Military Review

Trust in investors

57
Trust in investors

Hopes and worries



Have you ever wondered why most people are pinning their hopes on vaccinations, and millionaires are increasingly anxious about the future? Is it because money received from the air can just as easily turn into air?

Anyone who is even in the least interested in economics probably noticed that the pandemic for someone turned out to be like a war - that the mother is dear. Investments in network technologies and in everything related to medicine in 2020, that is, with the coronavirus, such investors managed to make a lot of money.

We are not talking about bitcoin and crypto-currencies - this area is growing by leaps and bounds, already because the market for network goods and services is growing at a faster pace. Before the collapse of the pyramid there is still oh how far.

But the pandemic pyramid, no matter how much it is fed, can collapse literally overnight. By the way, this, by the way, could already be facilitated by vaccination, but somehow the British strain cut through too in time.

Billions will again be thrown into the fight against it and the subsequent strains (how many there are - hundreds, if not thousands), and at the same time - and with the consequences of BREXIT. Note - billions of unsecured euros and dollars.

Unlike billions of honestly earned raw materials rubles. They are “sterilized” with an enviable consistency by our Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank, but no one is going to remove euros and dollars from the market.

At the same time, these departments will continue to repeat to us about the "safety cushion" and that the practice of withdrawing excess money supply from the market (excess for whom? - Author) has long been a thing of the past.

At the same time, contrary to all logic, their strange decision to buy currency worth 109 billion rubles from the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance is supported by some dubious data. For example, that in Russia the free money supply has grown too much. Free for what? For theft and corruption?

These are not bitcoins for you


Meanwhile, euros and dollars will undoubtedly be launched into the world, and hence into the Russian financial space even more. These are not bitcoins, which are still born not out of thin air, but out of real network interaction.

Right there, the Fed and the European Central Bank have a very good reason - the fight against Covid-19 and its consequences. It is not for nothing that healthcare (66%) and technology (53%) are still the leaders among investment areas in terms of investment volume.

However, it is no coincidence that experts compare such large and very large capital injections with investments in the void. The old myth that foreign investment helps to solve the structural problems of the same Russian economy has long been refuted, but it lives on like the Lenin case.

The structure of our economy began to change for the better, just as investments came to a close due to sanctions and political tensions. And after all, what is characteristic - more precisely, we are talking about investments, of course, not entirely in emptiness, but in momentarily super-profitable projects.

And it doesn't matter that later they will necessarily respond with large-scale collapses. It is no coincidence that most wealthy investors now feel this way, believing that the stock market is in a bubble or close to it.

Don't panic, gentlemen millionaires


Such sentiments are evidenced by data from a study by E-Trade Financial, a traditional crowd of pessimistic analysts who oppose the notorious Bloomberg agency, where (and also traditionally) they prefer moderate but optimism.

Experts interviewed investors with very solid portfolios - at least $ 1 million in weight, and more than half of them talk about swollen stock market bubbles like in 2008. At the same time, 16% of wealthy investors are simply sure that the bubble in the market has already inflated, and 46% of millionaires called the situation something of a “bubble”.

Investors generally have a bad memory - but 2008 reminds of itself.

Only 9% of investors surveyed by E-Trade believe the market is far from a bubble. Meanwhile, practically none of them are planning to leave the market in the near future. How could it be otherwise - the pyramids are still very far from the completion of the construction.

And vaccination is not a cause for concern here. Few on the stock exchanges doubt that the market will end the first quarter with a profit. In addition, openly speculative investors have not even begun to return to markets such as Russia.

These markets are crushed by sanctions, but from this they are no less promising. Already because they are still not overflowing with free funds. Apparently, the Russian Central Bank did not just work to ease restrictions on investors.

welcome to Hell


According to the Russian tradition, everything is packed beautifully, even very much - we are talking about some preferences for inexperienced investors. Once upon a time, "people's IPOs" were presented to the public in about the same way, but the promotion was much steeper.

