Military Review

In the press, the United States again postponed the date of the "Russian offensive" in Ukraine

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Michael Kofman, a senior fellow at the Center for Naval Analysis, considered the threat of a Russian military invasion of Ukrainian territory on February 16 to be exaggerated. According to this military expert, this event should be expected no earlier than the 20th.


This is reported by the American magazine Politico.

Thus, in the US press, the date of the "Russian offensive" against Ukraine was once again postponed.

Kofman believes that a whole series of facts points to the correctness of his assumption. The fact is that February 20 is the final day of large-scale joint exercises of the Armed Forces of Russia and Belarus, after which, as the Belarusian military department officially stated, all Russian servicemen will leave the country.

This date will let you see if they are lying or not.

- says the American analyst.

But the fact that Western experts themselves are lying one after another, pretending to be real Nostradamus, apparently does not bother them much.

The analyst suggests that Russian troops will wait with the "attack" until Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky returns to the country from the Munich conference, which also ends on February 20. Yes, and Putin, according to Kofman, will not “intrude” until the end of the Beijing Olympics, so as not to upset the Chinese President Xi Jinping.


Statements by Western media naming various dates of "Russian aggression" against Ukraine were commented by the head of the Ukrainian defense department Oleksiy Reznikov. The minister believes that in this way they are pursuing some of their goals. And the Ukrainians, he said, should respond to them without panic, keeping calm.
Author:
Photos used:
https://vk.com/mil
56 comments
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  1. tralflot1832
    tralflot1832 17 February 2022 13: 21
    +3
    And who said that our exercises will end on February 20? It takes a month for ships to go from Chernoy and Mediterranean to their bases. But what about the Paralympic Games, where we will tear everyone to pieces.
    1. Seryoga64
      Seryoga64 17 February 2022 13: 28
      +6
      Quote: tralflot1832
      But what about the Paralympic Games, where we will tear everyone.

      Will reschedule the date
      Business then laughing
      1. Pravodel
        Pravodel 17 February 2022 13: 45
        +6
        Will reschedule the date

        Exactly. There are 365 days in a year, sometimes even 366. So here's where to go. At the very least, more years can be added...
        1. Seryoga64
          Seryoga64 17 February 2022 13: 49
          +1
          Quote: The Truth
          There are 365 days in a year, sometimes even 366.

          It’s a pity for Zakharov, he won’t go on vacation recourse
          “A request to the US and British disinformation media Bloomberg, The New York Times, The Sun, etc. - announce the schedule of our "invasions" for the coming year. I would like to plan a vacation.
      2. alex neym_2
        alex neym_2 17 February 2022 13: 58
        0
        Maybe off topic, but already so tired ... and at the end of March, three states will declare "independence" at the end of March, headed by the administration of indigenous peoples, plus Latinos (moderators are not inciting racial hatred, by any chance?)
    2. ancestors from Don
      ancestors from Don 17 February 2022 14: 22
      +1
      New date: 22.02.2222/XNUMX/XNUMX beautiful.
      1. EMMM
        EMMM 17 February 2022 21: 40
        0
        2.2.22 It was better. But we overslept.
        Basically, it's Groundhog Day.
        They really want to, but the performers do not want to go on stage: "there will be no kin!"
      2. sniperino
        sniperino 18 February 2022 09: 48
        +1
        Quote: EMMM
        New date: 22.02.2222/XNUMX/XNUMX beautiful.
        Before: 22.02.2022/XNUMX/XNUMX. "Only numbers are real in the world" (Pythagoras-Heisenberg).
  2. Piramidon
    Piramidon 17 February 2022 13: 22
    +3
    It's time to publish the full schedule of "attacks-invasions" for a couple of years in advance.
    1. Seryoga64
      Seryoga64 17 February 2022 13: 30
      -1
      Quote: Piramidon
      It's time to publish the full schedule of "attack-invasions"

      Zakhapova asked to publish a schedule for the whole year
      She needs to plan a vacation laughing
  3. Sergei Zabelin
    Sergei Zabelin 17 February 2022 13: 22
    0
    anything that can be said about this topic.
    1. 210ox
      210ox 17 February 2022 13: 55
      0
      Yes, a good emetic. But in this case, it keeps everyone in a panic in the West and in Ukraine. Let me panic, worry. This is clearly to the detriment of the economy among Svidomo
  4. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 17 February 2022 13: 22
    +1
    Announce the entire list, please! And then they completely confused ... What to do with the ammunition stored for artillery preparation? There weren't, but who cares? It is said - prepared, let them attack! Oh, they don't! Well, we sanction them ...
    1. Seryoga64
      Seryoga64 17 February 2022 13: 34
      -2
      Quote: Mountain Shooter
      Where to put the ammunition stored for artillery preparation?

