Military Review

Why does Joe Biden "unfold" the ruble

141

Let me be wrong



By all indications, our pessimistic forecasts for the March ruble began to come true (Spring forecast: the ruble as a March hare). After a protracted but very gradual decline in the exchange rates of Russian money, a serious ruble pullback took place in the outgoing week.

So, already on Wednesday, March 17, our national currency fell against the dollar to almost 74 rubles, against the euro - to more than 88. It's still a long way to the marks outlined by your authors, but the trend is not the most positive. So why is Biden "turning" the ruble ...

In general, it would be quite good at the end of March to admit our serious mistake, and at the same time to take for granted the enviable stability in domestic finances. However, alas, too strong dependence of the ruble on external factors dictates otherwise.

However, in fact, this very dependence is not at all in the ruble, but in our economic community in the executive branch, whose decisions are regularly approved by the legislative branch by a qualified majority.

Although this, in fact, is no longer an addiction, but a psychological readiness to be addicted, which is covered by the words about

"Deep integration into the world market"

and the need

"Keep government reserves in reliable and highly liquid assets."

And this kind of passages regularly fit into all the fundamental financial documents of the country, up to the federal budget. So it looks like we will have to make mistakes in our predictions in the future.

Although it is not yet evening - that is, not even April 1.

Is weakness strong?


The reason for the weakness of the ruble is known - these are new US sanctions, backed up by a tough statement from the State Department. It is said to the whole world that Russia is on the list of countries with which exports and imports are completely prohibited. weapons and defense services.

It is difficult to say exactly how the arms embargo affects the global ruble underestimation. But only the lazy is not talking about her today. However, the domestic Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank regularly reiterate their commitment to the undervalued exchange rate.

Nevertheless, the whole mass of benefits that this brings does not negate the fact that a weak ruble, as before, poses a threat to financial stability and directly stimulates a decrease in the well-being of citizens. As usual, the rich get richer, the poor get poorer.

The pandemic, alas, only spurred on such an unpleasant trend. The ruble is primarily affected by the export of oil and gas. Exports of defense products and food, of which it is now customary to be so proud, make a very insignificant contribution to Russia's foreign exchange earnings.

The sanctions hit just the oil and gas industry. And the pressure on Nord Stream 2 is caused precisely by this. And by no means a desire to promote American LNG to the European market. And not even the problems of Ukraine and its doomed transit.

At the bottom or below the waterline


The advantage of military and agricultural exports is that they are not controlled by state sanctioners. Therefore, the United States is playing against a competitor primarily by sanctions on the national debt. But there we have everything and so "at the bottom", as in Gorky.

Therefore, it cannot be ruled out that after a local rollback, the ruble will again slowly but surely creep up. Unless, of course, the Bank of Russia goes to the next issue, which, in fact, is really fraught with a jump in inflation.

It is no coincidence that in the past few weeks there have been regular reports of a possible increase in the discount rate, or rather, as it is now customary to call it, the key rate of the Bank of Russia. And supposedly this will be done just to prevent price increases.

In fact, prices, due to the higher rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, no matter how far from the real credit life, can only rise. Another thing is that the potential for their growth is now constrained by the main thing - the strongest decline in consumer growth in recent years.

And you have to add to this the fact that the overwhelming majority of the population is now left with a record low, for the entire era of the rule of Yeltsin's successors, financial reserves.

Divorce or matchmaking?


The new batch of sanctions is more like shooting at sparrows than any of the previous ones. Now, if Russia began to shut off oil and gas taps, which is being done in reality, but somehow sluggishly, it would be serious.

But even in this case, it would not be as difficult to find solutions as it might seem - dealers, on whom no sanctions apply, are in abundance all over the world. In addition, we must not forget that Russia is one of the key players in the series of OPEC + deals.



To exclude someone from such a supercontract just at the whim of the owner of the White House, no matter how eccentric they turn out to be, is something beyond the realm of fantasy. If even because of Iran, Europe almost divorced the United States, right down to collecting toys from the sandbox, then do not even try to force her to “go big” on Russia.

We will not tire of repeating - almost seven years of sanctions, which are more and more harsh every year, have led to only one thing - to a real economic decoupling of Russia from the United States and the EU. External signs and solid, in spite of everything, the turnover of mutual trade of this fact in no way cancel.

One gets the impression that literally everyone (on both sides of the border) has words at odds with deeds, as if it should be so. We seem to be pointing at the door, but we are at the window, or rather, at the chimney. Both oil and gas.

We (more precisely, those of us who have less material problems than most) almost shout -

"We don't need you"

but they themselves are ready to bow down, only to be considered as their own.

It remains to be noted that at the beginning of 2021, the ruble was something of an exception among world currencies. He grew steadily and consistently. And it seemed to grow on oil, although the growing oil did not push up all the other "raw" currencies.

And after all, then literally all others fell to the dollar - not otherwise than being frightened of the coming to power of Democrats - supporters of "financiers" (and not "realists", like Donald Trump personally, the poor fellow, banned on Twitter). And by no means Republicans in their mass.
Author:
Photos used:
Facebook / Joe Biden
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  1. Don karleone
    Don karleone 22 March 2021 15: 03
    +1
    You give me money, give me rubles .... And that dollars are not money. "kf Deja vu
    1. Civil
      Civil 22 March 2021 15: 07
      +6
      Why does Joe Biden turn the ruble

      Because it can.
      It remains to be noted that at the beginning of 2021, the ruble was something of an exception among world currencies.

      How many years did he fall before?
      We seem to be pointing at the door, but we are at the window, or rather, at the chimney. Both oil and gas.


      The place is indicated - the supplier of raw materials.
      1. Mitroha
        Mitroha 22 March 2021 15: 31
        +35
        No analytics, no analysis of cause and effect. The article is just about nothing. A set of standard phrases and templates loved by liberals.
        1. vitvit123
          vitvit123 22 March 2021 15: 59
          +25
          Article nonsense nonsense .. looked from November to mid-December, the ruble was getting stronger, then to this day it is being drawn within two rubles .. this article was written by a person who needs a hype.
          Although, as a citizen of my country, I certainly want a strong and stable currency. So that the purchasing power of the ruble is higher. So that people receive a salary that will suit them (utopia), etc. etc .... but the article is stupid.
          1. Clear
            Clear 22 March 2021 16: 33
            +8
            Quote: vitvit123
            The article is nonsense .... but the article is stupid.

            I, too, in the article agree only with this wording
            in fact, the very dependence is not at all in the ruble, but in our economic community in the executive branch,
            1. vitvit123
              vitvit123 22 March 2021 17: 05
              +3
              As for the economic get-together ..., in my opinion, everything is not so simple there, so I also cannot agree with you. Some points do not fit into this theory ..
            2. Krasnodar
              Krasnodar 23 March 2021 06: 48
              +4
              in fact, the very dependence is not at all in the ruble, but in our economic community in the executive branch,

              No, oil is down - the ruble is behind it.
              Should the economic community ensure the safety of business in this country?
              An economic get-together can increase the profitability of a business (by abolishing a 40% tax on salaries, for example), but cannot increase its safety.
              Accordingly, despite the fact that it is already more profitable to produce in the Russian Federation than in China, our production is deeply in the area of ​​specialization of proctologists.
              Well, the ruble is an indicator of the general situation.
          2. aleksandroff
            aleksandroff 23 March 2021 15: 13
            0
            the salary of people will never suit. According to psychology, any person in two or three months, the salary will no longer be an incentive to work. It is necessary to know for a long time
        2. Rubi0
          Rubi0 22 March 2021 16: 04
          +3
          Precisely noticed, a set of narratives that have been broadcast for 30 years. Why is the export of gas and oil touted as something wild? The states shove their gas into Europe in every possible way and do not complex, they pump oil more than Saudi Arabia and are even proud of it in Texas. They squeezed China to buy 25% of the grain from them and also do not complex. And so for each group, the states are, if not in 3, then in the 5 largest producers of almost everything, and hold on to this, why don't you liberals talk about this, or do you know that the next stage for the Russian Federation will be export records of non-primary goods, which is slowly is already happening as with the same polymers, and therefore it is necessary to make it ashamed in advance?
        3. xorek
          xorek 22 March 2021 18: 36
          0
          Quote: Mitroha
          No analytics, no analysis of cause and effect. The article is just about nothing. A set of standard phrases and templates loved by liberals.

