but over huge oil spots, will have to tight ...
The environmental catastrophe that Iran can arrange at sea may well become a real dead end for the US and NATO naval units, which have recently been relied upon in the event of a possible launch of an operation to “force Iran to close its nuclear program.” In such a situation, the same Americans will literally have to carry every Iranian tanker, which the Iranians themselves can at any moment sink to the bottom in order to realize the “Dirty Water” plan.
If the oil is deliberately spilled, then even the very fact of a possible military attack on Iran will soon become doubtful. After all, the West will obviously not attack Iran at a time when oil tankers from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar cannot reach the coast of the United States and Europe. It is necessary first to carry out the cleaning, so that their countries are not left without fuel, and this in itself can be considered humiliation for the West.
In general, it can be stated that Iran is still responding as best it can, and it must be recognized that a possible Iranian response is clearly capable of spoiling the blood of supporters of a speedy strike on the Islamic Republic.
Information