The situation at the front, Nikolaev, Kurakhovo, Lisichansk, Izyum, Kyiv

Yuri Podolyaka

The traditional summing up of the battles on the "Ukrainian fronts" for March 19, 2022

Comments

[Santa Fe]

Moment on video 1:30-1:50
Advice from Podolyak Y., excellent analytical work!

[host]

Quote: Santa Fe

Moment on video 1:30-1:50
Advice from Podolyak Y., excellent analytical work!

Colleague No one expected and does not expect deep analytical conclusions from Yuri, for me he is a source of news "from there" (calls, SMS from locals, which he does not deny). And about Mariupol: his recommendations to local residents (I advise citizens to stay at home and wait for ours), but yes, in his advice-forecast, he screwed up.

[Santa Fe]

Good afternoon!

It is more interesting to listen to his news, comparing with his releases a couple of days ago. When they start to contradict each other. Thanks to the soothing tone of the expert, these annoying moments are most often overlooked.

Yuri's channel has gained immense popularity thanks to bots. Here's a screenshot of one of the episodes. Random comment got 3000 likes in 40 minutes, are you serious?

[host]

Quote: Santa Fe

compared with his releases a couple of days ago. When they start to contradict each other. These annoying moments are often overlooked.

This is what we are talking about. , my respect is more for his & co. social activities (videos, posts, promotions) about the kindness and relationships of people in our blinkered society.

[businessv]

Quote: Santa Fe

Random comment got 3000 likes in 40 minutes, are you serious?

Colleague, there is an edit time (edited), so it looks like the post is only 43 minutes, and already 3,1K profit .

[Santa Fe]

When you edit your comment on YouTube, the time when the comment was published will still be displayed there (the time of editing is not indicated anywhere, except for the fact of editing itself)

Therefore, yes, 3K in 40 minutes was cheated by bots

[musketon64]

Podolyaka is an active participant in both Maidans, a blogger under the nickname jurasumy. He actively promoted the Bandera ideology, and then for some reason he suddenly changed his shoes. But, as they say, screenshots do not burn.
I was subscribed to him on YouTube, when he just as smartly analyzed the "tanker war" in Europe. I unsubscribed from him when he said crap that Russia needs to offer attractive conditions for the former "fraternal" republics in order to restore the USSR-2. That is, hang them around our necks again. One word - Ukrainian.

[kytx]

For some reason :)
Because they took him by the balls first, kejibi, then sebeu, and with the help of kejibi, he dumped him from nenka. Then ordinary citizens leak information to him from all over Ukraine, to put it mildly, not quite true.

[Santa Fe]

Then ordinary citizens leak information to him from all over Ukraine

Why does he need this information? He himself knows perfectly well what needs to be said in the next issue.

[9PA]

Will Azovstal be leveled with the ground or will we take it?

[Cron]

Quote: 9PA

Will Azovstal be leveled with the ground or will we take it?

Already they equate aviation and artillery. What's the point of risking guys. Moreover, production was stopped there, with all the consequences

[gorenina91]

Already they equate aviation and artillery. What's the point of risking guys. Moreover, production was stopped there, with all the consequences

- I don’t know, but it seems that our Armed Forces of the Russian Federation still do not bring down powerful destructive fire on the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Natsiks !!!
- Artillery and tank strikes are clearly not enough.
- And some all-time pinpoint strikes - a couple of helicopters or attack aircraft will fly in and strike and that's it ...
- I will give a footnote - how helicopters inflict destructive fire; and they themselves are out of reach of air defense (at least stingers) ... - True, Turkish helicopter strikes are shown there - but ours can arrange the same - but even much cooler !!! - Here is the footnote where Turkish helicopters are shooting:

https://vk.com/video-31371206_456242848

- And the RF Armed Forces can be even more powerful !!!
- With such automatic cannon fire, you can cover our columns (and smash the columns of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) and hit the highest floors in Mariupol (and during the assault on other cities) !!! - Yes, at least in Izyum, where the remnants of the 81st Airborne Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are still settled!
- There are more destructive types of weapons - why are they not used by our Armed Forces of the Russian Federation ???

[riwas]

how helicopters inflict destructive fire; and they themselves are out of reach of air defense (at least stingers)

On Zvezda they showed our combat helicopter after the battle. He worked so close to the enemy that he has holes even from 5,45 mm bullets.

