The attack on the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant makes you think
Watched yesterday news release of Deutsche Welle on a Russian-language channel. The discussion turned to the situation at the Zaporozhye NPP. Naturally, an energy expert was invited to the studio. Such a serious lady with the appearance of a village teacher.
It became really interesting for me to listen to the opinion of a Western expert about what is happening. I'm used to the fact that the West believes in the most stupid versions when it comes to Russia. It does believe. Without even thinking about the absurdity of the accusations. I also became convinced of this by communicating with representatives of Western countries.
The first thing that struck me in the TV expert assessment of the situation was how simply the culprit of the shelling was found - “Russian invaders fired on” ... At the same time, in all the interviews, I never heard an answer to a simple question - who controls ZNPP today ? Both the presenters and the expert diligently avoided this topic.
It is clear that the answer to this question completely destroys those conclusions, by the way, in my opinion, the expert is rather weak and incompetent, which the lady expert makes. The station is controlled by the Russians, and the Russians are shooting at the station? Again version a la Donetsk. Are we shooting ourselves? Are we killing ourselves?
Of course, for some part of the channel's audience, this version will do. Who knows us Russians. Under Tanks they rushed during the Great Patriotic War. But for thinking Germans, this looks like nonsense. That is why they bypass this topic in the West. How many moments that exist in modern Ukraine are bypassed.
So, the co-author of this material can be safely called the "Deutsche Welle" and its experts. Given that our publication is popular in Germany, today I will talk about the real danger of what Ukrainians are doing. About a real threat not only to Russia, Ukraine and its closest neighbors, but also about the danger to Europe.
Chernobyl is child's play compared to Zaporozhye
I'll start with the basics. Zaporozhye NPP is the largest nuclear power plant in Europe! Consequently, in a man-made accident, Chernobyl and Fukushima will seem like just small incidents, and not a disaster. That is why it is impossible to take such objects using heavy artillery, MLRS and other "serious" weapons. One random projectile - and you won’t have to fight there for a long time anymore. How to live.
I will give an excerpt from the statement of the press secretary of the President of the Russian Federation Dmitry Peskov. It is clear that, as a diplomat and as a press secretary of the President, Peskov cannot speak directly.
“The shelling of the territory of the nuclear power plant by the Ukrainian armed forces is a potentially extremely dangerous activity, which, if aggravated, is fraught with catastrophic consequences for a vast, vast territory, including the territory of Europe.”
The consequences of a possible man-made disaster are also very specifically named in the statement of the Russian Defense Ministry. Of course, taking into account the fact that the military is considering the situation from a military point of view. However, they may not always tell the whole truth.
“The population of Kyiv, Zaporizhia, Kharkov, Poltava, Kherson, Odessa, Nikolaev, Kirovograd, Vinnitsa regions, Donetsk and Luhansk people's republics, border regions of Russia and Belarus will be in the zone of radiation contamination (more than 5 sq. km, length about 300 km) as well as Moldova, Bulgaria and Romania.
In fact, an explosion at the ZNPP will mean the disappearance of Ukraine as such. The affected territories will become life-threatening, and the population will simply leave the country. Yes, and the neighbors will get much more than in the disaster at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant. Kyiv understands this. That's why they bombard the station. It looks like blackmail. From the series “The barn burned down - burn down and the hut”.
I understand that the enumeration of areas that will become life-threatening does not impress the same Germans, French, Italians and other Europeans. If there is no Ukraine, there will be no problem for Ukraine, and everything will calm down. But it's not so simple. The existence of many countries, the existence of Europe, if you like, is in question. At least in the form in which it exists today. It's not worth talking about the European economy.
So, I will not particularly intrigue and draw a picture of the apocalypse, the explosion of any nuclear power plant reactor. Consider a simple and quite real situation in the light of shelling. A radioactive release during the destruction of the storage of radioactive waste, in the direction of which it has already arrived, by the way.
Zaporizhzhya NPP stands on the banks of the Dnieper. Naturally, radioactive substances will fall into this river. And what do we have in this case? The waters of the Dnieper flow into the Black Sea. Thus, all Black Sea states are deprived of the resort area. It is difficult to imagine a tourist who wants to relax in such conditions. Let's add here fishing and everything connected with it. These industries are threatened with complete ... collapse.
But that's not all. There are also straits through which contaminated water may well appear in the Mediterranean Sea. Such a beautiful picture emerges. After all, the Mediterranean states will already suffer. And these are not some "new Europeans" and other European "buffers", these are the leading Western countries.
Of course, we can talk about insignificant radiation, about dissolution and other quirks of radioactive contamination. But it cannot be said that such an infection will not occur. And this is enough for the Europeans to take their governments for Faberge and force them to influence Kyiv so that the shelling stops.
This is what the future looks like if something happens. This is not only my vision of the situation. Here is a quote from an interview with a senior expert at the Institute of Energy and Finance, Sergei Kondratiev, which he gave to RT in Russian:
“ZNPP stands on the banks of the Dnieper, and in the event of an emergency situation in which a radioactive release occurs, these substances will enter the river and can reach the Black and Mediterranean Seas, as well as the countries that are located there. These states can suffer very seriously, and therefore it is in their own interests, whatever their political position, to advocate for ensuring radiation safety at the Zaporizhzhya NPP and urge Kyiv to do so.”
