Military Review

Ukraine. Nothing is finished yet


Initially, I wanted to talk about how Ukraine courageously repulsed the attack of the Russian army, launched a counteroffensive and drove the Russians back to their original positions. As the whole country after that, in a single impulse, dressed up in embroidered shirts and ribbons in the colors of the Ukrainian flag and sang the anthem of Ukraine in chorus in the morning.

The events I described above actually happened. But they happened in the clouded minds of not only Ukrainian, but also American and Western politicians.

As Minister Lavrov predicted at a press conference after negotiations with the British Foreign Minister, after the end of the exercises, units from the training grounds reached out to their places of permanent deployment, but the West and Kiev announced another victory over the aggressor.

It is clear that a virtual war, a virtual victory and a very real celebration of victory, no matter how the Ukrainian president calls it, is nothing but a feuilleton. And so it was. I really wrote a feuilleton. Even wrote. One pleases that I did not send it to the editor.

I did not send it because immediately after the holiday, at night, shells and mines flew towards the republics. They flew not at the positions of the Republicans, but at residential areas, at civilians. For the elderly, women, children, the disabled.

We flew just like that, because someone wanted to. He wanted not to attack and "liberate Ukrainian lands" from the invaders, who were born on these lands for the most part. I just wanted to kill!

I was struck by the meanness of the Ukrainian authorities and the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, when a fake appeared on the network about the shelling of a kindergarten in Novaya Kandrashevskaya. Readers probably remember my reports of incomprehensible explosions on the other side of the line of contact. Then we assumed that video fakes were being prepared. And here is one work vrakiTV already thrown.

Let me remind you that a photo appeared on the network where a hole was punched in the wall of the kindergarten, and from the signature it becomes clear that this was either a 120-mm mine or a 122-mm projectile (according to various sources). They allegedly fired from the side of the Lugansk people's militia. It is clear that this fake is not intended for Republicans, or at least for those people who are familiar with Soviet artillery.

Already the first picture puts everything in its place. A cunning mine or projectile turned out to be very kind. She broke through the wall, but in such a way that even the glass in the neighboring windows remained intact. A mine or projectile knocks out a brick in the course of flight, and does not pile it up under a hole.

If they shot at the wall, then they shot with an ordinary blank. And they fired from a fairly close distance. Further more. The 120th not only breaks through the wall, according to the Ukrainian version, but also does not explode inside. At least, I did not see the consequences of the explosion of such a powerful ammunition in the photo. And finally - a geographical map of the area!

We just take a ruler and draw a line from the kindergarten to the nearest LNM position. Total 8 km through a rather dense building and construction. The Republicans have an interesting mine. It flies the farthest, flies around houses, fences, walls that are unnecessary for her personally ... Self-guided and self-controlled ...

I understand that I paid a lot of attention to one fake, but it boiled over. One of them smashed the country with his bubble of chalk, others are trying to justify the murders of civilians in Donbass with fake mines.

Why Zelensky went to Donbass

Now I will say a completely absurd phrase for many. Zelensky went to Donbass... to meet with President Putin! Yes, everything that happened today in the Donbass was intended to force the Russian president to meet with Zelensky.

Those more than 200 arrivals that observers counted, those broken houses, those fakes, and in general everything is directed at the Russian president. It is aimed at making President Vladimir Putin feel sorry for the people of Donetsk and still sit down at the negotiating table with Zelensky.

The logic is so childish that it is simply striking in its naivety. If Zelensky flatly refuses to talk to Donetsk and Lugansk, Putin is simply obliged, out of philanthropy, to talk to Zelensky. But let's remember the words of the Russian president, where he directly spoke about the possibility of losing Ukrainian statehood.

This demonstrative arrival and boat trip supposedly in the area of ​​active hostilities. All these photos in the social. networks, where the heroic commander-in-chief wanders back and forth under the whistle of bullets and the roar of explosions. All this tinsel is for housewives.

And in the end, a request to Italy to assist in organizing a meeting with Putin. This, at least, was stated by Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi. And at the same time, the arrival of the commander-in-chief and, probably, his order, otherwise it simply cannot be, elementary army subordination, became the reason for the activation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the line of contact.