      Who cares .... I'm worried about how many popcorn and beer to buy
  5. Aleksandre
    Aleksandre 17 February 2022 13: 23
    +4
    Looking ahead - February 23 is also a good date. And March 8 is no worse repeat
    1. Arkadich
      Arkadich 17 February 2022 13: 28
      +3
      Better than 8 will be an excuse to dump with friends.
      1. Aleksandre
        Aleksandre 17 February 2022 13: 32
        +2
        Quote: Arkadich
        Better than 8 will be an excuse to dump with friends.

        Well, why ... I have a name day on March 8 wassat
        1. Arkadich
          Arkadich 17 February 2022 13: 47
          +3
          Well, in the fresh air, a fire, a gun, a bit for a jerk - that's it.
      2. Seryoga64
        Seryoga64 17 February 2022 13: 54
        -1
        Quote: Arkadich
        Better than 8 will be an excuse to dump with friends.

        Don't delay. To be at home at 22:12, otherwise the wife will worry
    2. Seryoga64
      Seryoga64 17 February 2022 13: 32
      +3
      Quote: Aleksandre
      Looking ahead - February 23 is also a good date.

      Nope, we'll drink on the 23rd, but on the 24th the evil ones will start with a hangover by praying laughing
      1. Arkadich
        Arkadich 17 February 2022 13: 49
        +1
        Not with a hangover, we can break firewood. We’ll take acceleration and-and-and we can only stop in Berlin, and there it’s not far to Paris and Madrid.
        1. Seryoga64
          Seryoga64 17 February 2022 13: 52
          -1
          Quote: Arkadich
          We’ll take acceleration and-and-and we can only stop in Berlin, and then to Paris and Madrid

          They were in Berlin. They were in Paris. Not in Madrid. It's time to visit
          1. CAM
            CAM 17 February 2022 14: 58
            0
            Lisbon forgot winked
            1. Seryoga64
              Seryoga64 17 February 2022 15: 01
              -2
              Quote: CAM
              Lisbon forgot

              There are many more places to go yes
          2. AAC
            AAC 18 February 2022 09: 25
            0
            in the 36th we defended Madrid
    3. 210ox
      210ox 17 February 2022 13: 37
      +1
      And what will happen on Victory Day! Whoo. hi
  6. Denis812
    Denis812 17 February 2022 13: 27
    +3
    "According to this military expert, this event should not be expected before the 20th."
    And we still do not know the 20th day of which month and which year, - the expert added.
    1. BABAY22
      BABAY22 17 February 2022 19: 27
      +6
      And it doesn't matter. 3022 is also after the 20th, it is quite suitable and you won’t dig.
  7. Emergency
    Emergency 17 February 2022 13: 34
    +5
    What the hell is an attack? It's time to plant seedlings, then gardening at the dachas. To-se, then cleaning. Don't wait until October. By the way, there is a "Lunar calendar for a gardener", it would not be bad to draw up a "Calendar of attacks on Ukraine for a gardener".
    1. tihonmarine
      tihonmarine 17 February 2022 13: 39
      0
      Quote: Emergency

      +1
      What the hell is an attack? It's time to plant seedlings, then gardening at the dachas.

      So in America, cucumbers and tomatoes don’t plant tomatoes in their dachas, so they don’t give a damn about the worries of the Ukrainian people - “well-fed is not a comrade for the hungry.”
      1. Emergency
        Emergency 17 February 2022 13: 42
        +3
        winked Fuck them! Attack us. And do we need it? And the wives will not be allowed in until we shovel the land. winked
        1. tihonmarine
          tihonmarine 17 February 2022 13: 55
          +1
          Quote: Emergency
          Fuck them! Attack us. And do we need it? And the wives will not be allowed in until we shovel the land.

