The greatest threat to European economic and social stability, and indeed to physical survival in general, is the demographic explosion in developing countries, the global environmental crisis, the depletion of natural resources and the globalization of the economy.
The survival of our civilization depends on our ability to solve these problems — we must prepare ourselves for the decisive defense of Europe from the dangers of a collapsing world. It will be a big mistake to solve these global problems separately, as they are interconnected. All of them are different aspects of the Main Problem. An even bigger mistake would be to think that someone besides us is capable and must solve them.
The main problem of our time is the extension of the consequences of the Western scientific and industrial revolution to the rest of the world. The world has lost its balance, because almost all countries of the world are tormented by changes introduced by modernization. The scientific and industrial revolution, which arose in Europe and sent our civilization to the pinnacle of success, spread throughout the world, so that there were no longer any traditional cultures left in the world that would not be affected by modernization.
The roots of the problems: the scientific and technological revolution and the population explosion
The current population explosion has deep historical roots dating back to at least the 18th century. After the Black Death epidemic in the 14th century, the population of Europe was constantly growing. For many reasons, a marked decrease in mortality occurred in the 18th century, after which a strong population growth began - in those years the population of Europe grew approximately as fast as today in the Third World countries.
Population growth was our “demographic weapons”, Which, in combination with the scientific revolution and the developing industry, gave us the means to conquer the whole world.
Today, after a long demographic transition, population growth in Europe has almost stopped, and its decline will soon begin. Historically, we have moved from high fertility + high mortality to the “high fertility + low mortality” phase and then to the “low fertility + low mortality” phase, with a rapidly aging population.
At the same time, the results of the scientific and industrial revolution in the Third World led to the “high birth rate + low mortality” phase, that is, to a demographic explosion.
The question of life and death on the planet sounds like this: how long will the demographic transition last in the countries of the Third World?
If it lasts more 200 years, then Europe is doomed - it will not survive 100 years. In fact, we are not even able to somehow manage the growth of the population. The most important difficulty is raising the living standards of the inhabitants of the Third World countries through the creation of an industrialized society. That is what happened in Europe between 1770-1970 over the years, but for the Third World countries, such an improvement simply seems impossible. The problem is that this is impossible even in principle, since this will require resources in 4,6 times as large as all the resources of our planet.
We must also bear in mind that industrialization cannot absorb the mass of the rural poor even in Europe.
The most important circumstance of our history is that the population growth in Europe was accompanied by the colonization of new lands: both the Americas, Australia, Siberia, the northern and southern parts of Africa, which took millions of Europeans, absorbing the population explosion, and industrialization gave these people work and prosperity.
Today, after 100-200 years, we are faced with new waves of migration, however, already in a situation of overpopulated world. There are no more places left. Migrants from the countries of the Third World travel to Europe, but only minor improvements in life are waiting for them, and on the whole they form a hostile social “under-class”.
So the demographic expansion that was once our strength became our weakness. Today we are in danger of staggering population growth outside of Europe. As happens in nature, growing populations will gradually colonize new territories. The population of the Third World will grow to the last limits, after which it collapses. At least, today in Europe, Australia, the United States and Canada, the influx of immigrants from the Third World is completely out of control.
By absorbing the masses of the population from the Third World, we only contribute to its further growth and bring the global ecological catastrophe closer. It is clear that the rapid growth of the population trying to increase their consumption leads only to a depletion of resources that are limited and a sharp decrease in consumption.
Some optimists imagine that developing countries can avoid our “mistakes” and use high technologies that pollute nature less and require less energy and resources. Of course, these are empty fantasies, especially given the huge scale of the problem - the huge mass of the population and the short supply of time. It is expected that in the coming decades, work will still look for additional 1,2 billion people, and only a quarter of them will be able to get it if everything remains the same.
It is very unlikely that in the foreseeable future science will be able to make such discoveries that will dramatically increase the reserves of natural resources - at least that will be able to satisfy the ever-growing needs of humanity. As resources become increasingly scarce and demand grows, the position of the Third World countries will become worse.