Will President Putin listen to the request of the Italian prime minister? Naturally, no. Moreover, I think that after the publication in the media that there was such a request at all, Draghi will not even raise the issue of something like that. Fairly believing that he had already conveyed Zelensky's words to President Putin.

Attempt to coerce Putin with the help of the OSCE failed

But this is not the first attempt to use the "gentlemanship" of Putin and Russian diplomats. The “quick change of picture” in international relations does not allow most readers to capture all the movements of Kiev. Let me remind you that at the end of the main part of the exercises, General Shoigu announced the beginning of the return of units and subunits to their places of permanent deployment.

Ukraine immediately demanded that all documents on exercises and troop movements within the framework of the OSCE Vienna Document be made available to it. Kuleba immediately responded on Twitter with a rather lengthy post:

“We continue to demand transparency from Russia, which refused to attend yesterday's Vienna Document meeting. <...> We once again call on Russia to address the legitimate concerns of participating States and use OSCE tools to defuse tensions caused by its military actions near the border with Ukraine. Applications for the withdrawal of troops are not enough. We need transparency and facts."

This statement is more like another kiss from the American president than the action of the foreign minister of a European state. It fits perfectly with Biden's statement about the invasion of the Russian army into Ukraine and does not logically connect with the Russian-Belarusian exercises.

We heard something similar from other European politicians. For example, President Macron "did not believe" that the troops were actually returning home. He was supported by some leaders of other European states, referring to the data of their own, and most importantly, American intelligence.

Even the independent Minister of Defense Alexei Reznikov could not resist. Unlike Kuleba, he had the sense not to deny the transfer of troops to places of permanent deployment, but he would like the troops to be stationed further from the borders of Ukraine.

Considering that units of the Central and Eastern districts are now on the road, Russia cannot fulfill Reznikov's requirements. Otherwise, it will cause fear in our other long-term "partner" - Japan. And we are obliged to protect the nerves of the samurai.

We will continue to "prepare an offensive for tomorrow"

So, what do we have for today, February 17, 2022. Moscow did not receive an answer to its main question regarding Russia's security from NATO. The West continues to try to replace NATO with Ukraine and put Kiev under attack by the Russian army. Thus, "hush up for a while" the question of NATO-Russia relations.

Nobody wants to fight with Ukraine and for Ukraine. She is not interested in anyone. Kiev cannot remain in oblivion simply because it wants to eat very much, but there is nothing to buy food. Loss of interest means loss of credit. But attacking Russia is scary. Kiev has already come to terms with the fact that Ukraine will not join NATO.

The United States takes a generally paradoxical position. On the one hand, Moscow must be punished, so we will pump Ukraine with weapons. Bye weapons little has been set. On the other hand, the United States itself will under no circumstances go to war with Russia. However, to talk about victories like the victory on February 16, the American press will be very loud. And organize such victories too.

Of course, this is a rough distribution of forces. It can be expanded further, but the general plan of "desires" of various countries and groups of countries is more or less clear. From this it becomes clear that soon we will again "attack Ukraine." By the way, no one has yet denied the previously announced date of February 20. It is quite possible that the next celebration of the victory in Kiev will take place next Sunday.

Kiev will continue provocations in the Donbass. Everything is clear here. The problem has only three solutions! Not a hundred, not a thousand, but only three. And on all decisions, the consent of the parties has not been reached. First, Ukraine begins to implement the Minsk agreements and thereby ends the war. This is not what Kiev wants.

Secondly, Kiev abandons Minsk and begins to seize the republics by force. After Russia's intervention, the war stops, as well as, possibly, the statehood of Ukraine. It’s scary personally for Zelensky and his henchmen. And third, we leave everything as it is today. This is not what Moscow wants, as the Kremlin has repeatedly stated.

Продолжение следует ...

