Military Review

Atomic deal: Tehran didn’t expect Biden

62

Attention to Rouhani ...



They were quick to convince the world from Iran itself that the 46th US President Joseph Biden will have "very difficult" problems related to Iran. This was done by Iranian President Hassan Rouhani even before the inauguration of the new owner of the White House.

He made it clear that the country would not accept any preconditions for a return to the nuclear deal. Hassan Rouhani is well acquainted with Biden since the signing of the infamous Joint Comprehensive Action Plan of the JCPOA.

Now the Iranian leader, whose presidential term expires this year, has made the characteristic reservation that Iran has no preconditions for the United States to return to the deal.


At the same time, Rouhani even warned against creating any preconditions for the return of the United States to the JCPOA, but immediately noted that neither Iran's missile program nor its influence in the region had anything to do with the JCPOA.

The latter is all the more remarkable after the exit from the blockade of Qatar. Everyone recognized this country as soon as it won the right to host the 2022 World Cup. But few people have even an idea that for many years Qatar was under blockade - political and economic from all Arab countries, receiving support only from Iran.

Hassan Rouhani's rhetoric has now become more harsh, since on the eve of the presidential elections he clearly expects to win over a part of the radical patriotic electorate. Judge for yourself:

“The government will not allow ... to postpone the end of the sanctions ... We will not agree to this for an hour or a minute and will oppose them. Sanctions must be violated, this is the right of the people. America must return to its previous commitments ... if everyone returns to their commitments in full, we will return to their commitments in full. "

... And praise Trump


There are many politicians and commentators who have praised ex-President Trump for not getting involved in a single war in four years. But trade wars, a war of sanctions against everyone with whom it is possible and with whom, in general, cannot, today can lead to almost the same troubles as real wars.


And it was under Trump that many conflicts around the world have escalated to the limit. And it was under Trump that the world faced a real threat of the emergence of another nuclear power.

The Trump administration has effectively provoked Iran with its unequivocally peaceful nuclear program into putting it on a war footing. Tehran was simply left no chance to defend the country's real sovereignty.

The extent to which this sovereignty is real is challenged by two "showy" killings in Iran. Two authoritative people of completely different professions were successively killed - a major general and a famous scientist.

These are Qasem Soleimani, who headed the Al-Quds special unit of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and nuclear physicist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, one of the founders of Iran's atomic program.

The Iranian press has no doubt accused the United States and Israel of both murders, but the country's official government is not so straightforward.

Violators of the convention


Meanwhile, Iran's distance from the notorious nuclear deal and the JCPOA has become increasingly tangible in 2020. Even the traditionally loyal IAEA experts changed their placating tone to harsh criticism of Tehran's decisions. Specific information about gross violations of the JCPOA was sent.

Even China and Russia, which are considered allies of Iran, especially in Iran itself, insist on returning the status quo and freezing uranium enrichment pending a new deal. As you know, the old atomic deal there continues to be called not 5 + 1, but 3 + 3, although with the annexation of Germany there are no longer six, but seven participants.

Finally, the European partners interested in "atomic" orders from Iran, which until recently were looking for ways to bypass the American sanctions, obviously curtailed such activities. It is not yet clear for how long, although a new deal or a return to the old one can change everything overnight.


Biden and his foreign policy team, while deliberately avoiding clear formulations along the line chosen with respect to Iran. They are in no hurry to announce the return of the United States to the JCPOA. Hints of a new deal are mounting in the press, although the topic is now clearly in the shadows.

But Iran, as we have already seen, does not intend to wait any longer. And it was not so easy in Tehran to talk about the fact that they do not want any new negotiations. Return to the JCPOA in the old format there (by all indications) are ready at any time. Iran is profitable, but is it profitable for the United States (sorry for the repetition)?

Oil separately, atom separately


In Tehran, realizing that it makes no sense to expect anything constructive from the Trump administration, they openly relied on the new democratic American president. However, so far, Biden has not met these hopes. His priority is a pandemic, migrants, the Paris climate agreement.

