Military Review

It's better not to renounce such a ruble

99
It's better not to renounce such a ruble

Golden autumn of the ruble



The height of autumn is the best time to make a forecast for the ruble exchange rate at the end of the year. Indeed, despite the fears associated with the election factor, so far no hints of a rollback of the ruble are noticeable. And this is with growing inflation and an openly overstated rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation.

Judging by the indirect signs of the stock exchange game, as well as the state of the balance sheets (of both the budget and the Bank of Russia), the ruble is currently simply reaping the fruits of the fall that almost happened to it about a year ago. In November 2020, on the agenda, in addition to the coronavirus, there were also American elections with the likely victory of Democrat Biden and tougher sanctions against Russia.

There is nothing fundamentally new in this situation, but today the gas factor has also come into play. The unprecedented rise in the cost of natural gas, which the Russian president had to personally slow down, could not help but work in favor of the ruble.

At the same time, there is no need to talk about any super-profits of Gazprom, and even more so about super-profits of the Russian budget. Only what is not covered by long-term contracts is sold at exchange prices. As a result, the outlook for the ruble is rather positive than unfavorable so far.

At the end of the year, we can expect the ruble exchange rate for the dollar from 70 rubles - this is the most optimistic estimate, up to 74-75, but this is already called - it couldn't be worse. The euro exchange rate, respectively, will be somewhere between 80 and 85 rubles, unless, of course, all forecasts upset the next measures to combat the pandemic.

It’s a paradox, but the overstated key rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation and high prices for energy resources are currently in favor of the ruble (at least at the exchange rate). If we count from the spring of 2021, the strengthening of the ruble against the dollar amounted to almost 5% - up to 72 rubles after 76, and if from the alarming fall of 2020, when the exchange rate went off scale for 80 rubles - all 10%.

Years of growth


Recall that last fall, the Russian Central Bank managed to repel all attacks by stock exchange traders on the ruble, when the mark of 100 rubles was considered as a real exchange rate reference. And not only against the euro, but also against the dollar. Since the Crimean Spring, attempts have been made to bring down the ruble several times with varying success.

But today it is not only easier, but also more important to remember the periods of financial prosperity, one of which had to be interrupted due to the pandemic. If we dig right up to default, from which the current strategic line in finance actually originates, then almost all periods occurred immediately or almost immediately after severe crises and exchange rate failures.

So, after the default and the rate of 30 rubles per dollar, the ruble gradually grew almost until the crisis of 2008-2009, and the then jump of 23 rubles at the rate to 32 did not frighten anyone. Then there was the strange fall of 2013, the "Crimean spring" and the ruble collapse in the fall of 2014.


The two-fold drop in the exchange rate almost repeated itself during the lockdown, but in fact the cause was the oil war with Saudi Arabia. Finally, last year's fall pullback, not only did the majority of the public not notice at all, it also became the foundation for the current soft growth.

There are still some risks for the ruble due to the expected changes in the US monetary policy. It's about winding down Trump's QE program. This is not the end, but the beginning of the end of "cheap" money.

For several months, it made it attractive to speculators just such currencies as the ruble - with overpriced rates and profitability. Now it is a thing of the past. However, a little below we will show that, perhaps, it is now time to get off not the oil, but the dollar needle. At least domestically.

Many people dream of some hypothetical strong ruble in Russia, but these are, rather, dreams of financial stability and price tags with pennies, although fewer and fewer Russians actually remember them. And when making electronic payments directly from a gadget, very few people are interested in a penny.

Not a renaissance yet, but still


Nevertheless, it is time to leave the repeated price races, surges in bank interest rates and regular losses in savings forever in the past. Moreover, in the renovated Russia, they occur with an unenviable frequency, as already written above.

Nowadays, the situation gives the Russian financial authorities a truly unique chance to stabilize finances within the country, without looking at either the IMF or the US Federal Reserve. And the first step is to distance our reserves from them, which for many years was a tough taboo in Russia.

Agree, today arguments like “these are the most liquid and most reliable assets” somehow do not convince.

If the President of the United States himself spoke about the cosmic growth rates of the American national debt, what other counter-arguments are needed?

Now inflationary pressure is directly related to external factors, but it cannot be considered as one that inevitably requires the contraction of the money supply. Including by raising the key rate, although there are many experts who are convinced that this is, if not a positive step by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, then almost the only possible one now.

We disagree, and categorically - we have long been following the path of full priority in the economy of the financial sector, but it also has a minimum of opportunities to allocate free funds on the current conditions. As a result, the contraction of the money supply, which seems to be useful, turns into a primitive lack of working capital.

Well, this is already a much more powerful stimulus to inflation, since those who throw away, more precisely, are still able to throw their products onto the markets, are increasingly out of competition.

How can you not raise prices here?

