I have long wanted to write about Cuba. First of all, I wanted to understand why the United States tolerates this state at its side. Agree, 200 kilometers today is not a distance, even if it is the sea, not land. Perhaps this is some kind of internal responsibility for the fact that during the period of all these perestroika, the search for ways of development and other "democratic reforms", we actually threw this country in the teeth of the United States.
Remember the very recent events, when the whole world was overwhelmed news about the Cuban Maidan. What analysts and journalists did not write and say then. The protests began in the city of San Antonio de los Banos, near Havana. For the first time in 60 years! "No food, medicine, freedom!"
And when the rallies began along the entire east coast of the United States from New York to Florida, it became clear "where the wind is blowing from." Miami Mayor Francis Suarez then spoke at a rally in his city in a very pathetic manner:
“The hour of freedom has come! There has not been such a spontaneous protest, which is now taking place in more than a dozen cities in Cuba, for the past 60 years. ”
Why can the US economically press Cuba?
After the collapse of the USSR, the Island of Freedom found itself face to face with the United States. Economic ties have been severed. Ideological ones are not just cut short, but have become practically hostile. The situation has become almost disastrous. Poverty, lack of food, failures in almost all spheres of the economy forced some Cubans to seek their fortune in neighboring states.
It is clear that the United States became the "Eden" where the Cubans rushed. Today, according to official figures, about 2 million Cubans live in the United States. Of these, 1,53 million are in Florida. This group of immigrants annually transfers $ 460 million to relatives in Cuba.
It reminds me of the situation in Russia in the 90s. Remember the crowds of immigrants from the republics of the former USSR who flooded Russia and took on any work for scanty money, which they transferred to their relatives back home?
Washington is well aware of the significance of these transfers for Havana. And they clearly took this factor into account when planning a "color revolution" in Cuba.
How was it used in practice?
An example for tutorials.
In 2019, the United States announced further sanctions to Cuba. One of them was the limitation of money transfers to 1 dollars, once every three months. Agree, the blow has been severe.
By the way, according to the estimates of international organizations, the American embargo and extraterritorial sanctions cost Cuba more than $ 120 billion.
Pandemic - a factor of counter-revolution
It would seem, how can a covid provoke a color revolution?
Especially if almost all countries suffer from this virus. Nevertheless, this is the case with Cuba.
Here it is necessary to use the statements of the country's leader, the first secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party and President Miguel Diaz-Canel, said at a rally in the very city of San Antonio de los Baños in the midst of the protests:
"We will not allow anyone to manipulate our situation, we will not allow anyone to defend a plan that is not Cuban."
Further, the president of the country talks just about the use by the Americans of the situation with medicine in the countries of Latin America. It is no secret that Cuban medicine today is one of the most progressive in South America. And many states have Cuban medical missions on their territory.
Moreover, I quote again from President Diaz-Canel:
“We knew that no one would sell us vaccines, we didn’t have the money to enter the international market and buy them, so we created our own and started vaccination.”
So, the Americans did everything so that the Cuban medical missions were closed and the Cubans did not receive income from medicine. Everything is American style. Let the citizens of other countries die for American interests.
Well, those words that simply "crushed the new Cuban revolutionaries":
“If they (USA - Author's note) are really so interested in helping Cuba and solving the country's problems, why do they not demand an end to the blockade and a policy of genocide? What a moral foundation supports that a foreign state can apply this policy to a small country in such unfavorable conditions! "
Will we be able to restore a warm relationship with Havana?
Probably the most important issue for us is the question of restoring friendly relations with the Island of Freedom. Many people remember Cubans with a kind word. But it turned out the way it turned out.
Cuba will cooperate with us. This is necessary for the state, which has been under sanctions since 1961. Any break in the blockade is vital for Havana. But...
It should be borne in mind that Cuba and Russia today are ideologically different countries. It is not for nothing that the above quote from the Cuban president's speech on the vaccine does not mention Russia.
Today, ideologically, China is closer to Cuba. And it is the Chinese model of the state that Diaz-Canel will build. It will combine a market economy and the ideology of communism. The PRC has become an example of how the USSR once was.
If we look more deeply at the situation in Cuba, it becomes clear that the Cubans are carrying out reforms. But for us, who are accustomed to breaking everything quickly and thoughtlessly, and then complaining that some of the broken ones were still much better than what we are building now - there are no reforms.
The government of the country, again, unlike most other countries, is implementing reforms taking into account many factors. First of all, the mentality of the people, stories state and ... the geographic location of the country. The Cubans are well aware that any mistake they make will lead to US intervention.
If the President of Cuba had not quickly suppressed the protests peacefully, if the protests took on the character of, for example, the Ukrainian Maidan, would there be a politician who would deny the possibility of an American landing on the island?
No, the likelihood of such a development of events was quite high.
So, in my opinion, Cuba will no longer be our friend.
As much as we would like it. At least in the coming years. A good and reliable partner - yes, but not a loyal and reliable friend - no. Alas, everything in this world is changing. Including us.
Russia and Cuba have now moved away from each other in many directions. The Cubans didn’t really hope for our help, and we didn’t really strive to provide this assistance. And we had a chance ...