          I agree, they are scaring again, etc. .. Again the wave has gone that they will disconnect from the world swift system, etc. .We are scared in Russia and more than once in our history. We will break through this time too
        4. Kent0001
          Kent0001 23 March 2021 10: 44
          +6
          Agree: a set of stamps. Article for the sake of article.
      2. lis-ik
        lis-ik 22 March 2021 19: 06
        -4
        Quote: Civil
        The place is indicated - the supplier of raw materials.

        Here, many believe that the power of the Russian Federation is growing.
        1. Mitroha
          Mitroha 22 March 2021 19: 19
          -3
          Quote: lis-ik
          Here, many believe that the power of the Russian Federation is growing.

          But a specific person doubts it negative
          1. lis-ik
            lis-ik 22 March 2021 19: 59
            0
            Quote: Mitroha
            Quote: lis-ik
            Here, many believe that the power of the Russian Federation is growing.

            But a specific person doubts it negative

            Give an example of growth. Is the economy growing? Or authority in the international arena? Maybe everything is in order with the social sector and the welfare of Russian citizens is growing and expanding in general? Maybe we are ahead of the rest of the world in medicine and technology? Where is the power !?
            1. Tank hard
              Tank hard 22 March 2021 21: 35
              -5
              Quote: lis-ik
              Give an example of growth. Is the economy growing?

              And who's economy is growing in the world?
              Quote: lis-ik
              Or authority in the international arena?

              It is definitely growing. Even Pompeo said phi towards the can ...
              Quote: lis-ik
              Maybe everything is in order with the social sector and the welfare of Russian citizens is growing and expanding in general?

              And for those who grow and expand their prosperity, proofs are desirable.
              Quote: lis-ik
              Maybe we are ahead of the rest of the world in medicine and technology?

              Just compare the AstraZeneca and Sputnik V vaccines here. Or the Sputnik V vaccine, EpiVacCrown of fiction? If so, then a reasoned answer from you with proofs.
              Quote: lis-ik
              Where is the power !?

              And what is power and why do you personally need it ?! Well-being is more important to me personally.
    2. Sofa batyr
      Sofa batyr 22 March 2021 15: 09
      +1
      Quote: Don Karleone
      You give me money, give me rubles ... And that dollars are not money. "kf Deja vu


      No, paper ...

      Half a century without gold. For the anniversary of the abolition of the gold standard
      March 18 2021

      https://topwar.ru/180932-polveka-bez-zolota-k-jubileju-otmeny-zolotogo-standarta.html
      1. Ilya-spb
        Ilya-spb 22 March 2021 15: 31
        -4
        So far, Biden has fallen, not the ruble.
        1. Clear
          Clear 22 March 2021 16: 35
          +2
          Quote: Ilya-spb
          So far, Biden has fallen, not the ruble.

          By the way, on three steps Biden fell - three times yes
    3. Nikolaevich I
      Nikolaevich I 23 March 2021 06: 25
      0
      Quote: Don Karleone
      You give me money, give me rubles ...

      Give me rubles ... but more, more! fellow
  2. rocket757
    rocket757 22 March 2021 15: 05
    +3
    However, in fact, this very dependence is not at all in the ruble, but in our economic community in the executive branch, whose decisions are regularly approved by the legislative branch by a qualified majority.

    There are also objective reasons, but at the moment they are just not the main ones, if they play at all.
    And so, in a simple way ... the elite does not suffer from all this very much! and the skills of those who should, are not very much noticeable.
    1. Clear
      Clear 22 March 2021 16: 37
      +6
      Quote: rocket757
      However, in fact, this very dependence is not at all in the ruble, but in our economic community in the executive branch, whose decisions are regularly approved by the legislative branch by a qualified majority.

      There are also objective reasons, but at the moment they are just not the main ones, if they play at all.
      And so, in a simple way ... the elite does not suffer from all this very much! and the skills of those who should, are not very much noticeable.

      And why should they suffer a lot if they find 500 million rubles each in cash at home? (search at the Penza governor on Sunday)
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 22 March 2021 18: 44
        +5
        It just so happens that the rich Buratinov stick out their wealth and feed the whole crowd, looking at which everyone else pulls ... pulls not only swearing.
        All this is public, impudent, and they also decided that the law was not written for them !!!
        All this is not good.
        1. Clear
          Clear 22 March 2021 19: 00
          +3
          Quote: rocket757
          All this is public, impudent, and they also decided that the law was not written for them !!!

          The court gave the four defendants the opportunity to think, in a calm atmosphere, until May 20.
      2. Monster_Fat
        Monster_Fat 22 March 2021 19: 15
        -2
        In fact, real (real, and not sucked out of the finger by Rosstat) inflation is an indicator of the true ruble exchange rate. When they say that the ruble is "undervalued", they simply lie. The Central Bank draws rates according to its wishes, and the real exchange rate of the ruble is determined only by its purchasing power in stores. unrelated processes, frankly lie. The real exchange rate of the ruble, judging by its purchasing power now, is approximately 120 rubles per dollar.
        1. rocket757
          rocket757 22 March 2021 20: 40
          0
          Who cares, course, not course. The level of salaries, pensions, social benefits, i.e. purchasing power of the population. This is the indicator that worries everyone who lives from salary to ... evenings, for example.
          They mixed sour with hot, and many have lower wages, low. How to live here?
          To look for a part-time job, teachers and others, state employees ... and workers, many, like cunning officials and others, are offered ...
        2. your1970
          your1970 22 March 2021 23: 54
          +1
          Quote: Monster_Fat
          The real exchange rate of the ruble, judging by its purchasing power now, is approximately 120 rubles per dollar.

          Based on what product and where is it - did you deduce such a figure?
  3. Uncle lee
    Uncle lee 22 March 2021 15: 05
    +16
    the rich get richer, the poor get poorer.
    And where is Biden ...
    1. nnm
      nnm 22 March 2021 15: 09
      +10
      Quite right, colleague. You might think that oil has collapsed to $ 20, that someone forbids our Central Bank intervention, or introduce an obligation to sell foreign currency for exporters. But no, even foreign exchange control over foreign trade operations is being weakened. Or was it Biden who raised the Central Bank's key rate? So, no questions to Biden at all ...
      1. NEOZ
        NEOZ 22 March 2021 15: 22
        -15%
        Quote: nnm
        You might think that oil has crashed to $ 20

        Explain how the oil price is tied to the ruble exchange rate? if you can .....
        1. nnm
          nnm 22 March 2021 15: 37
          +7
          Colleague, you won't believe it, but I can do it very easily. If your budget revenues are formed from the estimated oil price of $ 10 per barrel, then if it falls below this level, it is quite understandable (in the absence of other sources of deficit replenishment) to lower the ruble exchange rate to the level of reaching the balance. But here everything is completely different - the price of oil is falling, it is growing - it does not matter, the exchange rates of the leading world currencies against the ruble are always growing.
          1. NEOZ
            NEOZ 22 March 2021 15: 47
            -11%
            Quote: nnm
            But here everything is completely different - the price of oil is falling, it is growing - it does not matter, the exchange rates of the leading world currencies against the ruble are always growing.

            Quote: nnm
            Colleague, you won't believe it, but I can do it very easily.

            Well, what did you explain?
            how does oil affect budgeting?
            How does the price of oil affect the exchange rate?
            ps
            it seems that you do not understand what you are writing about ...