Moreover, the implementation turns out to be the only source of free funds.
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  1. Proton
    Proton 13 October 2021 15: 10
    +9
    I have always been amused by forecasts for the ruble exchange rate. There are so many reasons and versions that in any scenario the forecaster can say with his head held high - "Well, I told you so!"
    1. Civil
      Civil 13 October 2021 18: 52
      0
      1. Yes, there is no one to protect the people from extortion and further impoverishment.
      2. Yes, and the people are actually ready to pay any price, it is not clear why, of course.
      Therefore, the ruble exchange rate and the economy have nothing to do with ordinary natives.
    2. shonsu
      shonsu 14 October 2021 10: 00
      +1
      Indeed, they use vague phrases because it is more difficult than predicting rain in a month.
    3. Barberry25
      Barberry25 15 October 2021 13: 04
      +2
      laughing I remember there is a "forecaster" who guessed the course once, and then never guessed it, but he is constantly asked)
  2. paul3390
    paul3390 13 October 2021 15: 16
    +13
    The ruble exchange rate has nothing to do with objective reasons, but only with the immediate needs of our raw material oligarchs. As, in fact, and in general the prices for everything in the country. Paying as little as possible, taking as much as possible is the main paradigm of our spiritually strong capitalist state.
    1. rocket757
      rocket757 13 October 2021 15: 35
      +5
      Quote: paul3390
      Paying as little as possible, taking as much as possible is the main paradigm of our spiritually strong capitalist state.

      Do you know another capitalist state where they think and act differently?
      Not one-time, emergency events, but constantly, i.e. always.
      1. paul3390
        paul3390 13 October 2021 15: 38
        +13
        That's how it is, but so brazenly, shamelessly and shamelessly rob people in a few countries .. Basically the Third World. Well - and we, of course ..
        1. rocket757
          rocket757 13 October 2021 15: 46
          +4
          No, no, not everything is so simple.
          Foreigners learned to select EVERYTHING, to the last, but learned to camouflage it well !!! Although, the outer gloss cannot change the very essence of this action!
          As the Yankees themselves say / have noticed, we have a period of development of capitalism, like they had 70 years ago.
          The question is, how quickly will our people learn to rob everyone more "elegantly / disguisedly" or in society, in the country, there will be global changes.
          I don’t know, but to guess / predict, there is no such gift, alas.
          1. paul3390
            paul3390 13 October 2021 15: 49
            +6
            Foreigners learned to take EVERYTHING,

            The question is who? Western bourgeois - have the ability to plunder almost the entire planet, which means - they can afford not to rage at home very much, and even - sometimes to give something to the people. Our bourgeoisie - except us, there is no one to rob. Hence the layouts.
            1. rocket757
              rocket757 13 October 2021 15: 56
              -1
              Are you sure that they do not rob their own, if there is such an opportunity?
              Is everything so good with them and the authorities are guarding the interests of the working people?
              Oh, is it really so?
              In general, nowhere is absolutely the same, but the general rules of capitalism, until now, no one, especially, violated.
              Although, now they say that, in general, some crazy ideas are hovering in ... many places and among the politicians of the new formation !!! But politicians are such a folk who, in order to achieve their goals, will start / promise with three boxes, and then fulfill them, well, very conditionally.
              Such is life, it does not stand still.
              1. paul3390
                paul3390 13 October 2021 16: 03
                +5
                Of course not. And there, no one cares about the people. They just have the means to be quieter in their country, without bringing the people to the point of explosion. Hence the illusion of democracy, all sorts of benefits, and so on. Why provoke popular discontent when it's easier to share a little bit? And ours do not have such funds, only for ourselves they have enough. Therefore, they eat as if not into themselves.
                1. rocket757
                  rocket757 13 October 2021 16: 16
                  -1
                  We have enough of everything ... to say that the upper ones do nothing at all in terms of social security for those who find themselves in a difficult situation, precisely for the same reasons as elsewhere ... they also do not need a social explosion of an angry population.
                  Various bangs, lewdness, on the ground ... this is everywhere! From the center they visit and level them up as they can.
                  Those. we have all the standards of capitalist society, with their own specific deviations.
                  For me, this is all bad, in its essence, but, after all, I am a Soviet person, I have different concepts and the present is in my throat, initially and forever.
              2. Barberry25
                Barberry25 15 October 2021 13: 05
                +2
                laughing it's like a 800 euro pension in Germany .. we are squealing from mriy about such a pension, and in Germany they cry on TV and ask how to live on this money .. here we are talking about the fact that "the neighbor always seems to be bigger and thicker"
                1. rocket757
                  rocket757 15 October 2021 13: 54
                  -1
                  So it is .... Germans from the former moved to us with their East German pensions (much less than those of West Germans), they live and don’t blow a mustache! They don't want to go back to Germany, for obvious reasons.
                  In fact, we do not smell of social justice, pensioners are ordinary people, they live, they don’t fatten ...
                  1. Barberry25
                    Barberry25 15 October 2021 13: 57
                    0
                    Well, here the point is that in order to achieve full-fledged pensions, you need one or two generations who will earn it, and this is 50 years ... in fact, in our country, the pension system for 20 years is just being formed ... for me I need to do this, break up the pension contributions in 3 parts: 1 general part, which goes to everyone who is now receiving and the disabled, 2 part goes to the state, the task of providing an income, 3 to choose from either the state or a private fund ... funds from part 2 and 3 go either to the state .bonds, or in shares of state companies .. that's what it turns out that we have funds for the growth of pensions .. Then the state can only wait until the bulk of pensioners will self-sufficiency in investments ..
            2. shonsu
              shonsu 14 October 2021 10: 14
              +1
              Dear, you are talking nonsense. Russia has some of the lowest taxes and the most lenient legislation. Therefore, there are a lot of enterprises with gray incomes and various schemes of tax evasion or the possibility of knocking it off. If behind the hillock you allowed yourself something like that, you would easily sit down for life and even more than once. And it is better not to argue with the police there, as we are used to, they will be punished right away.
      2. Ingvar 72
        Ingvar 72 13 October 2021 17: 52
        0
        Quote: rocket757
        Do you know another capitalist state where they think and act differently?

