Asian press: US troop withdrawal from Afghanistan in the first stage will lead to an increase in threats to China

Experts express their assumptions about how the situation in Asia could change if the United States withdraws its military contingent from Afghanistan. Recall that Washington's deal with the Taliban terrorist group (an organization banned in the Russian Federation) implies the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan by May of this year. However, the US states that "they are unlikely to be in time by this time, as there are logistical difficulties."

If the United States withdraws its troops from Afghanistan, then, according to some experts in Asia itself, the risks in relation to China will increase. So, the Hong Kong edition of SCMP writes that these risks may be associated with the traffic of ISIS militants (* a terrorist organization banned in the Russian Federation) to the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China, from where many of them at one time came to Afghanistan.

The article notes that today one terrorist group (Taliban) suppresses another terrorist group (ISIS) in Afghanistan. After the withdrawal of American troops, the situation may boil down to the fact that the Taliban will begin to become more active in the country. In turn, for the ISIS * ethnic Uyghurs, this may lead to the need to return to China due to the increasing risk of being annihilated.

From the article:

At the first stage, this will lead to an increase in threats to China. Since an additional hotbed of instability will arise in Xinjiang.

But the same publication indicates that the Chinese authorities in the long term "can benefit from the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan", since "in Afghanistan, they can show restraint towards the Uighurs, who are considered oppressed by the PRC government." It is indicated that the Uyghur groups may remain on Afghan territory or return there after a while, which "will ease the situation for Beijing."

Recall that a few days ago, the head of the State Department, Anthony Blinken, accused China of "violating the rights of residents of Xinjiang and Hong Kong." In response, Chinese diplomats advised that human rights be respected in the United States itself.

Comments

[svp67]

The article notes that today one terrorist group (Taliban) suppresses another terrorist group (ISIS) in Afghanistan. After the withdrawal of American troops, the situation may boil down to the fact that the Taliban will begin to become more active in the country. In turn, for the ISIS * ethnic Uyghurs, this may lead to the need to return to China due to the increasing risk of being annihilated.

It turns out that the Americans in Afghanistan are protecting ISIS from the Taliban ...

[LiSiCyn]

Quote: svp67

It turns out that the Americans in Afghanistan are protecting ISIS from the Taliban ...

Greetings
And there is! When they (Daesh) were squeezed in Deir ez Zor, the striped ones were taken away by helicopters and there were rumors that they were taken to Afghanistan ...
And how, they protect!

[rocket757]

China used to cope with the problem of the Uyghurs, why shouldn't it cope now ... moreover, in the areas of compact residence of the Uyghurs, the economic situation is noticeably improving!
In general, we will see who and to whom will "pull the chuch" and where.

[Humpty]

To threaten something, wild Uyghurs still need to be able to return. Illegally unlikely. Therefore, the Chinese are quite capable of organizing a meeting. And the camp for professional training and political education does not shine, they will not get off easily.

[LiSiCyn]

Welcome

They can go in mountains, but that's all ... There will be no supplies, there is no opportunity to go to the "plain" either.
There is an opinion that the Uighurs will not even try, because they do not shine, from the word at all ... Support is falling, because China has finally begun the development of the region. I mean, at the same pace and with the investment of funds no less than in more loyal regions.

[Humpty]

Quote: LiSiCyn

They can go in mountains, but that's all ... There will be no supplies, there is no opportunity to go to the "plain" either.

The Chinese have everything built up there along the border. Villages, garrisons, posts, dams, shops, subscription shepherds, police department, mine, regular buses, etc. The committee members back and forth whack-whack, there are posts past which informals cannot pass by, in particular a post in Geza. In Tashkurgan, suspicious individuals are also checked by cops.

[Humpty]

I also recommend taking vodka (cognac, rum) with you from home, from Kashgar to the Pakistani border there are only two proven pits. The prices for the usual names are unpleasantly surprising, the Chinese swill is cruel, although Chinese wines are quite good, but also expensive. Do not take beer on the road, pack it in Kashgar, two packs. Use bottled water. There is unsanitary conditions - spontaneous dumps at water sources, this is a struggle.

[knn54]

The departure of the Yankees will lead to chaos. Not knowing all their agreements with the Taliban, I would venture to assume that the chaos will be manageable. Nearby Iran, China, Central Asia. Tension at the borders of these countries will only play into the hands of the United States. You can influence through Pakistan and India.

[Alexander Betonkin]

The Americans will leave, others will stay. For example, the army of Mongolia.

Mongolia is also taking part in a NATO non-combat mission in Afghanistan, codenamed Resolute Support. Mongolian military secures NATO base in Mazar-i-Sharif

[Old school]

China squeezes out pindo ... owls from the region with the hands of the Taliban