Instead of a renaissance, Europe may face a protracted recession

40
Instead of a renaissance, Europe may face a protracted recession

Where is London now, and where is Washington


The pandemic, and almost simultaneously with it, the end of the Brexit saga could be very costly for the European Union. Moreover, both of these happened immediately after the monstrous migration crisis. The Italian writer and philosopher Umberto Eco has repeatedly compared it with the great migration of peoples and the invasion of the Huns.

It is people like U. Eco who have repeatedly warned supporters of lockdowns and other harsh measures that the main danger is hardly the substitution of isolation and disintegration for the joint coordinated fight against covid. However, these trends are still only gaining momentum.



They, unfortunately, did not pass Russia, up to the dubious and obviously protracted non-recognition of our vaccines. It is very difficult for our country now to keep within the limits, since both its leadership and its citizens are put forward with all their might as the ones to blame "for everything."

And, of course, that, like Krylov, "I want to eat." Ukraine is being dragged into NATO with some strained creak to the accompaniment of incitement about territorial claims against Russia. Not realizing that Ukraine is loyal to Russia in its entirety, mind you, it is much more necessary than the costly Donbass.

And this is despite all the deliberate patriotic pathos and periodic reminders of the number of citizens with Russian passports in the DPR and LPR. Moscow is now in the very position where it is trying with all its might not to let itself be driven into a corner. When she no longer has to make decisions.

One should not lose sight of such a factor, which is actually rarely remembered now, as the exit of Britain from the EU, and the time, it would seem, was unsuccessfully chosen for it. It is possible that it is precisely the tolerance and loyalty of the EU that has bothered London with Angela Merkel in the role of standard-bearer for Russia as a whole, and for its leader personally.

On a small divorce from continental Europe, foggy Albion certainly loses a lot, maybe even a lot. But, most likely, the calculation is that Washington will pay London for a big divorce with Russia one way or another. The habit of "pulling chestnuts out of the fire with the wrong hands" Anglo-Saxon politicians pass on to each other as a legacy.

Looking for a leader


An unexpectedly strong blow for the old continent was also the departure from the post of Federal Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany, Angela Merkel, the long-term and almost officially recognized political leader of a united Europe. And it’s not even bad that inside the country, among her successors, only the “green” Foreign Minister Annalena Burbock really stands out.

Much more dangerous for the unity of Europe are claims to the informal leadership of such sometimes unpredictable politicians as French President Emmanuel Macron. On formal grounds, next to him, today you can put only some Euro-bureaucrats, such as Ursula von der Leyen or Josep Borrell.

But they, and you can’t argue with that, don’t have the slightest chance of getting the support of not only the broad masses, but even the loyal media. There are, of course, the Italian prime minister and the president, their Eastern European colleagues are puffing out with all their might with obsessive anti-Russian pathos. Even from Ankara, Recep Tayyip Erdogan again spoke about the fact that it was Turkey that could seriously engage in the "health of Europe."

All combinations of this kind are, of course, interesting in themselves, but nothing more. But even with a minimal turn away from what is overseas, and with elementary common sense, Europe could be much more loyal to its sober politicians. Such as the Hungarian Viktor Orban, the Serb Alexander Vucic or the elderly Czech Milos Zeman.

And not only because of their pro-Russian, but in fact - just a pragmatic position. Perhaps the main danger for Europe, and at the same time - a chance for the same Emmanuel Macron to excel, today lurks, of course, in Ukraine. European supporters of a divorce from Russia want to pull it off exclusively with the hands of Kiev, which, of course, the United States should seriously support.


And only - the Europeans do not mind staying away from the conflict at all. For a peaceful Europe, the scenario with America behind Ukraine is very unpleasant, this is understandable. But if more than two decades ago she endured and even supported something similar in Yugoslavia, then why not try it in the expanses of the former USSR.

The only difference is that the continent then depended on Yugoslavia, and now it depends only to a very small extent, and on Russia to a very large extent. This is the Europeans, it seems, and hurts the most. And they, judging by the events of recent days, are already betting on the “pre-election” Macron. No one else yet.