            I ask you to explain from a scientific point of view how the cost of oil affects the ruble exchange rate?
        2. nnm
          nnm 22 March 2021 15: 53
          +9
          Colleague, sorry, I just answered this question today, so I'll just copy:
          "Not quite so, colleague. Yes, the ruble is deliberately undervalued, but for the opposite reason - it is profitable to export our gas and oil workers. Conditionally, they sold 1 bar of oil at a rate of 10 rubles per dollar and received (conditionally) 10 rubles in the budget (I am now exaggerating), and at the rate of 100 rubles per dollar, they sold the same 1 bar of oil, but received already $ 100. It seems that nothing has changed in production volumes, and the budget received 10 times more funds. How we grow, how we pay pensions and wages on time. ”And everyone is absolutely indifferent that the purchasing power of the population itself is decreasing, and before an imported TV set for $ 1 cost 10 rubles, but now it is 100 rubles, and salaries and pensions have been raised by a few kopecks. This, in general, is not interesting to anyone "
          1. NEOZ
            NEOZ 22 March 2021 15: 58
            -15%
            Quote: nnm
            I just answered this question today, so I'll just copy:

            in other words, you cannot explain how the ruble exchange rate is related to oil prices ...
            1. Stas157
              Stas157 23 March 2021 06: 38
              +1
              Quote: NEOZ
              in other words, You can not explain how the ruble exchange rate is related to oil prices ...

              Budget rule study it (10 minutes), then you will immediately understand the dependence of the ruble exchange rate and the oil rate. This correlation has already been laid down by our Ministry of Finance.

              The downsides to you, for your ignorance, are quite reasonable.
              1. NEOZ
                NEOZ 23 March 2021 21: 58
                -1
                Quote: Stas157
                Study the budget rule (10 minutes), then you will immediately understand the dependence of the ruble exchange rate and the oil rate.

                studied .... there is no information on the change in the exchange rate in relation to the price of oil ...
                once you got into the dialogue, then you answer:
                - what is the relationship between oil prices and the ruble exchange rate?
                1. Stas157
                  Stas157 24 March 2021 09: 37
                  +1
                  Quote: NEOZ
                  studied .... there is no information on the change in the exchange rate in relation to the price of oil ...

                  Hard case! In that case, I can't help you with anything.

                  Quote: NEOZ
                  what is the relationship between oil prices and the ruble exchange rate?

                  That is why the budget rule was introduced in order to smooth out the influence of the oil price on the ruble exchange rate. it designated purpose this rule, which directly indicates that the ruble exchange rate depends on the oil price.
                  1. NEOZ
                    NEOZ 24 March 2021 12: 01
                    +1
                    Quote: Stas157
                    That is why the budget rule was introduced in order to smooth out the influence of oil prices on the ruble exchange rate.

                    where did you get this?
                    The budget rule is a mechanism for reducing the dependence of the federal budget and internal economic conditions on energy prices for resource-based countries by sterilizing oil and gas budget revenues and accumulating sovereign funds !!!!!!!
                    no ruble exchange rate !!!!!
                    there is no !!!!!!
                  2. NEOZ
                    NEOZ 24 March 2021 12: 04
                    +1
                    Quote: Stas157
                    Hard case! In that case, I can't help you with anything.

                    just send a link to the document where:
                    Quote: Stas157
                    That is why the budget rule was introduced in order to smooth out the influence of oil prices on the ruble exchange rate. This is the designated purpose of this rule, which directly indicates that the ruble exchange rate depends on the price of oil.
                    1. Stas157
                      Stas157 24 March 2021 14: 51
                      +1
                      Quote: NEOZ
                      just send a link to the document where:

                      You hammer into a search engine: Budget rule and the ruble-to-dollar exchange rate

                      And you just have a bunch of articles on this topic flying out.
                      1. NEOZ
                        NEOZ 24 March 2021 15: 09
                        +1
                        Quote: Stas157
                        And you just have a bunch of articles on this topic flying out.

                        these sites say the following:
                        The publications posted in this section of the site are for informational purposes only, the information presented in them is not a guarantee and / or a promise of efficiency (return on investment) in the future. The information in the articles expresses only the opinion of the author (collective of authors) on a particular issue and cannot be considered as a direct guide to action or as an official position / recommendation. The administration is not responsible for the use of information contained in the publications, as well as for possible losses from any transactions with assets made on the basis of the data contained in the publications. 18 + ..........

                        So much for the whole "scientific" work .......
                      2. Stas157
                        Stas157 24 March 2021 15: 11
                        0
                        Quote: NEOZ
                        these sites say the following:

                        Do you think everyone is lying?
                      3. NEOZ
                        NEOZ 24 March 2021 15: 39
                        0
                        Quote: Stas157
                        Do you think everyone is lying?

                        Yes, I believe that they lie to us about oil and the ruble exchange rate.
                        why i think so:
                        because I was taught that scientific knowledge must be confirmed by practice (reality).
                        and the thesis of the oil-ruble exchange rate does not agree with the global practice !!!!
                        1. from an economic point of view, oil is a special case of exchange exports.
                        2.I have not heard about critical exports from non-resource countries (Ukraine is a prime example)
                        3. If we proceed from the surplus of the trade balance, then the world is quite the opposite! the exchange rate is growing in countries with a trade deficit (Western countries) !!!!!
                        Conclusion: they lie to us about macroeconomics and world trade.
                        ps
                        We also see lies when discussing a high standard of living in Western countries ...
                        theses: the West has high labor productivity, Germany / Korea / Japan / Singapore and others are an economic miracle caused by economic reforms and high-quality human resources.
                        and so on.....
                        PPP
                        there is also no sounding of the true reason for Germany's attack on the USSR .... very often we hear about Hitler, who attacked because he is a universal evil.

                        ppps
                        I think that this was done on purpose ... in order for the population of the colony to live in illusions and proceed from erroneous postulates - which will lead to erroneous decisions ...
          2. NEOZ
            NEOZ 23 March 2021 22: 01
            +1
            Quote: Stas157
            The downsides to you, for your ignorance, are quite reasonable.

            yes yes, there was one "ignoramus", they burned at the stake ... Giordano Bruno was called ...
      2. NEOZ
        NEOZ 22 March 2021 15: 59
        -12%
        Quote: nnm
        And everyone is absolutely indifferent to the fact that the purchasing power of the population itself is decreasing.

        can you confirm the statistics of the year since 2000?
        1. nnm
          nnm 22 March 2021 16: 03
          0
          Colleague, I don’t understand what you are leading to? Do you think the monetary policy is correct - ok, no problem - your right, your opinion; think that our real, disposable incomes are growing - no problem. But maybe you should just go out and talk to the people?
          1. NEOZ
            NEOZ 22 March 2021 16: 15
            -6
            Quote: nnm
            Colleague, I don’t understand what you are leading to?

            to the fact that you do not understand what you write about !!!!
            if you claim that the ruble exchange rate depends on oil prices, but cannot explain why! then all your other statements, perhaps, come only from your attitude .... not based on scientific knowledge !!!!!
            1. nnm
              nnm 22 March 2021 16: 18
              +2
              Okay, okay ... the oil rate does not affect the ruble in your understanding, and let it not. Go on and on, living in a raw-material-exporting economy, count. No problem. Completely your right.
          2. NEOZ
            NEOZ 22 March 2021 16: 20
            -9
            Quote: nnm
            Do you think the monetary policy is correct - ok, no problem - your right, your opinion

            I don’t know if she’s good or bad! I'm not good at it !!!!!
            Quote: nnm
            think that our real, disposable incomes are growing - no problem.

            it's easy to check by looking at the statistics .... you can look at it too, by the way!
            Quote: nnm
            But maybe you should just go out and talk to the people?

            and what can the people on the street tell me?
            1. nnm
              nnm 22 March 2021 16: 32
              +2
              Quote: NEOZ
              I don’t know if she’s good or bad! I'm not good at it !!!!!

              Colleague, then maybe you shouldn't comment on this topic?

              Quote: NEOZ
              it's easy to check by looking at the statistics .... you can look at it too, by the way!

              https://rosinfostat.ru/pokupatelskaya-sposobnost/ Ну....давайте посмотрим))))

              Quote: NEOZ
              and what can the people on the street tell me?

