Military Review

"The cost of the Russian invasion will be very high": the Greek press considers the conflict between the Russian Federation and Ukraine unlikely

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The recent deployment of 80 Russian troops on the border with Ukraine has raised heightened international concern about the potential threat of war. But is it worth fearing?


This question was asked in the Greek press. As the Army Now columnist points out, “in recent years, publications have not been interested in the hostilities in Donbass,” until their recent intensification. According to the author, Russia may agree to further exacerbate the situation for several reasons.

First, after the election of Joe Biden as president of the United States, a deterioration in relations between Moscow and Washington was expected:

Russia's actions in eastern Ukraine are a way to prove its sovereignty.

Secondly, recently the topic of Ukraine's accession to NATO has been raised again:

While this is unlikely in the near future, Moscow intends to demonstrate categorical opposition.

Third, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has stepped up efforts since February last year to reduce the influence of pro-Russian politicians and oligarchic forces in Ukraine:

This is evidenced by the repression against Viktor Medvedchuk, one of the leaders of the opposition and a close friend of Putin.

Fourth, Moscow has not yet been able to solve the problems with the water supply of Crimea, which it promised to do by the summer of 2021. Over the years of the blockade, according to the author, Russia has already had to spend $ 23 billion.

Fifth, Turkey has increased its support for Ukraine, in particular, it has installed drones there, which have proven themselves in Nagorno-Karabakh. Ankara's growing influence worries Russia.

However, despite escalating tensions and a full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine, a new conflict remains unlikely. The cost of a Russian intervention like the one in Crimea will be very high, especially in the run-up to the decisive Duma elections this September.

- says the Greek observer, not expecting the escalation of the conflict.

At the same time, in his words, in the event of a war, the West does not intend to provide military support to Ukraine:

The same thing happened when Russia invaded Crimea in 2014. So Kiev will have to cope with this on its own.

39 comments
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  1. Thrifty
    Thrifty April 20 2021 05: 37
    +25
    The Greeks would have to solve their problems, and not climb into a row with their face shape! Experts are divorced, there is nowhere to spit so that such a home-grown "expert" does not inadvertently fall! !!
    1. skif8013
      skif8013 April 20 2021 05: 45
      +9
      Quote: Thrifty
      The Greeks would have to solve their problems, and not climb into a row with their face shape! Experts are divorced, there is nowhere to spit so that such a home-grown "expert" does not inadvertently fall! !!

      I completely agree with you, there are almost more experts than our troops on the border with Ukraine.
      1. Civil
        Civil April 20 2021 07: 14
        -6


        The Ukrainian-Russian conflict is in the stage of exacerbation.
      2. Vladimir Mashkov
        Vladimir Mashkov April 21 2021 18: 36
        +3
        If this supposedly expert dolbo ... woodpecker is so poorly versed in what is happening in / in Ukraine, then what can a simple average Greek know? Just what they hang on his ears and blow into them!
    2. Murmur 55
      Murmur 55 April 20 2021 05: 48
      +8
      Greetings, they once tried with Tsipras at the head, but adult uncles and aunts quickly pointed out to them their place in E.S.
    3. Vladimir_2U
      Vladimir_2U April 20 2021 05: 51
      +11
      Quote: Thrifty
      The Greeks would have to solve their problems, and not climb into a row with their face shape!