China is not with us?


Many people regularly remind Russia of this. But after all, he is not with them, it is not at all in the traditions of the Celestial Empire - to be with someone forever, no matter what is written on the posters of the Mao era.

Many now say that Putin left Beijing with nothing, in the sense of China behind his back, in case of an acute Ukrainian conflict. There are even such know-it-alls that they are convinced that Ukraine was almost exchanged for Taiwan.

There, the Chinese, with all their ability to fit in everywhere and be everywhere, will not turn up for a long time. We are almost forced to poke our noses. But will it cheer up Europe a little? There are very, very big doubts about this.

The EU lost global competition with the United States, and even more so with China for economic leadership, even before Brexit and before the pandemic. And all because he exhausted, or rather, failed to use the current trends of "economic delegation".

What is meant by this next "newspeak"? Everything is the same - the notorious screwdriver assemblies and the loading of outdated and non-competitive capacities on the periphery. It would seem that it was Ukraine that best suited this, especially since Russia has already become too demanding.

Russia, with the acquisition of understandable economic independence, albeit a very relative one, began to behave much tougher. And demand more for yourself, both in terms of localization and guarantees of technological freedom, coupled with the obligatory author's originality.

By the way, the fact that the Russians have become less accommodating has been complained to the author more than once in the Russian-German and Russian-French chambers of commerce. This is most noticeable, by the way, in terms of withdrawing any area of ​​cooperation from sanctions, even from potential ones.

All this has become too costly for Europe in recent years. Although in a number of industries, and not only those related to raw materials, no one is going to curtail cooperation, and we are talking only about increasing turnover.

Transport, construction, infrastructure projects, and finally, the IT sector - it is enough to study open statistics to assess the extent of the interpenetration of Russian and European businesses. But, I repeat, everything becomes expensive, and in order to compete with the same Chinese, you need to be cheap, even very cheap.

At the same time, with replenishment from Eastern Europe, and specifically from the same Ukraine, with its still enviable industrial capacities, so many problems have emerged that it is easier to camouflage everything under a seemingly “alien” war. Which is a stranger to Europe, certainly does not work out.
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  1. nnm
    -7
    14 February 2022 15: 14
    A recession can be avoided in two ways:
    1. In the medium term - through mass access of migrants to the European labor market. But then a break. Both economic and historical-religious-cultural.
    2. In the medium and long term - the formation of an alliance Germany - Russia - China.
    This will cut off both Turkey and England from business in Europe and form the most powerful alliance in the world.

    As far as I know, in the same Germany, France, Austria, Italy, many understand and support this, and therefore such a demonization of Russia and China is unleashed by the United States and Great Britain, so that the average European would not even dare to think about supporting these ideas
    1. +1
      14 February 2022 15: 18
      formation of the union Germany - Russia - China
      In comparison with this hypothetical chimera, the union of the cancer swan and the pike is not at all so ridiculous and unpromising.
      1. nnm
        -5
        14 February 2022 15: 24
        "never say never". Everything happens in life. For example, at 45, hardly anyone thought that we could have good relations with West Germany, or that Ukraine would nurture neo-Nazism and dream of capturing Rostov and Kuban?
        So, what about the union described by me is perfectly said in the film - "if you want to live, you won't get so upset!"
        1. -1
          15 February 2022 07: 14
          What is the article about? Russia is not the main trading partner of the EU, let alone China. The economies are not comparable, and most importantly, unlike the EU and China, there is no such support from the population. Trust has been undermined by a series of cannibalistic reforms, even corruption is no longer in the first place.
    2. +7
      14 February 2022 16: 16
      This is our desire to lean on the shoulder of a stronger player is already becoming indecent.
      But why would China? Why would he formally or otherwise formalize his alliance with Russia?
      He also takes hydrocarbons on the cheap. He takes out the forest and some fossils without even asking the consent of the owner. The creeping sinicization of Siberia and the Far East has long been in full swing.
      Why should China bind itself with any other obligations? If he already feels great? It will continue to trade with the West and continue to squeeze everything that is possible out of Russia.
      China always plays long. And the ultimate goal is only to achieve its own benefit.
      China is a strategist.
      Russia - alas, only a tactician.
      1. -3
        15 February 2022 09: 12
        Quote: Cosm22
        But why would China? Why would he formally or otherwise formalize his alliance with Russia?


