Lukashenka called the condition for a possible blockage of gas transit to Europe through Belarus

The President of the Republic of Belarus clarified his position on the readiness to block the transit of Russian gas to European countries. Recall that some time ago he announced Minsk's readiness to take such a step because of the openly hostile policy of its western neighbors towards Belarus. The journalists then asked the Russian authorities to comment on the words of Alexander Lukashenko. President Vladimir Putin commented. According to the head of state, he is not aware of such plans of his Belarusian colleague, but the Russian president immediately made a remark, not without irony: "In general, he can."

Now foreign journalists have decided to clarify the position with Alexander Lukashenko himself. In an interview with reporters from Turkey, the Belarusian president named the condition for stopping gas transit to Europe through the territory of Belarus. According to Lukashenko, Minsk will do this if Western sanctions lead to extremely negative consequences for Belarus, to the introduction of a state of emergency in the republic.

The President of the Republic of Belarus added that in this case Belarus will be responsible, "and there will be no other method but to block the transit."

The Kremlin, commenting on the words of Lukashenka, expressed the hope that "there will be no obstacles to the execution of the contract on gas supplies to European countries."

Why exactly Turkish reporters were interested in the threats from Lukashenka to the EU on the "gas" issue?

The fact is that if Minsk really blocks the transit, then Turkey will have an additional transit opportunity - as far as possible, to increase the supply of Russian gas via the Turkish Stream, resulting in additional profit.

Comments

[alystan]

"In general, he can"

This remark may also mean "He has the right to do it!"

[Terenin]

Quote: alystan

"In general, he can"

This remark may also mean "He has the right to do it!"

It's high time to get used to the fact that there is a level of political statements bordering on the level of decision-making (especially in the United States), but there are practical (factual) actions.
And these are two different things. Here, damn it is a whole strategy. Bark loudly ... then fail ... and explain why, but also in your favor.

[alystan]

I have long been accustomed to statements as one and the other, it is not known who else has more of them, simple barks or empty promises ...
But I still remember Putin's statements about the need to comply with the laws, and hence various agreements and treaties, both within the union state and at the international level. And Putin, as an experienced lawyer, will not just say anything and any of his statements should be considered from all sides and from different angles.
And in a situation when the West is behaving against Belarus literally on the verge of a foul and accepting "far-fetched and sucked from the fingers" sanctions, God himself ordered the Old Man to act in the same vein. Up to a possible rupture of the validity of some existing treaties, which the Europeans themselves are pushing for by their actions.

[Terenin]

Quote: alystan

And in a situation when the West is behaving against Belarus literally on the verge of a foul and accepting "far-fetched and sucked from the fingers" sanctions,

This is how the Anglo-Saxons behave. And how long. Nafik is their competitor in the form of Russia.

Quote: alystan

God himself told the Old Man to act in the same way. Up to a possible rupture of the validity of some existing treaties, which the Europeans themselves are pushing for by their actions.

He has only one direction of integration left ... The rest of the directions are dead ends.

[alystan]

Most likely, things are moving towards integration, and recently it has even been accelerating, so that in other areas then we can act jointly!

[Ros 56]

It's time to move on to gas supplies strictly under contracts, and not a cube more, and everything else that will be requested, at market prices, or you can leave it unanswered. Stop pretending to be a shirt-guy that everyone spits on.

[Nikolay1987]

Stop tearing your already three-torn striped vest. You sell or charge for transit on mutually beneficial terms. If you are a raw material appendage and you have no money to get money from, then you will first talk on TV that you will turn off the gas, which means that the people will have to tighten their belts again.

[Ros 56]

We can sell to the South-East, sit, freeze snot in your gamerope.
And as for the raw material appendage, you turned it down, then everyone in the west whined when they were shown our modern weapon, and we already sell food for amounts more than from weapons. Everything has its time.

[Asad]

Do you know at what price we sell gas to China? It seems that they have not voiced it yet, they are shy.

[Mountain shooter]

Quote: ASAD

Do you know at what price we sell gas to China? It seems that they have not voiced yet, they are shy

It's not a secret. The price is tied to the price of fuel oil with a 9-month lag. In the 3rd quarter of 2021. it turned out $ 171/1000 m3 ... As if not for nothing. In the 4th quarter, the price will rise over 200 ... And so on.

[Vladimir61]

Quote: Ros 56

It's time to switch to gas supplies strictly under contracts, and not a cube more

And not any increase in volumes through other gas pipelines, except for our "northern" streams!

[Phil77]

This is for you to Miller. Oh, sorry, to Putin.

[Edik]

Quote: Ros 56

It's time to move on to gas supplies strictly under contracts, and not a cube more, and everything else that will be asked for at market prices, or you can leave it unanswered

This was done until the partners sang a song that Moscow takes advantage of the situation and does not supply

[Xlor]

Quote: alystan

This remark may also mean "He has the right to do it!"

So let him do it ...

[prior]

Western sanctions will lead to extremely negative consequences for Belarus, to the introduction of a state of emergency in the republic.