        Yes, Victor, there are many such states. Take the same Europe, the countries of the East, there is also a kind of capitalism, but it is forced to reckon with the interests of the population.
        The problem is not so much capitalism as the form of government.
        Kiai successfully combines capitalism with a socialist form of power. We have combined the most negative combinations of forms of government and order. hi
        1. rocket757
          rocket757 13 October 2021 18: 11
          -2
          Quote: Ingvar 72
          Take the same Europe, the countries of the East, there is also a kind of capitalism, but it is forced to reckon with the interests of the population.

          WHERE in Geyrope, specifically, capitalism with a "human face"?
          About the east, where monarchies rule and something like that ... a specific state structure supported by finances through the sale of natural resources.
          China ... no, no, there is no pure capitalism, some kind of hybrid. If considered, then separately because of their features.
          By the way, I wrote that it is not the same everywhere !!! There are exceptions, BUT, they are extremely few compared to the number of capitalist states, in which everything is approximately the same.
          Also, about geyropes .... the established capitalist states of the old geyropes are somewhat different from the majority, BUT. EVERYTHING IS IN THEM, it is more camouflaged, somewhat smoothed out, BUT, for the time being !!!
          Now a serious crisis has rolled up, most importantly, NOT FINANCIAL, although it will follow ... a crisis that will affect everyone who has not prepared in advance on a national scale, and individual citizens ...
          it will be possible to see how it will all end, and will it end at all ???
          That's when we'll see what the face of capitalism is in Geyrope ...
          1. Ingvar 72
            Ingvar 72 13 October 2021 19: 23
            0
            Quote: rocket757
            WHERE in Geyrope, specifically, capitalism with a "human face"?

            If we compare with ours, there is with the human. request
            Quote: rocket757
            China ... no, no, there is no pure capitalism, some kind of hybrid.

            About that and speech.
            Quote: rocket757
            Now a serious crisis has rolled up,

            I didn’t roll it up, we did it. I think you understand what this is about.
            Serious changes are coming, it is not for nothing that migrants were pumped up in Europe, then covid, global hyperinflation.
            But this is an artificial process.
            We all live in a momentous time when the whole world is being driven into the era of Orwell and Aldous Huxley. hi
            1. rocket757
              rocket757 13 October 2021 19: 51
              -1
              Quote: Ingvar 72
              If we compare with ours, there is with the human.

              Where exactly. LIST.
              Quote: Ingvar 72
              I didn’t roll it up, we did it.

              I understand one thing, that there are those who rolled, but for the rest, it WASTE, such as a LANDSCAPE!
              The skaters are mostly after the okey! And those for whom the LITTLE are here, at our side, one might say.
              But, the essence of the matter does not change ... boom to see who and what face will be able to save !!!
              1. Ingvar 72
                Ingvar 72 13 October 2021 20: 19
                0
                Quote: rocket757
                LIST

                Victor, are you serious? All of Scandinavia, Germany, the Czech Republic and many others, where the capitalists are forced to observe the status quo with the population.
                Quote: rocket757
                The skaters are mostly after the okey!

                Our hundred pounds in the subject.
                And so, yes, we'll take a look.
                1. rocket757
                  rocket757 13 October 2021 21: 52
                  0
                  Let's just say that SOME BALANCE / BORDER was previously established and maintained, which they tried to adhere to with both ... but it WAS before !!! and now, the boundaries have been blurred, both of them stand up for them, the BALANCE IS VIOLATED, by the way, by the very top .... also the CRISIS !!! because of which it can overflow.
                  I suppose you won't have to wait long for this ... it will flash or bang, at your choice.
                  Alternatively, the top ones can back down, BUT, this requires awesome financial resources, which NO ONE, now, perhaps, does not have ...
                  In general, there are two options for the development of events, BUT, none of them will be very HUMAN ... for objective reasons, by the way. For too long, the problems have moved to the far corner, postponed for later ... perhaps it THEN came.
          2. Aurel
            Aurel 13 October 2021 20: 37
            -3
            Quote: rocket757
            WHERE in Geyrope, specifically, capitalism with a "human face"?

            In the Scandinavian countries.
            1. rocket757
              rocket757 13 October 2021 22: 03
              -1
              Yes, yes, "Scandinavian socialism" ... there are also questions for them, what and what to ask, figure it out, BUT, it is better for yourself, look, read and decide what kind of "human face" it is or the same grimace of capitalism, only with smeared on sharp corners.
              By the way, I don't care what they have and how ... and the rest of our citizens, too ...
              We do not eat well, everything is in order, in our common house ... it's time for everyone to get together and guide him ... not looking back at anyone, in our own way, as LOVE to us!
              1. Aurel
                Aurel 14 October 2021 08: 31
                -3
                Quote: rocket757
                better for yourself, look, read and decide what kind of "human face" it is

                This is better than our "sovereign democracy".
                1. rocket757
                  rocket757 14 October 2021 09: 15
                  -2
                  Subjective assessment ... but, it is useless to argue about tastes, especially about the taste of bananas, between those who did not eat them.
                  1. Aurel
                    Aurel 14 October 2021 09: 46
                    -2
                    The people have already gorged themselves on local "bananas" so much that they already yearn for the USSR.
                    1. rocket757
                      rocket757 14 October 2021 10: 17
                      -2
                      Ha, if only we had nostalgia and other wishes / desires appeared.
                      Apparently, many politicians of the new wave have re-read the works of the classics of Marxism-Leninism and found and found there attractive ideas that will help them win over the reactive part of the voters who will like such ideas.
                      In general, a boom to see.
                      The world is seething and it will no longer be the same .... although everything is "new", this is the forgotten old, as a rule.
      3. Svarog
        Svarog 13 October 2021 22: 04
        +2
        Quote: rocket757
        Quote: paul3390
        Paying as little as possible, taking as much as possible is the main paradigm of our spiritually strong capitalist state.