        Then, in order not to be left alone when the Anglo-Saxons put pressure on China .... remember at least the same USSR, when the whole West was against us, and we had many allies? And the Chinese are far from stupid, they learn from our mistakes ... therefore, it is beneficial for the PRC to have centers of influence independent of the United States, and they are already being formed China - Russia - the EU (represented by Germany and France) - Iran (Middle East), in the future it is possible Brazil will be included in this scheme because Brazil is closely linked to the Chinese economy.

        And now the main struggle is for the EU and its market, American forces are trying to squeeze China out of the market, but it is doubtful that this will work out ....
        1. -1
          15 February 2022 12: 13
          They are formed so far only in words and in the minds of some people.
          As for the allies, would you like to recall their composition by name during the critical days of the Second World War for the USSR?
          China, unlike Russia, behaves quite prudently, compare the scale of China's trade with the US and the EU and with Russia. This is the key factor. Everything else is idle fiction and demagoguery.
          1. -1
            15 February 2022 13: 23
            Quote: Cosm22
            They are formed so far only in words and in the minds of some people.


            The division of the world is already happening, look where the G2 format is now, which the Americans and the Anglo-Saxons wrote off as scrap, and decided to jointly crush China (AUKUS, Quad) for a place of cooperation, I'm not talking about containing China wherever possible.

            As for the allies, would you like to recall their composition by name during the critical days of the Second World War for the USSR?


            And where were these allies at the time of the confrontation between the USSR and the West? On the US side? But this is not about that .... but about China and its current strategy, i.e. the fact that the confrontation between the United States and China is unequivocal, and every year the disagreements will be aggravated, this is the issue of Taiwan, and the issue of the New Silk Road and the strengthening of China's position in world trade, etc. and here it is important for the Chinese not to get into the isolation of the Anglo-Saxons who will restrain them wherever possible, therefore it is important for the PRC to build alliances with Russia, the EU, Iran, etc. (China has a large list of trading partners) and which will not depend on the decision of the Anglo-Saxons if they strike with large-scale sanctions and an attempt to isolate the PRC.

            China, unlike Russia, behaves quite prudently, compare the scale of China's trade with the US and the EU and with Russia.


