Military Review

In which pocket is the father's ruble

32

Photo: MFA of Russia


Common market is different money


An attempt at a "color revolution", or rather, just a coup, an openly provocative crisis with migrants, followed by an economic semi-blockade - what does all this mean?

Belarus is either pushed into the arms of Russia, or quite openly counts on the fact that the dad will do something unforgivable.

From the point of view of the development of the Russian economy, full integration with Belarus, with or without Lukashenka is not so important, it is very, very profitable. The freedom of maneuver will be largely lost by both the Russian executive power and business.

Politically, the topic is directly tied to what kind of power is in Belarus. For Alexander Grigorievich, as for any leader with such terms of office, the concept of "continuity" is almost mystical. However, in Russia, this is also not easy.

But it is by no means just that for many years neither in Moscow nor in Minsk there has been a rush with the reunification of Great and White Russia. After all, the rapid transformation of the Union State into something more real than a toy for officials will only intensify our confrontation with the West.

The situation in this area is already very tense. Taking into account the Donbass and the poorly provided rear - at least in Transcaucasia and Central Asia, getting also problems on the Polish border is not a joke. So something needs to be done.

That is why the unexpected “emergence” of the topic of the single ruble is very reminiscent of some kind of trial balloon - but what if it works. The single ruble is all the more relevant after the Belarusian president's typical reservation about Crimea.

There he is clearly drawn to visit, after all, why is he worse than Roosevelt and Churchill?

Daddy and the ruble - who wins?


Nevertheless, as soon as the journalists from the quite official MIA Rossiya Segodnya asked the dad about the single ruble, he switched from his characteristic slightly ironic tone to a purely businesslike one. And straight away he said that there was no need to raise this issue yet.

Lukashenko once again reminded that the main banks - the Russian Central Bank and the Belarusian National - have a single position on this issue: “the countries are not ready for this”. Nevertheless, the dad did not refute the idea of ​​a single payment space between the allied states, expressed by the Russian president.

The very same idea, obviously at the suggestion of Lukashenka, was hastened in Minsk to be called “healthy”. And Alexander Grigorievich himself, in turn, said that the issue is not at all that he or Putin is slowing down the processes associated with the single currency.

The position of the Belarusian leader is well known - the creation of a single currency “must come step by step”. That is, step by step. But in fact, Alexander Lukashenko simply had to somehow respond to the recent statements about the single currency made in Moscow.

Let us recall that, according to Vladimir Putin, the first steps have already been taken in this direction. The Russian leader noted that the Central Banks of the Russian Federation and Belarus should harmonize monetary policy, achieve integration of payment systems, and information security in the financial sector.

At the crossroads to integration


The experience of the European Union, where not only Britain, now a breakaway, but also a number of small countries did not switch to the euro, has shown that common money together with a common market does not mean deep integration. Over the years, the euro has not produced any effect of the notorious synergy. Convenient, beneficial for everyone, but nothing more.

In which pocket is the father's ruble

In addition, it turned out that the single currency simply duplicated the dollar, giving it the opportunity to quickly move to more advantageous positions with a low exchange rate. Recall that the euro started with a rate of around 80 US cents, and now costs about $ 1,2.

In foreign trade, the Americans, who have flooded the whole world with dollars, deftly use for their own benefit not only its regular mini-devaluations, but also inflation. In reality, only the yuan, tightly controlled by the Chinese communists, holds firm against the dollar.

For the fact that the People's Bank of China, without warning anyone, either increases or decreases the rate of the yuan, it invariably receives scolding and "last" warnings from the FRS. And even, oh horror, from the Washington administration itself.

However, in fact, the yuan has long been considered tamed. And the CPC Central Committee cannot flirt with it, since the capacious American market is the basis and main support of the Chinese economic miracle.

But under the current conditions, the difference in currencies in foreign markets, in principle, does not cause much trouble to anyone. As they say in Odessa, this is not a problem, but only expenses. Different currencies are more necessary and more important to control the internal markets of a particular country.

That is why in Belarus the Russian ruble, although it moves freely, is unlikely to be able to pay it off without complications. And it must be admitted - Lukashenka beautifully formulated that, "in fact, the creation of a single currency will mean a transition to a higher level of integration."