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  1. kamarada
    kamarada 21 February 2022 11: 12
    It is still not clear to someone how long this bloody circus will continue? Does anyone really think that everything will heal by itself? Banderstan must be destroyed!!! It had to be done right away. Now the cancer has grown. And the authorities in the Kremlin are all playing pacifists? Well, it will play out.
    1. aybolyt678
      aybolyt678 21 February 2022 11: 31
      There are a lot of contradictions in the world, the first ones to enter will disappear ... For not a single war in the world has yet gone according to the original scenario
    2. Nikifor Terskikh
      Nikifor Terskikh 21 February 2022 11: 38
      What about the Kremlin?! Shooting at Donbass! I "like" when experts write about the war between Ukraine and Russia! Trade, investments, additional capitalization of Ukrainian banks by Sberbank of the Russian Federation I see it! I see unpunished shelling of peaceful cities and towns of Donbass by the formations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and wars, and wars of Ukraine and Russia, not in and out!!!
    3. Thrifty
      Thrifty 21 February 2022 11: 46
      The problem, no matter how much the Kremlin wants it, must be solved immediately, decisively, and finally! Ukraine will not be accepted into NATO, there are already a lot of NATO bases. But, sooner or later, the uk-roin will be forced to fight against Russia. They will change the president, give more weapons and ammunition, the instructors will prepare "meat for slaughter", and the new alleged president will send herds of thugs to war. Only, the NATO military will be there to coordinate the situation, and we will have no choice but to totally shoot everyone who is against Russia. Therefore, we need to act today, and our actions must be effective in their rigidity.
      1. kamarada
        kamarada 21 February 2022 11: 56
        It was necessary to act yesterday (8 years ago), and today everything that you described is already happening. And weapons and grown-up banderkids and so on. I would like to be wrong (with all my heart), but something seems to me that the bear is dead. And in order to blur the eyes (primarily of the Russian people), from time to time they pull out a stuffed bear. Well, someone growls from the Kremlin. But this farce of the show will not lead to anything good.
      2. Emergency
        Emergency 21 February 2022 12: 22
        So that's what they want. What would we start to act immediately and tough. Here you are right in the same choir with the old senile Biden and the English red-haired clown Borka. You can have different messages, only the song is one.
        1. kamarada
          kamarada 21 February 2022 13: 24
          The song is completely different. Is it possible to at least stop driving diesel fuel? And the tanks will. Yes, there are other levers. But the loot wins?
      3. aybolyt678
        aybolyt678 21 February 2022 12: 34
        The United States also has Ukraine, its own. It's called Texas. There is also California and others .... They have their own centrifugal forces, they are ripening .. to wait
        1. Glagol1
          Glagol1 22 February 2022 12: 19
          Believe me, nothing is ripe there. In the mattress pad, the local gobier is no worse than the Soviet KGB, monitors everything and everything. As soon as someone shudders somewhere, he is immediately either strongly frightened, or the sky is in a cage. A totalitarian country with a liberal false facade. Smelly.
      4. flicker
        flicker 21 February 2022 14: 29
        our actions must be effective in their rigidity
        Everything is right so far
        our actions must be effective

