Military Review

States predicted double-digit inflation: the reasons for the rise in prices in the world

34

The rise in prices is becoming a global problem. Yes, this is not a danger of terrorism or war, but the less its consequences should definitely not be underestimated. Every “extra” percentage of inflation means millions of people around the world who will not receive the opportunity to live in normal conditions - right down to food and water. Accordingly, the losses in terms of the population from the rise in prices may be at least comparable to the losses from one or another local conflict, and often even exceed them.


Saxo Bank made a forecast that inflation will overwhelm the United States. Yes, how it will overwhelm! The forecast is a two-digit number: 15 percent. As a joke? But prices in the US are also rising at an incredible rate. This is an unprecedented indicator for the American economy in recent years, demonstrating that the usual economic laws at least "rebelled", or even stopped working altogether against the backdrop of the crisis and pandemic.

Inflation rates in Russia are also hitting records of all recent years. So far they are talking about 9%, but not everyone believes ... Prices for metal and building materials in the country soared 2-3 times, some food products showed a price increase of 40-50 percent. Utilities tariffs are growing. At the same time, statesmen are already less and less likely to say that they are going to control the rise in prices.

Why did the prices seem to be off the chain? Why is inflation hitting even economies such as America's or Germany's today?

Oleg Komolov talks about the essence of the problem with modern prices in his program "Prime Numbers":

34 comments
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  1. Bashkirkhan
    Bashkirkhan 2 December 2021 12: 32
    +3
    Inflation in Russia is growing in leaps and bounds. For example cars:
    Prices compared to January 1, 2021:
    the grant was 488 900 became 587 900 (+ 20,24%)
    Vesta was 676 900 became 835 900 (+ 23,48%)
    hrey was 660 900 became 802 900 (+ 21,48%)
    largus was 653 900 now 812 900 (+ 24,31%)
    niva was 587 900 now 675 900 (+ 14,96%)
    shniva was 738 now 000 (+ 858%)
    Prices from the RRC plant have risen by a quarter in a year. Plus dealers hang up to a quarter of the price. In fact, we have a significant increase in prices since the beginning of the year.
    1. Volodin
      Volodin 2 December 2021 12: 38
      +6
      Quote: Bashkirkhan
      Prices compared to January 1, 2021:
      the grant was 488 900 became 587 900 (+ 20,24%)
      Vesta was 676 900 became 835 900 (+ 23,48%)
      hrey was 660 900 became 802 900 (+ 21,48%)
      largus was 653 900 now 812 900 (+ 24,31%)
      niva was 587 900 now 675 900 (+ 14,96%)
      shniva was 738 now 000 (+ 858%)

      If now you show in which DC you can buy Grant for 587 and West for 835 today, then many who wish will firmly shake your hand))
      1. Bashkirkhan
        Bashkirkhan 2 December 2021 12: 47
        -1
        Quote: Volodin
        If now you show in which DC you can buy Grant for 587 and West for 835 today, then many who wish will firmly shake your hand))

        You are right, dealers do not have such prices. For now, I am arguing that inflation on the official RRP is more than 20%. The ruble got off the oil and gas needle and went on a free float, this is how it should be understood.
      2. tihonmarine
        tihonmarine 2 December 2021 12: 53
        -5
        Quote: Volodin
        If now you show in which DC you can buy Grant for 587 and West for 835 today, then many who wish will firmly shake your hand

        While people are thinking about buying Grants or Vesta, inflation is not scary.
        1. Bashkirkhan
          Bashkirkhan 2 December 2021 12: 57
          +4
          Quote: tihonmarine

          While people are thinking about buying Grants or Vesta, inflation is not scary.

          One can think that it is possible, just the "middle class" cannot afford them. According to the GDP classification, the income of 18 thousand is considered the "middle class") (Garant recalled that the minimum wage in Russia is slightly more than 11 thousand rubles, which means that the middle class is people who receive from about 17 thousand rubles. quite a lot, more than 70% are confident, "the head of state said.)
        2. Volodin
          Volodin 2 December 2021 13: 53
          0
          Quote: tihonmarine
          While people are thinking about buying Grants or Vesta, inflation is not scary.

          People? This is where it is written? A strange generalization ... Somehow, you still need to divide, otherwise you can "add" to the fact that "people think about buying land within the Boulevard Ring"
          1. tihonmarine
            tihonmarine 2 December 2021 17: 43
            0
            Quote: Volodin
            People?

            People on the site.
        3. Civil
          Civil 3 December 2021 08: 55
          0
          Quote: tihonmarine
          While people are thinking about buying Grants or Vesta, inflation is not scary.

          Nothing of the kind, VAZ has forbidden to sell to dealers without additional options. Thus, for Vesta, as empty as a drum, at least 950 thousand (if you find it), Grant from 800 tr for an empty one. If you're lucky. And so there are no less than 1.000 cars.
          1. tihonmarine
            tihonmarine 3 December 2021 12: 58
            0
            Quote: Civil
            Grant from 800 tr per empty. If you're lucky. And so there are no less than 1.000 cars.

