The price revolution and the threat of a new Russian turmoil
Photo: IA "Version-Saratov"
Russian oligarch O. Deripaska said that V.V. Putin has carte blanche to govern Russia at least until 2030. However, the background of this strong statement is clearly negative. 2020 - Operation "pandemic", the global lockdown and the fall of almost all leading economies.
What marks the year 2021?
The pandemic continues, but there are already new threats - cyber terrorism and a price revolution of 200-300%. UN warns of widespread famine threat. The rich against the background of the "plague" have become even richer, the poor have become poorer, the middle class is being actively destroyed.
The crisis of capitalism
The hopes of people that the crisis is over are in vain. The crisis of capitalism and the entire current global system is only gaining momentum. It is flooded with money, continuing to inflate the bubble of the petrodollar system. When it bursts, the current problems will seem like flowers.
The economic and financial crisis is developing into a socio-political, civilizational and human crisis. In fact, the next stage of the crisis of capitalism began in the mid-1990s, the West was not saved even by the grandiose plundering of the USSR-Russia and most of the countries of the socialist camp. This robbery postponed the crisis, which was already brewing in the 70s and 80s, by only a few years. At the same time, the process of insane growth of stock markets began, on the whole it was a speculative growth. Stock market speculation has become the only source of income, and industry from the US and Europe is being transferred to the countries of the global South.
In 1997-1998, the first bell rang - the Asian financial crisis. Hooked on other countries, in particular, Russia. Since 2001, the West has organized a surrogate for world war - the fight against international terrorism, which in many respects spawned the Anglo-Saxon and allied intelligence services (Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, etc.). The economies of the leading powers are again flooded with money, and huge investments are being made in the military-industrial complex. Plus the robbery of Iraq, Afghanistan (oil, historical and cultural priceless treasures, etc.). Also, the Anglo-Saxons are creating an Afghan drug factory.
But the fundamental reasons are not resolved. In 2007-2008, the financial crisis erupted. The masters of the West are again flooding the economy with money, the Central Bank rates are almost zero. At the same time, they open the Middle East front of the fourth world war (the third world ended with the defeat of the USSR-Russia). "Arab spring". The defeat of Libya and the robbery of its assets. Wars in Yemen, Iraq and Syria. "Black Caliphate". A "funnel of chaos" has been created, into which not only the largest regional powers are involved, but also the world ones. In 2014, a front was created in Europe - the collapse of Ukraine, civil war. Russia is returning Crimea, but hesitates to challenge the West and return other Russian cities - Donetsk, Kharkov, Odessa and Kiev. A bleeding wound is formed, which poisons Ukraine, Russia and Europe to this day.
The old world begins to break down literally before our eyes. R. Erdogan is building a new Turkish empire, challenges Russia in the Caucasus, the Northern Black Sea region (including Crimea) and Central Asia. Turkish radicals draw maps on which the southern regions of Russia and Ukraine are included in the "Great Turan". The USA is in a fever. American society and elite are split. "Black revolution", whites are bought weapons and ammunition. The law enforcement system begins to break down: some cities and districts are controlled not by the authorities and the police, but in fact by gangs of blacks and left-wing radicals, anarchists. The collapse of the dollar system, which against the background of new records of the financial bubble can occur at any moment, will cause a split in America, confusion. Further, the disintegration of the United States into several state entities is possible.
2020 is a new stage in the global crisis (Great Depression - 2). Operation "virus". An infectious outbreak, for which there are standard protocols of action, with the help of information hysteria, the actions of the UN, WHO and the leading media, was turned into a T-virus from "Resident Evil". Collapsed the world's leading economies. Black Africa, which no one really needs (except for resources) and already at the required level of development - that is, at the bottom and does not rock the boat, continues to live as if there is no global pandemic. People die from pneumonia, flu, from the hands of bandits, under the wheels of cars, from cancer, alcohol, tobacco and drugs. No panic or lockdowns about this! At the same time, the operation "virus" was pre-tested on rabies of cows, swine, bird flu, etc. World pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical companies received huge profits and relevant experience.
New Babylon
Operation Pandemic did what a major war usually does — it threw the market back abruptly, and dealt a powerful blow to global infrastructure. For example, air travel, world tourism, the service sector. The middle class has been particularly hard hit. Someone has to pay for this holiday (war). Oligarchs and multimillionaires have become even richer, the middle class has shrunk and continues to shrink, ordinary people have become even more impoverished. The world is transforming into a global neo-slave-owning Babylon, with two main castes - the super-rich and the poor-slaves. In a new digital shell. Great writers have long warned about this: O. Huxley - "Brave New World", D. Orwell - "1984", Ivan Efremov - "Hour of the Bull."
In 2020-2021 a huge amount of money has been thrown into the world economy, it cannot be digested. Inflation and price revolution followed. As a result - a new impoverishment of people, the collapse of financial institutions and banks, new social explosions and the weakening of states. The UN warns of the threat of severe famine in many countries. Aggression and violence. The usual shelling of Israel literally triggers a flurry of missile attacks from both sides (on the horizon, a war between Israel and Iran). The border conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan over access to water almost triggers a war. The world is clearly overheated.