[gorenina91]

On Zvezda they showed our combat helicopter after the battle. He worked so close to the enemy that he has holes even from 5,45 mm bullets.

- And what's good about that??
- I am generally amazed - our helicopters are fighting at such a dangerous distance - and there is the Shilka; and "stringer"; and our "arrow", and a grenade launcher (and this is all in bulk in the Armed Forces of Ukraine) can be used against them!

[Cron]

- I don’t know, but it seems that our Armed Forces of the Russian Federation still do not bring down powerful destructive fire on the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Natsiks !!!

These are not your impressions - this is a fact.

- There are more destructive types of weapons - why are they not used by our Armed Forces of the Russian Federation ???

Because the president was initially ready only for a "special operation." And now all the tits are crumpling. He says that he is ready to meet with Zelensky, but he puts forward new and unrealistic demands.
Apparently, the information that was conveyed to him was distorted. And the leadership got the impression that they would meet us with flowers, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine would not put up serious resistance. This all confirms the president's words: "As expected, the army of Ukraine does not offer resistance, and they try to avoid direct clashes, and the battles are mainly with nationalists."
Then Konoshenkov said that the units were leaving their positions en masse and surrendering. Which turned out to be a lie. Well, if only it was near Kherson.
In Kharkov, in general, they moved like in a parade and, having suffered significant losses, had to retreat.

We did not expect such resistance and were not going to fight with the army of Ukraine. Therefore, they did not strike in the first days at the places of permanent deployment of troops. And they allowed them to take up defense in an organized manner. They dispersed their forces in all sectors of the front and got stuck. Instead of taking the most combat-ready grouping of troops in the Donbass into the cauldron in a short time. We are not sending additional forces.
Since Lavrov says that we see Ukraine as neutral. We want to give her security guarantees. We recognize Zelensky as legitimate. So what's the point of hanging around near Kiev? And ruin the lives of our guys?
It turns out that we are fighting there to give security guarantees to Ukraine. Sur some.
In addition, we are negotiating and saying that we want to quickly come to peace. So why would the Ukrainian army stop resisting?

[Semak]

everything is so, but all this is due to the fact that someone from the political leadership of the Russian Federation is still dividing the army of Ukraine into the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the national battalions (Azov, Aidar, etc., etc.), which Yuri spoke about Solovyov, when the Solovyov live channel was still working. I don’t remember verbatim, and it’s not the essence, but the meaning was such that there is no division into the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Battalions, there is one force and this is the Armed Forces of Ukraine, all the National Battalions were included in the Armed Forces of Ukraine with all the consequences, and dividing them into the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Battalions could still work in 2014, but not 8 years later. From the military leadership of the operation, this was probably understood, and in the early days it was already visible to the naked eye, but every time our fighters were "beaten" on the hands.

[Cron]

Quote: Semak

everything is true, but all this is due to the fact that someone from the political leadership of the Russian Federation is still dividing the army of Ukraine into the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the national battalions (Azov, Aidar, etc., etc.)

Exactly. Ours are still in 2014. And they do not perceive the new reality. That great changes have taken place in the Ukrainian army, that the population has been notably brainwashed.
And there was only one way to force the APU to stop resistance. Showing that we are here for a long time and our goal is to overthrow this regime. And all who do not lay down their arms will be destroyed. But if our people say that they want to come to peace as soon as possible, then why are our soldiers dying right now? And somehow I do not see that the terms of the agreement become worse for Ukraine. Only the meat grinder continues while the diplomats sit out their pants. One could simply put before the fact, they say, if you do not agree, then tomorrow, let's say you will already lose the Kherson region. How many lives would this approach save? Since they were not going to go to the end from the beginning. But then why even get involved in it? If halfway were going to retreat.

[musketon64]

We did not expect such resistance and were not going to fight with the army of Ukraine. Therefore, they did not strike in the first days at the places of permanent deployment of troops. And they allowed them to take up defense in an organized manner. They dispersed their forces in all sectors of the front and got stuck. Instead of taking the most combat-ready grouping of troops in the Donbass into the cauldron in a short time. We are not sending additional forces.