Enough to scare us and Belarusians. In fact, we have had a state of emergency for 20 years now, and nothing.
The lack of gas in Europe can upset only Miller; revenues will decline.
And we mere mortals are neither cold nor hot.

[Sidor Amenpodestovich]

Why, then, does Lukashenka warn about the possibility of stopping transit? For a catchphrase?

[prior]

Word for word ...
It was Europe's response to the threat of being the first to impose sanctions.
I got tired of these Europeans and Americans worse ...
I would have bombed them long ago. I started in an indicative way - from Warsaw.
For monuments, for memory, for the fallen Soviet soldiers, for lies, for the desire to spoil Russia.
Europe would sit and not arise, but it begs.

[Roman1970_1]

It's good that nothing depends on you

[spirit]

Why, then, does Lukashenka warn about the possibility of stopping transit?

For so many years in power, Lukashenka clearly shows paranoia, he puts equality between himself and the country! In short, he knocks out the legitimacy for himself from Europe.

[Alexga]

This was said in response to the threat of border closure by Poland.

[ViacheslavS]

So he warns Russia that Russia would be ready to compensate for the possible losses of Belarus from the sanctions. Otherwise, Lukashenka will cut off transit and just Russia will suffer.

[Brturin]

Quote: prior

The lack of gas in Europe can only disappoint

the question is, if it comes down to it, how the market will react to it and it is unlikely to decrease, the question is how much the price of gas will rise ... and this also attracts electricity and so on ... but in Europe they are already thinking how to compensate for this, but then he is a voter somehow ... someone lowers taxes, someone dates, here are the French ..

It is known that, for example, in France, limiting the rise in electricity prices will cost Paris three times more than they thought a month ago. "God! The French government thought the price cap in 2022 would cost it less than € 4 billion. Now the costs are already estimated at 12 billion euros, ”said Javier Blas.
: https://eadaily.com/ru/news/2021/12/06/veter-ushel-moroz-prishel-ceny-na-elektroenergiyu-v-pribaltike-obezumeli

[Alexga]

It is also interesting to see if the Labuses in the legislative form cover the transit of potassium salt. What will happen then with the Lithuanian railway and Klaipeda port.

[Brturin]

the railway is lower, and the port (it's not entirely clear with the numbers there, but ...) + potash losses ...

The company - operator of liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals and oil terminals Klaipedos nafta in the third quarter of the year felt the continuing consequences of the coronavirus pandemic and the loss of Belarusian transit, which affected the processing of oil products. This was reported by the press service of the company. In the first nine months of the year, the company incurred a net loss of 44,2 million euros. https://lt.sputniknews.ru/20211209/v-litve-obyasnili-millionnye-ubytki-operatora-spg-terminala-20248595.html

[Clear]

Quote: AlexGa

What will happen then with the Lithuanian railway and Klaipeda port.

As elsewhere, the road to scrap metal, and ports for restaurants ...

[fa2998]

Quote: Xlor

So let him do it ...

Only the pipe is Russian, and the gas in it is Russian. And the claims in case of stoppage will have to be reimbursed by Russia. Actually, there are guards from Gazprom, in order to "block" someone else's property must first be seized. Dashing guys!

[Alexga]

There are two points here. First, the gas and the pipeline are Russian, but the border is Belarusian. If Poland closes the border, Lukashenka will cut off the gas. For Gazprom, this is a simple force majeure. And second, after Lukashenka’s statement, the market price went up a hundred bucks, so Miller is satisfied. Navka's husband already spoke about this 10 days ago.

[ViacheslavS]

Miller is pleased

Taking into account the fact that Gazprom makes the main deliveries under long-term contracts, Miller is not cold because of this, European traders are rubbing their hands.

[rocket757]

"In general, he can."

It is unlikely that this is strong, and indeed it will help, but, master, sir, how to grill.

[APASUS]

Create a stalemate with your own hands and blame Lukashenka for everything! This is the true policy of the EU. After all, they will really finish badly, they would not touch his butt, he tried so hard to adjust relations with Europe and got a knife in the back .............

[CommanderDIVA]

If the LAS blocks the transit of our gas to Europe, this can accelerate the certification of JV 2, and increase the volume of gas pumped to the European Union through JV 1

[prior]

By the way, he has already banned the transit of oil to Germany from 2022.
The show has begun ....

[Avior]

The sale of oil products to the EU from Belarus came under sanctions.
And after that he "banned" it.
They said exactly - the show has begun ...

[Brturin]

Quote: prior

The show has begun ...

the show is still in Lithuania, where the transit of potassium was supposed to stop due to sanctions, but for now, instead, two ministers wrote letters of resignation

Minister of Communications and Transport of Lithuania Marius Skuodis said on Monday that he had submitted a letter of resignation to Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonyte ... Lithuanian Minister of Foreign Affairs Gabrielius Landsbergis sent a letter of resignation to Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonyte on December 10. The day before, Landsbergis and Skuodis announced that they intend to resign if it is confirmed that the Belarusian company Belaruskali made an advance payment under an agreement with the Lithuanian state railway company Lietuvos gelezhinkeliai (Lithuanian Railways), despite the effective December 8 US sanctions. https://tass.ru/ekonomika/13182491

Lithuanian Railways will not stop the transit of Belarusian fertilizers through Lithuania to the port of Klaipeda, as this threatens the state company with bankruptcy, said the head of Lietuvos geležinkeliai Mantas Bartushka https://lv.sputniknews.ru/20211210/litovskim-zhelebanknym-dorogrotam-grozit -v-sluchae-iska-belaruskaliya-19565039.html

[tralflot1832]

JV 1 is already more than 100% loaded, which is why Germany blathers only at JV 2.