Price revolution
Russians are already facing a price revolution. The ruble has depreciated heavily in recent years. Salaries and pensions practically stand still. Foodstuffs, hygiene products, clothing, etc. are becoming more expensive. This is especially true for food. Shoes can be worn for several years, but you need to eat every day. This applies to almost all categories of expenses. The rise in prices for holidays in the Russian South - from 80 to 200%! A significant part of Russians are now deprived of the opportunity for traditional recreation - they have to choose between vacation, replacement (repair) of a car or renovation of their home. Cars have risen in price. Now almost any car is a luxury. Plus gasoline, spare parts. What happens to building materials? Lumber has risen in price in half a year 2 times, OSB board - 3 times, rolled metal - 2 times, roofing iron - 3 times, etc. Growth in almost all categories. Metal, wood, cement, insulation, varnishes, paints, goods for wiring electricity, tools and so on are becoming more expensive.
And the growth continues! So not only here, all over the world. So, around the world, food prices are growing at an unprecedented rate (it is not for nothing that WHO and the UN warn about the threat of hunger). In Russia, they keep up with global trends.
What is the reason for this process?
First, all the leading countries threw out an unprecedented amount of unsecured money during the pandemic. And the economy sank, production fell.
Secondly, the world dollar system began to crumble (the continuation of the crisis of capitalism), due to the unreasonable growth of indices and stocks inflated over the past decades by financial, mortgage and other bubbles. This is world inflation. The dollar (de facto the paper behind which the US military might stands) is now holding on to its word of honor, while it is still recognized as the world currency. But its collapse is already obvious. Large producers arrange a "feast during the plague", the inhabitants pay for the holiday.
Threat to Russia
Taking into account the fact that since the 90s we have been the raw material periphery of the countries of the “golden billion”, a “pipe”, we will be in great pain during the next stage of the Great Depression. The "civilized world" (the US and the EU) will try to throw most of the problems to the periphery. Latin America (crisis in Argentina, Venezuela, Brazil, etc.), the Middle East, South and Southeast Asia, and Russia. The West will try, at the expense of the resources of the rest of the world, to break through into a new technological structure, a new “wonderful world”. This breakthrough, as well as the ongoing hybrid (informational, irregular) war, will be paid for by the world middle class, which is being put under the knife, and countries and civilization states that are not part of the core of the Western metropolis.
So, the rapid rise in prices hits Russian Railways, large-scale construction projects, the reconstruction of the BAM, the military-industrial complex, the construction of a new Russian fleet, airfields, military camps, housing and many others. But the government is quiet. Although reasonable protectionism is quite obvious, as is the protection of their own market and citizens. However, such a step clearly breaks the financial and economic dependence of Russia on the West, which contradicts the entire course of the Russian leadership, which is entirely focused on the Western world.
This is a blow to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. These are not only programs for the rearmament and modernization of the Strategic Missile Forces, the Air Force, the Navy and the Army. But also the maintenance of the aircraft, including provisions, uniforms, fuel. Previously, the people's army was almost transformed into a mercenary army with a small number of conscripts. But such an army constantly needs to increase its salary, maintain it at a relatively high level, otherwise the flight of personnel to the civilian sphere (or even abroad) is inevitable. The same sphere includes the Ministry of Internal Affairs, Rosgvardia, FSB and other power structures. And the treasury will be empty.
Another threat is the growing discontent of the deep-seated people. Inflation in the context of a constant rise in the price of food, essential goods, medicines, loans, and the growth of utility tariffs will wash away the last money from the citizens of Russia. And the rich keep getting richer. According to the Russian version of Forbes, for the year of the pandemic (from March 2020 to March 2021), the cumulative fortune of Russian billionaires more than tripled by 207 billion, to a record 663 billion US dollars.
Also several hundred of the richest Russians own 40% of all financial assets owned by citizens of the country were assessed by the Boston Consulting Group. That's $ 640 billion. Russian billionaires have significantly multiplied their fortunes during the pandemic. Moreover, in terms of the uneven distribution of wealth, Russia is second only to the United States. That is, the rich redistribute national wealth in their favor at the expense of the rest. This is the key reason for the poverty of a quarter of the population of the Russian Federation and poverty of half (plus or minus). In fact, the Russian Federation belongs to several hundred of the richest families.
What will the government do while continuing the previous liberal course?
The Central Bank is again devaluing the ruble to ensure the interests of big capital. The authorities need budget revenues from the sale of raw materials and need to reduce the internal price and costs. That is, the people will continue to be poor. The "people - new oil" policy will continue. There will be a response as well. While the "TV" is still winning. But young people and the middle generation are already on the Internet, and opposition sentiments are in the lead there. The "refrigerator" makes a request in society, but the "TV" can no longer answer. You can't lie endlessly.
Therefore, carte blanche from Deripaska until 2030 is highly doubtful. Propaganda will lose out to the decline in consumption and the welfare of the people. As you know, action is equal to reaction. The alienation between the people and the elite will grow. With a simultaneous increase in the external threat. We'll get a 1917 or 1991 script. A conspiracy of the elite is bound to mature. Migration, interethnic and criminal problems will be added to the economic problems. Also the class (caste) hatred of the poor towards the rich. Thus, the tangle of problems is getting worse and worse, and there is less and less time. Sooner or later, quantity will turn into quality, and we will again get confusion. The West will try to solve its problems through a new plunder and collapse of Russia.
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