        Our fight is not with Ukraine, but with the "hegemon".
        And so far we are not at war with Ukraine, we are defeating the "hegemon", it is weakening with every cry about the war (which is not) between Russia and Ukraine.
        As soon as the "hegemon" reaches the standard (and this is not far off), he will no longer be able to govern Ukraine. And he is already losing control, because in Ukraine nobody really wants a war with Russia.
        and there is a silent sabotage.
        Ukraine without external (n and n dosovsky) management, it will no longer be Bandera Ukraine.
        For us, the main thing is not a war with Ukraine, but to unhook Ukraine from external Anglo-Saxon control.
        1. Essex62
          Essex62 22 February 2022 10: 39
          Rumors about the loss of power by the Masons are greatly exaggerated. While they are printing the world's money, they have everything "herringbone".
          1. flicker
            flicker 22 February 2022 10: 47
            While they're printing the world's money
            And in unlimited quantities. That is why rumors about their loss of power are not greatly exaggerated.
            Then everyone is trying to keep their assets in precious metals, in real estate, etc. just not money.
            1. Essex62
              Essex62 22 February 2022 20: 44
              You are confusing "business America", those who really live on speculation, usury, production and the real owners of the planet, which they became after the destruction of the socialist bloc. They print candy wrappers and hold the throats of the peoples of the entire planet. They are not interested in profit, they "muddle" a "topic" known only to them and have unlimited possibilities of influencing any politician. Including the power ones. If they want to erase Russia, they will erase it. They will climb into comfortable "long-playing" bunkers and glaze them. And they will spit it that the Rent will arrive on bankers, an old man Joe, Congress and any little things, like clerks and nigrants.
              1. flicker
                flicker 26 February 2022 00: 46
                They want to erase Russia, erase
                So they want, they want. If they want to and haven't erased it, then they can't.
                Climb into comfortable "long-playing" bunkers
                Let them climb in, and we'll bury them there. What is Poseidon for?
                It is for such bunkers that are at the bottom of the ocean.
                If they were so omnipotent, the economy would not be brought to the abyss.
                have unlimited. Including power
                The problem is that the performers of "power actions" also want to steer and may well strangle the owners of wrappers.
                1. Essex62
                  Essex62 26 February 2022 01: 00
                  They want, but they can’t, it’s scary. They seem to be the most sane there and have remained in this territory. But theoretically they can. They have first strike advantage. Our Kremlin bros are not noticed in inadequacy, they will not shoot first for sure.
                  Maybe they can, but what next? Such a brothel is today on the platform of a printing press, at least take out the saints. The warriors will not cope, and people like F.D. Roosevelt cannot be found there now. That means that no one is eager to become Napoleon-Pinochet.
            2. Mechanic
              Mechanic 25 February 2022 12: 26
              They print it, and then so that they do not depreciate, they buy it from the market and the debt grows and grows. it won't last forever
              1. Essex62
                Essex62 26 February 2022 01: 03
                Debt, non-state, to private individuals. That's what it's about
  2. paul3390
    paul3390 21 February 2022 11: 17
    Who is this Zelensky for the President of the Russian Federation to talk to him?? Does he decide anything? What's the point of dating him then? What can you talk about with him? Is it possible to discuss the weather.. They do not negotiate with the Chaldeans.

    As for the war, it will definitely happen sooner or later. Rather early. For the current situation, both economic and political, Tsegabonia is rapidly leading to the abyss. They won't last long. Maximum - until the end of the gas contract. And so, there are two options. Start a war and immediately capitulate, bargaining for some conditions. And - to hope that Russia will not go further than the Dnieper for uselessness. And here's the rest - again begging the West for loot and weapons. Maybe such a lump - they will still be accepted into NATO, and maybe even into the EU ...
    1. Alex Nevs
      Alex Nevs 21 February 2022 11: 38
      Or maybe there is a desire to use the banderva and pull those who are reaching for it into "one cast iron" ... well, "boil" everything at once. Or maybe not! We have little data to solve this equation.
    2. 210ox
      210ox 21 February 2022 12: 01
      There he is the main expert. A. Staver. Knows what the Kremlin wants. The Russian Ambassador to the United States yesterday declared that Donbas belongs to Ukraine. Even earlier, Putin announced the need to carry out "Minsk2". Well? What does Moscow and the Kremlin want? Question to the author. But it's more like a void.
    3. aybolyt678
      aybolyt678 21 February 2022 12: 42
      Quote: paul3390
      As for the war - sooner or later it will definitely be

      she is .. only the purpose of this war is not destruction. It's like in the east - they are at war and trade at the same time .. And do not confuse the subjects of the war, this is not Ukraine, but the global financial cartel wants to write off Russia
  3. rocket757
    rocket757 21 February 2022 11: 19
    Ukraine. Nothing is finished yet
    . There is an opinion that it will start when everything calms down ...
    There are other opinions, for example, such that the Kuevsky people are most afraid for their skins and the current situation is acceptable to them, if not preferable at all!
  4. avia12005
    avia12005 21 February 2022 11: 24
    Around the current Ukraine, it will be cursed, a lot of people feed in Russia. Starting from those who supply it with gasoline and diesel fuel for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, who kill Russians in the Donbass, and ending with a crowd of experts who in unison begin to yell another “approval” of any half-hearted step of the Russian authorities in the Ukrainian direction. And the Russians are being shot at. And the citizens of the Russian Federation are being killed. Well?
  5. Daniil Konovalenko
    Daniil Konovalenko 21 February 2022 11: 25
    Nah, well, there are wars, for disputed lands, there was a "football" war, but there has never been such a war when two sides did not want to feed the third one .. And the third side "tyrannizes" both, "well, take me" and also for feeding tries to climb with his fists, and the other complains, she offends me, give her nanashek, and give me "sweets" smile
  6. tihonmarine
    tihonmarine 21 February 2022 11: 26
    All these photos in the social. networks, where the heroic commander-in-chief wanders back and forth under the whistle of bullets and the roar of explosions. All this tinsel for housewives