              I'm guessing something like this:
              1. NEOZ
                NEOZ 23 March 2021 12: 34
                +1
                Quote: nnm
                Colleague, then maybe you shouldn't comment on this topic?

                so you comment on it, not me !!!!
                accordingly, from your words it follows that you understand it !!!!!!!!
                let me ask you, on what basis do you think so?
                what competencies do you have?
                1. nnm
                  nnm 23 March 2021 13: 04
                  -2
                  Colleague, well, after all, my answer to this question is absolutely not important to you. You just want not to listen to your interlocutor, to learn something new in a non-core area for yourself, but simply to breed demagoguery based on your own inner opinion. Suppose conditionally (or not wink ), I will answer you - two specialized higher educations, a Ph.D. degree, CFA, CIA certificates, many years of practical experience on a specialized topic, etc. And how would the conditional list of "competencies" change in your opinion? I am sure that nothing at all.
                  And I will note that this is correct - the level of a person's knowledge is determined not by pieces of paper and regalia. "A serious face is not yet a sign of intelligence." But the point is different, when I am not an expert in some topic, even if I have my own opinion, I first listen to specialists, read the materiel, and only then I can try to oppose, and then I will be extremely attentive to the answers and objections to my arguments ... And when you just argue, because YOU are sure that you are never mistaken in anything, then this is nothing more than a "killing" of time that does not carry any payload for either side.
                  1. NEOZ
                    NEOZ 23 March 2021 22: 40
                    +1
                    Quote: nnm
                    Well, after all, my answer to this question is absolutely not important to you.

                    this is your speculation !!!! and a reason not to answer the question, by the way!
                    Quote: nnm
                    You just want not to listen to the interlocutor

                    This is again speculation !!!! and a reason .....
                    Quote: nnm
                    many years of practical work experience on a specialized topic, etc.

                    which, however, cannot explain how the exchange rate is related to oil prices ...
                    Quote: nnm
                    And I will note that this is correct - the level of a person's knowledge is determined not by pieces of paper and regalia.

                    of course "pieces of paper" !!!!! if you think so, then the opinion of an uneducated bum-shouter of slogans will be more convincing than a quiet professor !!!
                    Quote: nnm
                    And when you just argue, because YOU are sure that you are never mistaken in anything, then this is nothing more than a "killing" of time that does not carry any payload for either side.

                    I do not argue with you, I ask you to confirm your words from a scientific point of view!
                    for
                    Quote: nnm
                    two specialized higher educations, a Ph.D. degree, CFA, CIA certificates, many years of practical work experience on a specialized topic

                    it shouldn't be difficult !!!!!!
                    ps
                    it seems that you do not have those regalia that you mentioned ...
                    indirect confirmation is your opinion that
                    Quote: nnm
                    the level of knowledge of a person is not determined by pieces of paper and regalia
                    , thereby convincing yourself that you are as competent as the person with the credentials you mentioned!
      3. Mitroha
        Mitroha 22 March 2021 16: 04
        -4
        We recently at work, for the sake of interest, counted our "always growing gasoline", as everyone on the internet likes to say. So it turns out that now 1 liter of the 92nd, to the cost of 2014, has fallen in price by 25%. since, taking into account the cost, $ should now cost around 69 rubles.
        Who is not lazy can calculate themselves, knowing the ruble exchange rate and the cost of gasoline for March 2014 and now
        1. nnm
          nnm 22 March 2021 16: 08
          +3
          Colleague, do not explain, where does the dollar exchange rate against domestic products? No, I understand, the use of investments in the purchase of technologies and the like, but you must agree that the main share in the cost price is only in ruble expenses - salary, taxes, etc. This time. And second - did you forget to compare the dynamics of the growth of the dollar exchange rate and the average wage in dollars?
          1. Mitroha
            Mitroha 22 March 2021 16: 16
            -1
            So, dear, we live in the era of capitalism. And no capitalist will sell a product cheaper in his own country if it is more expensive abroad. Unfortunately, we do not have capitalist patriots.
            1. nnm
              nnm 22 March 2021 16: 20
              +2
              Woooot, and now the question is - given the fact that we receive salaries not the same as in importing countries and the largest oil companies under the control of the state (nominally), why are we tied to external prices?
          2. Mitroha
            Mitroha 22 March 2021 16: 19
            -2
            Quote: nnm
            And second - did you forget to compare the dynamics of the growth of the dollar exchange rate and the average wage in dollars?

            And here is the dynamics when it comes to the final price compared at the rate day to day. About the dynamics of wages .... to whose wages should I be attached? Well, no need to talk about the average ... Well, in fact, an adult is like hi
            1. nnm
              nnm 22 March 2021 16: 36
              +4
              Uh, no, colleague .... since you yourself started comparing with the dollar exchange rate, then it would be more correct to do this: convert your salary in 2014 into dollars, convert gasoline to dollars and see how many percent of your salary you paid for 1 liter. gasoline. And you do the same for 2021. And then you compare these percentages. And then you get a very one-sided calculation - here you take into account the dollar exchange rate, but here it is no longer. This is not how calculations are made. All indicators must be both comparable and objective.
        2. 2 Level Advisor
          2 Level Advisor 22 March 2021 16: 15
          0
          Alex, oil in 2014 cost over a hundred, and now it is 60. decreased by 40 percent, and benz by 25% as you say ..
  4. clerk
    clerk 22 March 2021 15: 24
    -3
    ... You might think that oil has collapsed to $ 20, that someone forbids our Central Bank intervention, or introduce an obligation to sell foreign currency for exporters.
    There are no technical problems to raise the ruble exchange rate to 45-50 rubles per dollar. But the coin has two sides. The problem is that with such a ruble exchange rate, the revenues of the Russian budget will collapse sharply and the sharply cheaper imports will very quickly kill all import substitution.
    1. nnm
      nnm 22 March 2021 15: 38
      0
      And who said about 45-50? We need an optimal and economically objective course. And not when, that oil falls, that grows, and the rate in any case climbs up.
      1. Svarog
        Svarog 22 March 2021 15: 46
        0
        Quote: nnm
        We need an optimal and economically objective course.

        According to the Bik Mac index, the dollar should be worth 24 rubles.
        1. nnm
          nnm 22 March 2021 15: 56
          +3
          Well, to be honest, I don't understand the validity of these indices. They, it seems to me, are extremely subjective and do not take into account, at least:
          - the degree of localization of production;
          - the number of seats per population unit;
          - presence of competitors;
          - the degree of marginality;
          - the length of the check;
          - tax systems;
          - etc
        2. forty-eighth
          forty-eighth 22 March 2021 16: 09
          +1
          Count the yuan on this index and be horrified.
          I also propose to introduce a "steak index in" El Gaucho "- after all, it is so objective and representative to calculate exchange rates according to price tags in a restaurant.
          1. nnm
            nnm 22 March 2021 17: 23
            +4
            And here the phrase "this is different !!!" is very suitable. China is dropping the yuan for exactly the opposite reason - so that investments would go to them, and we - so as not to develop our production through investments, but simply to fill the budget through raw materials exports.
            1. NEOZ
              NEOZ 23 March 2021 22: 46
              0
              Quote: nnm
              so that investments would go to them

              what kind of investments are we talking about?
      2. NEOZ
        NEOZ 22 March 2021 15: 50
        -6
        Quote: nnm
        And not when, that oil falls, that grows, and the rate in any case climbs up.

        this means that the ruble exchange rate does not depend on oil prices !!!!!!!!
        which contradicts your statement above !!!
        1. nnm
          nnm 22 March 2021 15: 59
          +1
          Forgive me, colleague, but this says something completely different - that an intensive rather than an extensive option of filling the budget has been chosen. And it is not I who contradict economic science, but our government wanted to spit on it.
          1. NEOZ
            NEOZ 22 March 2021 16: 02
            -7
            Quote: nnm
            And it is not I who contradict economic science, but our government wanted to spit on it.

            power can abolish economic laws ??? and it can cancel gravity ???
            ps
            1. nnm
              nnm 22 March 2021 16: 10
              -1
              Colleague, you will forgive me, but I propose to end our dialogue on this topic at this point. Thank you for your opinion and for your answers.
            2. parma
              parma 23 March 2021 11: 14
              0
              Quote: NEOZ
              Quote: nnm
              And it is not I who contradict economic science, but our government wanted to spit on it.

              power can abolish economic laws ??? and it can cancel gravity ???
              ps


              https://topwar.ru/178094-o-dedollarizacii-bjudzhete-rf-nefti-i-gaze.html

              Read here, where it is described in detail how a very significant part of budget revenues is tied to the dollar exchange rate, and of course what this leads to, namely, “Suppose the price of a barrel of oil was 65 US dollars at a rate of 60 rubles to the ruble, and the average coefficient of production - 400 rubles. In this case, the price ratio will be just over 11,49. And the amount of MET per ton of oil is 10 rubles.