            It's good that I gave up this business, maybe for the better.
    2. YOUR
      YOUR 2 December 2021 12: 53
      +8
      Starting today, gasoline at Rosneft filling stations has risen in price by 30 kopecks, last month by almost a ruble.
      Eggs have risen in price by more than 100% since the beginning of the year, carrots at the beginning of the year 35 rubles, now around 90.
      Etc. etc.
      The author, of course, well done, told how it might be bad to live in the United States, but they would go with small steps far away. If someone is going to live there and let them worry about them.
  2. rocket757
    rocket757 2 December 2021 12: 35
    0
    Saxo Bank made a forecast that inflation will overwhelm the United States. Yes, how it will overwhelm! The forecast is a two-digit number: 15 percent.
    Yes, it seems not a record ... the last time, it seems, under Reagan and jumped up to 17% ...
    1. voyaka uh
      voyaka uh 5 December 2021 15: 29
      +2
      It comic annual forecast from
      Saxo.
      For example, for this 2021 there was a forecast of a default in France.
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 5 December 2021 16: 18
        0
        Any joke has its share ... there are different things.
        It happens that a joke becomes a reality.
  3. Engineer Schukin
    Engineer Schukin 2 December 2021 12: 39
    +2
    Quote: Bashkirkhan
    Inflation in Russia is growing in leaps and bounds. For example cars:
    Prices compared to January 1, 2021:
    the grant was 488 900 became 587 900 (+ 20,24%)
    Vesta was 676 900 became 835 900 (+ 23,48%)
    hrey was 660 900 became 802 900 (+ 21,48%)
    largus was 653 900 now 812 900 (+ 24,31%)
    niva was 587 900 now 675 900 (+ 14,96%)
    shniva was 738 now 000 (+ 858%)
    Prices from the RRC plant have risen by a quarter in a year. Plus dealers hang up to a quarter of the price. In fact, we have a significant increase in prices since the beginning of the year.

    So the topic is about something else, about our dreams when a rich neighbor's cow dies. And not about our nag. It is necessary to understand the agenda.

    True, even the neighbor's third generation of our waiters is not dying, but nothing, we are in no hurry either, maybe at least our grandchildren will wait for this national holiday.
    1. Bashkirkhan
      Bashkirkhan 2 December 2021 12: 49
      +11
      Quote: Engineer Shchukin
      So the topic is about something else, about our dreams when a rich neighbor's cow dies. And not about our nag.

      Inflation in the US is interconnected with ours. If they have it in two digits, then we will have three digits.
      1. tihonmarine
        tihonmarine 2 December 2021 13: 00
        0
        Quote: Bashkirkhan
        Inflation in the US is interconnected with ours.

        Naturally - connected.
        1. Lannan Shi
          Lannan Shi 2 December 2021 13: 14
          +4
          Quote: tihonmarine
          Naturally - connected.

          A bit wrong. Connected. It is a fact. Only this is natural for semi-wild raw Papuans. But the fact that clever rulers by all means prevent Russia from leaving the role of a raw materials appendage is already unnatural.
          1. tihonmarine
            tihonmarine 2 December 2021 13: 56
            +1
            Quote: Lannan Shi
            A bit wrong. Connected. It is a fact.
            In the Jamaican monetary system, the US dollar continues to be the main reserve currency,
            1. Lannan Shi
              Lannan Shi 2 December 2021 15: 08
              +4
              Quote: tihonmarine
              In the Jamaican monetary system

              The whole world is located. But inflation like ours is the lot of the very elite. China, for example, does it exist in an alternative reality? Why is the official inflation there 4-5 times lower, and the real one, as it were, by an order of magnitude?
              1. tihonmarine
                tihonmarine 2 December 2021 17: 48
                +1
                Quote: Lannan Shi
                The whole world is located. But inflation like ours is the lot of the very elite.

                I'm talking about dependence on the dollar, and inflation is to the government of the country of residence.
  4. paul3390
    paul3390 2 December 2021 12: 43
    +7
    To me, too, binomial Newton .. And what - someone seriously believed that you can print a few tricks of candy wrappers - and not get inflation? Another thing is that mattress makers seem to think that this time too they will be able to dump inflation onto the rest of the world. But it looks like it didn't work out, the sums are too large.