        Do you know another capitalist state where they think and act differently?
        Not one-time, emergency events, but constantly, i.e. always.

        Norway, Switzerland, Finland .. yes, perhaps the whole of Europe .. with the exception of the "recently converted" .. and then everyone is bursting to work in Poland .. Yes .. they are also capitalists .. but their attitude towards their own people is much better .. or don't you think so?
        1. rocket757
          rocket757 13 October 2021 22: 09
          -1
          Quote: Svarog
          Yes .. they are also capitalists .. but their attitude towards their own people is much better .. or do you not think so?

          Did you want to make me laugh?
          YOU SUCCEDED.
          1. Svarog
            Svarog 13 October 2021 22: 20
            0
            Quote: rocket757
            Did you want to make me laugh?
            YOU SUCCEDED.

            I'm glad. You just need to cry ..
            1. rocket757
              rocket757 14 October 2021 06: 04
              -1
              No, no, you need to do the right thing.
              Bringing order to our own country.
              1. Ingvar 72
                Ingvar 72 14 October 2021 06: 57
                +1
                Quote: rocket757
                Bringing order to our own country.

                You can't do this without blood, I think you understand that. Judging by the way the last elections were held, it will not be possible to change the government in a democratic way.
                1. rocket757
                  rocket757 14 October 2021 07: 28
                  -1
                  I read the textbook, I have an idea ... BUT, to begin with, a lot, a lot of work must be done, what would ... and then follow the textbook. not stupid people wrote them.
            2. rocket757
              rocket757 14 October 2021 07: 42
              +1
              To understand my position - Capitalism cannot have a human face, this is in its foundation! Here, I agree with the classics.
              They can be developed ... or rather, the working class \ people, can RECOVER some positions from the capitalist, which happened at the time when there was a country where the ruling class was the LABOR PEOPLE, i.e. Exemplar! That is why the capitalist was FORCED to make some concessions !!! and IT appeared that something that more or less suited both sides of the confrontation, i.e. BALANCE OF INTERESTS / OPPORTUNITIES ...
              The wolves were not so full, but they tried not to run into the sheep insolently!
              NOW, who to take an example from? In the west, the CAPITALIST has perceptibly roused himself and begins to fight for his interests ... the working class / people no longer have such a united, strong mass ... that is, there will be a rollback to the position when the wolves again begin to tear the skin from the sheep, as they want.
              Not everywhere and not all at once, it's just a TREND, camouflaged, out of habit, and they don't need any sudden shocks ...
              And here it all started with upheavals, with the savage collision of those who once again became the ruling class ... while the working people lost the SUPPORT, the ability to gather in a mighty handful to fight back together ... with all the ensuing consequences.
              In general, to remember, discuss and so on, nope, we must learn again to become a single whole and to defend OUR common interests !!!
              Everything else is from the evil one ...
              1. Reptiloid
                Reptiloid 14 October 2021 13: 40
                +1
                hi hello, Victor! Yes! Capitalism put on a mask of a human face when there was socialism in the world in some
                Countries. He was afraid of comparisons not in his favor. Who should he be ashamed of now? Now he must frighten and deceive. Prudish lies about reducing consumption for the sake of the planet. the capitalists themselves do not plan to reduce
                1. rocket757
                  rocket757 14 October 2021 13: 44
                  0
                  Hi Dmitry soldier
                  Nothing is eternal ... capitalism, in the form that it is now, has already experienced itself ... There will be, at least, a significant transformation, otherwise the processes of searching for a new one will begin, or even a replacement for what is already known to everyone ...
                  1. Reptiloid
                    Reptiloid 14 October 2021 13: 48
                    +2
                    While we see a desire to survive by reducing the quality of life of ordinary people
                    1. rocket757
                      rocket757 14 October 2021 13: 55
                      -1
                      When the problem is exactly SURVIVAL of all, this is one thing ..
                      When the goal is enriched at the expense of others, it is different.
                      1. Reptiloid
                        Reptiloid 14 October 2021 14: 11
                        +2
                        Victor, you can see how diligently the officials separate themselves from the rest. We are not talking about all people at all. Why change? For example, Deputy Milonov, something about Navalny's incubus, as MOLOT THE WITCH read.
                        What could be after that? It would be better if I read something else on the topic of my duties, the chosen ones attract attention to themselves with squabbles, showdowns, whatever, instead of real actions
                      2. rocket757
                        rocket757 14 October 2021 14: 30
                        -1
                        Quote: Reptiloid
                        instead of real actions

                        And there will not be such actions from them that would benefit the country and the people, it is NOT INCLUDED in them.
                        The question is when we will gather as a single, strong mass, the will, the desires of which they CANNOT IGNORE, because then they will be afraid, for their beloved skin, for their well-being!
                        Until such an event occurs, we will shake the air in vain, alas, alas.
                        There is no other way.
                      3. Reptiloid
                        Reptiloid 14 October 2021 14: 48
                        +2
                        Victor, we choose them ourselves.! As we said yesterday, namely your words that very few people who started trying to reach the top get to the top ... and they also vote ... this is a vicious circle of some kind ...
                      4. rocket757
                        rocket757 14 October 2021 15: 58
                        -1
                        Quote: Reptiloid
                        we choose them ourselves.