Here is just a short quote from a presentation from the Central Bank of the Russian Federation:

“From the end of 2022 to October 1, 2021, the period of restrictions on the execution of a number of operations has been reduced - exchange transactions, repo transactions with a central counterparty, transactions in securities from the third list and with foreign securities. The restriction on the sale of bonds only with a certain rating, which will be set by the Bank of Russia, remains in force.

Did you understand anything? I (an economist with fifty years of experience) is also nothing. But now, by and large, the general public is simply indifferent to such innovations from the Central Bank.

Nevertheless, the analytical service FinExpertiza has already determined that in Russia the most profitable investments in 2020 were gold, bitcoin and shares of foreign companies. And this means that people do not wash, so by rolling they manage to invest something somewhere. If, of course, there is something to invest.

So, no medicine and no technology. But it was decided to simplify access to the market for unqualified investors. Although in reality we are only talking about limiting the sales of complex financial products.

There will be no free sale of the same shares of foreign companies, not to mention foreign, mainly American bonds, which our Central Bank loves so much. Not in the foreseeable future, nor, most likely, in the distant future.

There is simply nothing to do with a small capital on the stock exchange - you can only transfer it to the management of a stock broker. The income is slightly more than what the bank will offer.

Yes, in the stock market hell under capitalism, wild or developed, it doesn't matter, only devils can rule the show.
Author:
Photos used:
zzackon.ru, bankist.ru
57 comments
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  1. A. Privalov
    A. Privalov 21 January 2021 18: 10
    +6
    Is it possible to trust such investors

    In no case!
    1. apro
      apro 21 January 2021 18: 13
      +3
      rPrivalov .. what's the point?
      1. A. Privalov
        A. Privalov 21 January 2021 18: 15
        +4
        Quote: apro
        rPrivalov .. what's the point?

        There is no point in investing.
        1. apro
          apro 21 January 2021 18: 20
          +2
          Quote: A. Privalov
          There is no point in investing.

          This is why? And for whom? Is this one of the methods of capitalistic exploitation ... or has something changed in capitalism?
          1. A. Privalov
            A. Privalov 21 January 2021 18: 27
            +9
            Quote: apro
            Why?

            Investments in your area are very risky. It's very easy to stay like the one in the picture.
            1. apro
              apro 21 January 2021 18: 32
              0
              Quote: A. Privalov
              Investments in your area are very risky. It's very easy to stay like the one in the picture.

              I don’t know ... I don’t know .... profits are taken out in wagons ... can you not finish talking about something?
              1. Krasnodar
                Krasnodar 21 January 2021 18: 59
                +8
                Quote: apro
                Quote: A. Privalov
                Investments in your area are very risky. It's very easy to stay like the one in the picture.

                I don’t know ... I don’t know .... profits are taken out in wagons ... can you not finish talking about something?

                You mean the grandmothers who are taken abroad so as not to be left with a bare butt in case they are squeezed out? ))
                This is how the locals do it
              2. A. Privalov
                A. Privalov 21 January 2021 20: 00
                +8
                Quote: apro
                I don’t know ... I don’t know .... profits are taken out in wagons ... can you not finish talking about something?

                Yes, there is nothing special to say. The office in which I worked once had a subsidiary company. They, unlike us, were not engaged in the military industry, but in agriculture: flowers / petals / figli-migli and birds - meat / eggs / semi-finished products. They put the production on a turnkey basis, train personnel, etc.
                Then, they separated and became independent. We delivered a dozen and a half complexes across Europe - Belgium, France, somewhere else ..

                Once someone blew into their ears that in Russia, well, pure Kolondike.
                They had been preparing the trip for 8 months. (We ordered financial calculations, profit / loss, expenses / income from specialists.) We arrived somewhere in the Middle Lane and told the local administration: do you want a poultry farm? We set up everything ourselves - workshops, equipment, give poultry certified for eggs and meat, for standard feed, launch, train, work under our control for a year. After that, pay us such and such an amount. All.