I wrote the same thing about the same thing when this special operation began. But he was enrolled in the "sofa troops".
It was also obvious that with a lack of forces, it was necessary to deal with the most combat-ready and numerous grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Donetsk and Luhansk. And also to strike in the south from the Crimea in the direction of Donetsk, to the encirclement of this group.
After the defeat of these forces, strike along the Dnieper to the North and simultaneously from the Kiev region towards the south, cutting off and surrounding the remaining forces from the right-bank Ukraine.
And so yes - we go on a broad front, incurring losses. Most of the troops got stuck near large cities, etc.

It turns out that we are fighting there to give security guarantees to Ukraine. Sur some.
In addition, we are negotiating and saying that we want to quickly come to peace. So why would the Ukrainian army stop resisting?

I absolutely agree.

[Cron]

I wrote the same thing about the same thing when this special operation began. But he was enrolled in the "sofa troops".

And all due to the fact that they did not correctly assess the real situation and did not set clear goals during this campaign. Compare what the president said in his address and what those in power are now carrying. Two big differences.
What is the point of taking settlements if all this is for the sake of the neutrality of Ukraine, the status of the language, etc.? And which we are going to return to this regime anyway. Couldn't there have been a better way to do this? To hammer, for example, with rockets until they agree?

The Armed Forces of Ukraine are waiting for a peace agreement and are resisting. Otherwise, they will be persecuted. The population of Ukraine, which is for us, cannot provide us with all possible assistance, because we ourselves cannot clearly say what we want. Whether we stay there or not. Otherwise, they will be persecuted. As a result, it is senseless to send our guys to die. Although the process could go much faster and easier. Set our president other goals.
One could simply put before the fact, they say, if you do not agree, then tomorrow, let's say you will already lose the Kherson region. How many lives would this approach save? Since they were not going to go to the end from the beginning. But then why even get involved in it? If you are about to stop halfway.

[musketon64]

What is the point of taking settlements if all this is for the sake of the neutrality of Ukraine, the status of the language, etc.?

Key nodal settlements that control communications would have to be taken by any means. But why waste energy blocking large cities like Kharkov, Chernigov or Kyiv? I do not understand. In an extreme case, they could be dealt with in the second phase of the operation after the encirclement of the left-bank Ukraine. And then the third. Or maybe not at all.

[Repellent]

Quote: Cron

the president was initially ready only for a "special operation". And now all the tits are crumpling. He says that he is ready to meet with Zelensky, but he puts forward more and more new unrealistic demands

Yes. And here such an "eagle" flew overhead. In some way, you and this "eagle" are subtly similar

[Cron]

Quote: Repellent

Yes. And here such an "eagle" flew overhead. In some way, you and this "eagle" are subtly similar

Adequate perception of reality, apparently

[Repellent]

Quote: Cron

Quote: Repellent

Yes. And here such an "eagle" flew overhead. In some way, you and this "eagle" are subtly similar

Adequate perception of reality, apparently

So far, IMHO, it's hard to blame you for this ... so I'm still talking about the "eagle" for now: it flew. Do you... know a joke, I hope?

[Ros 56]

The speech of Generalisimus Gorenina 91 is over, all at ease.

[businessv]

Quote: gorenina91

- There are more destructive types of weapons - why are they not used by our Armed Forces of the Russian Federation ???

I thought everyone knew this! Ours was initially tasked with treating civilians as delicately as possible, and the Nazis are equipping firing points in residential buildings, and not just on Azovstal. How to use your offer in residential areas?

[Egoza]

Quote: Cron

Already they equate aviation and artillery. What's the point of risking guys. Moreover, production was stopped there, with all the consequences

So it is necessary to iron so that not one slips away.

[Babay Atasovich]

Quote: 9PA

Will Azovstal be leveled with the ground or will we take it?

For 8 years he was taken out by rail and tractors - what they could.

[PavelV]

I would not forget that Y. Podolyak is overly optimistic, especially in the early days.
According to his forecasts, the entire grouping of the Armed Forces in the Donbass should have been “chilled out” about two weeks ago.

[Semak]

Well, firstly, not Podolyak, but Podolyak. Podolyak is a completely different character.
Second, he didn't say that.

[Santa Fe]

Said

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=47GUBdiHOUw

[Semak]

there are no forecasts about the boiler two weeks ago in this link.

[Santa Fe]

So every release is like wine. The more time passes, the worse

About the boiler here -
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=be5EitKRtV8

[certero]

I really didn't want to be a pessimist, but it's hard to go against the facts. The set goals and objectives are clearly not achieved, the war takes on a positional character. to change this, it is necessary to increase the grouping of troops to the required densities. Or stop where we stand and act only with remote weapons.
I admit that I am not the best couch strategist. But the further the special operation begins to resemble the Finnish 2.0. The Union then won, but not at all as planned.

