Restless Kazakhstan as a reason for the birth of the "Turkic NATO"
Source: danilevsky.ru
Ankara should be the center of the compass
The fact that the Turks have long been nurturing the ideas of actual revanchism and dreaming of expanding the borders to the scale of the Ottoman Empire has long been said.
At one time, Erdogan dispersed more or less intelligent military men, imprisoned many of them, leaving predominantly ardent nationalists in power. It was in this environment, with the active support of the President of Turkey himself, that the idea of the pan-Turkist army of Turan was born.
In the president's head is the "Great Turan", stretching from the Atlantic to the Pacific Ocean. Such a scale can only be achieved by military means.
While Ankara is trying to subjugate the countries of Central Asia, several years ago agreements on military cooperation were signed with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. There are plans to expand the union with Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan in a similar way.
At the same time, Erdogan already has a prototype of a military alliance - an organization of Turkic states, which includes, in addition to Turkey, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan. In the status of observers, Turkmenistan and "truly Turkic" Hungary.
The military successes of the Azerbaijani-Turkish duet in Nagorno-Karabakh give a special flavor to the activities of the Turkic Union. The conflict was even given the pretentious name "44-day Patriotic War for the liberation of the occupied territories."
It was then that the ardent nationalist Devlet Bahceli presented the Turkish president with the infamous map of the "Great Turan", which included a good part of the Urals, Western and Eastern Siberia.
This clearly turned Erdogan’s head, and last year a significant session of the organization of Turkic states took place, during which the “Civil Defense Mechanism” was decided. Such an ornate term denoted a structure within the organization that has a paramilitary status and is the forerunner of the real "Army of Turan."
It must be understood that Turkish politicians have to act very carefully - with their "Great Turan" they attack the ambitions of both Russia and China. Not only is a military bloc being built near the Russian borders, but confusion is also being introduced among Moscow's partners.
For example, Kazakhstan, which is part of the CSTO on an equal footing with Armenia, but is friends against it with Azerbaijan and Kyrgyzstan, is already in the structure of the Great Turan. Bishkek, by the way, is also part of the CSTO. The realities of Central Asian diplomacy, thickly mixed with local color and contradictions.
Restless Kazakhstan looks like a reason for the birth of the "Turkic NATO". But in the light of the latest Kazakh unrest, the civil defense mechanism of the Turkic organization failed - Tokayev called for help not from Erdogan, but from the CSTO, that is, Putin.
But it was in Kazakhstan last autumn that the Turan Special Economic Zone (TURANSEZ) was created - Turkey has always placed special stakes on the Kazakhstani case in foreign policy.
Still, a strategically advantageous position and in the very immediate vicinity of Russia, which Erdogan both dislikes and is afraid of.
But the protector of all without exception the Turkic peoples in the world, which Turkey exposes itself, turned out to be out of work.
Rather, to the "army of Turan"
The first to remind Erdogan of the need to return to the idea of the "Army of Turan", and not the emasculated "civil defense", was the former rear admiral with the speaking name Cihat Yaycı.
Now he is retired, but, although he heads the Center for Marine and Global Strategy Studies, it is worth listening to his words with a certain degree of conventionality - such hawks can say a lot of things.
On January 12, Yayci gave an interview to the Turkish nationalist newspaper Yeni Akit about the growing influence of the CSTO in the territory that, by law, should belong to the "Great Turan".
They say that the real mission of Russia, Belarus, Kyrgyzstan and Armenia was not the protection of strategic facilities from marauders and bandits, but the occupation of Turkey's strategic partner.
And Ankara has no legal grounds for intervention, since there is no military bloc among the Turks. Now, if Erdogan had tried earlier, everything could have been much more beautiful. At least not worse than what happened in Nagorno-Karabakh.
The Turks have no choice but to silently observe how the peacekeeping contingent from Armenia puts things in order on the Turkic territory. Otherwise, as a personal insult, Yaiji could not accept such a turn.
Another adherent of the wondrous Turkic world, retired Major General Yusel Karauz, generally threatens the Turkish leadership with a possible repetition of the Kazakh events in one of the neighboring republics. And here again the trump card of the Kremlin will play, skillfully using the resources of the CSTO.
The counterbalance should be our own “Army of Turan”, created on a coalition basis, which means that it allows us to invade foreign countries without obstacles. Small steps to the "Great Turan" from the Mediterranean Sea to the Pacific Ocean.
According to Karauz, there is nowhere to retreat and
At the very first meeting of the Organization of Turkic States, legal measures should be taken regarding the creation of a joint military force. For this, real steps must be taken. If we are late, we may suffer irreparable damage. What is happening now in Kazakhstan can happen in other fraternal republics.
You won't envy Erdogan now at all.
From all sides, nationalists of varying degrees of licentiousness blame him for the fact that the CSTO entered Kazakhstan, and not the "Turkic Islamic army."
Such, for example, are the deputy of the Majlis Yavuz Agyralioglu and the authors of the printed mouthpiece of local nationalists, the newspaper Akit. In Kazakhstan, what the Turks should have been most afraid of happened - this is the opinion of the quite respectable daily newspaper Türkiye.
Even Turkish officials are openly hinting at the need for a military unification of the Turks.
So, on January 11, at an emergency meeting of the Council of Ministers of the Organization of Turkic States, Mevlut Cavusoglu, the head of the foreign policy department, said:
Within the organization, cooperation between security and intelligence units should be more organized and institutionalized.
That is, the militarization of a purely political association was actually given the green light. At least in the Foreign Ministry.
What threatens the emergence of another NATO near the borders of Russia?
Firstly, the first victim will be Armenia, which the most orthodox Turkish nationalists of Turkey cannot bear organically.
Armenians, by the way, quite rightly call their country "the main physical barrier preventing the territorial unification of the Turkic world." And the militant Erdogan is used to cracking down on obstacles.
Secondly, signs of the emergence of the "Great Turan" at least destabilize the situation in Russia - it is difficult to imagine how many sympathizers will appear on the wave of unification of the Turkic peoples.
Further developments are difficult to predict, but one thing is clear - Turkish hawks will not be stopped by the reality of the conflict with Russia.
Difficulties with Erdogan can still happen.
And first of all in the economic plane.
Turkey, in the case of the creation of the "Army of Turan", whatever one may say, should become a real hegemon in its region, and this is very expensive.
You will have to constantly lend something irrevocably to someone, keep order, overthrow governments and appoint your deputies. Such "games of thrones" are now beyond the reach of the gradually stagnating Turkish economy.
At the end of last year, the lira significantly lost ground, inflation is growing, and the incomes of the Turks, respectively, are declining.
Evil tongues claim that inflation could reach 2022% in 30. The people are slowly grumbling - in Ankara, Istanbul and Izmir there were demonstrations dissatisfied with the economic policy of the leadership.
Of course, things are unlikely to come to a change of government led by Erdogan, but pan-Turkism ambitions will have to be saved. Or unleash another war, which, as you know, will write off everything.
Information