This is not a Union yet


But its course is by no means charted towards the Union, like the Soviet one. In general, all the fears not only of Belarus, but also of Russia's partners in the EAEU that economic integration and a single currency mean something “like creeping colonization” cannot be considered absolutely groundless.


Photo: EAEU

Above, we referred to the experience of the European Union, but no one there even thought of an analogy with the USSR or CMEA, although it suggested itself. At the same time, harsh assessments, and from very high tribunes, regarding Germany's leadership in the EU as a kind of "colonization of the Old Continent", are still in use today.

It is interesting that since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia has not imposed its ruble on anyone as a single currency, although it would be very profitable economically.

But how can you avoid image losses?

Immediately and firmly, the ruble was abandoned only in the Baltic countries. And Russia has consistently offered its neighbors, and not only them, the transition in mutual settlements to their own currencies. Thus, giving up the need to constantly pay for foreign exchange transactions.

The EAEU should formally switch to a single currency in 2025. But, most likely, because of the pandemic, everything will be postponed, and for a long time. In unification, they are generally not very active in terms of external integration, with the same Iran or Syria. And this is happening precisely because within the EAEU there is no agreement in any way even on the abandonment of dollars and euros, let alone a single currency.

But the idea of ​​a Eurasian currency was announced by the President of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev a long time ago - back in 1994. Then even a suitable name appeared - altyn. But until now, things have not gone further than talking about common money.

In the Union State, back in the mid-90s, after the sensational “haircut” of Belarusian bunnies, it seemed that Minsk simply had nowhere to go from the Russian ruble. But Belarusian money, like, frankly speaking, the entire economy of the republic, then still retained its independence - thanks to the default in Russia.

Today, Covid-19 works about the same "rescuer", of course, coupled with multi-billion ruble injections "under the bat".
Author:
32 comments
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  1. Grandfather
    Grandfather 6 December 2021 05: 36
    +2
    if someone, and understands something in foreign policy, whoever it is, then it's definitely not me. request
    1. LiSiCyn
      LiSiCyn 6 December 2021 06: 07
      +10
      The whole article can be condensed to: there will be no common currency, in the near future ... It is not profitable, neither for us, nor for Belarusians, and even more for the Kazakhs. Until the global (primarily political) crisis is resolved, everything will be as it is ... With little hope that if the kneading starts, the CSTO Brothers will not stick a knife in the back.
      1. Grandfather
        Grandfather 6 December 2021 06: 08
        -6
        Quote: LiSiCyn
        everything will be as it is ... With little hope that if the kneading begins, the CSTO brothers will not stick a knife in the back.

        perhaps...
        1. Civil
          Civil 6 December 2021 07: 35
          -6
          Lukashenka has no choice, only a position in the Union State is a guarantee of keeping him in power. So, it is no longer for him to decide how and when Minsk will switch to the Russian ruble.
      2. DED_peer_DED
        DED_peer_DED 6 December 2021 22: 21
        -1
        Quote: LiSiCyn
        Until the global (primarily political) crisis is resolved, everything will be as it is ...

        The current Crisis is all-embracing and permanent. It's time to understand this. They are trying to reformat the world for the "desired" program. Disruptions to Progress will no longer be allowed.
        The Earth must become "Green" and rid of the vast majority of humanity.
        Communism is being built for the elite, the Pure Land, etc. delirium disguised as delirium.
        In the meantime, in the struggle for the New Earth, the old one must die a violent death with the help of the "guardians of purity and celibacy."
        Crises, wars, poverty, pestilence and famines - this is the near future of mankind.
        All I can ...
    2. Stas157
      Stas157 6 December 2021 06: 24
      +7
      There will be no unification. No currencies, no countries. When did two dictators get together? Not. Well, they can talk about it for another hundred years!
      1. Grandfather
        Grandfather 6 December 2021 06: 29
        -2
        Quote: Stas157
        There will be no unification. No currencies, no countries. When did two dictators get together?