Many Third World countries may fall apart simply because of the growing mass of the population. Many African countries have already ceased to exist as states, and have remained only a dim memory. The explosive population growth caused a strong pressure on social structures, which exacerbated the conflict between the rich and the poor, as the growth of the number of poor people outpaced economic growth.
As tensions increase in society, groups of political and religious extremists emerge - the rise of radical Islam can be viewed as a way to channel irritation of the population of the Islamic world. Modern megacities have already become incubators of violence on a global scale.
The growth of the world population and the depletion of resources create not only internal, but also external threats to poor societies. Future wars will be fought over basic life resources — water, arable land, and maybe even clean air. These future wars will be ecological wars, and the fate of millions of people will be decided in them. The wars of the future will introduce environmental factors into geopolitics.
Third World countries may plunge into chaos, in which government will simply become impossible. The refugee problem today is only the forerunner of the coming chaos. The number of refugees will grow exponentially. More and more people will flee from environmental disasters, not to mention political refugees, and it will be more and more difficult to divide them as the social, political and environmental crisis deepens.
In many ways, the current economic activity in developing countries was the result of the introduction of Western industry in countries with low wages and poor working conditions, in which there are no laws on nature conservation. For decades, economists have convinced us that the erosion of the European industrial base brings us only benefits, and that the whole world is developing, but today it becomes clear that this is not so.
The removal of industry from Europe has given rise to two serious problems:
1. Mass unemployment.
2. Loss of tax revenue.
The loss of mass jobs in industry was not at all compensated by jobs in the service sector — as liberal economic theory suggested. The opposite has happened - poorly educated labor migrants from the Third World have turned work in the service sector into modern slavery, wages have become beggarly, and working conditions are below any criticism. As a result, a huge mass of Europeans suffer from chronic poverty.
Withdrawal of industry has turned vast regions of Europe into depressive wastelands, and people living there into rotten lumpen, doomed to live in poverty. This trouble of post-industrialism is spreading more and more, as the global economy turns the majority of white Europeans into helpless losers.
If we accept this post-industrial madness, we will commit a slow suicide. Power and wealth came to Western civilization through industrial production. If we voluntarily get rid of industry today, we will undermine the very foundations of Western civilization. Television shows and McDonald's will not save our power and strength, nor the pride of our race. We must have the intellectual courage to challenge the dominant economic paradigm that dries up not only Europe, but the whole world.
The introduction of European industry to China and India also led to the departure of transnational corporations from taxes. Erosion of the tax base can lead to a complete collapse of Western countries, since they are no longer able to provide even basic social services for their citizens, and to preserve the infrastructure. Moreover, we can not avoid this trap, just borrowing more money.
By allowing transnational corporations to freely withdraw capital and production, we allowed them to dominate us. We allowed them to act, regardless of the laws, and to receive profits, through the use of cheap labor of immigrants and bribing politicians.
We allowed nation states to become stronger than nation states, allowed us to humiliate, exploit and exsanguinate. We allowed transnational conglomerates to become stronger than European civilization itself. We believed that the prosperity of transnational corporations is also our prosperity. Transnational corporations, in their essence, are nothing more than “paper tigers”. These are completely unnatural communities of people based on blood kinship, common ground or community of feelings. TNCs are essentially markets where people sell their labor. They are based on agreements and a delicate balance between greed and trust. When the trust goes away, the TNCs dissolve. To get rid of TNCs is not so difficult - their power is just an illusion, we can throw them off as soon as we want. They cannot exist without natural human communities. The parasitic nature of TNCs requires the existence of specific natural communities. In addition, corporations deplete the national state, sucking its life energy. They need the state because it provides certain services, but otherwise TNCs behave like parasites, destroying human society.
An important driving force behind modern global capitalism is the contradiction between the influential West and the poor countries of the Third World. Modern capitalism is flourishing, while Western countries are kept on the verge of slipping into chaos. But once they weaken, the forces of chaos break out, and capitalism ends.
Industrial production itself, derived from the West in the countries of the Third World, has become the greatest threat to the ecosystems of the planet. Poor countries, slipping into chaos, are completely unable and unwilling to take care of nature and control enterprises. If industrial production remained in Europe, there would be much more attentive supervision and tight control behind it. Instead, the opposite happens - the competitive advantage of developing economies is the lack of environmental control.