            There is no question, China is much wiser and more experienced in this, but the scale of US-China trade did not prevent the Americans from imposing sanctions, restraining China in technological areas, creating military / political alliances against the Chinese, and if such an opportunity were given, the US would have cut off trade a long time ago with China, but there is no alternative, and the consequences of such a step for the United States will be colossal .... therefore, for the time being, such a model will operate, and then (probably) there will be a gradual separation of economies if the United States continues the same political course.
  2. -4
    14 February 2022 15: 15
    foggy Albion certainly loses a lot
    It gains even more - the ability to save the social security and health care systems from the inevitable collapse in the event of a "remain".
  3. -3
    14 February 2022 15: 17
    The article is kind of torn. Britain with Brexit, Ukraine with a "war", a divorce between Russia and Europe, and in the end everything is too expensive and no one will benefit from it. Yes, the Europeans will not win, especially the European countries that are not independent in their politics.
  4. +9
    14 February 2022 15: 22
    After reading the article, I did not understand the main message of the authors
    1. 0
      14 February 2022 16: 07
      So you are not alone!
      Here, as I understand it, more than half of them! laughing
      But to be noted, for the sake of "crosses" or "sleepers" a certain part of the audience decided)
      1. +4
        14 February 2022 19: 24
        Kamenev buried Europe more cheerfully. And stable. Approximately once a week
  5. -8
    14 February 2022 15: 24
    What kind of renaissance can there be if the price of gas in recent months has dragged the European economy into a cesspool ... They would have to stretch their brains and solve the problem for themselves: with whom and how to live. The United States will be very happy with European degradation and dependence on Washington. Perhaps imposed ... And most importantly, all European gold must be transported to Fort Knox ... Yes
  6. +1
    14 February 2022 15: 40
    The West did not understand what happened to the policy of Russia. For 30 years she followed the path allotted to her by the West. And suddenly ... But the worst thing is that even our citizens do not fully understand what happened. That is an "attraction of unheard of generosity" in relation to the West and East. And terrible rationality in relation to their citizens. What will happen? Unclear.
  7. +1
    14 February 2022 15: 52
    "Everything was mixed up in the Oblonskys' house, horses, people and volleys of thousands of guns"
  8. -1
    14 February 2022 15: 57
    What is the renaissance? (I live in Germany) for this you need to have an economic recovery plan. But he is not there, in the heads of the rulers (German) of the current covid and digitalization. Schaub not a single cent slipped past the state. Windmills and solar panels disturb the minds of the sovereign's husbands. They poop from the Cologne Cathedral on the impoverishment of the population. The treasury is empty and the renaissance will not happen. And if there is also a war game, then generally kirdyk to the economy.
    1. +2
      14 February 2022 17: 04
      Digitalized to the worst Internet in Europe (I live on the border of Switzerland / France) And the green mold got into the government and who chose them? Degenerate students and shkololo, as green mold in every school and university is a present. My son will not let you lie (he is local in terms of birth parameters), but at least his head is in place thanks to his parents and an additional visit to a Russian school.
      So, in principle, it is logical and any schoolboy will give you a lecture about climate warming, energy transition and digital utilization drinks
      1. 0
        14 February 2022 18: 16
        So go back to your native land, comrade! Internet in the Pskov hinterland, almost like in Moscow.
        How do you just live there with "green mold", I sympathize ...
    2. 0
      16 February 2022 10: 04
      Scholz from Burbock to VO? What are you spitting? Really don't like it? tongue
  9. -6
    14 February 2022 17: 39
    I do not like the reasoning and the message of the authors. Again we regret and think how to save Europe from recession and crisis. They have driven themselves into a trap and let them get out themselves. We need to take advantage of the situation. For example, to raise prices for their goods and resources at least to the European average. And create a deficit, even a small one, so that they line up.
    We must clearly understand that they are not relatives or friends to us, but as they say, we are opponents and even enemies. That's what you need to dance from. And then we persuade them: it will be expensive for you, you will freeze there, there will be hunger.
    It is their choice and let them go to the end.
    To begin with, announce the conservation of SP-2, and dissolve all the so-called partners in SP-2.
    Also, for those who want, we can terminate long-term contracts for the supply of resources with the transition to the spot. By the way, this will be more decent than their addition to the SP-2 of Ukraine and the aggressiveness of Russia.
    negative stop
  10. The comment was deleted.
  11. +3
    14 February 2022 20: 04
    Quote from: damask777
    So go back to your native land, comrade! Internet in the Pskov hinterland, almost like in Moscow.
    How do you just live there with "green mold", I sympathize ...

    I would return. If I were paid for my work as a junior medical staff 302873 rubles. per month and not 10000 rubles. and no social guarantees.
    1. -3
      14 February 2022 21: 36
      I would return. If I were paid for my work

      Then take your time. Here we will build a socially just Russia for your children, but we will protect it .. yes, we will calm down some next Chechnya. Again, they are afraid of the war. Let's settle everything, then you are welcome. I don’t understand one thing - why the hell did you teach your children the Russian language. Would be ashamed.
      1. 0
        15 February 2022 03: 01
        * I don’t understand one thing - why the hell did you teach your children the Russian language.
        Would be ashamed.*
        - I just forgot to ask you about it.
        Are you satisfied with your RFP? You have two cars, a house, etc.
        How do you propose to earn this for 10000 in my specialty? Is it my fault that the work of health workers, teachers, etc. in Russia is not put into anything? But there are a lot of Managers and bankers and more who are rowing money with a shovel onto golden toilets .., I haven’t seen so many bankers and Managers in Europe as in the Russian Federation
      2. +1
        16 February 2022 10: 42
        Well, we have no reason to be ashamed, and you don’t kill yourself like that, so you won’t kill yourself. hi
        When I applied for citizenship for my son, I was the only one in line on this issue. Approximately 10 people brought applications for renunciation of Russian citizenship. The guys are all young. Where to cry.
  12. +1
    14 February 2022 22: 47
    As Putin said: you should rejoice...