The nuclear deal is not even on the sidelines; now we are talking about how, on the contrary, to use it to the maximum. However, about a month before taking office, Biden, complaining about the complexity of the problem, stated about the resuscitation of the JCPOA that:

“We cannot do this alone. And so we must be part of a larger group dealing not only with Iran, but also with Russia, China and a whole range of other issues. "

From this, many concluded that a democratic administration could try its traditional method. That is, going backwards, using Trump's sanctions as a powerful tool to help secure a longer-term and better deal with Iran.

Although it is rather difficult to understand what could be the benefit for the United States, which has completely forgotten how to work with the atom. Nevertheless, Biden is already being reminded that it is just unprofitable to throw away what his predecessor has developed.

Besides, putting pressure on Iran, as the practice of recent years has shown, is almost pointless. They have learned to bypass sanctions no worse than Russia. Oil is sold through a variety of (not always legal) channels, albeit at a discount. And they even fully participate in the OPEC + deal.

Together with the United States, by the way.

However, Washington has still preferred to separate oil from the atom.

And most likely it will continue to be so.
Author:
Photos used:
e-news.ru, picabu.ru
62 comments
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  1. Quadro
    Quadro 25 January 2021 12: 30
    -1
    Apparently, migrants and imaginary global warming are more important to the canister than the threat of nuclear weapons from Iran and the threat of a nuclear war in the Middle East.
    1. Lipchanin
      Lipchanin 25 January 2021 12: 36
      -1
      Quote: Quadro
      Apparently, migrants and imaginary global warming are more important to the canister than the threat of nuclear weapons from Iran and the threat of a nuclear war in the Middle East.

      Yes, all that is elementary populism.
    2. Max Lebedev
      Max Lebedev 25 January 2021 13: 57
      +14
      Quote: Quadro
      Apparently, migrants and imaginary global warming are more important to the canister than the threat of nuclear weapons from Iran and the threat of a nuclear war in the Middle East

      Most likely, it is simply not up to Iran. The migrants will be defeated, then they will remember about Iran.
    3. Jager
      Jager 25 January 2021 14: 00
      +1
      Nuclear weapons are a potential danger, and migrants are more than direct and real.
  2. avib
    avib 25 January 2021 12: 39
    +7
    Iran with its unequivocally peaceful atomic program.


    and so here

    On the anniversary of the liquidation of Qasem Soleimani, a bill was submitted to the Iranian parliament that has no precedents in the entire 42-year history of the Islamic Republic.

    The bill obliges the government of the Islamic Republic to take measures to "destroy" Israel by 2041. This comes five years after Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said that by 2040 there will be "nothing left of Israel."