                The locals were looking for a catch for a long time - they didn't find it. They began to send some left-wing bandyukov-looking kids, set some additional conditions ... And then, they grew bolder, but they charged SUCH a rollback that ours almost stuttered. In the morning we got on the plane and that one. wassat
              3. fa2998
                fa2998 21 January 2021 20: 09
                +4
                You are confusing something! Profit is taken out in wagons by our "entrepreneurs" who export our useful resources - oil, gas, aluminum, nickel, etc.
                And the portfolio of foreign investments has "blown away" over the past few years 20 times. Moreover, some "foreign investors" are our oligarchs from offshore companies are gradually importing, again for the modernization of their production, in order to withdraw even more.
            2. Krasnodar
              Krasnodar 21 January 2021 19: 05
              +2
              Quote: A. Privalov
              Quote: apro
              Why?

              Investments in your area are very risky. It's very easy to stay like the one in the picture.

              In addition to the budgetary real estate acquired in the zero cycle from a reliable developer in areas of positive population growth.
              Investments can be made:
              a) Buying at the zero cycle;
              b) co-financing the construction - that is, you buy building materials for the developer for meters of future housing.
              The meaning for you is none.
              It is better to buy real estate in Gush Dan, with an increase of 10% per annum. The head of the management company of Domodedovo Airport is selling his mansion (though in Caesarea) for $ 250 million, his penthouse in Tel Aviv for $ 63 million. Double price increase in 10 years.
              1. ironic
                ironic 24 January 2021 20: 43
                -1
                Better then not in Gush Dan, the growth may be higher. And the aforementioned gentleman decided to earn extra money, most likely on the prospect of selling something to the newly acquired, friendly sheikhs.
                1. Krasnodar
                  Krasnodar 24 January 2021 22: 25
                  +1
                  Maybe higher, or you can lose money altogether (in theory).
                  What kind of sheikhs are there? The national hearth of one of the richest nations on Earth, a couple of years ago a penthouse in Tel Aviv went for $ 150 million, in which, most likely, no one will live for most of the year.
                  1. ironic
                    ironic 25 January 2021 14: 26
                    +3
                    He left with the same prospect, they will end up in the portfolio of the wealthy Russian regulars of Caesarea, and there you see, the guys from the AOE will roll up, so they will cut the dough. With such finishes ala Winter Palace, the Israeli elite does not buy houses or penthouses.
                    1. Krasnodar
                      Krasnodar 25 January 2021 16: 05
                      +1
                      The bandit is clean there - not even Emirats-style. Any big shot from Central Asia with a Soviet Komsomol past can buy. Maximum.
                      1. ironic
                        ironic 25 January 2021 16: 21
                        +3
                        Also an option, but the income is secured.
                      2. Krasnodar
                        Krasnodar 25 January 2021 16: 26
                        +1
                        Most likely - 10% of average Israeli ready-made, i.e. 100% in ten years will receive.
                      3. ironic
                        ironic 25 January 2021 16: 41
                        +2
                        Well, if there are no crisis-like jumps in the Israeli real estate market.
                      4. Krasnodar
                        Krasnodar 25 January 2021 16: 42
                        +1
                        There will be no more kipish in the world, more Jews are preparing an alternate airfield
                      5. ironic
                        ironic 25 January 2021 16: 46
                        +3
                        Is not a fact. Bibi provided consistent earnings on real estate and, accordingly, tax revenues to the treasury. If he has to give in at least some of the implication, a populist may jump out, not understanding that it is impossible to abruptly lower this market without damaging the banking system and cause trouble.
                      6. Krasnodar
                        Krasnodar 25 January 2021 16: 52
                        +1
                        Populists will be eaten with all their hara - that is, with movable property
                      7. ironic
                        ironic 25 January 2021 18: 29
                        +3
                        The main thing is to eat quickly, because they can hesitate. The hell is going on right now.
                      8. Krasnodar
                        Krasnodar 25 January 2021 18: 30
                        0
                        By the way, all the friends are crying - what's going on there?
  • evgen1221
    evgen1221 21 January 2021 19: 22
    +2
    It depends on what is meant by investment, we call short-term speculation on plus or minus investments. But no serious investment in production is being observed.
    1. Krasnodar
      Krasnodar 24 January 2021 22: 26
      +1
      Because they can press production.
  • Ingvar 72
    Ingvar 72 22 January 2021 09: 43
    +1
    Quote: A. Privalov
    There is no point in investing.