And here is an excerpt from the official message of the RF Ministry of Defense regarding this problem:
“The situation can seriously escalate due to adverse weather conditions and getting into the zone of possible contamination of the South Ukrainian nuclear power plant (capacity of 3 MW) and nuclear fuel storage at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant, as well as water arteries. The Black Sea and the Bosphorus Strait will become unsuitable for navigation for a long time. The coasts of Turkey, Georgia, Abkhazia, Bulgaria and Romania will be contaminated with high levels of radiation.”
It cannot be said that the world community has decided not to notice the danger of a new catastrophe. August 11 - meeting of the UN Security Council on the issue of the Zaporizhzhya NPP. But I don't feel any particular euphoria from this message. Our diplomats, of course, will try, but in the end a non-binding statement will be made.
After the recent speech of the UN Secretary General at the event dedicated to the next anniversary of the atomic bombing of Japan, it turned out that the head of the UN had already forgotten who dropped the bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. But he inserted a mention of Russia's aggression into this speech...
So who is shelling the ZNPP?
I will return to the first question. So who is shelling the nuclear power plant? The most correct answer to this question we can get by answering another question. Who benefits? Nothing new, nothing original. It just doesn't happen!
Those who closely follow the actions of the Kyiv authorities and the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces see perfectly well the state of both. How is it in boxing - the state of groggy! Drunk state! And in this state, the army of Ukraine is capable of committing any crime. They are ready to destroy everything and everyone, including themselves, for the sake of a illusory victory over Russia.
I perfectly understand Kyiv's train of thought. Stop the Russian offensive, stop the war in general with a man-made disaster. Moreover, nullify all previous victories, nullify the return of Crimea, turning it into a zone of radioactive contamination. The waters of the Dnieper will do it perfectly through the returned channel ...
Even the very possibility of such a catastrophe makes Zelensky a kind of micro-dictator of Europe. He can now ask for anything, using a simple phrase: "If you do not give, then I will not guarantee the safety of the Zaporizhzhya NPP!" Russians are so unpredictable... Europeans will not be able to laugh at this phrase. They themselves inspired their population with just such an idea.
It is we who, taught by the bitter experience of the liberated cities and towns, understand that the shelling of such objects, of which there are many in the Donbass, will be carried out as long as the Ukrainian army exists. There is no settlement that the allies liberated, which did not fly in. Even when the Ukrainians retreated without a fight, they just killed and that's it. Kherson to us for memory.
I will return again to the statement of the Russian Defense Ministry, with which I fully agree. The shelling of nuclear power plants is terrorism! But why we do not recognize Ukraine as a terrorist state, I do not understand:
“On August 7, the Zelensky regime committed a new act of nuclear terrorism at the energy infrastructure facilities of the Zaporozhye NPP to create a humanitarian catastrophe in the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions. At about 12:40 Ukrainian units of the 44th artillery brigade from the area of the settlement of Marganets on the opposite bank of the Kakhovka reservoir shelled the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.
Now about the "Russian version" of the shelling. About how the Western press presents the situation. At the beginning of the article, I mentioned the Deutsche Welle, but this is just one of the media, and there are dozens of them. Evidence, according to the established Western tradition, no one cites and does not require. It is most important.
The task of the media now is to prevent the Russian point of view from entering the Western information space, so that the citizens of European states do not see the evidence. Here is what our US diplomats wrote in their Telegram channel:
“We drew attention to the disinformation campaign unfolding in the local media in order to attribute responsibility to our country for the situation around the Zaporozhye NPP. It is indiscriminately claimed that the Russian military carried out artillery strikes on the territory of the nuclear power plant.”
Is there a red line that will stop Kyiv?
What conclusions should we draw in this situation? The question is very complex and ... simple. The complexity of the issue is that the answer, which is sure to be, with any jewelry work of our aviators and gunners, will lead to the death of a certain number of civilians.
Simply because the facilities are located in densely populated areas. We remember very well the reaction of the West to the destruction of the plant, in which the blast wave from the detonation of ammunition destroyed the shopping complex. We remember the shots of destruction inside and outside the shopping center that disappeared rather quickly, where they practically did not show the injured civilians, the number of which for some reason is growing every day now ...
The simplicity of the question is that it is time to stop talking. Any dialogue, even in war, is a question and answer. The question was asked to us by the shelling of the ZNPP, the explosion of the headquarters fleet in Sevastopol on Navy Day, an explosion at an airfield in the Crimea. We must answer. Personally, I perceive these attacks as a slap in the face of our army and special services.
I will express a very seditious thought. Is it possible to guarantee the safety of the same Crimeans or tourists in Crimea today? Can we protect the Crimean bridge? The answer is very sad. Need an answer. Such an answer, after which the West will not even think about terrorist acts on our territory.
And the special services need to intensify their work in the border regions. If necessary, provide them with additional powers for a special period by law. Yes, it will cause some discomfort for the citizens. Yes, human rights activists will howl in unison in the West. But it will save lives.
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