    These ayatols are just hippies, children of flowers ...
    1. tirsen
      tirsen 25 January 2021 13: 24
      0
      The early middle ages, it's in the heads request
  3. Thrifty
    Thrifty 25 January 2021 13: 51
    +1
    Well, then besides the Persians at the negotiating table, put Pakistanis, Indians, Chinese, Israelis in order to put nuclear weapons under REAL and not verbal control! Will not work? Then, sniff in two screwdrivers, and do not make the Persians forever extreme! !!
    1. Krasnodar
      Krasnodar 25 January 2021 14: 22
      0
      Greetings! hi
      Unlike these wiseacres, neither the Chinese, nor the Indians, nor the Pakis, nor the Jews set out to destroy any country, while one of the goals of the Islamic Revolution, declared by Ayatollah Khomeini himself, is the destruction of the Zionist entity in the Middle East.
      Like - or be silent for the destruction of Jews, or be silent for the nuclear program laughing
      One Israeli Arab told me - they are religious people, they are forbidden to lie))
      1. Thrifty
        Thrifty 25 January 2021 15: 15
        -1
        Krasnodar hi -and hello to you! !! Persians also want to live, and not become an object for bombing, hence the aggressive rhetoric! Moreover, there is such a general planetary opinion that nuclear weapons are a kind of guarantee against external aggression! hi And in the region there, as well as in the whole world, it is restless, there are two nuclear powers that are beating each other with sticks and stones! Is the Stone Age really in India and China? Or, they don't want to be civilized to the end ??? belay belay PS - Once again Hello! !! hi
        1. Krasnodar
          Krasnodar 25 January 2021 15: 58
          +2
          So behind the nuclear program of the Shah of Iran in the late 70s were the United States and Israel - the technology and the filling are American, the delivery vehicles (missiles) are Jewish. But in 1979 Ayatollah Khomeini came, gnawed at the Amers, announced that he would crush the Zionists, and called the vigorous loaf "an un-Islamic weapon". As a result, the Persians returned to the nuclear project after the Storm in the Desert, when they saw the rapid defeat of Iraq, with which they fiddled for 8 years without much success. By this I wanted to say that when girls in Tehran wore miniskirts, no one was against Iranian nuclear weapons. When they began to arrest students and female students for dancing together (!), Everyone felt uneasy from the prospect of a Persian vigorous loaf in the hands of such advanced guys laughing In India and China - East. They start with the lowest level of escalation - the means at hand. Not even edged weapons, as such.
          1. Thrifty
            Thrifty 25 January 2021 16: 56
            +1
            Krasnodar - Hindus and Chinese need to solve the problem simply - who will dance whom! wassat An Indian company is dancing - 100 soldiers, and a Chinese squad - also 100 soldiers wassat Dancing to the last one capable of at least jerking a foot! wassat And you nuclear weapons "which you do not have" lol do not hide far, but do not keep close, in order to avoid the temptation to use it! hi good !!!
            1. Krasnodar
              Krasnodar 25 January 2021 17: 05
              +1
              Quote: Thrifty
              Krasnodar - Hindus and Chinese need to solve the problem simply - who will dance whom! wassat An Indian company is dancing - 100 soldiers, and a Chinese squad - also 100 soldiers wassat Dancing to the last one capable of at least jerking a foot! wassat And you nuclear weapons "which you do not have" lol do not hide far, but do not keep close, in order to avoid the temptation to use it! hi good !!!

              And who will sing whom - Jimi Jimi or Aleet Zarya Vostoka
              1. Thrifty
                Thrifty 25 January 2021 17: 21
                +1
                Krasnodar - they will sing a duet, both hundreds, lying on the ground after the dances, and they will sing to Have Nagiyu, so that at least the song will unite them for the duration of its performance! !! wassat drinks
                1. Krasnodar
                  Krasnodar 25 January 2021 17: 26
                  +1
                  laughing
                  Here is a picture drinks
                  1. Thrifty
                    Thrifty 25 January 2021 17: 47
                    +2
                    Krasnodar - so I also dream of seeing it at least in video, at least a fragment drinks good drinks
                    1. Krasnodar
                      Krasnodar 25 January 2021 18: 05
                      +1
                      They will say again - the Jews are to blame sad ))
                      1. Thrifty
                        Thrifty 25 January 2021 18: 32
                        +2
                        Krasnodar - so Russia is also accused, but we are above that! Spit on accusers from the high synagogue wassat drinks !
                      2. Krasnodar
                        Krasnodar 25 January 2021 19: 02
                        +1
                        You can - but they will say that the Jews meanly spit on civilians from the territory of the synagogue ((.
              2. ironic
                ironic 25 January 2021 17: 40
                +4
                Hava Nagila. Will they also have this after a 6-day battle?
                1. Thrifty
                  Thrifty 25 January 2021 17: 49
                  +1
                  ikonic is the best option to live peacefully, almost on the battlefield - when you sing a song from a third country, not knowing its meaning, but only the words! good
                  1. ironic
                    ironic 25 January 2021 18: 06
                    +2
                    Yes, I am an "ironic", not an "iconic". bully

                    Maybe so, I didn't really like to sing when I twisted the steering wheel on Shechem or Kalkilya. And the words today in Google only whistled and on you the translation immediately to the PDA. fellow
        2. ironic
          ironic 25 January 2021 16: 59
          +3
          So I, too, if it was necessary to climb out of the jeep during a patrol, the first thing I looked for with my eyes was some remnants of a picket fence. The violent, peaceful demonstrations of the left were particularly impressed.
          1. Krasnodar
            Krasnodar 25 January 2021 17: 06
            +1
            Quote: ironic
            So I, too, if it was necessary to climb out of the jeep during a patrol, the first thing I looked for with my eyes was some remnants of a picket fence. The violent, peaceful demonstrations of the left were particularly impressed.

