The Armed Forces of Ukraine could deliberately aggravate the situation in Donbass for the transfer of military equipment to the demarcation line

Ukrainian security forces somewhat reduced their fire activity along the line of contact. So, over the past day, according to sources, in the Donetsk and Mariupol-Novoazovsk directions, the Armed Forces of Ukraine violated the ceasefire three times. This is despite the fact that during the previous several days there were 4-5 times more violations (daily).

Shelling stopped in the area of ​​the village of Zolote (LPR), where a few days ago local residents for the first time in more than a year had to hide in basements, fleeing mortar and grenade launcher attacks by the Ukrainian military.

In this regard, it was suggested that the Ukrainian troops could deliberately use the option with a temporary escalation of the conflict, with its aggravation, to divert attention from the regrouping of forces and the transfer of military equipment to the contact line. While the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission (SMM) recorded the number of attacks from the Golden Sea to the Azov Sea coast, the Ukrainian armed forces carried out a series of logistic operations.

So, closer to the contact line, armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, including armored personnel carriers and BMP-2, were deployed. At the same time, the equipment is dispersed among the settlements located in the zone adjacent to the demarcation line. In fact, the equipment is covered behind residential buildings and infrastructure buildings.

A reconnaissance company of the 81st airborne brigade (former brigade of the Airborne Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) arrived in the area of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbthe village of Troitskoye (Lugansk direction). The company specializes in conducting aerial reconnaissance using unmanned aerial vehicles. At the same time, according to Yakov Osadchiy, the official representative of the NM NM, the Ukrainian military equipped reconnaissance drones devices for dropping explosive devices. In this regard, according to Yakov Osadchy, new provocations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine should be expected near the demarcation line.

It also became known about the equipment of the Ukrainian Armed Forces of additional sniper and mortar positions along the demarcation line in a number of directions.

Comments

[Mountain shooter]

The preparation is very much for show. If the LDNR has enough shells, the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will result in heavy losses, with a negligible result ...

[Roma 1977]

On the contrary. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have a triple superiority in forces and means. LDNR must hold out until the approach of the RF Armed Forces - this is the maximum task.

[WHAT IS]

I agree that this is the only feasible task for the armed forces of the republics, we must take a sober view of reality.

[Vladimir Mashkov]

Interesting. Just the calm or calm before the storm (in Croatian, storm - oluya)?

[Cananecat]

Quote: Mountain Shooter

If the LDNR has enough shells, the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will result in heavy losses

The fact of the matter is that with a competent maneuver it will not turn around. Because they will not march across the open field in full growth, but will wedge themselves into the defense in the areas of settlements. As they said here, the distance between the sides is from 400 to 700 meters, and making passes in minefields is not tricky if you have a demining technique ...
With a sufficiently competent approach, they will break through the defense.

[Mountain shooter]

Quote: Canecat

The fact of the matter is that with a competent maneuver it will not turn out

The key word is literate. So far, the APU has not been noticed in competent maneuvers. Has something changed since the days of Debaltseve? Competent commanders have come, has the discipline improved? Do they not drink more and do not use? Well, I don't believe in "rebirth" ... There, in the front line, every bump has been shot. They will begin to make passages in minefields - can they quietly be able to make passages? And to carry out the technique on these passages without losses under fire? Then they are just wizards.

[Cananecat]

Quote: Mountain Shooter

They will begin to make passages in minefields - can they quietly be able to make passages?

Do you think the west wind has blown mine clearance systems or not?
The APU are no longer the same as in the boilers. It is not for nothing that they are trained to maintain a database in an urbanized area, if there are breakthroughs, they will be in settlements where NM LDPR will not sprinkle over the squares.

[Mountain shooter]

Quote: Canecat

Do you think the west wind has blown mine clearance systems or not?
The APU are no longer the same as in the boilers

You are suspiciously well aware of the state of the Armed Forces, their equipment and combat readiness. Or is it speculation?

[Cananecat]

Did the lessons of Karabakh and the war with Georgia teach you anything? I can paint you a hypothetical scenario. If the air is not closed, drones will rise. How many of them are there in Ukraine, one and a half dozen of those Bayraktars. What will they destroy? Artillery means and MLRS, i.e. fire support equipment. During this time, they make passages in minefields and, under the cover of their artillery and MLRS, introduce tanks and infantry into the breakthrough in the direction of settlements. What are the republics doing? They stop the breakthrough places. While NM is pulling troops to the breakthrough sites. In the same way, the Ukrainians are tearing up the defense along the coast and reaching the border with the Russian Federation. That's it ... if the use of attack drones is suppressed in the bud, we will have 4-5 days of massive shelling.
This is an approximate scenario ... the fact that takeoffs for Bayraktars are already being built is not a secret, you just need to be able to listen and read.

[Gardener91]

Quote: Canecat

With a sufficiently competent approach, they will break through the defense.

This is a classic of the genre (tactics), you need to carefully prepare for the cauldrons.