                        We choose from what is offered to us ... well, about WHOM, do we know something there at least ???
                        Therefore, the stereotype works, we choose what is already known ... the well-known, even evil, is not as frightening as complete obscurity !!!
                      5. Reptiloid
                        Reptiloid 14 October 2021 16: 41
                        +2
                        Unfortunately, we often choose talkers and liars, we believe in beautiful words, and then they vote ...
                      6. rocket757
                        rocket757 14 October 2021 18: 06
                        -1
                        How was it at the first stage of Soviet power?
                        ALL AUTHORITY TO THE COUNCILS!
                        Councils elected / nominated / delegated their representatives, BUT, exercised CONTROL and reacted, recalled those they chose, i.e. FULL CONTROL and RESPONSIBILITY !!!
                      7. Reptiloid
                        Reptiloid 14 October 2021 18: 44
                        +2
                        Quote: rocket757
                        .... The Soviets elected / nominated / delegated their representatives, BUT, exercised CONTROL and reacted, recalled those they chose, i.e. FULL CONTROL and RESPONSIBILITY !!!

                        Yes, then they were chosen not by place of residence, but at work. Where they knew who was what and controlled
  • VasYok
    VasYok 14 October 2021 04: 42
    -1
    Do you know another capitalist state where they think and act differently?

    For this, there is an index of the quality of life by country.
    "The quality of life index (LQI) is a kind of indicator of life. And the higher it is, the better and more convenient the country is to live in. Basically, countries with a high standard of living have a high life expectancy (due to a high-quality health care system), have good indicators of political and financial stability, low crime and environmental pollution, are characterized by the stability of citizens' income. "
    The first three places are occupied by Switzerland, Denmark, and the Netherlands. Russia is in 67th place after Ukraine, Belarus and Azerbaijan. lol
    1. rocket757
      rocket757 14 October 2021 06: 02
      -1
      I propose to shove that IKZH somewhere, exactly to those who composed it.
      All.
      1. Reptiloid
        Reptiloid 14 October 2021 13: 45
        +3
        Quote: rocket757
        I propose to shove that IKZH somewhere, exactly to those who composed it.
        because we do not agree with the index --- our life will not get better. Look for other ways to solve the problem.
        1. rocket757
          rocket757 14 October 2021 13: 53
          -1
          Do your own thing, for the good of the people and the country.
          We are out of order, and there is something worse ... that is. work is not an open edge.
          1. VasYok
            VasYok 16 October 2021 15: 24
            -1
            Do your own thing, for the good of the people and the country.

            Do Putin and the United Nations members know about this?
            1. rocket757
              rocket757 16 October 2021 15: 55
              -1
              And who among those present there wants to know something, besides what is important to them and their environment?
              Is this news or what? For whom?
      2. VasYok
        VasYok 16 October 2021 15: 21
        -1
        Putin did just that with the Russians, since the compilers of the IKZH are not available to him. Otherwise they would have been sitting with Navalny for extremism. lol
        Well, and the Russians are experiencing from this "indescribable osusseniya" ... They endure steadily. If only Volodenka was good. Masochists are shitty.
        1. rocket757
          rocket757 16 October 2021 15: 58
          -1
          Quote: VasYok
          Navalny for extremism

          Sits in a clean criminal case ...
          Standard ... they'll put you on the table! Don't steal.
          1. VasYok
            VasYok 18 October 2021 16: 25
            -1
            Sits in a clean criminal case ...

            And how many does not sit? Starting with the bandit Putin (criminal case No. 144128) ...
            1. rocket757
              rocket757 18 October 2021 18: 45
              -1
              Ha, ha, sho there in Svidomo \ shaken heads invented ... no, not interesting. yourself, yourself, dismiss us from this right now.
              1. VasYok
                VasYok 23 October 2021 13: 44
                0
                no, not interesting. yourself, yourself, dismiss us from this right now.

                Just great! I recognize the favorite pose of the putinoids, ostrich pose! (I don't see anything, I don't hear anything, I don't want to know anything, take care of my ass.)
                And here you guessed wrong! Putin has, has and will have your ass with special cynicism and cruelty. And you will only yell in response: well done, Volodya! you are the best! Let's!
                Stockholm Syndrome is resting.
                1. rocket757
                  rocket757 23 October 2021 14: 01
                  0
                  The stupidity is standard, indistinguishable from other others ... the diagnosis is clear, you don't have to go to the doctor.
    2. Barberry25
      Barberry25 15 October 2021 13: 13
      0
      half of these indicators are subjective) and then ... in fact, 2005 Russia has 105th place, 2013th year Russia has 72nd place..2020-67th place ... and everyone is talking about "every year it gets worse and worse" ... supposedly )
  • fif21
    fif21 14 October 2021 12: 19
    +3
    Quote: rocket757
    Do you know another capitalist state where they think and act differently?