      And why should we climb into Ukraine? It is enough to hit the headquarters, camps and battle formations with words about the protection of Russian citizens from a terrorist state.
      1. Barberry25
        Barberry25 April 20 2021 21: 11
        +2
        Everything depends on the development of events: The gradation is as follows:
        1) After receiving help from Russia, the corps inflict damage to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and so it all ends
        2) If the Corps are unable to inflict damage to the Armed Forces, then the "volunteers and the North Wind" may come up.
        3) In the event of an aggravation, and most importantly, the closure of SP-2 due to sanctions and accusations of Russia, then nothing is holding back Russia in terms of not only crushing the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but also taking control of significant territories through the "anti-Bandera uprising" to Kharkov-Dnepr-Kherson-Nikolaev-Odessa-Zakharovka ... Like all the same sanctions will be .. why not boo?
      2. smart ass
        smart ass April 21 2021 10: 24
        0
        Yeah, more tornadoes and hailstones to clean up the front at the border)) so as not to shoot
    4. prior
      prior April 20 2021 07: 45
      +7
      Once there was such a "booze", the embassies of countries that do not recognize Crimea - to drive a nasty broom from Russia.
      If the choice of the people of Crimea is nothing for them, if the historical belonging of Crimea to Russia is "zero" for them, what should they do in Russia.
      To the exit ! angry am
    5. Azzzwer
      Azzzwer April 21 2021 13: 29
      -2
      Greeks are not advised to you
  2. Murmur 55
    Murmur 55 April 20 2021 05: 46
    +7
    One more "experts", but RF does not need a war at hand not "small victorious" not large-scale. We need silence and peace. And so that Europe and the United States remember that we are not their six.
  3. O. Bender
    O. Bender April 20 2021 05: 52
    +5
    It remains only for chinstrap penguins to make a statement about Russia's aggression. Each flea is eager to bite a bear.
    1. NDR-791
      NDR-791 April 20 2021 06: 10
      +4
      Quote: O. Bender
      Where are these?

      You see, you see, they sighed more freely that Turkey directed the vector to the extreme, but seemed to have forgotten about Cyprus laughing ... They are bored without Turkish arrivals, but this is a fixable thing.
  4. Strashila
    Strashila April 20 2021 05: 53
    +2
    I think now, unlike 2014, when Ukraine shelled the territory of Russia, it will be answered all the way to the Dnieper.
    1. Xnumx vis
      Xnumx vis April 20 2021 07: 52
      +1
      Quote: Strashila
      I think now, unlike 2014, when Ukraine shelled the territory of Russia, it will be answered all the way to the Dnieper.

      You need to answer to the city of Chop. Because, as it is necessary to push the probable location of NATO beyond the borders of the former USSR. The center is covered by the Carpathians, the marshes in Polesie in the north and the Danube in the south ... And let the Greeks deal with the Turks in Cyprus ... The Turks will take away Crete ...
  5. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 April 20 2021 06: 09
    +6
    It seems correct that the Greek media lists the factors in which Russia can respond to Ukraine, and in its face the United States. But at the same time he draws his own conclusions about the impossibility of a military solution, which he bases solely on
    The cost of Russian intervention, like the one in Crimea, will be very high
    At the same time, the word "intervention" sounds and the duty officer "high price" copied from the Americans, which will have to be paid. Who should I pay? Maybe in this case, the Greeks should analyze their price, which they paid to the Turks and the "almighty" NATO, which did not even put in a word in support of Greece?
    1. tihonmarine
      tihonmarine April 20 2021 07: 49
      +1
      Quote: rotmistr60
      Maybe in this case, the Greeks should analyze their price, which they paid to the Turks and the "almighty" NATO,

      And how the European Union "lowered" them by 200 billion euros.
  6. bukhach
    bukhach April 20 2021 06: 13
    -1
    This is what it means to proceed from the initially incorrect premises, you can fantasize the devil! Why did this Ukraine surrender to us with all its quirks, but no one knows what to expect from it, sick in the head, and although the United States keeps it, for the time being , on a leash, but there are cases when the chain dogs break off and only extreme measures help here, and the Greek fool interpreted the reasonable precaution of Russia in his own way, in a European way.
  7. taiga2018
    taiga2018 April 20 2021 06: 14
    +4
    Yes, Russia is not going to invade, at least the first one, and the West understands this perfectly well, and all this screeching is just an attempt to keep us from providing military assistance to the Donbass republics and to give freedom of action to Ukraine ... By the way, they hardly hide this, but otherwise they would have called on the Ukrainian leadership to withdraw its troops and gave at least tiny guarantees of the security of the DPR and LPR ... Although from the example of Yanukovych we know what their guarantees are worth ...
  8. Aleksandr1971
    Aleksandr1971 April 20 2021 06: 18
    +3
    Quote: Vladimir_2U
    Quote: Thrifty
    The Greeks would have to solve their problems, and not climb into a row with their face shape!