              Now let's imagine that oil on the world market has fallen in price by almost a third - to $ 45 per barrel. In this case, the price ratio drops to 6,9. And with a constant dollar exchange rate, the amount of MET per ton of oil will be only 7 rubles.

              In other words, a drop in world prices by 30,7% will cause a reduction in our MET by almost 37,2%. It turns out a theater of absurdity - our budget depends on world oil prices more than the world market itself! "
      3. clerk
        clerk 22 March 2021 17: 05
        -1
        ... And who said about 45-50? An optimal and economically objective course is needed. And not when, that oil falls, that grows, and the rate in any case climbs up.
        Name the numbers "optimal and economically objective" (in your understanding) course.
        1. nnm
          nnm 22 March 2021 17: 14
          -1
          They cannot be named simply from the head. They must be accurately calculated. You need to know the currency control policy, the key rate, export forecasts, forecasts for the price of oil, forecasts for the dynamics of excise taxes, taxes, the use of additional revenues from the same oil, calculate the coefficient of multiplication, etc. That is, the one who tells you that the real dollar exchange rate - 50 or 10 rubles - is just a balabol and a populist. Several calculation options are required in order to determine the most effective rate for the budget, economy, population, exporters.
          1. clerk
            clerk 22 March 2021 18: 04
            -3
            ... You might think that oil has collapsed to $ 20, that someone forbids our Central Bank intervention, or introduce an obligation to sell foreign currency for exporters. But no, even foreign exchange control over foreign trade operations is being weakened.
            They must be accurately calculated. You need to know the currency control policy, the key rate, export forecasts, forecasts for the price of oil, forecasts for the dynamics of excise taxes, taxes, the use of additional revenues from the same oil, calculate the coefficient of multiplication, etc. That is, the one who tells you that the real dollar exchange rate - 50 or 10 rubles - is just a balabol and a populist. Several calculation options are required in order to determine the most effective rate for the budget, economy, population, exporters.
            I do not quite understand - can you give the "Figures of the" optimal and economically objective "(in your understanding) course" or not?
            1. nnm
              nnm 22 March 2021 19: 26
              +1
              Again, I'm not doing vanging. This value is the result of comparing several variants of calculations made on the basis of a huge amount of data, including forecasts. This is how I would ask you - name the fair price of 1 kWh of electricity. And you could do it without having a huge amount of data and calculations at hand? But calculating the cost of 1 kW * h is much easier than a reasonable, real ruble exchange rate.
              1. clerk
                clerk 22 March 2021 23: 11
                0
                ... This is how I would ask you - name the fair price of 1 kWh of electricity
                I do not know what a "fair price" is
    2. A.K.
      A.K. 22 March 2021 16: 06
      +1
      Well, sort of like the import that we notice, it is prohibited for import (sanctions)
      1. clerk
        clerk 22 March 2021 17: 15
        -4
        ... Well, sort of like the import that we notice, it is prohibited for import (sanctions)
        In addition to the import prohibited by anti-sanctions, there is another one, which also needs to be "import substituted".
    3. Yura
      Yura 22 March 2021 16: 51
      0
      Quote: clerk
      The problem is that with such a ruble exchange rate, the revenues of the Russian budget will collapse sharply and

      Here, I would like to see your arguments, just to understand what you mean.
      Quote: clerk
      and a sharply cheaper import will very quickly kill all import substitution.

      Here too. Again for the same. I have questions, I have an objection.
      1. clerk
        clerk 22 March 2021 17: 29
        0
        The problem is that with such a ruble exchange rate, the revenues of the Russian budget will collapse sharply and /////

        Here, I would like to see your arguments, just to understand what you mean ..
        ... “The law stipulates that the average price of Urals oil exported by Russia will be $ 45,3 per barrel in 2021 and $ 46,6–47,5 in 2022–2023. At the same time, the document itself was drawn up based on the Urals cost of $ 43,3 in 2021 laid down according to the budgetary rule. All income above this level will go to the National Wealth Fund (NWF). In 2019, Russian oil cost an average of $ 63,8 per barrel, and in 2020 - only $ 41,8, according to the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade in early September. " (from).
        and a sharply cheaper import will very quickly kill all import substitution.

        Here too. Again for the same. I have questions, I have an objection.
        I would like to study your objections with interest.
        1. Yura
          Yura 22 March 2021 19: 32
          0
          Quote: clerk
          I would like to study your objections with interest.

          According to the first quote concerning budget revenues, everything is logical and so it is, but not to the critical extent in which you see it. As an example, albeit very crude, but illustrative - a rise in the price of the ruble by two times, for example, increases the purchasing power of not only the population of the country, but in general all enterprises, the state, due to an increase in trade turnover, will buy and sell more products, and yes, imported ones too. Accordingly, incomes will increase and the risks you are talking about will be leveled, if not quite then in most of them. Now, with regards to imports, what do you mean can happen, firstly, if all sanctions against our country and our reciprocal ones are lifted, secondly, imports from Europe will no longer be as global as they were ten years ago, because that the supply of many goods and products has already been taken by other suppliers, ours and foreign ones, who will not just give up the markets that have already become their own. Protective, protectionist duties and other measures are also a tool that should be used, carefully, of course, but if necessary, then there is nothing to be ashamed of. This I hastily and messy wrote to you, in several approaches. Holidays are now and all the grandchildren have come to visit me, I now have a small insane asylum, which I am not glad about. In general, the topic is big and there are so many people here and there are so many opinions. hi
          1. clerk
            clerk 22 March 2021 23: 01
            -1
            ... As an example, albeit very crude, but illustrative - a rise in the price of the ruble by two times, for example, increases the purchasing power of not only the population of the country, but in general all enterprises, the state, due to an increase in trade turnover, will buy and sell more products, and yes, imported ones too.
            The rise in price of the ruble against the dollar by itself will not affect the purchasing power of the ruble within the country in any way. Yes, imports will rise sharply and prices will fall, but this will not last long - until the local producer goes bankrupt. Passed in the early 90s.
            ... Accordingly, incomes will increase and the risks you are talking about will be leveled, if not quite then in most of them.
            ... Why should income grow?
            ... imports from Europe, for example, will no longer be as global as it was ten years ago, because the supply of many goods and products is already taken by other suppliers, ours and foreign ones, who will not just give up the markets that have already become their own
            ... They are easy to take away - first, a local producer goes bankrupt by dumping, then a foreign one takes its place and prices rise again.
  5. Uncle lee
    Uncle lee 22 March 2021 15: 32
    -1
    Quote: nnm
    no questions for Biden ...

    Who has questions ... No answers!
  6. Mitroha
    Mitroha 22 March 2021 15: 34
    +2
    After the baiden insult to Putin and new sanctions, the ruble sank by 4%. So what does biden have to do with
    1. New Year day
      New Year day 22 March 2021 15: 46
      -4
      Quote: Mitroha
      After Biden insulted Putin, and new sanctions, the ruble sank by 4%

      That's it!
      1. Mitroha
        Mitroha 22 March 2021 16: 09
        +1
        Quote: Silvestr
        Quote: Mitroha
        After Biden insulted Putin, and new sanctions, the ruble sank by 4%

        That's it!

        What exactly? The fact that currencies are also dependent on not only economic factors, like stocks, is normal, the market is the same.
        1. New Year day
          New Year day 22 March 2021 16: 42
          -5
          Quote: Mitroha
          What exactly? The fact that currencies also depend on not only economic factors

          Exactly! Politics, every word of any president affects the currency
  • Sofa batyr
    Sofa batyr 22 March 2021 15: 14
    +9
    Quote: Uncle Lee
    And where is Biden ...




    With each fall of J. Biden, our national currency will fall.

    So Wang said. And if she didn’t speak, then she thought.
    1. Uncle lee
      Uncle lee 22 March 2021 15: 31
      +2
      Quote: Divan-batyr
      With each fall of J. Biden, our national currency will fall.

      Crutches to Biden! In the studio! sad
      1. Mitroha
        Mitroha 22 March 2021 15: 39
        -1
        Quote: Uncle Lee
        Crutches to Biden! In the studio!