[Misza]

If Lukashenka blocks transit, Gazprom will have to pay fines.

[Terenin]

Quote: Misza

If Lukashenka blocks transit, Gazprom will have to pay fines.

It will both block and unblock.

[Kerensky]

If Lukashenka blocks transit, Gazprom will have to pay fines.

There is no need to rock the galley, the slaves are sick!
I repeat: FIVE Gazprom's gas storage facilities in Europe are filled with Gazprom gas. Gazprom can safely fulfill its obligations, even if Lukashenka personally saws the pipe with a hacksaw!
Another thing is that the European lads want to prohibit Gazprom from having its own underground gas storage facilities there. Whose mill is the water being poured into? Put Gazprom under a clean pipe, cut off stocks in warehouses? Then they will have problems!

[Dkuznecov]

This official can only cut off the gas for his country,
and not to Europe. Belarus does not have a gas supply agreement,
so that all actions of local officials are tantamount to sabotage.

[Sanichsan]

Quote: DKuznecov

Belarus does not have a gas supply agreement

Belarus carries out gas transit through its territory. the pipe on the territory of Belarus, as well as the transit infrastructure. a valve that can be shut off in the territory of Belarus. so in fact it can.
are you familiar with the contract? can you cite the clauses of the contract according to which Russia is responsible for the actions of transit countries? if there are no such points, then Belarus may turn off the tap and all claims to it. it will not be possible to present it to Gazprom. while Russia is in an alliance with Belarus, Belarus will not be able to significantly harm the sanctions either. everyone understands that this will be a decision of Moscow, but legally it will not be possible to make a claim

[Dkuznecov]

I talked about delivery agreement gas, not transit.
so I - about one thing, and you - about another.
And what does it have to do with alliances.
on one side of the contract - one merchant,
on the other side - the second.

[Sanichsan]

Quote: DKuznecov

I spoke about the contract for the supply of gas, not transit.
so I - about one thing, and you - about another.

very interesting .. how do you imagine gas supplies from Russia to the EU no transit?

Quote: DKuznecov

on one side of the contract - one merchant,
on the other side - the second.

yes, yes, but not exactly one and the other businessman. more specifically, the seller and the buyer, and the interests of the seller and the buyer are very different. one wants to sell at a higher price, the other wants to buy at a lower price, and then there is such an opportunity to force people to buy at a very high price. do you think they won't use it? it also touches upon the expansion of transit volumes through the existing Turkish Stream and SP-1,2 gas pipelines and the actual commissioning of SP2.
Again, they won't let you get off the GTS passing through Poland just like that, but then there is such an opportunity to demonstrate the unreliability of these transit routes and drag transit to fully controlled ones and without unnecessary parasites.
for Gzprom, a solid benefit, and for the EU, but with the exception of those countries that are deprived of income from transit, and here we move on to alliances ... if for Belarus Russia will ensure the leveling of losses, then for Poland it is unlikely that the EU will compensate for something ...

[Dkuznecov]

And your idea is quite interesting - the classic zugzwang with this joint venture 2.

[Sanichsan]

exactly! Moreover, if you look at the current situation from the side I proposed, it becomes clear that Belarus will most likely not be included in the Russian Federation, but will be left as a sovereign, but allied state. you get something like North Korea from China. If until recent events the Western powers had leverage on Russia in the form of Ukraine, now Russia has a similar instrument in the form of Belarus. at the same time, nothing particularly threatens Belarus either. not to crush with sanctions, not to force.

[Dkuznecov]

By the way, about North Korea
the first thing I thought!
How a woman should have a little black dress
so every self-respecting state has its own
North Korea.
Thank you, colleague.

[Yulian]

The fact is that if Minsk really blocks the transit, then Turkey will have an additional transit opportunity - as far as possible, to increase the supply of Russian gas via the Turkish Stream, resulting in additional profit.

Well done! We have correctly guessed the Turkish undertakings. The Russians continue to believe in the kind Erdogan who helped Russia from the Turkish Stream and did not want the situation to have one more lost of pressure over Russia.

[Raven 95]

Twist the Old Man valve! It's about time, winter has come.

[Maga Winner]

These are not gentlemen, if he promised and even more so signed an agreement, then, as they say, do or die

[ja-ja-vw]

Our poor gas
Either Ukraine steals it and blocks supplies, now Belarus is blackmailing old Europe with the same.
All have gas from our gesheft.
Gazprom's management is of course top, very effective.

[George Koval]

It is high time to take a tough stance with respect to "partners", as China is doing. Every stupid person should know what will happen if they try to infringe on Russia. In the meantime, they don't really know anything, so they are greyhounds ...