    All this tinsel for "Western housewives" ..
    1. Bolt cutter
      Bolt cutter 21 February 2022 12: 15
      Western housewives don't care - they have their own problems.
  7. Dimy4
    Dimy4 21 February 2022 11: 56
    Secondly, Kiev abandons Minsk and begins to seize the republics by force.

    Kiev will not officially give up Minsk, but will simply start lawlessness, or rather, it has already begun.
  8. The leader of the Redskins
    The leader of the Redskins 21 February 2022 12: 02
    Alexander Staver...
    If you have already begun to expose fakes and took, as an example, a kindergarten, then expose to the end - tell us how the photo of this hole first appeared in the reports of media not controlled by Kiev.
    Well, the celebration of the victory, in Ukraine, it seems only the author sees - all the news says the opposite, in Kiev in weapons stores all hunting cartridges were sold out. Something does not look like a victory, rather a continuation of the expectation of an invasion.
  9. businessv
    businessv 21 February 2022 12: 04
    First, Ukraine begins to implement the Minsk agreements and thereby ends the war. This is not what Kiev wants.
    This could be the end, because it is precisely this that does not allow ending the entire Sabbath in Square for almost seven years now! And it is with this that something needs to be done, the rest is details.
  10. tank64rus
    tank64rus 21 February 2022 12: 19
    We have eight years as in a very old Odessa chanson "One step forward and two steps back." it is the oligarchs who are trying to settle into the world "elite". But there are no seats on the bench. Are over.
  11. sen
    sen 21 February 2022 12: 24
    Ukraine. Nothing is finished yet

    Certainly. Ukraine has just begun preparations for an attack on the Donbass by sending sabotage groups. Donbass defenders need to be on their guard.
  12. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
    Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 21 February 2022 12: 25
    First, Ukraine begins to implement the Minsk agreements and thereby ends the war. This is not what Kiev wants.

    Kiev does not want to, and he does not need to do anything for this. Ideal option for Kiev.

    Secondly, Kiev abandons Minsk and begins to seize the republics by force. After Russia's intervention, the war stops, as well as, possibly, the statehood of Ukraine. It’s scary personally for Zelensky and his henchmen.

    You will be terribly surprised, you can start the forceful seizure of the republics without officially abandoning Minsk.
    Ask our Western partners - they will confirm.
    But to start such an operation, Kiev should be well paid. Until there is a solid prepayment, don't even tell me that Kiev went to war. Shots, yes. War is not.

    And third, we leave everything as it is today. This is not what Moscow wants, as the Kremlin has repeatedly stated.

    And here it is quite interesting. The Kremlin can repeatedly say something, but to change the situation, strange as it may seem, something needs to be done. And not puffing out his cheeks and not threatening with his finger, but somehow in an adult way.
  13. tralflot1832
    tralflot1832 21 February 2022 12: 37
    Alexander, good article, no tantrums. For the intervention of our Defense Ministry, it is necessary to prepare the ground in the international arena. The French channel TF 1 in Donetsk is the first sign. Ze should become toxic to the West. When the German burgher will buy food for a week and instead of 4 bottles vodka, he will take three, he will think about why this Ukraine is for the West. They are already hitting their pocket well. Forgive the Russian Germans, for my comparison. There are a lot of you there and they communicate well with you, everything is fine with humor. drinks
    1. Galleon
      Galleon 21 February 2022 13: 53
      Quote: tralflot1832
      When a German burgher will buy food for a week and instead of 4 bottles of vodka, he will take three, he will think