    If our own economy grew...
    In the meantime, according to Western economic sites (they threw a link in the comments), the growth of production there in many countries is ahead of the Russian Federation. (Before the coronavirus)
  13. -1
    15 February 2022 09: 19
    How I love these articles about economics for the last page of Speed ​​Info laughing

    But let's look at what Russia is on a global scale.
    To do this, we use the world trade database https://oec.world/
    And we will take into consideration 2019, a pre-crisis stable year for the purity of comparison. We will consider which countries export what and how much in the world. Top 5 countries, and below the share of Russia.
    Go

    Motor vehicles and spare parts: world export - 1,51 trillion dollars.
    1. Germany - 246 billion
    2. Japan - 155 billion
    3. USA - 132 billion
    4. Mexico - 125 billion
    5. China - 74 billion
    ...
    N. Russia - 3 billion (0,2%)

    Hardware and appliances: $2,17 trillion
    1. China - 453 billion
    2. Germany - 258 billion
    3. US 206 - 206 billion
    4. Japan - 133 billion
    5. Italy - 102 billion
    ...
    N. Russia - 9 billion (0,4%)

    Electronic equipment: $2,53 trillion
    1. China - 742 billion
    2. USA - 164 billion
    3. Taiwan - 163 billion
    4. South Korea - 160 billion
    5. Germany - 156 billion
    ...
    N. Russia - 5 billion (0,2%)

    Tools and equipment: 696 billion
    1. USA - 104 billion
    2. China - 81 billion
    3. Germany 80 billion
    4. Japan - 53 billion
    5. Switzerland - 40 billion
    ...
    N. Russia - 1,8 billion (0,2%)

    Pharmacology: $636 billion
    1. Germany - 91 billion
    2. Switzerland - 80 billion
    3. USA - 62 billion
    4. Ireland - 61 billion
    5. Belgium - 46 billion
    ...
    N. Russia - 0,8 billion (0,1%)

    Chemicals: $1,81 trillion
    1. Germany - 197 billion
    2. USA - 185 billion
    3. China - 135 billion
    4. Ireland - 118 billion
    5. Switzerland - 111 billion
    ...
    N. Russia - 22 billion (1%)

    ____________________________________________________________

    In general, all world trade in 2019 is $18,1 trillion (excluding the services market)

    Top 5 exporters of goods
    1. China - $2,57 trillion
    2. United States - $1,51 trillion
    3. Germany $1,44 trillion
    4. Japan - $0,7 trillion
    5. France - $0,6 trillion
    ...
    13. Russia - $0,4 trillion

    Top 5 service exporters
    1. United States - $2,4 trillion
    2. China - $1,6 trillion
    3. Germany - $1,1 trillion
    4. UK - $0,6 trillion
    5. Japan - $0,6 trillion
    ...
    21. Russia - $0,2 trillion


    Of the 18,1 trillion world exports of goods, Russia's share is ~ 2%, and those only due to the gas and oil share. And the share of the global services market is less than 1%.
    1. 0
      16 February 2022 10: 14
      Yes, trillions, billions, of course, are present. The only question is who has them. At the lowest prices, a house in a German flywheel is worth a million. Come on, count the comrade, what and how to take a mortgage with a salary of 1500?
  14. 0
    15 February 2022 09: 19
    I'll add to complete the picture.
    If world trade is divided into sections, then the picture is as follows

    1. Equipment - $4,7 trillion. 26% of the global goods market
    The share of Russia in them is 0,3%

    2. Mineral products (gas, oil, etc.) - $2,5 trillion. 14% of the global goods market
    The share of Russia in them is 10%