    And why should we climb into Ukraine? It is enough to hit the headquarters, camps and battle formations with words about the protection of Russian citizens from a terrorist state.


    Totally agree with you.

    Ukraine has only 125 aircraft. Air defense - everything was built before 1991 and there was no modernization. Therefore, the aviation and air defense of Ukraine will cease to exist in the first hours of the conflict. A ground operation against Ukraine is not really needed if the Ukrainians do not go to the attack on Donbass. Therefore, it will be possible to pressurize Ukraine from the air, as the Americans once repressed Iraq, and the French and British - Libya.

    I am sure that in the event of a tough air press, in 2-3 months, signs of state administration will disappear in Ukraine, transport, pension, social and medical support will disappear and all production activities will cease. For statehood can exist only as long as surplus value is created (see the classics of Marxism). We must stop creating surplus value in Ukraine. This will guarantee that Ukraine will not join NATO.
    1. Egoza
      Egoza April 20 2021 06: 47
      +3
      Quote: Aleksandr1971
      We must stop creating surplus value in Ukraine. This will guarantee that Ukraine will not join NATO.

      How to say! Here, and the IMF can hurry up if the owner says; "give them" It's another matter if pensions stop paying. Here the old ladies (there are practically no grandfathers) are forks in their hands and will go to smash both the administration and the president himself
      1. Reptiloid
        Reptiloid April 20 2021 07: 51
        +5
        .......pensions will cease ...
        no matter how the population is drugged with propaganda, I do not want to increase the hardships for them.
        Maybe better like the Americans? Which killed Suleimani in a targeted manner.
        True, the list will be long ...
  9. Holuay T.O
    Holuay T.O April 20 2021 06: 32
    +3
    It won't get any worse. There is nothing to spoil, everything is spoiled. War will solve many problems.
  10. Putnik119
    Putnik119 April 20 2021 06: 56
    +1
    Ankara did not increase anything, except for the sale of all kinds of rubbish. That's all the support. And the invasion of Ukraine, of course, is very undesirable. We'll have to feed the "surrendered in an unequal struggle" again. Nafig-nafig. Let the West continue to do this. As with Georgia. True, I had to walk there. But they quickly left.
    1. Reptiloid
      Reptiloid April 20 2021 07: 42
      0
      ...... very undesirable .....
      Certainly undesirable. Only, according to the words, it happened a long time ago. The piglet also talked about this more than once.
  11. alekc75
    alekc75 April 20 2021 07: 12
    0
    what is buckwheat crowing there ??? they can not cover themselves-became experts ??
  12. Machete
    Machete April 20 2021 07: 12
    0
    These all downright iksperds live at the beginning of the 20th century.
    They think that they are now fighting with Mosin rifles and stupidly climb onto tanks.
    The war in Syria teaches these idiots nothing.
    With full military superiority in the air and at sea, no soldier will go on the attack until there is almost nothing alive on the ground.
    What a great price, ay?
    1. Sergey Grishechkin
      Sergey Grishechkin April 21 2021 16: 37
      0
      In the 21st century, war is shifting to "remote" - striking at the centers of decision-making. And then the healthy forces of this country themselves will carry out a sweep of the remaining Nazis. And no tank armada and infantry masses. It's all left in the 20th century ...
  13. Aleksandr1971
    Aleksandr1971 April 20 2021 10: 38
    0
    Quote: Machete
    These all downright iksperds live at the beginning of the 20th century.
    They think that they are now fighting with Mosin rifles and stupidly climb onto tanks.
    The war in Syria teaches these idiots nothing.
    With full military superiority in the air and at sea, no soldier will go on the attack until there is almost nothing alive on the ground.
    What a great price, ay?