    I know - USA! If you attended the energy forum in Moscow, you should have seen how the savior of Europe was telling with gusto that gas prices for Europe are 300 S per 1000 cubic meters. Selling natural resources of the Russian Federation on the cheap is cool! wassat The United States just threw Europe and sells its LNG, where they give a higher price 5 times. Whose interests does Putin defend? RF or EU? The US just handed out 1000s to each pandemic! In the Russian Federation there are 150 children, pensioners and the military. hi
    1. rocket757
      rocket757 14 October 2021 13: 26
      -2
      It's just capitalism, the way it is ... and so much has been said / explained about gas prices, it looks like all this flew past you, imperceptibly ...
      1. fif21
        fif21 14 October 2021 13: 51
        +1
        Quote: rocket757
        Just capitalism as it is.

        Then what kind of capitalism do we have? recourse Who is trading at a loss, dumping and scratching that long-term contracts are good, and the exchange price is bad for the seller? Resale of gas from the Russian Federation has become a klondike for hucksters from the EU and Ukraine. Which once again confirms my thesis, defective managers have learned to steal, no trading. wassat
      2. fif21
        fif21 14 October 2021 14: 02
        +1
        Quote: rocket757
        but they have already said / explained so much about gas prices, it looks like all this flew past you, imperceptibly ...

        This is bullshit, not an explanation of the capitalist. Why isn't LNG shipped to Asia, where the price is 1500s per 1000 cubic meters? Why did you increase gas supplies to the EU by 10-15% at a price 3 times less than the market price? In the EU, marketers are 100% sure that it was Gazprom that raised prices! They can't even think that Gazprom is a trough for the EU, and PR for the occupation regime hi
        1. Denis812
          Denis812 15 October 2021 09: 47
          -1
          You probably forgot that you can't just pick up an LNG tanker and take it somewhere in Asia.
          There is no such thing.
          Firstly, all these tankers of ours are packed to capacity with planning ahead for years. And those that are and those that are being built. There is simply no stupidly free tanker.
          Secondly, in order to transport gas somewhere, you must first agree on exactly where, how to supply it, to whom, and everything else. This someone has to work with your gas. Or you have to liquefy the gas exactly the way the consumer needs it.
          In general, your reasoning is amateurishness.
          To enter the Asian markets in general with LNG and start trading there - this is a really promising task. So that next time you have what and where to deliver.
          1. fif21
            fif21 15 October 2021 15: 44
            0
            Quote: Denis812
            In general, your reasoning is amateurishness.

            And your reasoning is just an excuse. Too lazy to think and strain your brains. Although I understand you - and so everything is fine, the salary is dripping (you are an employee), and the initiative is punishable. Mattress covers don't bother - where's the good price? In Asia ! And the LNG went there. Naturally, a lot of work has been done, the speed is fantastic. And tankers to charter and supply logistics to build. By entering into long-term contracts with antediluvian oil pegs, you deprive yourself of freedom of maneuver and lose money. You need to learn to work with the sharks of capitalism! hi
            1. Denis812
              Denis812 15 October 2021 15: 50
              -1
              Again:
              1. There are no free tankers
              2. There are no free markets
              What questions do you have?
              1. fif21
                fif21 15 October 2021 15: 58
                0
                Quote: Denis812
                What questions do you have?

                Well, no, and there is no trial! wassat I only know one thing - if someone wants to do something - he does! If he doesn't want to, he looks for excuses. hi
                1. Denis812
                  Denis812 15 October 2021 16: 00
                  -1
                  Конечно.
                  And you are right.
                  That is why I wrote at the very beginning - "to enter the Asian markets in general with LNG and start trading there - this is a really promising task. So that next time we have something to supply and where."

                  And the stupid one who thinks that you can just take the gas and send it somewhere in Asia .. Well, ok - it's stupid. Let the cattle read the specifications and contracts.
        2. Barberry25
          Barberry25 15 October 2021 13: 14
          0
          because LNG supplies are also scheduled
          1. fif21
            fif21 15 October 2021 15: 50
            0
            Quote: Barberry25
            because LNG supplies are also scheduled

            A raw material appendage of the West, without the ability to earn good money for your product. In Europe, it is not Qatari gas that is sold at 1100, but Russian gas. hi
            1. Barberry25
              Barberry25 15 October 2021 17: 50
              0
              because a jump in prices is a temporary phenomenon, but reputation is expensive .. And yes, the USSR was also a raw material appendage?
              1. fif21
                fif21 15 October 2021 19: 05
                0
                Quote: Barberry25
                because a jump in price is a temporary phenomenon, but reputation is expensive.