    3. Transport - $2 trillion. 11% of the global goods market
    The share of Russia in them is 0,4%

    4. Chemicals - $1,8 trillion 10% of the global goods market
    The share of Russia in them is 1%

    5. Metals - $1,2 trillion 7% of the global goods market
    The share of Russia in them is 3%
    1. -4
      15 February 2022 09: 43
      If our share in the world is 2%, then why do they come to us with all sorts of demands and for the most part are afraid? To pester a beggar, you need to rob a rich one. Who do they take us for? request
  15. -2
    15 February 2022 11: 36
    Whom least of all is a pity - it is Europe.
    Like Ukraine and Moldova.
    They deserved their current and future misfortunes with their anti-Russian policy. They thought that it would be free for them, and even profitable.
    No, guys, read your Bismarck and "read" - the Russians will always come for their own!
    And all this will not help the Americans much, they have internal causes of destruction.
  16. -2
    15 February 2022 11: 55
    Quote: V.
    If our share in the world is 2%, then why do they come to us with all sorts of demands and for the most part are afraid? To pester a beggar, you need to rob a rich one. Who do they take us for? request

    For Upper Volta with nuclear missiles.
    They are quite satisfied with buying resources from Russia for dollars and selling final products and services back to Russia for dollars. The market is small, but this one will do.

    Well, of course, they don’t like that one of the raw materials appendages of the world economy suddenly begins to pump rights so that the countries of the West behave with it on an equal footing.

    Of course, we may not like it and generally look offensive to us. But those are the arrangements.
    We are 2% of the global economy and those raw materials. But we have nuclear missiles, and therefore we really want to be respected because of them, and even better, just afraid.
    1. -2
      15 February 2022 14: 12
      What kind of services and end products do they sell us after the sanctions? Is the net money withdrawn abroad for export recorded? And there would be no missiles, would there be an attempt to simply destroy us as American Indians, or how Hitler wanted to destroy us. Some liberal came up with something about the Upper Volta and thinks it's funny, but it's just stupid. Here we decide to agree with Europe and reduce the supply of resources to 20% and see which of us is the poor fellow. Under capitalism, an employee, especially in Russia, will never live well, no matter how the liberals sing. hi
  17. -2
    15 February 2022 14: 24
    Quote: V.
    And there would be no missiles, would there be an attempt to simply destroy us as American Indians, or how Hitler wanted to destroy us.

    what a horror)

    And why destroy us if there are no missiles, if all they need from us is just raw materials, and we freely sell them to them. Moreover, we have an open market in principle, and foreign capital freely earns on our own raw materials.
    And on a global scale, we are only 10% of the mineral products market. And even if we puff our cheeks and shoot ourselves in the foot with a ban on the export of raw materials, this will only temporarily raise prices and create difficulties for them, but the market will compensate our offer in half a year, but no one will have business with us back and without the export of oil and gas we are Gabon. Let's go back to the 90s for a moment. So let's not experiment with imitation of our evil resentments. Not with such an economy it was necessary to quarrel with half the world.

    And I'm not talking about what will happen if the West sharply cuts off its exports in response to us.

    By the way, read in general what Russia sells and what it buys, otherwise, as I understand it, you have very illusory ideas about Russia's capabilities in the modern world.
    1. -2
      15 February 2022 15: 44
      Unfortunately, you are a liberal and I am a communist, and we will never agree.
      See do not swindle the country in the open market. You have already lost a third of the country.
  18. -1
    15 February 2022 15: 47
    Quote: V.
    Unfortunately, you are a liberal and I am a communist, and we will never agree.
    See do not swindle the country in the open market. You have already lost a third of the country.

    I'm afraid that you state some kind of incoherent set of words. I'm simply not interested in this.
    1. -1
      15 February 2022 15: 58
      Brevity is the soul of wit. Mr. Schukin, just looked, why do you have such a negative rating? Sounds like a smart idea, why?
  19. -1
    15 February 2022 16: 12
    Quote: V.
    Brevity is the soul of wit. Mr. Schukin, just looked, why do you have such a negative rating? Sounds like a smart idea, why?