        Yes, cut off your legs to hell, and there will be nowhere to fall laughing
        1. Uncle lee
          Uncle lee 22 March 2021 15: 40
          +1
          Quote: Mitroha
          Yes, cut off your legs

          A very radical solution! Our Central Bank will not agree to this! No.
          1. Mitroha
            Mitroha 22 March 2021 16: 10
            -2
            Then turn to MO, they have better with Faberge laughing
            1. Overlock
              Overlock 23 March 2021 01: 02
              +17
              Quote: Mitroha
              Then turn to MO, they have better with Faberge

              Are you sure about this? Faberge they all have the same laughing
      2. New Year day
        New Year day 22 March 2021 15: 46
        -3
        Quote: Uncle Lee
        Crutches to Biden! In the studio

        Then you need to take care of it!
  • Svarog
    Svarog 22 March 2021 15: 41
    -4
    Quote: Uncle Lee
    the rich get richer, the poor get poorer.
    And where is Biden ...

    Well ... with the same ... that the fifth column, enemies, Ukraine, the United States ... in general, the whole distracting set ... from the hands of a magician ... who is so skillful that he managed to make a poor population in the richest country ...
  • rocket757
    rocket757 22 March 2021 18: 46
    0
    Who else is to blame ???
    Is it really our rich Pinocchio ??? who are, as it were, elite, the salt of the Russian land?
  • Woodman
    Woodman 22 March 2021 15: 20
    +2
    All these exchange rates have little to do with reality. To a large extent, these are just political and stock speculations. Especially since the pegging of currencies to the gold equivalent was canceled.
    1. Mitroha
      Mitroha 22 March 2021 15: 36
      +1
      Quote: Lesovik
      All these exchange rates have little to do with reality. To a large extent, these are just political and stock speculations.

      I totally agree, colleague. But, nevertheless, we somehow depend on it
  • knn54
    knn54 22 March 2021 15: 21
    0
    Stop imports of wood for paper in the United States.
  • tralflot1832
    tralflot1832 22 March 2021 15: 25
    0
    And what has the muhamor got to do with it? The dollar is sausage to other currencies.
  • bandabas
    bandabas 22 March 2021 15: 26
    +3
    Cool. Only our guarantor persistently convinces that we live in rubles. Only prices in rubles are growing well for everything.
  • The comment was deleted.
  • Svarog
    Svarog 22 March 2021 15: 38
    +4
    So it looks like we will have to make mistakes in our predictions in the future.

    Over the entire 30-year history of capitalism, the dollar has only strengthened against the ruble .. the ruble is constantly depreciating .. and you do not need to be a great specialist to understand why this is happening. And there is not even a single hint that something will change ..
    1. gsev
      gsev 22 March 2021 15: 46
      -7
      Quote: Svarog
      Over the entire 30-year history of capitalism, the dollar has only strengthened against the ruble .. the ruble is constantly depreciating .. and you do not need to be a great specialist to understand why this is happening. And there is not even a single hint that something will change ..

      As far as I know, the Armenian diaspora in Russia threw about 300 billion rubles to Pashinyan to wage the November war with Azerbaijan. I don't think that Azerbaijanis then acted less patriotically towards their native state, army and people. However, the ruble did not drop much as a result. What currency in the world could withstand such a blow? Surely the United States made attempts at this time to wreak havoc in Russian finances, taking advantage of this opportunity.
      1. Svarog
        Svarog 22 March 2021 15: 48
        +3
        Quote: gsev
        What currency in the world could withstand such a blow? Surely the United States made attempts at this time to wreak havoc in Russian finances, taking advantage of this opportunity.

        The blow is not holding the currency .. but the population .. Do you see what is happening with the prices?
      2. Kronos
        Kronos 23 March 2021 13: 03
        0
        For a dollar of 300 billion, this would be a trifle.
        1. gsev
          gsev 23 March 2021 18: 55
          0
          Quote: Kronos
          For a dollar of 300 billion, this would be a trifle.

          Half of this amount would be enough for Ukraine to pay off all government debts.
  • Mitroha
    Mitroha 22 March 2021 15: 41
    -7
    Quote: bandabas
    Only our guarantor persistently convinces that we live in rubles

    The ruble is the monetary unit of the Russian Federation, what's wrong? Or do you specifically get it in dollars? Or do you spend dollars in stores?
    1. New Year day
      New Year day 22 March 2021 15: 49
      +1
      Quote: Mitroha
      The ruble is the monetary unit of the Russian Federation, what's wrong? Or do you specifically get it in dollars? Or do you spend dollars in stores?

      So go and buy for rubles: the chicken drumstick was 140, and yesterday it was 170.
      Is the purchase of medicines abroad in foreign currency or in rubles? Kindergarten
      1. Mitroha
        Mitroha 22 March 2021 15: 51
        -5
        Quote: Silvestr
        chicken drumstick was 140, and yesterday it was 170.

        And we have where 120, and where 160. And what should this talk about? Only about the greed of outbids and intermediaries. And not about the real value of the goods. If the purchase price does not rise, then everything else is from the evil one
        1. New Year day
          New Year day 22 March 2021 15: 53
          0
          Quote: Mitroha
          And we have where 120, and where 160

          Not somewhere, but at my house. Somewhere there is a freebie and hoo's pensions.
          Quote: Mitroha
          Only about the greed of outbids and intermediaries.

          And where is the government body - the antimonopoly committee?
          Who do the networks belong to?
          1. Mitroha
            Mitroha 22 March 2021 15: 58
            -9
            What are you projecting nonsense. What networks? Do you only have networks in the city? Are there any markets and small shops near the house? Or here it seems, but here it is not. You there about Ukraine as your homeland somehow answered, and monitor the prices there. Why are you bothering us?
            1. Mitroha
              Mitroha 22 March 2021 19: 27
              -7
              Sylvester, you are a propagandist, but only Ukrainian. They scratched them here for the doctor, then they made a mistake on the phrase about Ukraine, as a homeland and place of life. And russofobstvuete here together with svarog. I understand your job, but that makes you no less disgusting. You can minus something, but you can't blot out the word
              1. New Year day
                New Year day 23 March 2021 13: 53
                -3
                Quote: Mitroha
                Sylvester, you are a propagandist, but only Ukrainian.

                Your statement is not true. If you really want to know where I'm from, then I advise you to carefully study my last posts.
                Quote: Mitroha
                They scratched them here for the doctor, then they made a mistake on the phrase about Ukraine, as a homeland and place of life.

                You scratch your ears and tongue. Read carefully before talking nonsense.
            2. Overlock
              Overlock 23 March 2021 01: 04
              +21
              Quote: Mitroha
              What networks? Do you only have networks in the city? There are no markets and small shops near the house at all?

              Are you saying that small shops will dump big chains? Capitalism is a cruel thing! The shops can burn out, and the prosecutor does not sleep
              1. Mitroha
                Mitroha 23 March 2021 06: 20
                +1
                No, but as life shows, markets usually don't care deeply about pricing and marketing games with the cost of goods in chains.
    2. vadsonen
      vadsonen 22 March 2021 18: 43
      +2
      The ruble is the monetary unit of the Russian Federation, what's wrong?

      Look around. Everything, everything that surrounds you, is foreign or contains foreign. Including the computer you are sitting at.
      And that small part, which is still domestic, is entirely made on foreign equipment.
      1. Mitroha
        Mitroha 22 March 2021 19: 22
        -3
        Looked around, you are balabol. For this is the case all over the world. If you or I were sitting in France, nothing would have changed, there are the same Chinese and American components in computers. So sketch more correctly
      2. Mitroha
        Mitroha 22 March 2021 19: 42
        -4
        You this ... Poke it into the socket, since there is not enough for more
  • New Year day
    New Year day 22 March 2021 15: 44
    -5
    The article was late, the ruble went in the opposite direction
    1. Mitroha
      Mitroha 22 March 2021 15: 56
      +2
      Who went where?
      1. New Year day
        New Year day 23 March 2021 13: 54
        -5
        Quote: Mitroha
        Who went where?

        depending on who!
  • The comment was deleted.
  • Tank jacket
    Tank jacket 22 March 2021 16: 15
    -2
    GUILIN, 22 Mar - RIA Novosti. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov was photographed wearing a mask with a playful inscription FCKNG QRNTN, which was presented to him by journalists the day before.
    “It is necessary to move away from the use of international payment systems controlled by the West,” the website of the Russian Foreign Ministry reports the words of Mr. Lavrov.