          And I thought you still don’t know that you need to attack, although Baidon is trying to enlighten you, and you tell him everything about dachas and about cucumbers, and he has already announced the attack 10 times. Well, he does not understand that the summer season for a Russian person is sacred, well, how to go to church and ask for sins to be forgiven.
          1. sabakina
            sabakina 17 February 2022 14: 09
            +1
            Uh, Vlad... If they would go to church to pray, then it's okay. And then they sing songs there as catechumens ... wink
            1. tihonmarine
              tihonmarine 17 February 2022 18: 26
              0
              Quote: sabakina
              .If they would go to church to pray, then it's okay.

              Only their church is not Christian, and they pray to another god.
          2. Emergency
            Emergency 17 February 2022 17: 56
            0
            A can is a can. laughing
        2. Nyrobsky
          Nyrobsky 17 February 2022 17: 23
          +1
          Quote: Emergency
          Fuck them! Attack us. And we need it?

          Do not. Let them fight with themselves.
  8. tihonmarine
    tihonmarine 17 February 2022 13: 36
    +2
    This date will let you see if they are lying or not.

    Well, yesterday Zakharova asked the State Department for a "Schedule of Russia's attack on Ukraine."
    It's time for Biden to respect the lady, provide a schedule.
    Yes, and the Ukrainian people have also been sitting in basements since October, you can make at least a couple of days off.
  9. rocket757
    rocket757 17 February 2022 13: 55
    +1
    In the press, the United States again postponed the date of the "Russian offensive" in Ukraine
    . Schedule of transfers, a year ahead .... and no one would take a steam bath anymore.
  10. prior
    prior 17 February 2022 14: 00
    0
    Well, at least martial law was introduced in Ukraine, or something.
    Foreign embassies from Kuev chimed in.
    Zelya is preparing to fall.
    And the Minister of Defense does not even lead with his ear. Nobody in the bomb shelters.
    It is clear that it is evil.
    Whose question?
  11. Amateur
    Amateur 17 February 2022 14: 02
    -1
    And I know! tongue I know lol And I know for sure: Russia will attack Ukraine on June 31! fool
  12. DED_peer_DED
    DED_peer_DED 17 February 2022 14: 07
    -2
    The meaning of this window dressing with the postponement of the date and the alleged "ignorance" of the West of the start date of the nix is ​​to avert suspicions of unleashing the conflict and colluding with those and those.
    Ukraine is prepared to be slaughtered by the conspiracy of those and these (one gang-watering can).
    An attempt to find a difference between the parties is doomed to failure.
    There is no difference at all.
    It's just that world government needs war.
    And in its current form, between the Slavs.
    Well, in fact, it’s not for amers to fight with these? Your men because of a drunken woman?
    War - one, disposal of Russians - two.
    Head & Shoulders, in one bottle.
  13. A. Privalov
    A. Privalov 17 February 2022 14: 20
    -1
    If you look at all this from the outside and with a sober look, then in the political sphere for Russia there is a clear zugzwang.
    If he attacks, everyone around will scream that Russia is the aggressor and all that.
    If he does NOT attack, everyone around will begin to yell that international pressure has had its effect, Russia was scared and all that stuff ...
    In a word, it's so bad, but it's not better either.
    Unfortunately, this is not happening today at the chessboard...
    1. DED_peer_DED
      DED_peer_DED 17 February 2022 14: 23
      -1
      Sorry, but this is a simplified vision of the situation, in my opinion.
      That and that side has long been "Ta".
      Therefore, it is necessary to consider the situation from this point of view.
      Then everything will fit together :)
    2. APASUS
      APASUS 17 February 2022 14: 57
      0
      Quote: A. Privalov
      If he does NOT attack, everyone around will begin to yell that international pressure has had its effect, Russia was scared and all that stuff ...

      There is one weak point in this statement. The Russians immediately announced that they were not going to attack. And I don’t even doubt that there will be winners on the pages of the media.
      1. DED_peer_DED
        DED_peer_DED 17 February 2022 15: 09
        0
        Here is one already yesterday celebrating another PERMOGA, even announced a holiday in the country

  14. Shahno
    Shahno 17 February 2022 14: 24
    -2
    Quote: A. Privalov
    If you look at all this from the outside and with a sober look, then in the political sphere for Russia there is a clear zugzwang.
    If he attacks, everyone around will scream that Russia is the aggressor and all that.
    If he does NOT attack, everyone around will begin to yell that international pressure has had its effect, Russia was scared and all that stuff ...
    In a word, it's so bad, but it's not better either.
    Unfortunately, this is not happening today at the chessboard...