                The global economy is emerging from a collapse. Developed and emerging markets require raw materials. Electricity consumption is growing. And the Russian Federation can make good money on this. But for some reason it does not earn. recourse Maybe long-term contracts and pegging the price of gas to the price of oil is not good? Is it possible to sell some part of it through the exchange and include the exchange price in the price? For some reason, the reputation of the United States does not suffer! wassat Probably because they do not knit their arms and legs by concluding long-term contracts? Are their promises to fill European markets with gas with the molecules of democracy just promises? hi
                1. Barberry25
                  Barberry25 15 October 2021 20: 33
                  0
                  Well, the Indians signed a contract for the supply of 40 million tons of coal .. about "bad long-term orders" .. ask the director of any plant what they would like .. and they will tell you .. that they would like to receive long-term contracts with pleasure, for this is stability .. and here is the "exchange" .. tomorrow the Americans will decide to play shale again and will start to twist the Europeans into the same place .. and as a result there will be a decrease in gas supplies, and so the Europeans will be obliged to fulfill the contract .. not to mention that " deploying the pipe to the East "is a very expensive pleasure ... and LNG works anyway ..
  • GKA72
    GKA72 14 October 2021 21: 45
    +2
    at the beginning of the 10s, I heard Karaulov say that Russia has XNUMX cents from one petrodollar. Apparently he spoke the truth and now nothing has changed.
  • Ross xnumx
    Ross xnumx 13 October 2021 15: 38
    +8
    Quote: paul3390
    Paying as little as possible, taking as much as possible is the main paradigm of our spiritually strong capitalist state.

    good
    I will not even add anything, except for those who disagree to draw attention to the dynamics of prices for goods and services. It would seem - salt ... In the spring "Uralochka" cost about 8 rubles, today - 15,10 ... Where is the price?
    1. paul3390
      paul3390 13 October 2021 15: 45
      +2
      The problem is that our type of elite gets the numerous nishtyaks it needs exclusively in the West, and therefore in dollars. After the infusion of tens of trillions of paper by the Central Banks of the main countries, inflation naturally accelerates. Well, where can these colossal sums go? Consequently - the usual high-end lifestyle demands more and more dollars. Stupidly raising the price tag will not work for Westerners - they will immediately hit on the grabbing paws. Colonies are not allowed that. So - you need to get your own somewhere else? And where, except in your own country? After all, the dollar rate is growing a little, in contrast to prices? This means that it took much more rubles to buy more dollars. Here they are fighting with us.
  • Sergej1972
    Sergej1972 13 October 2021 15: 18
    +6
    It would seem that we have a conservative-minded people. However, the system of non-cash payments in shopping centers and shops, in public transport is increasingly widespread. The feeling that sometimes people in line at the cash register start to look at those who pay in cash with irritation. I myself notice that I rarely use cash.
    1. Ross xnumx
      Ross xnumx 13 October 2021 15: 34
      +4
      Quote: Sergej1972
      The feeling that sometimes people in line at the cash register start to look at those who pay in cash with irritation.

      And sellers look at cash payments in a completely different way ...
      1. Sergej1972
        Sergej1972 13 October 2021 19: 27
        +3
        It depends on where. In the markets and in small stores, they prefer cash, in large shopping centers, sellers are a bastard, with non-cash it is even more convenient for them. But even in most small outlets, you can pay in cash.
    2. Andrey Moskvin
      Andrey Moskvin 13 October 2021 15: 47
      +9
      On the contrary, it pisses me off when a chicken puts down a cart of purchases and starts taking out a wallet, looking for a card, and then a discount card, but search for an application on the phone, but there is not enough on the card, and finishes cash. I would kill. laughing
      1. paul3390
        paul3390 13 October 2021 16: 00
        +7
        I never could understand why ladies can't get their wallets in advance? belay Instead of digging into knapsacks at the checkout .. what

        And also - the manner of the people is striking in the middle of the aisle in the most inconvenient places. Here in the subway the car stops - and on the platform opposite the doors in the middle there is a woman with bags and stabs at you with her eyes .. The question arises - and ??? What actions are expected of me? Should I go back to the carriage or what? How to get out? Also in stores, but in any narrow places. Such a feeling - these characters generally do not perceive the world around them except themselves. And they are very surprised to find a stranger in him that interferes with their comfort ..

        I think this is the result of constant pressure from advertising and other things, broadcasting from day to day that everything revolves only around you, beloved. After all, you are the one who deserves all the best. And the rest - you are simply obliged to provide a niggardly living ..
        1. Ross xnumx
          Ross xnumx 13 October 2021 17: 31
          +2
          Quote: Andrey Moskvin
          On the contrary, it pisses me off when a chicken puts down a cart of purchases, and starts taking out a wallet, looking for a card ...

          Quote: paul3390
          I never could understand why ladies can't get their wallets in advance?

          They are trying to pretend to be something special, but, in fact, this is posturing.
          There is a good example of what this can turn out to be:
  • From Tomsk
    From Tomsk 13 October 2021 15: 26
    +4
    Again, Russia is being shitty by the basurman,
    They are blinded by the greatness of Russia!
    They raised the price of cowards
    Probably, it is the British who are shitting -
    English mustaches stick out everywhere.
    1. VORON538
      VORON538 13 October 2021 15: 39
      0
      Alas, cowards are often "Made in China", and the ruble to the yuan has also weakened. It is not for nothing that the Chinese fled from our construction sites to the Far East. They are not fools, to work for pennies. For those working for export, the fall is profitable, the rest grit their teeth. Although, if you dig into whose benefit the HSE and other Gaidar-Chubaychians work, then Britain is generally visible. Moreover, the kids love to build their nests in London. There is no NKVD in Russia. ...
      1. Ross xnumx
        Ross xnumx 13 October 2021 17: 51
        -3
        Quote: VORON538
        No wonder the Chinese fled from our construction sites to the Far East.

