Provocations and slander as a way of communication between the West and Russia
The West is in a state of collapse. The events that are taking place today have destroyed the harmonious system of the world, where the West was unambiguously the "advanced and most developed part" of humanity. Yes, and the rapidly growing economic and military power of China and Russia, the independent policy of these states, the unwillingness to march in a common column, have shaken the confidence of the Western countries in the strength and greatness of the United States.
If we consider the events of the last decade precisely from this point of view, a rather orderly chain of events is being built when this or that country, and not at all large and not at all rich, like North Korea, did not just spit in the face of the global West, it expelled a huge fleet from its territorial waters and really threatened NATO and US retaliatory actions.
History - the great science of the future. It is enough to recall the school course of this discipline in order to draw an interesting conclusion for yourself. Almost always, during periods of European crises, there was a campaign of Europeans to the East. It was not only Russia, it was the global East. But basically Europe was against us. Whoever is not in the Russian land. From knights to nazis. From almost all European nations and nationalities.
Again "Drang nach Osten"
Today anti-Russian forces have become more active in all "civilized countries".
Baltic States, Poland, Britain, Ukraine and many others. Our internal pro-Western forces also began to stir. Moreover, the demands on Russia are becoming more radical and impudent. Let us recall at least the recent demand of the NATO Secretary General that Russia "is obliged to speak more openly about its exercises and its army."
NATO openly declares its claims in the north, in the Barents Sea and on the Northern Sea Route. The voices of Polish politicians of various ranks about the return of Kaliningrad to Germany are heard loudly. On the Belarusian border, the confrontation is already threatening to turn into armed clashes. But the most important thing happens to the south. Ukraine, against the backdrop of a political, economic and moral crisis, wants a quick victory over the hated Russia.
Sometimes the question arises as to why us? Why not China?
Agree, despite the fact that it is the PRC that is winning the West economically today, the Chinese are under much less pressure than the Russian Federation. The reason, I think, is that, given that the likelihood of a retaliatory strike in the war with the PRC is an order of magnitude less, the West is simply not technically able to conduct a ground operation in this country. And the maritime borders are protected enough.
That is why, starting in 2014, the global NATO has been building up its military grouping in order to put pressure not on China, but on the Russian military grouping in the Far East. And that is precisely why the Russian Defense Ministry pays so much attention to the defense of these particular lines. The deployment of modern anti-ship missiles and air and missile defense systems came as an unpleasant surprise for the West.
Only now, let me remind readers of one elementary truth.
You cannot win by endlessly defending yourself. Especially in conditions when the enemy has a numerical, production and technical superiority. A modern victory cannot be “forged for years”. Even the most advanced and deadly weaponry comes to an end someday, and old and proven machine guns and Tanks.
It seems to me that today is the time to inform the most active "fighting cockerels" from neighboring states about their fate in the event of the outbreak of hostilities. Not to threaten, but to inform the population of these countries.
An instant and deadly response.
It is clear that no one will think about the fate of the civilian population in such a situation. As with President Putin - "the question will be about ... statehood." I would add - about the very political nation of the state.
Why NATO allows Ukraine to "shake the air" with screams
I have not written about the problem of the Black Sea region for a long time.
At the same time, he closely followed what was happening there. Strange, but unlike our military, the Russian man in the street is sure that the Black Sea is ours and all attempts of the West to somehow limit our influence on this sea are stopped by the Crimean group of the Aerospace Forces and the Black Sea Fleet.
We look at the speeches of the Ukrainian leader, we understand that the Ukrainians did not succeed in “forging a sword into a plow”, making a politician out of a clown. The stories about the traditional Ukrainian “soon” are already pretty boring and do not cause any emotions in the overwhelming majority of Russians. The little "napoleon" on the Odessa berth also has no effect on Moscow.
But then why the West is pushing Ukraine to create at least some fleet and confrontation with the Russian Federation?
It is clear that the rubbish that is sold to neighbors under the guise of warships and boats is not able to somehow change the situation at sea. It is clear that Kiev cannot produce at its own shipyards either. The industrial potential has been lost and it is no longer possible to restore it in the near future.
Alas, the Ukrainians have little interest in NATO. The years after the Maidan did their job. Instead of an independent state, a country appeared completely subordinate to the West. Not the United States, Berlin or Paris, but the West as a whole. Even unhappy little Estonia is an indisputable authority and "elder brother" or "sister" for Kiev today.
The Ukrainian president is just a talking doll. The words that we have heard many times are not the words of the President of Ukraine, but the voiced desire of the West.
Let me remind you of some of Zelensky's statements that have already been erased to holes. The Russians want to invade Ukraine from the west, from Transnistria. The Russian army is ready to attack from the territory of Belarus. LDNR is a springboard for an attack from the east. The grouping in Crimea will close the Sea of Azov for Ukraine. Putin turned the Black Sea into a Russian ...