    And in the hope of these, even more so. wink
  • Krasnodar
    Krasnodar 21 January 2021 18: 15
    +6
    The fact that investing in the real sector of the economy of the country depicted in the caricature will remain without cowards
    1. apro
      apro 21 January 2021 18: 21
      -1
      Quote: Krasnodar
      The fact that investing in the real sector of the economy of the country depicted in the caricature will remain without cowards

      not caught. which country?
      1. Krasnodar
        Krasnodar 21 January 2021 18: 22
        +2
        Identify by the form of the customs officer laughing
        I could not
    2. ironic
      ironic 24 January 2021 20: 41
      +2
      In the sense of a customs officer? Well, yes, what a real sector.
      1. Krasnodar
        Krasnodar 24 January 2021 23: 38
        0
        Quote: ironic
        In the sense of a customs officer? Well, yes, what a real sector.

        In terms of the shadow economy? laughing
        1. ironic
          ironic 25 January 2021 13: 09
          +2
          In terms of current reality. wink
  • Civil
    Civil 21 January 2021 20: 31
    +4
    Yes, in the stock market hell under capitalism, wild or developed, it doesn't matter, only devils can rule the show.

    1. Enough for macaroshki and okay.
    2. The main thing is that NATO does not attack.
    3. In Ukraine it is even worse.
  • ironic
    ironic 24 January 2021 20: 33
    -1
    But in the opposite direction they invest in everything.
  • Bolt cutter
    Bolt cutter 21 January 2021 18: 16
    +4
    bitcoins, which are still not born out of thin air, but out of real network interaction.
    And what are these bitcoins backed by? laughing ? Resources? Unique products? Soldiers' boots? They are just trust tokens.
    1. ironic
      ironic 24 January 2021 20: 35
      +1
      The consumed electricity / time and the cost of the hardware executing the algorithm. those. valid resources.
  • tralflot1832
    tralflot1832 21 January 2021 18: 40
    +6
    Musk with his Tesla produces only 5% of cars from Tayota, and the capitalization is bigger than Toyota. Isn't it a bubble? There will be a big boda boom, women's hairdressers will survive. Women want to be beautiful no matter what.
    1. ironic
      ironic 24 January 2021 20: 37
      -3
      Musk makes high-tech cars of the future, while Tayota drives mostly knurled ones with an emphasis on reliability. Investors naturally react to prospects.
      1. tralflot1832
        tralflot1832 24 January 2021 20: 45
        +1
        Tesla's reports look, the Americans themselves admit that this is horror.
        1. ironic
          ironic 25 January 2021 13: 00
          +3
          Yeah, look at Tesla's share - 1200% per year. And the speed of increasing production, that's where the horror in the good sense of the word.