        on top of everything else, there is also a different approach to the "wealth" of, say, subsoil, to the economy and income. Or will Lukashenko also have to launch "privatization" and "optimization"? "Chubais" to please their own. then Belarus will shudder ... they need it?
        1. Orsis338
          Orsis338 6 December 2021 12: 54
          0
          Well, yes, because he has no "Chubais" of his own
    3. The leader of the Redskins
      The leader of the Redskins 6 December 2021 07: 39
      -7
      Well u dads not rubles, but stronger currency, and not in pockets, but in banks, and those banks are not in Belarus, but later, and the accounts are not in the LAG, most likely, but for someone else ...
      In general, as in a Russian folk tale: a needle in an egg, an egg in a duck, a duck in a hare, a hare in a chest ...
      1. VORON538
        VORON538 6 December 2021 14: 45
        -2
        As far as I understand, you have proof of your words, or is it in the style of "highley like"? Are you suggesting to take your word for it? :)))
        1. The leader of the Redskins
          The leader of the Redskins 6 December 2021 16: 08
          +2
          Name at least one "beggar" president who left office wearing only one shirt.
          So it's just statistics.
          1. VORON538
            VORON538 7 December 2021 15: 16
            -3
            It is sincerely a pity that you are not the president. At least Ukraine. You would definitely bring it into the top three world leaders in all respects. After all, only a true patriot of Ukraine can do this truly difficult task. lol :
    4. Thrifty
      Thrifty 6 December 2021 12: 16
      0
      Dana will never have any Eurasian currency, it is simply unprofitable for the local kings. Then print your loot as much as you like, and the total emission will be under control, you will not be able to speculate on the difference in exchange rates, which means that you will not get more money in your pocket!
  2. nikvic46
    nikvic46 6 December 2021 07: 10
    +5
    If only a single currency would hinder unification, there are other contradictions involved. And first of all, social guarantees of the two countries. If there is a union, it will be on the basis of a confederation.
  3. Doccor18
    Doccor18 6 December 2021 07: 17
    +7
    Not for that 30 years ago they scattered in order to "integrate" now. Each bai wanted to have his own land, and to have them the way he likes alone.
    1. vitvit123
      vitvit123 6 December 2021 08: 03
      +1
      Only one bai has a lot of gold reserves and, in general, does not have much ...
      1. Doccor18
        Doccor18 6 December 2021 08: 21
        +1
        Quote: vitvit123
        and in general everything is dumb ...

        Well, there is still something. Yes, and Russia is helping quite well ...
        1. vitvit123
          vitvit123 6 December 2021 09: 08
          +1
          About this and the speech that Russia, moreover, is not helping badly ... and how long will this good gratuitous help last? Well, this territory cannot exist on its own, without .. well, it cannot go on forever, well, how much they will borrow from us .. well, anyone understands that it cannot be so infinitely .. they will either have to be in Russia or on the "panel" like Ukraine ...
  4. A. Privalov
    A. Privalov 6 December 2021 08: 36
    0
    Great idea! The Belarusian ruble, like the dollar once, is 30.
  5. know
    know 6 December 2021 10: 12
    +1
    Oh, how many troubles the expensive pensioner Gorbachev and the drunk Yeltsin brought to people, whose monuments and memorial centers are carefully guarded by Putin. So we will mark time until we call a spade a spade and condemn these traitors, as well as their puppeteers, who are still with money and in power.
  6. Fisherman
    Fisherman 6 December 2021 10: 58
    -2
    Not a single small king will agree to close his printing press, for this he needs to be offered an equivalent thieves' theme on a common territory with guarantees for the next generation. Although, seeing how Putin keeps the Word of the Officer in relation to the Yeltsin Family, he can be trusted. Most likely, the dad is afraid of the new government in Russia after Putin, which, as he thinks, will annul the agreements. But Putin clearly teaches his team the continuity of agreements and the fulfillment of promises, studies are going hard, not everyone has drunk money to vomit and do not understand the importance of Putin's system of predictability for normal partners and serving the Russian State, and not the monetary Taurus.
  7. Galleon
    Galleon 6 December 2021 11: 34
    +1
    the main banks - the Russian Central Bank and the Belarusian National Bank - have a unified position on this issue: “the countries are not ready for this”