        The Chinese fled from our construction sites for two reasons:
        The first. An incomprehensible technology of accelerated pouring of concrete in frosts can give very unexpected results, for which you have to answer.
        The second. The Government of the Russian Federation has leased 49 hectares of arable land (agricultural land) to the Far East for 115 years (just think !!!).
        For a more complete perception, I will try to translate this into understandable examples. This is only 1 km², or such a strip of ten kilometers in width with a length of 150 km. fellow Is it great? stop You can imagine this as the area of ​​almost one and a half cities in Volgograd ... Or about two squares of cities such as Voronezh, Kazan or Omsk ... More than two cities can be located on this territory, such as Novosibirsk, Samara, Chelyabinsk, Yekaterinburg and N. Novgorod ... There you can build three Krasnoyarsk, Rostov-on-Don ...
        And you say ran ...
        1. Ashes of Claes
          Ashes of Claes 13 October 2021 19: 37
          -5
          Quote: ROSS 42
          And you say ran ...

          Nothing, nothing, now let's start building
  • rocket757
    rocket757 13 October 2021 15: 39
    -1
    The ruble, this is understandable, it is ours, we are for it ...
    That sho is done by the top, financial and other matters ... how can we assess this if our life is not easy, and even the memories of our socialist past do not give rest !!!
    Accept, do not want to, but take it seriously and try to change our life for the better only ... in words, in general.
  • Zaurbek
    Zaurbek 13 October 2021 15: 55
    -1
    Covid is not needed for this. And so, every 5 years (if there are no shocks), the ruble is weakened by 20-30%. It makes no sense to keep savings in rubles for a long time. Or a mortgage or $$$ EEE
  • citizen
    citizen 13 October 2021 16: 11
    -3
    So what, baksu kirdyk?
    1. Ashes of Claes
      Ashes of Claes 13 October 2021 19: 38
      -4
      Quote: burger
      So what, baksu kirdyk?

      No. If there were a kirdyk, then there would be a video with Leontiev. He's in charge of kirdyk bucks. And indeed America.
      1. citizen
        citizen 13 October 2021 19: 41
        -3
        Yes, something has not been heard with prophecies for a long time.
  • fa2998
    fa2998 13 October 2021 19: 03
    -5
    Are you glad that the ruble has strengthened by 5%? But the goods that were imported cost $ 1 before, now $ 2. The cost has increased, carbon has grown immensely. But you will have to import your own. Now buy for two "cheap" bucks. wassat hi
  • KSVK
    KSVK 13 October 2021 19: 19
    +1
    Quote: paul3390
    The problem is...

    The problem is in the mediocre monetary policy of the state.
    Look, foreign currency is being transferred to the budget. These funds are used to issue the ruble stock. This is our top policy. Emission. Rubles are printed only for currency. And everything seems to be good. There are rubles and the currency that ensures their liquidity. But then the ass starts. Rubles (printed) are used to finance expenditure items of the budget. Those. get into circulation. But the currency, the currency does not go to the exchange. The currency replenishes the stabilization fund and is invested in the same treasuries. And as a result, the importer who sold the goods or the agricultural producer who took out a loan comes to the exchange to buy currency, but it is not there. And one needs to pay for a supply contract, and the other needs to buy seeds and fertilizers. As a result, we get the growth of the currency. And our “great economists” are starting to raise the refinancing rate. ... By depriving the manufacturer, builder, agricultural producer of available loans for development. And this is a very simplified diagram. In fact, everything is more complicated and sadder.
    That's what it was necessary to write about, dear Doctor of Economics. comrades, and not about expectations and evil stockbrokers dreaming of collapsing our "staple wooden".
    1. VasYok
      VasYok 14 October 2021 04: 54
      -3
      The problem is in the mediocre monetary policy of the state.

      And in the Pindo / Soviet colony it cannot be otherwise. Central Bank of the Russian Federation = US Federal Reserve
  • A. Privalov
    A. Privalov 13 October 2021 19: 20
    +2
    - How's the dollar?
    - Falls constantly.
    - And the ruble?
    - Lies to itself calmly.
  • hermit
    hermit 13 October 2021 20: 33
    -1
    Will fall. The question is: how fast?
  • Praetorian4
    Praetorian4 14 October 2021 21: 23
    0
    I'll leave it here, perhaps. Suddenly someone will be interested!
  • fif21
    fif21 15 October 2021 19: 34
    0
    Quote: Praetorian4
    I'll leave it here, perhaps. Suddenly someone will be interested!


    1980 salary 120 rubles (188s), dollar 64 kopecks
    2021 salary 20 rubles (000s), dollar 282 rubles
    To get away from the Papuans' economy, you need to sell your goods for rubles.
    Selling your goods for dollars, turning the dollar into a commodity, is the height of stupidity or work in the interests of another state, that is, treason. hi
  • Artashes
    Artashes 18 October 2021 16: 59
    0
    EVERYTHING IS EXACTLY! It is only necessary to "remember" that the revision of the monetary and financial policy is really possible with a comprehensive economic policy of the state, aimed, inter alia, at strengthening the national currency and a real decoupling from dollar dependence. Then the prices with tariffs will not change depending on foreign exchange. But then an interstate is also needed. a bloc within the framework of such a policy (like, for example, CMEA), so as not to find itself in a foreign exchange trade blockade. This was recommended by a meeting of 49 countries on options for such a bloc in Moscow, back in April 1952 - Stalin's last project, which for obvious reasons did not take place ...