[yehat2]

Quote: Mountain Shooter

They are preparing very much for show.

this is a tactic of intimidation and, at the same time, a PR of the leaders, covering up the theft of supplies and, in general, any movement. They do not smile at all to fight, they hope that the LDNR will surrender.
In addition, they are used to not being afraid of counterattacks and are really insolent.
Still, one should not forget that the threat is more than real.

[mojohed2012]

I wouldn’t guess. Everyone now needs (Ukraine to catch up with the rating of the president, Germany during the change of power and the EU as a whole, to distract citizens from the crisis with vaccines and the corona, the United States to distract citizens from the robbery of votes in elections and the Democrats seize power) to activate the meat grinder in the LDNR. So there is no hope that the Ukrainian forces will not begin to attack. Too many influential Western countries are encouraging them to do so.

[Andrei Nikolaevich]

The photo speaks for itself .. The army of Father Makhno. Who is what .... Homeless people Area of ​​three stations.

[tihonmarine]

Quote: Andrey Nikolaevich

The photo speaks for itself .. The army of Father Makhno. Who is what .... Homeless people Area of ​​three stations.

suitable

[Andrei Nikolaevich]

Nice photo. But, excuse me, judging by the pants, the General of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Not less..)

[tihonmarine]

Quote: Andrey Nikolaevich

But, excuse me, judging by the pants, the general of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Not less

Yes, their whole army is "generals", and everyone is in red trousers.

[Egoza]

While the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission (SMM) recorded the number of attacks from the Golden to the coast of the Sea of ​​Azov, the Ukrainian armed forces carried out a series of logistic operations.

All these "homeless people" should only provoke the army of the LPR, so that later they could present the "obvious actions of the aggressor" to the observers. And it is very strange that these "lads" have stripes on camouflage of different colors. With a pine forest?

[Potomac]

The pixel is the same, the cap here still depends on the part, for some it is still a shade, for others it is clearly established. Different colors of chevrons, so these are different types of troops, here both mechanized and artillery, and the general structure in the photo, suggests that this is a field gathering, which is taking into account the libertines in appearance.

[Irek]

So it is necessary to slam in otvetku ammunition and fuel depots.

[knn54]

Dissatisfaction with the authorities is growing among the people. It seems that conflict is the ONLY way to reduce the intensity of passions in society.

[iouris]

The matter is coming to an end, which could be the beginning.

[Azimuth]

Quote: iouris

The matter is coming to an end, which could be the beginning.

Yes, it's time to close the question of Ukraine. It is being framed deliberately, hoping, among other things, to snatch part of its territory.
The current borders of Ukraine are our territory, which we justly received as a result of the bloody war and misfortune unleashed by the British in Europe.

Ukraine is not Europe, it is Russia. After all, we became Russia only with the unification of Rus, the Russian lands under Peter and after him. It is necessary to close the shop and this sabbath arranged by devils in our territories. Real Russia is the Russian Federation, Belarus and Ukraine. The question should be closed and a bullet has to be put in this question.
The question of Georgia, as a gateway to our southern lands - Transcaucasia and Central Asia, must also be finally closed. And also our border on the Black Sea will be fully restored.

After that, the Americans, the British and the EU can at least write off the sanctions, they simply will not have any meaning and influence in them. With the same success, they will be able to scare us by taking themselves off the shovel in our presence.

The GDP does not seem to be pisyunit, but it takes a long time to harness, perhaps it prepares the ground for the implementation of everything by its successor - we'll wait and see. But the next five-year plan, starting this year, is very important for us, the question is literally - to be or not to be Russia. We will not knock the trump cards out of their hands, they will tear us apart like the USSR and degrade to the borders of the Moscow Kingdom. It is necessary to return Russia, return to its borders, they were dictated by objective reasons, historically objective, and everything else is not incapable.

[Gardener91]

Do not forget that the first violin in the policy of the "states" of the post-Soviet space is played by the puppet governments and the oligarchy well paid by the West, as well as the anti-Russian propaganda in the local, and not only, mass media.

[Azimuth]

You just need to stop playing AT YOUR HOME by someone else's rules.
The oligarch is a couple of local thieves, their fate is nothing against the background of the troubles of millions, which they continue to fool. There is no need to even start a conversation with them, against Russia, I'm not about the Russian Federation, but about Russia, let them smear their foreheads with brilliant green or stay away from politics, and the conversation is the same with our inner rats.

[Gardener91]

Quote: Azimuth

The oligarch is a couple of local thieves

I know local, very wealthy people with a fortune of about a billion dollars, according to Forbes, who live abroad and actively participate in funding from district, regional and the entire Ukrainian political community, as well as from specific extremist groups recognized in the Russian Federation. They had and have a business in Russia. Odin has been persona non grata since 2014. You can't just smear your forehead with such green stuff.

[Azimuth]

I heard about these characters. The fact that they have a business with us is to blame for the inaction of the special services and the roots of the main part of our current leadership - this is their national tradition, each does business in the Russian people, each does it in his own way, in a word, a raven to a raven ...

[Evil 55]

In the photo, these devils with forks on their sleeves even have different panamas ... And they probably heard about fizo at school for the last time. A hundred meters of running such a soldier is enough, and then a heart attack, stroke and cerebral disorders will help the armies of the self-proclaimed republics ..