            From the left? What are you calling? With the left, I would prefer to get hit in the face, and not hit in the face laughing
            1. Thrifty
              Thrifty 25 January 2021 17: 19
              +1
              Krasnodar is not selenium in your politics, but why did these leftists come to court for you?
              1. Krasnodar
                Krasnodar 25 January 2021 17: 31
                +3
                In practical terms, they taught the Arabs how to knock on police officers and soldiers if they got bream. Moreover, to participate in Arab demonstrations - i.e. it was difficult to disperse the demonstrators only "following the instructions."
                In general, people live with a tolerant vision of a solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict by making concessions to the Arabs, forgetting three things:
                a) You live in the Middle East, where the weak and accommodating are deprived of their heads;
                b) You already have a scanty territory without strategic depth;
                c) In the East, you have to bargain - then you will be understood.
                1. Thrifty
                  Thrifty 25 January 2021 17: 53
                  +2
                  Krasnodar, and that's what I agree with anyone, is the fact that an Arab who does not know how and will not bargain is not an Arab and is close! An acquaintance in the 90s tried a whistle business there - they could trade for half a day! !! lol
                  1. Krasnodar
                    Krasnodar 25 January 2021 18: 06
                    +1
                    And in the end, throw at least another half a penny - I know this audience))
                    1. ironic
                      ironic 25 January 2021 18: 19
                      +3
                      Well this is the east damn it.
              2. ironic
                ironic 25 January 2021 17: 45
                +3
                I doubt that our left came to his court. They only come to their own court. Krasnodar, and I have been reading it for a long time, is too humorous to be the bearer of the ideology of the Israeli left.
                1. Thrifty
                  Thrifty 25 January 2021 18: 38
                  +2
                  ironic is a brick in my vegetable garden? Or, are you talking about a forum member "Krasnodar"? belay Humor helps us live! A good friend of mine was seriously wounded in a battle in Chechnya, he gave himself his word to survive, and he treats his injury a little ironically! This, he says, helped not only to survive, but also to return to duty! hi
            2. ironic
              ironic 25 January 2021 17: 19
              +4
              I started with "slav Bet" in 93 and then 11 years old "miluim". Twisted the wheel of the armored Sufa. Well, the peaceful left-wing demonstrators were afraid to approach the carriers. It was possible to throw at the "sadirniks", and these unshaven "Russian" reservists (and almost all of the drivers were like picks), quickly grabbing the picket fence, looked scary for a frontal confrontation. angry
              1. Krasnodar
                Krasnodar 25 January 2021 17: 33
                +1
                Well, 93 is still ok, especially for a reservist
                Maghaw 97 already smelled like Mahash (Internal Security Investigation Department)
                1. ironic
                  ironic 25 January 2021 18: 15
                  +4
                  Well, yes, the reservists were more difficult to manage. Yes, and after all, they were more than 5 years that way. One of our battalion commanders sent him to make mom cunnilingus, so he was tied to prison. And he called up with a brother, twins. So bratelnik ran up to the battalion commander Pendal in a big way. So they opened a case for him in the police and immediately sent him off, and his brother returned from prison to serve, he ate such a ryah in two weeks, and climbed into the tent with difficulty ...
                  1. Krasnodar
                    Krasnodar 25 January 2021 18: 25
                    +1
                    Shlav Beth was brought to tears by girls - sergeants at the KMB
                    1. ironic
                      ironic 25 January 2021 18: 26
                      +3
                      Yeah, there was a case. am
              2. Thrifty
                Thrifty 25 January 2021 17: 55
                +1
                ironic-well, now there are no conflicts with former Russians? Or how will the card fit? ?? lol
                1. ironic
                  ironic 25 January 2021 18: 18
                  +3
                  In the sense of what kind of ex? I didn't quite understand the question.
                  1. Thrifty
                    Thrifty 25 January 2021 18: 43
                    0
                    ironic - I'm about those who left Russia in the "dashing" 90s! People are different, there you have a couple of my good friends, reserve officers, both are never Jews, but according to information from your side, they live and work well! I just met one of us in Rostov, his first family was here, and he told me what kind of "cadres" had left for you! !!
                    1. ironic
                      ironic 25 January 2021 19: 16
                      +3
                      I myself left in the 90s. People are all different. We have about half a million ethnic Slavs in mixed families. And again, everyone is different. For example, I owe a lot to a decent knowledge of the Jewish religious tradition and understand a little of Aramaic, partly thanks to a former SA elder, a special forces soldier, never a Jew, who has never converted to Judaism, but who knows and understands the Torah more purely than many other religious people since childhood. But open anti-Semites were also swept in by this wave. There were even clever people who wrote in black paint under the bridge at the entrance to the large city of Holon - "Hitler was right", disgracing the language of the winner of the Great Patriotic War throughout the country, because it was all over the news channels. My wife is half on the "wrong side" and this did not prevent her from knowing a decent engineering position at Intel.
                    2. ironic
                      ironic 25 January 2021 19: 28
                      +1
                      There is no racism as mass consciousness in the minds of people here, but individually racists are encountered. There are restrictions related to religious marriage and upbringing. There is an external and internal influence on conflicts by origin (such as the events in Ukraine or the Karabakh conflict), there is still the phenomenon of a crystal ceiling, but already severely cracked and let flowing around the entire perimeter for 30 years, and so everything is like the people who left for another country with a different mentality and a pronounced national orientation. There are some difficulties, but people get used to it, and after three generations it will no longer be distinguishable, the overwhelming majority will be Jews-Israelites. Already the second generation does not always speak Russian, even being Russian by origin.
                    3. Thrifty
                      Thrifty 25 January 2021 19: 40
                      0
                      ironic - are there no Russian schools? Learn the native language in general, what about it? How do Russians generally communicate with each other? Or, home work, shop, home, work, shop ... and no communication with the former, but fellow citizens, except in social networks? ??
                    4. ironic
                      ironic 25 January 2021 20: 06
                      +2
                      There is an opportunity to study any language as an option, there are state schools where you can choose Russian as a second language for the attestation of maturity, but not visa. Russian-speakers communicate with each other in the first generation in Russian, but in the second in Hebrew. My children know Russian (my mother and I insisted, my wife just didn't really insist), but with my friends only Hebrew, even if they are from Russian-speaking families.
      2. Thrifty
        Thrifty 25 January 2021 17: 23
        0
        ikonic- and there was no ordinary crowbar available? Or a baseball club? ???
        1. ironic
          ironic 25 January 2021 17: 35
          +4
          ironic, I have nothing to do with icons.