[p0pulivox]

Of course, it is difficult to draw a complete analogy between historical events, but certainly a certain similarity is observed. At the same time, the ambiguity of not only the short-term and medium-term consequences of the "operation" (the current "minuses" have already fully manifested themselves), but also its long-term results...

[yashka12007]

And everyone and our Western partners have already understood this, therefore they are resisting everything and there is no help from local Russians, since the army then leaves, whoever wants to be cut out, in short, crap once again, it’s a pity for our soldiers.

[sash-sash]

Here is the opinion of Strelkov - Girkin. You can treat him differently, but ... he understands in war

24th DAY OF WAR

"Drip! Drip! Drip!" - like water from a leaky hanging washbasin, days go by drop by drop. Together with priceless time, lives and resources go nowhere. At the front, there are battles of local significance, except for the Donbass, where the command is wasting the last forces of the bleeding Donetsk and Luhansk infantry, repeatedly storming the fortified areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Avdiivka and Marinka.
And now the systematic (after several days of street fighting) withdrawal of the enemy from Rubizhne to Severodonetsk becomes the only "major victory" in two days. Even the over-optimistic propagandist Podolyak, who knows how to "suck victories out of his finger" for any reason, stopped mentioning the "imminent encirclement" of the Donetsk group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Russian troops are firmly "stuck" EVERYWHERE.
There is no mobilization. Yesterday, the President did not even hint at its possibility. And without mobilization, victory over the so-called. "Ukraine" is impossible to win "from the word in general."
The Armed Forces of Ukraine, despite the constant losses, will soon receive tens of thousands of mobilized people, and within a couple of months their number will reach 2-3 hundreds of thousands. They will be given weapons by "dear Western partners" - in any quantity, including the most modern ones. Already sent.
Not far off is the moment when the Ukrainian command, having recovered from the first shock, will throw its troops into counterattacks in the most vulnerable (for our troops) directions.
And against this background, the vile smell of the "new Minsk betrayal" is increasingly felt in the air. It is becoming clearer and clearer that the Kremlin no longer plans to fight to victory.

But there will be no "Minsk-3". A few more weeks of "standing" - and instead of a "mutually acceptable compromise" (which is hinted at by the vile Medinsky) - "respectable Ukrainian partners" will again demand unconditional surrender from the Kremlin. That is: “withdraw troops, surrender Donbass, return Crimea, and then “pay and repent.” INEVITABLE. And then you will have to fight further. In much more difficult conditions and with a much stronger enemy.

In the meantime - "drip! drip! drip!" - the days are leaving, the opportunities associated with the most invaluable resource (after human lives) - time are leaving.

[Ermak_Timofeich]

he understands war

Are you seriously? He has long been

"Drip! Drip! Drip!

[sash-sash]

Why? He was the first to start the liberation of Donbass and, I think, quite adequately imagines what is happening

[Ermak_Timofeich]

Do not create idols for yourself. Ask where and from whom he came there, introducing himself as a colonel of the GRU. All subsequent events are a logical continuation.

[sash-sash]

Different people write different things. Some exalt, others subvert.
I think the truth is somewhere...

[Ermak_Timofeich]

The truth, as always, is somewhere.

I fully agree with this.

[Azimuth]

There is no other option for the development of events in Russia, except for victory. For they will tear to rags. That the General Staff had plans for the development of this situation is for sure. But the APU is not cyborgs either. Almost a month of war, zero reserves. The second month will be decisive.

[Ermak_Timofeich]

Oh my God. What do you have to do with these structures, have you graduated from the Academy of the General Staff, or at least courses? Military is a science. You will begin to talk about the postulates and laws of physics, mathematics, chemistry, philology, after all, without having an elementary base? In military affairs (in political science, jurisprudence, security, law enforcement, etc.) everything is the same. For any conclusions, basic knowledge is needed, it is highly desirable - backed up by practice.
But, for the "slogan from an armored car" - only demogogy.

[monah]

[quote = gorenina91] [quote] - There are more destructive types of weapons - why don't our RF Armed Forces use them ??? [/ quote]
And when did the RF Armed Forces set the task of destroying everything? Is it really that bad?