    Convenient words from the bosses - "not ready for this." Here you will have deep thoughts, and care, and the work of the bosses on the future. And it doesn't matter what we are "not ready for" - according to the celestials, we are not ready for more and more things. We are not ready for the unification of Russia, because the issue of a single currency is a key issue. They are not ready to have on time and in full a pension, money for children in the maternity capital (about which nothing but talk and hell to you for your needs to get it), not ready to protect yourself from a thief, robber or bully, if you are old, sick or weak before the criminal.
    But they are ready. Only they are not responsible.
  8. maxim1987
    maxim1987 6 December 2021 11: 38
    0
    Quote: Stas157
    There will be no unification. No currencies, no countries. When did two dictators get together? Not. Well, they can talk about it for another hundred years!

    It's a pity! Putin would be engaged in foreign policy (more or less good at it), and Father (not connected with our "elite" in any way) in the post of prime minister, would be gesticulating in the domestic economy hi
    1. Anton S
      Anton S 6 December 2021 13: 41
      -1
      Quote: maximNNX
      Quote: Stas157
      There will be no unification. No currencies, no countries. When did two dictators get together? Not. Well, they can talk about it for another hundred years!

      It's a pity! Putin would be engaged in foreign policy (more or less good at it), and Father (not connected with our "elite" in any way) in the post of prime minister, would be gesticulating in the domestic economy hi

      He only knows how to gesture, no more.
  9. Knell wardenheart
    Knell wardenheart 6 December 2021 12: 28
    +2
    It's just that Batkino's trick has moved on to a new step - but we will not see any "meat" as before, there will be water, broth at best. For 25 years this topic has already been protested as if it was the colonization of Alpha Centauri and not a combination of two already symbiotic states, at least stupidly through a single currency. As they say there - "if you want, you will find a thousand ways, if you do not want, a thousand reasons", this is about us and Blr.
  10. Alexfly
    Alexfly 6 December 2021 12: 28
    +4
    WRONG author from the very beginning, the dollar against the euro began with a rate of 1,1553 against the euro. And the fact that Belarus and the Russian Federation should unite is the dialectic of survival ... You can, of course, leave them in Europe, but no one will listen to them there, and they will only develop if they do not die ...
  11. p0pulivox
    p0pulivox 6 December 2021 13: 33
    -2
    Quote: Stas157
    There will be no unification. No currencies, no countries. When did two dictators get together? Not. Well, they can talk about it for another hundred years!

    As for dictators, you probably got excited or hurried (?), But one authoritarian (very) leader with another authoritarian (just) leader can really negotiate for a long time. But "dynamic" changes in the environment can accelerate this process ...
  12. Cyop_TyMyc
    Cyop_TyMyc 6 December 2021 20: 16
    +1
    Here Belarus creates its own weapons and exports successfully.
    Belarus has a well-developed mechanical engineering.
    And a very powerful agriculture.
    1. Motorist
      Motorist 6 December 2021 21: 35
      +1
      Quote: Cyop_TyMyc
      Here Belarus creates its own weapons and exports successfully.
      Belarus has a well-developed mechanical engineering.
      And a very powerful agriculture.

      Undoubtedly, only the external debt is growing anyway. Here you can see the dynamics and structure of the RB debt:

      https://myfin.by/wiki/term/vneshnij-dolg-v-belarusi
  13. Blade
    Blade 6 December 2021 22: 02
    0
    In the integration processes of Russia and Belarus, a single currency is the main issue. Roadmap # 1. For 20 years they have been speculating on this issue, but the matter stands still. It hurts to listen to and read the vague explanations of politicians. There will not be a single currency, there will be no real integration.
    1. DED_peer_DED
      DED_peer_DED 6 December 2021 22: 24
      0
      Quote: Blade
      In the integration processes of Russia and Belarus, a single currency is the main issue. Roadmap # 1.

      Do you mean Bitcoin?
      Or Ether?
      Or, something ... that ...
  14. lot
    lot 10 December 2021 20: 53
    -1
    "Lukashenka will switch from Maybach to Aurus: take a loan from the magazine" Behind the wheel "
    a curious reader will see that we are talking about a Russian bank, not even a Belarusian one))