          In terms of a crowbar ... I am against killing unnecessarily, besides, an honorable death still needs to be earned.
          A piece of picket fence just right. They will not be accused of using weapons and means of dispersal. Like hooliganism on personal initiative.
          1. Krasnodar
            Krasnodar 25 January 2021 17: 38
            0
            Come on - a crowbar on the thigh and you get a full-fledged low-kick of an eight-year-old Thai. No one has ever died from this laughing
            1. ironic
              ironic 25 January 2021 17: 56
              +3
              Why so urgently and immediately? The picket fence only put on the shoulder has already retreated three steps back. Our letekha, as he saw, already sat down.
              1. Krasnodar
                Krasnodar 25 January 2021 18: 08
                0
                In such situations, it is better to stand calmly with a slightly frightened face. Then the Arabs start to get sick and run up themselves.
                1. ironic
                  ironic 25 January 2021 18: 17
                  +3
                  And you loved to drive them laughing
                2. Krasnodar
                  Krasnodar 25 January 2021 18: 25
                  +4
                  It turned out that they ran into themselves))
                3. ironic
                  ironic 25 January 2021 19: 29
                  +1
                  It turned laughing
                4. dmmyak40
                  dmmyak40 26 January 2021 21: 10
                  +1
                  According to Evdokimov: I don't bother anyone at one end of the village, my father is at the other! wassat
                5. Krasnodar
                  Krasnodar 26 January 2021 21: 16
                  0
                  Come on, there were such shots among the Arabs ... one of them scattered the three of us like children)).
                  From 8 years old they help brothers at construction sites, they work physically
                  Forces - respectively
                6. dmmyak40
                  dmmyak40 27 January 2021 09: 00
                  +1
                  Well, in principle, wherever people are taught with labor from childhood, there are strong and even powerful people. If you saw what Dagestan boys were doing instead of dumbbells and barbells in remote kennels in the Kalmyk steppes ... belay
                7. Krasnodar
                  Krasnodar 27 January 2021 14: 37
                  +1
                  I willingly believe))
  • ironic
    ironic 25 January 2021 16: 55
    +4
    And all the Persians have nothing to do with it. There was a productive dialogue with them until the men in yupkas came to power. But especially zealous ones get where they ask for - as follows according to custom, sitting, facing east, under the evil banner of Islam.
  • The comment was deleted.
  • Maki maki
    Maki maki 25 January 2021 15: 02
    +19
    Atomic deal: Tehran didn’t expect Biden