    It is necessary to fight with Ukraine not with tanks, but with aerial bombs and cruise missiles.
    In Ukraine, aviation and air defense are laughable to chickens. Their aviation and air defense can be eliminated in less than a day.
    After that, the Ukrainians must be ironed from the air, just as the Americans ironed the Iraqis in 1991 and 2003.

    The cost of the war for Russia is that for some time the ruble will fall below the plinth. But only for a while. But the hryvnia self-destructs like demons in the film about Ivan Vasilyevich. And the main price for Russia is that Ukraine will not join NATO.
  14. iouris
    iouris April 20 2021 11: 23
    +1
    "The cost of an invasion" is one thing, and the cost of defending state interests is another thing.
    As for the price: the Greeks are not experts in this matter, they repeat the well-known mantras of the Nazi death battalions.
  15. Zaurbek
    Zaurbek April 20 2021 11: 34
    +1
    Nobody wants to fight.
    It's just that the leadership of the Russian Federation indicated (and, most importantly, itself accepted) that if the Ukrainians start a war, the Russian Federation will intervene. The management understands that the next step (this is one of the US goals) will receive the next package of sanctions from the EU (SP-2, etc.) and switch off SWIFT. Therefore, they designated about the "loss of statehood and territories." So that something could compensate for the losses from the imposed sanctions.
    The West thought and (apparently) the uncontrolled transfer of Ukrainian lands to the Russian Federation is not included in their plans. So they quieted down.
    1. iouris
      iouris April 20 2021 11: 44
      0
      How do you know the plans of the parties in such detail?
      1. Zaurbek
        Zaurbek April 20 2021 11: 48
        0
        no where ..... I read the press and follow the rhetoric. And I compare it with past events.
        1. iouris
          iouris April 20 2021 12: 01
          0
          If you follow the rhetoric, then Russian tankers are already drinking coffee in Paris. And in fact...
          Real politics is built around cash flows. And money loves dead silence.
  16. dranthqu
    dranthqu April 20 2021 11: 59
    0
    Whom to fight? Why fight? In Ukraine, nuclear power plants generate more than half of the electricity. This nuclear power plant has 10-15 years left, new ones are not being built and there is nothing. Completion of the SP-2. And, preferably, SP-3. As a result, the energy sector and industry will be zero there. And why fight this? What to feed then?
    1. iouris
      iouris April 20 2021 13: 53
      0
      Neither the Russian Federation nor Ukraine are subjects. You cannot fight, and you cannot not fight. Finita la comedy.
  17. faterdom
    faterdom April 20 2021 16: 33
    +1
    The Greek does not know that when the Russians are at war, the price is not important, the result is important.
    It is the Americans who have been fighting for decades, the price is considerable, and the result is good, if not zero.
    However, since Greece is in NATO, we wish him not to know this, let them try to figure it out with the Turks.
  18. Prisoner
    Prisoner April 21 2021 09: 50
    0
    Did this country give the world Aristotle, Socrates, Democritus, Demosthenes at the end ?! what I can’t even believe it.
  19. Vladimir_65
    Vladimir_65 14 May 2021 07: 14
    0
    How many heroics are there in the comments ... "In a couple of hours, in a week, in a couple of months, women with pitchforks, the locals will finish them off" ... They got excited .. It's not even funny. The first question is: "Do we need it?" A herd of eternally dissatisfied freeloaders on the neck and territory, of which (thanks to the supreme and his state fool. Type - the General Staff) and at home we can’t master? The second question: where did you get the idea that the West is just waiting for a war between the Russian Federation and non-profit? Putin said? Does anyone believe him? As far as is known, the West is struggling to resume gas supplies through Ukraine. Well, they know how to count money. They do not care about the natives from the high bell tower. They understand that it is more profitable to receive fuel through the existing gas pipeline, and not through the semi-mythical SP-2. Do they need a complete destruction of the gas pipeline? There are not all such "smart guys" as in our kryuml. There the people will ask the full program for every penny from any senator. Well, and the third question: why did everyone get so belligerently excited by the words of some Greek? Which no one to call - no way?