    He also stated the need "to reduce sanctions risks by strengthening its technological independence, by switching to settlements in national currencies and in world currencies alternative to the dollar."
    The United States "declares its task to limit the possibilities of technological development" of Russia and China, said Mr. Lavrov. He said that the United States and the West in general have resorted to sanctions as the main instrument of foreign policy action.
    “By and large they have forgotten how to use classical diplomacy. Diplomacy is a relationship between people, it is the ability to listen to each other, to hear each other and the ability to find a balance of interests, ”he said.

    In December, Reuters, citing sources, reported that the team of then-not-in-office US President Joe Biden is exploring several options for influencing Russia. James Lewis, an analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, noted that disconnecting Russia from the interbank SWIFT system would be one of the more drastic options.
    1. Monster_Fat
      Monster_Fat 22 March 2021 21: 13
      0
      “By and large they have forgotten how to use classical diplomacy. Diplomacy is a relationship between people, it is the ability to listen to each other, to hear each other and the ability to find a balance of interests, ”he said.

      Well, wow, it came at last. "As before the giraffe, on the second day." And still, even in this speech, he calls those who offend Russia and its president, call Russia an enemy, a murderer president, and wipe their feet on it as "partners." request
      1. Tank jacket
        Tank jacket 22 March 2021 21: 41
        +1
        Why do you need to react violently to Bidon's hysterics?
        Why did US gasoline prices double in two months?
        Why is the flow of migrants to the United States no longer controlled?
        How many jobs did Bidon destroy when he overturned Trump's decisions?
        Whined electorate is Putin's fault wassat
        Do you notice a split in the US elite, not only along the Democratic-Republican line, but also within the Democrats?
        Why was Kamala Harris not informed about the missile attack on Syria?
        Will we see a parade of individual state sovereignties?
      2. Tank jacket
        Tank jacket 22 March 2021 22: 47
        0
        The cunning Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said that he considers the statements of the American leader Joe Biden about his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin inadmissible.

        Reuters
        "Biden's statement about Putin is unacceptable for the head of state," Anadolu quoted him as saying.

        As RIA Novosti reports, Erdogan also called Putin's response to Biden's statement luxurious.

        “He (Putin) is very smart and gave a splendid answer,” Erdogan’s agency was quoted as saying.
        --------
        I am translating into Russian. Erdogan is aware that the Bidon will sit in a puddle ... And Mike Pompeo is also aware ... Do you know? wassat
  • evgen1221
    evgen1221 22 March 2021 18: 51
    -2
    With each new president of THEIR, we hear from domestic irons that well, now de now, the ruble will be trampled skyward. And it's always the same .... But it just works differently, (based on observations from 90g), when IM needs raw materials, the ruble collapses at a click, expres increase and the fee in bucks goes down. This is the reason for all the adventures of the ruble in the world of sharks. And it is necessary not only to export, but also to do domestic production for themselves, and not to cut down on aircraft carriers and other Khokhloma.
  • Tank jacket
    Tank jacket 22 March 2021 19: 06
    -3
    In order for the ruble to be a stable investment currency, you need:
    A) Tighten foreign exchange controls (prohibited by the IMF)
    B) Restrict the withdrawal of capital (the restriction is prohibited by the IMF)
    C) Bypass the IMF ban on investments in rubles
    D) All answers are correct
    wassat
    E) Siluminova with Elechka the Cannibal
    1. your1970
      your1970 23 March 2021 00: 12
      -1
      Quote: Tank jacket
      In order for the ruble to be a stable investment currency, you need:

      You have forgotten the main condition for sustainability in our world - a dozen other AUG and military bases in a hundred and a half countries of the world ...
      If we then put into circulation candy wrappers instead of money - they will go with a gold equivalent lol repeat fellow
      1. Tank jacket
        Tank jacket 23 March 2021 06: 41
        0
        It would be better to talk about the former senator, and now the cryopreventionist and pharmaceutical magnate Spiegel ...
        1. your1970
          your1970 23 March 2021 18: 47
          -1
          Quote: Tank jacket
          It would be better to talk about the former senator, and now the cryopreventionist and pharmaceutical magnate Spiegel ...

          Easy!!!!
          Criminal Code of the RSFSR 1926 of the year
          "112. Abuse of power, excess or inaction of power and negligence towards official duties, if as a result of them the collapse of the central administrative apparatus headed by an official or the same economic state apparatus of production, trade, credit and transport, -
          imprisonment with strict isolation for a term of at least two years,
          а under especially aggravating circumstances (selfish interest, forgery, theft of property, bribery, etc.) - up to execution. "
          there is such a thing- execution with confiscation ?? !!! applied ?? !! but what about ...

          Read on

          Fight against embezzlement in communication agencies (Material of the All-Union meeting of NKS communication workers with the USSR Prosecutor's Office) MOSCOW SVYAZTEKHIZDAT, 1935g.
          “What is the dynamics of the loss and theft of the transferred amounts? In 1931, there were so-called shortfalls in the transferred amounts, revealed by the Bureau of Translation Control, by 10 million rubles to 10 billion rubles in turnover; in 1932 - 16 -17 million rubles to 15g / 2 billion rubles of turnover: in 1933 - 17 million rubles to 161/2 billion rubles of turnover .... The dynamics of theft and waste of these amounts is expressed in the following data: in 1933 for the whole year there were 10 1/2 million rubles of embezzlement and embezzlement, for 9 months of this year - more than 12 million rubles, that is, for 9 months there were more embezzlements and embezzlements than for the whole of 1933. The second payments were 6 1/2 million rubles in 1933 and 7,7 million rubles for 9 months of 1934. The same data we have regarding the growth of theft and the annual balance sheet. these data are regional, it is possible to establish both the regions and the main culprits of these phenomena. ”I was given a list of these areas to choose from.
          Western region against 300 thousand rubles. 1933 - about 500 thousand rubles. for 9 months of 1934 (head of the department, Comrade Gavrilov).
          Middle Volga department - 584 thousand rubles. for the whole of 1933 and: 1 thousand rubles. for 700 months of 9 (head of the communications department) comrade Zharkov).
          In the East Siberian Administration in 1934, the amount of theft and loss reached almost 1 1 / 2 million rubles. (Head of Communications Department Comrade Kazakov).
          Western Siberia - there, according to statistics, spending somewhat decreased. So, according to data for 9 months. 1934 g. Comrade Novikov still expects to catch up and overtake belay November 1933, XNUMX
          In the Sverdlovsk Communications Directorate, Comrade Sinkov has a theft of over a million in the region.
          In Moscow, which is especially unacceptable, the head of the postal service department, Comrade Stekhov, committed theft in the amount of 1.12 thousand rubles.
          All these numbers only through money transfers."

          so we see that the employees of the People's Commissariat of Communications stolen in 2 years 23,5 million and rastrenkali (second payments !!) 14,2 million.Total - 37,7 million rubles
          The cost of the BT-5 was in 1934. - 66 830 rubles
          37,7 million / 66 830 = 564 tank BT -5
          The modest People's Commissariat of Communications put money on 564 (!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ) tank

          dividing this 37,7 million by the cost of the shooter:
          PPD-34 cost 1350 rubles = 27 925
          "Mosinka" 1891-30 cost about 90-150 rubles = 251 333
          revolver "Nagant" about 50 rubles = 754
          Degtyarev light machine gun - about 800 rubles = 47 125
          SVT-34 cost 900 rubles = 41 888
          we will get the funds stolen by the postal workers for arming with small arms for at least 20 (!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!) infantry divisions

          ZY this Spiegel plays in the sandbox, and Zakharchenko nervously smokes on the sidelines looking - in which volumes were stolen by comrades Stekhov, Sinkov and Zharkov from the People's Commissariat of Communications in 1933-34