As you can see, Zelensky's statements directly copy the statements of NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, numerous American generals and generals of European armies. Here is an explanation of why Ukrainian pearls, Ukrainian fascism, Ukrainian genocide based on language and much more are forgiven to Kiev. Why the West does not notice all this. They feed the biting dog too ...
Black Sea - NATO's zone of interests
In fact, Ukraine serves NATO today.
I'm not talking about the rhetoric of Kiev. And about the numerous exercises, reconnaissance flights of NATO aircraft along the borders of Russia, the insolence of sailors who forget the laws of the sea, or interpret them the way they need it in this situation.
What will happen to Ukraine in the future, it seems to me, no longer worries anyone. For the West, this territory is not interesting either from a military or from an economic point of view. For Russia, it is a hostile state. For China, it is a thief state.
But the Black Sea, its importance for macro-policy, is well understood in NATO.
First, despite the powerful grouping of troops in Crimea, the presence of NATO ships and aviation in the waters of the Black Sea strains us. Any military aircraft, even if it is far from our territorial waters, poses a serious threat to the security of Crimea. Modern weapon allows you to strike without even entering the air or sea space of the country.
Secondly, the ships in the Black Sea make it possible with a high probability, if necessary, to quickly destroy the Mediterranean NATO grouping. In fact, the Black Sea today is a territory that provides protection to Russian ships in the Mediterranean.
Thirdly, the presence of the Russian Black Sea Fleet does not allow high-quality provision of maritime logistics in a special period. The transports will simply be sunk at the entrance to the sea. This means that there will be no supplies of equipment and weapons to allied countries like Georgia.
Fourth, it is easy to influence the Middle East through the Black Sea basin. And the significance of this region in modern geopolitics is quite great.
“By controlling this (Black Sea. - Author's note) water area, the West will be able to influence the Middle East and the Mediterranean. And this, more importantly, will weaken Russia ”,
- NATO Deputy Secretary General Mirch Joana.
There is a confrontation between intelligence
The actual state of Russia-NATO relations in this region can be described as a "quiet war" of intelligence services.
It is clear that the radio intelligence of the Crimea and adjacent territorial waters is ongoing. It is clear that our counterintelligence officers are opposing this.
In general, all types of reconnaissance are used, but the most indicative in this respect are flights of reconnaissance aircraft. To use the terminology of the Second World War, this is reconnaissance in force. The reconnaissance plane approaches the territorial waters or the territory of Russia, the Russians "open fire", that is, they take the aircraft for escort.
In parallel, air defense systems are preparing to eliminate the possible threat of an attack and destroy missiles. And at this time, satellites record the locations of military installations and the time of deployment. That's all the mechanics. By the way, intelligence acts in about the same way when provocations of warships.
I will refer to the opinion of a military expert, Colonel, Corresponding Member of the Academy of Military Sciences Sergei Sudakov:
"For comparison: in 2019, NATO aircraft approached our borders in Crimea 270 times, and this year - more than 560 times. Their main task is to" copy "the anti-aircraft and anti-ship defense systems covering the coast."
If you carefully analyze the articles in the foreign press, it becomes noticeable that the main targets of the intelligence officers of Western countries are the systems that have recently been installed on the peninsula. Anti-ship coastal complexes "Ball" and "Bastion", anti-aircraft systems "Triumph" S-400 and S-300PM, electronic warfare systems.
If we take into account the fact that the intensity of provocations has grown greatly, we can say that at the moment the prevalence of victories is on the side of Russia. NATO is being forced to risk its ships and aircraft more and more often. Realizing at the same time that in the event of any "failure", Russia is ready to act quite tough.
Briefly about the future
The confrontation in the Black Sea will continue for a long time.
In any case, as long as modern Ukraine exists, with the anti-Russian rhetoric that is so popular there, the West, through the hands of NATO, will try in every possible way to weaken Russia in this particular region. The game of cat and mouse will continue.
At the same time, the tension today has reached such a level that both sides can easily move from provocations to a real clash. This danger must be understood and known about its existence. Of course, it is not beneficial to anyone to go to an open confrontation, but, as the latest provocation of the British destroyer Defender has shown, often the fate of the world depends on the decision of one person, who does not at all belong to the powerful of this world.
This means that it is necessary to strengthen our army and navy.
It is necessary to toughly respond to the challenges of the West. The time when we forgave abominations is over. You have to answer for the words. For deeds - and even more so. Our authorities began to realize that when the punks do not answer in a language she understands (with a crack, if in Russian), she begins to become impudent. And ultimately can turn you into nothing ...
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