    Uh, so in this case I immediately took the position .. that putting ultimatums is a mistake. So far I don't see any evidence of this.
    It's like if Israel delivered an ultimatum to Iran??
  15. Kerensky
    Kerensky 17 February 2022 15: 22
    +2
    Yes, they themselves can not bring weapons in any way. Fly at half strength!
    And there are 100 thousand of us here and everyone needs a souvenir.
  16. single
    single 17 February 2022 16: 04
    0
    "The fact is that exactly February 20 is the final day" ... Boys, it's not February 24!!! 24 The Russian Armed Forces are not up to you!!!
  17. Grits
    Grits 17 February 2022 17: 03
    0
    It is necessary to draw up not just a schedule, but a list of factors for which the invasion was canceled. Well, for example:
    The ground is frozen (not frozen)
    The rivers opened (did not open)
    The roads are sour (not sour)
    Fields plowed (not plowed)
    The rains have gone (didn't come)
    Foliage has blossomed (has not blossomed)
    Snow fell (did not fall)
    and so on ...
    1. DED_peer_DED
      DED_peer_DED 17 February 2022 17: 14
      0
      Well, for example:
      The ground is frozen (not frozen)

      The sky is clear or cloudy.


      “A cloudless sky over all of Spain” - according to some sources, the password (call sign) for the beginning of the military rebellion against the Second Republic in Spain, used on July 18, 1936 in the transmission of a radio station located in Spanish North Africa (they call Ceuta, Melilla, Tetuan), and served as a signal for the simultaneous joint action of the military throughout the country, which became the beginning of the civil war of 1936-1939.

      In the USSR, a message about such a call sign (in the edition “Across Spain, a cloudless sky”) is already found in the book “Heroic Spain”, published in the fall of 1936[1] and then constantly reproduced[2][3][4].

      In Spanish sources, there is almost no mention of any specific password for the beginning of the uprising. According to journalist David Solara, editor-in-chief of the popular history magazine La Aventura de la Historia, there was no simultaneous joint action either: “There were many different signals, each province had its own, since not everyone could rebel at the same time” [5] . A few sources in Spanish give the call sign phrase in various versions: En toda España el cielo está despejado (Cuban journalist P. Guzmán Castro)[6], En toda España cielo despejado (Argentine novelist Mabel Pagano)[7], Todo el cielo de España está despejado (Eugenio Posada, memoirist, in a book by Cuban journalist R. Hernandez Ortega)[8].

      But it is reliably known that on July 18 at 15:15 the Republican government in Madrid broadcast an official message on the radio, beginning with the words: “The government again confirms that there is complete calm throughout the peninsula” (Spanish: De nuevo habla el Gobierno para confirmar la absoluta tranquilidad en toda la peninsula
  18. Sergey Tankist
    Sergey Tankist 17 February 2022 17: 40
    0
    Guessing on coffee grounds! It's not interesting anymore ...
  19. Specura
    Specura 17 February 2022 17: 51
    0
    They will endure the campaign, then it will turn out to be an attack in the spring! Suddenly it becomes sharply clear that in the summer. And then just Ukraine itself will cease to exist as a state and they will say yes, it's Russia that ceased to exist without firing a single shot. To blame that Russia did not attack and the state simply collapsed ....
  20. AAC
    AAC 18 February 2022 09: 40
    0
    What kind of a stoner do you have to be in order to, looking at the fiasco of wangers of different levels, get involved in the race of predictors? He must understand that he is doomed to failure. It's like looking at a chessboard to talk about the prospects of a light-squared bishop in the Queen's Gambit. And all your thoughts in passing print on Facebook.
    Everyone should be written down in a book. What would then understand the degree of intelligence, competence and awareness of the character.
  21. Denis812
    Denis812 18 February 2022 12: 30
    +1
    I bring to your attention a unique exhibit - the Calendar of the attack on Ukraine, according to experts from the United States and Great Britain.
    The black and red dates are highly possible attack dates.


    Please note that this is for 2022 only.
  22. Dkuznecov
    Dkuznecov 18 February 2022 19: 42
    -1
    I don't know about the postponement
    but judging by the news, the eviction has begun
    residents from the border regions of Donbass.

    It means that there will be a mahach.
  23. koramax81
    koramax81 18 February 2022 20: 52
    0
    The Anglo-Saxons need to schedule an invasion for a year