    The title of the article is not entirely clear. Biden hasn't suggested anything yet
    Biden and his foreign policy team, while deliberately avoiding clear formulations along the line chosen with regard to Iran. They are in no hurry to announce the return of the United States to the JCPOA
    1. ironic
      ironic 25 January 2021 17: 00
      +4
      I hope he has a lot of mind and not to suggest.
  • ironic
    ironic 25 January 2021 16: 51
    +4
    Definitely a peaceful program with a 20% enrichment. Yapatstal. And of course Trump is to blame. Who would have doubted.
  • Outsider
    Outsider 25 January 2021 18: 14
    -1
    Although it is rather difficult to understand what could be the benefit for the United States, which has completely forgotten how to work with the atom.

    - I would like to understand who the author had in mind, from those who "work well with the atom" ?! Kim Jung Eun ?! laughing lol
  • Old26
    Old26 25 January 2021 21: 54
    +4
    Quote: Thrifty
    Well, then besides the Persians at the negotiating table, put Pakistanis, Indians, Chinese, Israelis in order to put nuclear weapons under REAL and not verbal control! Will not work? Then, sniff in two screwdrivers, and do not make the Persians forever extreme! !!

    Damn, let me first come to an agreement with one potential nuclear power. What a mania - to attach everyone to the negotiation process at once. This is the best way to put an end to such negotiations, because there will be a lot of desires. Here a bilateral agreement is concluded for several years, and you want it at once and that's it. It doesn't work that way. The main thing now is these negotiations. It will be better for everyone if Iran does not have nuclear weapons and, accordingly, the sanctions are lifted over time. Otherwise, everything will end with the Persians getting a bomb, and then the neighbors will not seem a little ...
    1. Iris
      Iris 26 January 2021 03: 18
      0
      I absolutely agree.
      There is, however, an opinion that any negotiations with Iran are useless in principle, because the fanatics are not going to agree on anything. The Persians are simply using these negotiations and the agreements concluded under them to replenish the budget through trade and purchase more necessary dual-use materials. They use all the agreements as a cover, that's all.
  • I'm walking by
    I'm walking by 28 January 2021 08: 57
    0
    From the phrase about Iran's uniquely peaceful nuclear program, which Trump provoked into militarization, I stopped reading, the author lives in an alternative reality.