      If instead of 4 bottles of vodka a week belay the burgher will have to make do with three crying , then this, of course, is a scandal. angry
      As soon as the burgher understands that Ukraine has drunk his vodka. wassat
      1. tralflot1832
        tralflot1832 21 February 2022 13: 55
        This money will go to gasoline, gas and oil from Russia, they also want to cut off. wassat
  14. Vadim Krymov
    Vadim Krymov 21 February 2022 12: 47
    Washington decides for “out of Ukraine”. The “native” Russian oligarchs decide for the Kremlin.
    That's the whole perdimonocle...
  15. Zolotse
    Zolotse 21 February 2022 12: 49
    Quote: aybolyt678
    The United States also has Ukraine, its own. It's called Texas. There is also California and others .... They have their own centrifugal forces, they are ripening .. to wait

    It’s better to push these forces with your shoulder so that the amers have something to do at home !!!
  16. Knell wardenheart
    Knell wardenheart 21 February 2022 14: 11
    Judging by the fact that shells suddenly and en masse began to fall on our territory (and now I even read that the Ukrainians managed to destroy some kind of border checkpoint on our territory) - there is reason to believe that after the Beijing Olympiad, events can still happen in one way or another. The canvas began to rush very sharply and cheerfully - shells, evacuations, protracted exercises. It's just that things like this don't happen and don't make noise, unfortunately.
  17. Maks1995
    Maks1995 21 February 2022 14: 12
    "Nothing is finished."

    All buffer zones suit everyone. There is where to play off steam and where to make provocations.
    So it lasts and will continue.

    And meanwhile trade RF and UK. slowly increased in recent years. How much has been written about solarium, gas, "let's not forget", etc.
    But... money doesn't smell. "We should rejoice" - the words of the president about this.
  18. Wolf
    Wolf 21 February 2022 14: 41
    "And third, we leave everything as it is today. Moscow does not want this, as the Kremlin has repeatedly stated."
    Everything suggests that it would be desirable for Moscow to leave everything as it is.
    At the same time, as for the possible "intervention" of Russia: troops cannot cross the border (of the state of Ukraine) even with an active offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - then Russia is the aggressor, they will announce to the whole world; then one should at least officially recognize the DPR-LPR, which would ask for military assistance. And so, Russia's response should be - electronic warfare, artillery-rocket strike, missile-bomb air strike, bleeding, disarming, decapitating strikes.
  19. Old Michael
    Old Michael 21 February 2022 15: 29
    we must guard the nerves of the samurai.

    What a fright? fool
  20. Leprikon5656
    Leprikon5656 21 February 2022 17: 03
    90% water. Author, you should write fairy tales. What is the informational value of your article?
    1. alone
      alone 21 February 2022 19: 08
      Quote: Leprikon5656
      What is the informational value of your article

      recourse If you figure it out, no .. Some words and speculation
  21. Diverter
    Diverter 21 February 2022 21: 39
    for Ukraine, nothing has yet begun from the Russian side.
    everything is just starting now.
  22. Alemax
    Alemax 22 February 2022 13: 26
    Продолжение следует ...

    That's all ... You can no longer continue.
  23. Radius
    Radius 22 February 2022 19: 15
    Leo, is that you?
  24. ivan2022
    ivan2022 23 February 2022 11: 35
    Quote: Kamarada
    Banderstan must be destroyed!!!

    And I remember these Westerners back in the Soviet years. Even then they did not hide their preferences and admiration for Bandera. I also remember the arrogant Balts. I also remember how "Russo-tourists" who came from Moscow to Riga or Tallinn admired their churches and condescendingly spat in the direction of the "variegated and ugly" Russian churches .... This is what happens when two miserable servile fools collide; one - humiliated before the West, and the other - who imagines herself "part of Western civilization." They are perfect for each other.
  25. TatarinSSSR
    TatarinSSSR 24 February 2022 16: 40
    Ukrostan's military potential is being reset to zero. Everything will be right.
  26. glum
    glum 25 February 2022 15: 42
    Therefore, at 4 in the morning, like the Germans in 41, does Putin begin shelling the entire territory of an independent state with "calibers"? I mean, I'll say that. And you are happy and support this nonsense.