          ZY ZY For understanding cubic capacity belay the volume of embezzlement - Stalin received at this time the party maximum - 600 rubles per month. At any recalculations and for any equivalents, the volume of theft is astounding
          And this is one - the only and not the richest People's Commissariat. I'm even afraid to imagine what happened where there were funds, money and resources
  • Alexander F.
    Alexander F. 23 March 2021 00: 06
    0
    Smoothly pouring emptiness into emptiness, you can create the illusion of reality.
    And what else does the hegemon need to rule the world, is it not a mortal flock and a tight wallet?
    Why am I all this "city". The reason is simple, recently it has become fashionable to drive from empty to empty. In a word, there is a lot of text in the "letters" of the guardians for the Russian people, but there is little information, and this is not casual. Under this sauce, a thought is being introduced into the subconscious of an ordinary man in the street; only his power, and especially its leader, is to blame for all his problems. But there, somewhere, where there are no these usurpers, well, just paradise.
    “You are poor, although you live in the richest country. And all the blame is your power, and especially its leader. Well, the foreign countries themselves, there is absolutely nothing to do with it. ”And literally everyone fell under this verbal“ kneading ”, including Father Tsar and Lenin, and Stalin, and Putin, well, all the polls.
    Well, I love it, I am Russian, for its informativeness.
    Nowadays, money, like money, has lost its original meaning and does not reflect reality. And isn't this the main problem?
    Let's analyze. And can natural resources be a direct synonym for the meaning of the word wealth, in the form that it is for a common man in the street.
    After all, everything is outrageously simple.
    The unit of measurement of purchasing power is money, and all national banknotes are somehow tied to the dollar (world trade). Well, the dollar itself is currently in no way tied to anything at all, except for the "word of honor" of the US Federal Reserve and their armed forces. That is, today, the most liquid resources are not natural resources, but a resource artificially created by the Anglo-Saxon system. And this resource is nothing more than a monopoly on international trade.
    Which, again, translated into Russian, it will sound something like this. One way or another, we are all under the financial occupation of the US Federal Reserve, which in turn is under the protection of the NATO bloc. And we, out of our naivety, believed and still believe that NATO was created only to fight first with the USSR, and then with Russia. Of course, NATO was not created without this idea, but still its main hidden task was and remains the protection of the "machine". In a word, the NATO bloc is the very resource for providing the dollar.
    This raises a logical question, is there a way out of this situation, but without nuclear firing.
    Yes there is, and it is also commonplace.
    With the "red army" we are now all right, and with mathematicians too. And apparently the time has come when it is necessary to develop and create a realistic financial model of the monetary unit based on actual security. Then we, with our boundless expanses, and with boundless natural resources, will be happy.
    So, little remains to be done, the will and courage of the authorities, and we will live as we can afford it, and most importantly, as we deserve it. And it turns out somehow strange, we won the Second World War, and the Anglo-Saxons won. That is, we won, but we were fucked. So it still seems to me that this is not entirely fair, and it's time to "quit" with this.
    1. Monster_Fat
      Monster_Fat 23 March 2021 03: 10
      -1
      Hmm. In this regard, you need to see Mr.-Comrade Xi. His last speech is very interesting in terms of the future of the Chinese model of statehood and the whole world. He said that the "social rating" system will continue to expand and expand until it replaces money in China. That is, access to products, goods and services and other opportunities in the state will be open only if there are social rating points. The salary will be in social rating points and will be calculated in a new way - everything will be there: both the fulfillment of the plan and its overfulfillment, and the quality and how the employee treats colleagues, shares knowledge, the culture of his behavior, participation in social life at work, etc. In addition, rating points will be added for a lot of cleanliness, how often and what he buys, how he develops, how he behaves, how he treats parents and animals, whether he approves of government policy, whether he participates in rallies and public events, etc., and so on. And so, according to all these points, citizens will or may not have access to what is in the state. Xi very colorfully described that the price for everything will be in points, and admission-entry will be in points, like that this is "communism with Chinese characteristics" and that the whole world will understand the attractiveness of this path and follow it. Something tells me that indeed, in China now, a model of the future world, stateless economy and management system is being worked out.
  • looker-on
    looker-on 23 March 2021 12: 03
    +2
    People do not care how much a ruble costs if these rubles are enough for them. And they are not enough. Almost everyone. At the age of 13, there was enough for many and no one really looked at the course. Now very few people can buy a normal car without credit. In 13, they could. It was possible to postpone these damn rubles from the income! In 2021, there is nothing to save for the majority. The modest Skoda Kadiak is already taxed on luxury - how's it at all ??? Going to the store is at least 2 thousand per family (without alcohol). Despite the fact that the products have become worse! And so in everything
    1. AML
      AML 24 March 2021 09: 35
      0
      Quote: looker-on
      People do not care how much a ruble costs if these rubles are enough for them. And they are not enough. Almost everyone. At the age of 13, there was enough for many and no one really looked at the course. Now very few people can buy a normal car without credit. In 13, they could. It was possible to postpone these damn rubles from the income! In 2021, there is nothing to save for the majority. The modest Skoda Kadiak is already taxed on luxury - how's it at all ??? Going to the store is at least 2 thousand per family (without alcohol). Despite the fact that the products have become worse! And so in everything


      You see what is closer. I can say about EC. A couple of years ago, it was quite normal for one person to live on 1000 euros. Apartment 400 + 100 for a communal apartment + 200 for food. Now the same level is somewhere around 1500 euros. And it seems that nothing has risen in price, but somehow it turns out that way.
  • Cuba
    Cuba 23 March 2021 15: 39
    +1
    Quote: Civil
    Why does Joe Biden turn the ruble

    Because it can.
    It remains to be noted that at the beginning of 2021, the ruble was something of an exception among world currencies.

    How many years did he fall before?
    We seem to be pointing at the door, but we are at the window, or rather, at the chimney. Both oil and gas.


    The place is indicated - the supplier of raw materials.

    that is - at the bucket?
  • AML
    AML 24 March 2021 09: 29
    0
    Quote: clerk
    ... You might think that oil has collapsed to $ 20, that someone forbids our Central Bank intervention, or introduce an obligation to sell foreign currency for exporters.
    There are no technical problems to raise the ruble exchange rate to 45-50 rubles per dollar.


    It's in a perfect world. In real life, the ruble exchange rate is in free float, which is correct in the presence of a large number of Western well-wishers.
  • Aleks2000
    Aleks2000 25 March 2021 23: 47
    0
    Ah, and here Biden is to blame ...
    And where are cheerful promises about the imminent fall of the dollar ???
    I climbed into Yandex - there is no sign of a strongly falling ruble.
    someone is lying ...
  • andreykolesov123
    andreykolesov123 26 March 2021 07: 43
    0
    it is necessary that the dollar was one hundred rubles. the Americans will not have enough money to buy up rubles.
  • SKVichyakow
    SKVichyakow 26 March 2021 11: 06
    0
    Nobody unfolds anything. With the previous collapse of the ruble, even the US could not understand why this happened. After all, there were no prerequisites for this. It's just that the top officials decided to make Russian goods more competitive. And the fact that the standard of living of the population went down did not bother anyone, or did not think about it. After all, our people are patient.
  • Armen Sologyan
    Armen Sologyan 27 March 2021 17: 20
    0
    Personally, I like the RUBLE more and it sounds better than the dollar and the euro, but the RUBLE is falling from which in reality we do not know, perhaps this is the intrigues of those who so love to go to McDonald's and everything American. After all, the RUBLE compared to the dollar is much less, which means that the RUBLE should actually be more expensive than the dollar, this is in theory. For example, there is less gold and platinum than steel and cast iron. So the dollar is steel and cast iron, and the RUBLE is gold and platinum. Only now the RUBLE is not appreciated, as they have not yet been able to derive a criterion for assessing the cost of labor, pricing and other things in a market economy, and in the 90s there was a motto "the more the better", these are the consequences of perestroika, acceleration and 90 x !!! We love the dollar and the euro too much, and therefore the pressure on the RUBLE !!!
  • yehat2
    yehat2 29 March 2021 10: 36
    0
    Biden is not going anywhere anymore
    now officially Kamala Harris took over the business, which no one chose and the team that hid behind Biden and which no one chose either. And Trump, who was actually chosen by the majority, was not the president.
    Do you still believe in democracy in the United States? good
    Now outspoken kleptocrats have come to power in the United States, and not hiding at all