The irony of fate is that Europe is weakening when its industrial forces go to the Third World, which only accelerates the global environmental catastrophe.
Chinese paper tiger
For three decades, we are fascinated by the stunning growth of the Chinese economy. China’s industrial growth is unprecedented in world history. Obviously, he also has an ideological background - we are told that this is an example of the inevitable victory of global capitalism and a liberal economy. China's success is used in controversy, telling us that, they say, the European working class has become lazy, full and cumbersome, while the Chinese demonstrate amazing agility and healthy commercial greed.
However, the question arises - can the East defeat the West? My answer is unequivocal - no!
Considering the history of China, it can be concluded that, despite all the recent successes, China is experiencing the last stages of the so-called “dynastic cycle”. This happened in the history of China many times - the rise and decline of dynasties. The dynastic cycle begins when a new energetic dynasty comes to the country, after a period of chaos, civil war and invasion of the barbarians.
When the dynastic cycle ends, the symptoms of decline intensify. We list them.
Overpopulation In favorable conditions, the population is growing rapidly, but at some point hunger and epidemics begin.
Social contradictions. When the poor become more and more, arable land begins to be missed, and they are increasingly concentrated in the hands of a handful of landowners. Historically, peasant farms tend to split up, then falling into the hands of landowners.
The spread of corruption in the state. Political influence allows the corrupt political elite to exploit the rest of the population.
The chronic inability of the state to fulfill its basic functions due to the lack of funds stolen by corrupt officials; the emergence of super-expensive construction projects and the rising costs of a corrupt judicial apparatus.
Natural disasters affecting overcrowded regions where land depletion is most severe.
Peasant revolts begin, revealing that the system has exhausted its energy, and begins to fall apart. Finally, the whole country is plunging into the abyss of civil war, accompanied by invasions of foreigners. When the emperor loses the trust of the population, the dynastic cycle ends so that after some time a new cycle begins.
All the above symptoms are noticeable in today's China. The Chinese Communist Party is just another dynasty, started by Chairman Mao, a dynasty that cannot escape the logic of the dynastic cycle.
In short, we can say that China is a “paper tiger” - its growth is based on our industrial production, derived from Europe by greedy capitalists. The wealth accumulated by China is, in fact, our wealth, which our liberal elite allowed the Chinese to get. However, all this is coming to an end, as the current economic crisis is getting worse, the purchasing power of Western “post-industrial” countries is falling, and China’s economy and society will simply collapse.
Today, when the very foundations of global capitalism are collapsing, the entire liberal world order is collapsing. Earthly civilization itself will face severe test, but, despite the severity of the problems, I am sure we will cope with them.
Europe on the threshold of revolution
The European revolution will also be an ecological revolution. We will have to solve many problems. We will have to fight the population explosion on the planet. We will have to stop the predatory migration to Europe from the Third World. In biological terms, we are faced with a kind of rodent invasion - decisive measures are needed here, and the stakes are too high for us to be humane and polite.
We must protect nature from the predation of global capitalism. We must stop the exploitation of the corporations of the weak countries of the Third World, where lawlessness reigns. Huge parts of our planet have already been turned into a giant dump. No matter what these shakes work in the Third World, sooner or later it affects us - climate change and nature pollution do not have national borders.
It is perfectly clear that these changes will not be possible if greedy capitalists and corrupt and infantile liberals remain in power. We will never make a new technological breakthrough if transnational corporations continue to sabotage our economy using cheap labor with the help of corrupt Third World governments.
In the coming years, Europe will face challenges that most recently were simply unthinkable. The situation over the past 40 years has changed radically - from the former optimism of the post-war years, we were on the verge of chaos and extinction. However, for us Europeans, defense is not the best choice.
For the first time in history, we are faced with the problem not of separate nations, but of a whole civilization. This crisis forces us, Europeans, for the first time in our history to act together as a European nation - without this crisis, we could not unite. Today, Europe must fight not for life, but for death, but only the struggle will lead Europe to victory.