    Because he criticized the local jingoistic patriots, in the form that he highlighted the facts in figures and data on the internal problems of the country. And he also shamed them for how they do not care about internal problems, but in contrast to the adoration of the external agenda, where state propaganda tells them how the Darkest daily outplays Western spiteful critics. But it was minuses and reproaches that rained down on me that I was not a patriot, if I throw caps with them, and in general, I focus on internal problems.

    In the end, I decided to try to have fun, and began to write exclusively as they themselves, became a leavened turbo-patriot. And from the very beginning tons of pluses rained down on me (I just understood the price of local linear "generals"), but then I got tired, and I began to hide my sarcasm less scrupulously, and my colleagues in the turbopatriotic shop came to their senses hit me with minuses more than ever. Did not forgive betrayal, in general)

    This is how I live here. I'll write something about internal problems, I get a little bit of minuses, I'll write something stupid oh and well done to us, I get even more minuses)
    1. -3
      15 February 2022 16: 35
      I sincerely sympathize. Liberals and emigrants also throw a bunch of minuses to me. So far, I keep in the black at the expense of thinking citizens of Russia, and from the regions of Siberia and the Far East.
      It seems to me that your problem is constructiveness, everyone already knows that they steal and it’s hard for a hired worker (proletarian) to live. But what to do? What are the ways of development, how to make life better, that's what the masses are interested in. And God forbid to have fun with them, the falseness is immediately visible. hi
  20. -1
    16 February 2022 14: 05
    Quote: Engineer Shchukin
    And even if we puff our cheeks and shoot ourselves in the foot with a ban on the export of raw materials, this will only temporarily raise prices and create difficulties for them, but the market will compensate our offer in half a year, but no one will have business with us back and without the export of oil and gas we are Gabon. Let's go back to the 90s for a moment. So let's not experiment with imitation of our evil resentments. Not with such an economy it was necessary to quarrel with half the world.


    Due to what the market (what, by the way?) will compensate our offer?
    We were not Gabon before the start of energy exports in the late 60s and we will not be.
    The importance of hydrocarbons in our economy should not be overestimated.
    In the 90s, there was just the export of oil and gas.
    Half of the world is not the whole world. There will be normal trade relations with China, India and some other countries - we will taxi.
    If we cut off oil and gas supplies to Europe, this will automatically raise their prices all over the world, and in other markets (China, Southeast Asia) too. Those. losses from the closure of exports to the European market will be easily recouped by additional income from exports to other markets (from rising prices in these markets).

"Right Sector" (banned in Russia), "Ukrainian Insurgent Army" (UPA) (banned in Russia), ISIS (banned in Russia), "Jabhat Fatah al-Sham" formerly "Jabhat al-Nusra" (banned in Russia) , Taliban (banned in Russia), Al-Qaeda (banned in Russia), Anti-Corruption Foundation (banned in Russia), Navalny Headquarters (banned in Russia), Facebook (banned in Russia), Instagram (banned in Russia), Meta (banned in Russia), Misanthropic Division (banned in Russia), Azov (banned in Russia), Muslim Brotherhood (banned in Russia), Aum Shinrikyo (banned in Russia), AUE (banned in Russia), UNA-UNSO (banned in Russia), Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar People (banned in Russia), Legion “Freedom of Russia” (armed formation, recognized as terrorist in the Russian Federation and banned)

“Non-profit organizations, unregistered public associations or individuals performing the functions of a foreign agent,” as well as media outlets performing the functions of a foreign agent: “Medusa”; "Voice of America"; "Realities"; "Present time"; "Radio Freedom"; Ponomarev; Savitskaya; Markelov; Kamalyagin; Apakhonchich; Makarevich; Dud; Gordon; Zhdanov; Medvedev; Fedorov; "Owl"; "Alliance of Doctors"; "RKK" "Levada Center"; "Memorial"; "Voice"; "Person and law"; "Rain"; "Mediazone"; "Deutsche Welle"; QMS "Caucasian Knot"; "Insider"; "New Newspaper"