          And look at the obsolete engines of older Lexus and Land Cruisers and compare the diesel of the Land Cruiser and the American T6, not to mention the new 400D from the gelding. Therefore, Tayota's share with all production is where it should be.
          1. tralflot1832
            tralflot1832 25 January 2021 13: 41
            0
            Tesla shares soared after one analyst said the share price is more than 1000 green rubles. The hangover will be hard. But this miracle can become a millionaire.
            1. ironic
              ironic 25 January 2021 14: 04
              +3
              And he said it right.
              I'm not worried about them, Tesla has something to drink. The same cannot be said about many of its "conventional" competitors.
  • From Tomsk
    From Tomsk 21 January 2021 19: 01
    +4
    What is described in the article is the so-called speculative investment. Real investments in the Russian economy have not been, and are not expected. The currency cash that enters the country is simply laundered loot from offshore companies owned by Russian companies, the so-called "tax optimization".
    1. ironic
      ironic 25 January 2021 13: 17
      +2
      Well, if it eventually enters the domestic market, it's still a plus.
  • evgen1221
    evgen1221 21 January 2021 19: 20
    0
    Kovid19 will begin to blow off, Kovid20 will immediately come up with. And the quality of all these financial experts is suspicious. In our country, every journalist is called that vociferous, but these studied there.
  • Semenov
    Semenov 21 January 2021 20: 00
    +20
    In short, they will continue to rob.
    1. ironic
      ironic 25 January 2021 13: 15
      +2
      They rob it when the taxes are exorbitant from any operation, but with you just this is not so bad.
  • Aleks2000
    Aleks2000 21 January 2021 22: 13
    +1
    Written. So what? No numbers, no statistics, only reasoning and emotions.

    Stocks have started to rise again, Billionaires are getting richer, banks are opening brokerage services and IIS.
    If you roam Sberbank shares - take it. Norilsk Nickel -bury. Lukoil - on!

    And nafig everything was still to interfere with vaccination ...
  • Vadim_888
    Vadim_888 21 January 2021 23: 38
    +1
    It is high time for Russia to implement Kennedy's idea of ​​introducing natural money, that is, the silver ruble, into circulation, this rule will deprive the government of the ability to manipulate the ruble exchange rate, but will preserve the welfare of citizens
    1. ANB
      ANB 22 January 2021 21: 06
      0
      ... Kennedy's idea

      However, he ended badly.
    2. ironic
      ironic 24 January 2021 20: 38
      +1
      It will not deprive you, and in any country. This is an illusion.
  • Jaromir
    Jaromir 22 January 2021 00: 22
    +18
    in the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance, contrary to all logic, they back up with some dubious data. For example, that in Russia the free money supply has grown too much

    Somehow it is not noticeable ... Especially against the background of last year's imitation ...
  • Jaromir
    Jaromir 22 January 2021 00: 45
    +16
    in Russia, the most profitable investments in 2020 were gold, bitcoin and shares of foreign companies

    I don’t know about bitcoin, but gold has always been a profitable investment. As for foreign securities, the government in them keeps 90% of the NWF's savings in placements of securities of foreign countries of the following countries: Austria; Belgium; Great Britain; Germany; Denmark; Spain; Canada; Luxembourg; Netherlands; USA; Finland; France; Sweden...
    https://minfin.gov.ru/ru/perfomance/nationalwealthfund/management/
  • nikvic46
    nikvic46 22 January 2021 06: 45
    0
    If this is a fake, then I am not responsible for it. "There are 700 thousand of our accounts located abroad. In the amount of 13 trillion dollars." This is not an investment of the West?
    1. ironic
      ironic 24 January 2021 20: 39
      -1
      And what is bad about it if you have money to invest?
  • parusnik
    parusnik 22 January 2021 06: 49
    +3
    and continue to repeat about the "safety cushion" and that the practice of withdrawing from the market excess money supply (excess for whom? - Auth.)
    ..Yes, yes, most of the population has a salary, from 17 thousand, which increases annually from 200 to 500 rubles and this segment of the population accumulates an awesome surplus money supply. The same can be said about pensions. At the same time, this mass is eaten up instantly by growth prices for utilities, goods, services ..
  • Peaceful SEO
    Peaceful SEO 23 January 2021 02: 14
    0
    I didn't understand anything, but I started to worry
  • ironic
    ironic 24 January 2021 20: 52
    +2
    Hmm, the author amused me with the thesis about unsecured euros and dollars, but they say that raw materials are provided. Interestingly, what, according to the author, is invested in commodity stocks, the price of which is strongly linked to printed dollars and, to a lesser extent, printed euros? Isn't the rise in cryptocurrency prices connected with this? Well, yes, of course, schaz ...