    The Russian Federation is like a part of the world market, subordinate to the liberals. Therefore, even in our country the prices for what we ourselves produce are hitting the ceiling. Well, how to make the bourgeois sell cheap domestically under such a model - when he can sell at exorbitant prices for the cordon? Capitalism, sir ... Say - the market will put everything in its place .. Maybe it will - only we will take a break from hunger by that moment. We will not fit into this market.
    1. WIKI
      WIKI 2 December 2021 12: 51
      -1
      Quote: paul3390
      To me, too, binomial Newton .. And what - someone seriously believed that you can print a few tricks of candy wrappers - and not get inflation? Another thing is that mattress makers seem to think that this time too they will be able to dump inflation onto the rest of the world. But it looks like it didn't work out

      This is not the reason for future inflation in the United States. And it is clearly different from ours. “The pandemic has contributed to the awakening of the workforce. Across different industries and income classes, they [workers] realize that they have more rights now than ever. They require better working conditions, higher wages, more flexibility and a sense of purpose from the job, ”the forecast says.

      As a result, by the fourth quarter of 2022, employers in the United States will have to sharply raise wages - for half of the population of the country with lower incomes, they will grow by an average of 15%. The consequence will be a jump in prices. "
      1. paul3390
        paul3390 2 December 2021 12: 55
        +6
        Oh sure. They demand an increase in wages precisely because of inflation - it is already banal not to live with old incomes. And what is the point of working if you still cannot feed yourself? And where, then, can the capital get labor force - if no one will do anything?

        It is only here that people are ready to work hard on the bourgeois for a pittance. And even then - people are gradually starting to take their heads.
        1. WIKI
          WIKI 2 December 2021 13: 00
          -1
          Quote: paul3390
          And even then - people are gradually starting to take their heads.

          I do not see this at the moment. Do not explain in what form "to take the head", this is happening.
          1. paul3390
            paul3390 2 December 2021 13: 03
            +6
            It's elementary - they don't go to work in offices with low salaries. As elsewhere in the world. Among my clients, this is a very popular topic for the last two years. It is simply not possible to find applicants for the same salaries.
            1. WIKI
              WIKI 2 December 2021 13: 22
              +1
              This explanation is valid at all times, not just for the current situation. ... One of the unorganized forms of protest. Nothing new.
  5. Engineer Schukin
    Engineer Schukin 2 December 2021 12: 48
    +2
    Quote: paul3390
    The Russian Federation is like a part of the world market, subordinate to the liberals. Therefore, even in our country the prices for what we ourselves produce are hitting the ceiling. Well, how to make the bourgeois sell cheap domestically under such a model - when he can sell at exorbitant prices for the cordon? Capitalism, sir ... Say - the market will put everything in its place .. Maybe it will - only we will take a break from hunger by that moment. We will not fit into this market.

    And what, excuse me, do we ourselves produce in a full cycle from the final product?
    What is not imported or quasi-domestic around you?
    1. paul3390
      paul3390 2 December 2021 12: 50
      +5
      Well, at least gasoline with diesel fuel, all sorts of metals, fertilizers - do we produce ourselves? Although yes - it's probably not a fact ...
  6. Hottabych
    Hottabych 2 December 2021 13: 03
    +11
    The author, however, kept silent about the fact that this was the traditional annual JOKY forecast from the chief economist of SAXO BANK. This is how fakes are born)
    1. Crowe
      Crowe 2 December 2021 13: 49
      +9
      That’s all, that’s why we rejoiced .. But I thought that I had finally survived and would see with my own eyes the collapse of the damned capitalism in the decaying West! I remembered an old and a bit sad anecdote about this: in 1948 the USSR Cinematography Committee bought the American film "Grapes of Wrath" (1940) to show our people all the ulcers and vices of capitalism.
      However, a few days later, the film was withdrawn from the box office because Soviet viewers drew attention to the fact that a poor, bankrupt farmer could buy a used truck.
  7. nikvic46
    nikvic46 2 December 2021 13: 27
    +6
    Inflation is not so terrible as a lack of understanding of the causes of it. The disputes are tough, but so far everything is going on as before.
  8. Chack wessel
    Chack wessel 3 December 2021 11: 47
    0
    I don't care what inflation is in the US.
  9. voyaka uh
    voyaka uh 5 December 2021 15: 24
    +1
    Saxo Bank is actually a solid investment bank with a good reputation.
    But a funny analyst works in it. laughing
    Every year he makes completely absurd predictions, which 99% do not come true. For laughter and PR.
    When he was asked: "How so? belay
    He replied: "I draw attention to possible risks"
  10. zloybond
    zloybond 5 December 2021 19: 52
    0
    Inflation is taking place in Russia in a strange way. Against the background of a general rise in prices, a frenzied rise in prices for everything, Rosstat has reduced the cost of land in the Krasnodar Territory by exactly half. The population really began to blow into their ears that this is a blessing. They say you will pay less taxes. And the same version was presented as a blessing to the head of state. Driving around the settlements, the leadership is trying to calm the people down. They say it does not depend on us. But everyone knows that the lie is covered only by the fact that Rosstat is based on data from local BTI, and BTI is only executing the will of the leadership. This was the beginning of the land acquisition program for various needs. Build a road, Hotel on the coast,. In general, this whole situation with land markdowns in a very strange way coincided with the program of weaning land plots of the population.