Military Review

The Swedish press explains why a Russian attack on this country is unlikely

41
The Swedish press explains why a Russian attack on this country is unlikely

A Russian attack on Sweden is unlikely, unless there is a war between the major powers. This is the conclusion reached by Sven Hirdman, a former ambassador to Moscow and deputy defense minister, and Rolf Ekeus, a former ambassador to Washington and the High Commissioner for National Minorities, writes the Swedish newspaper ETC.


According to Swedish experts, the main threat to Sweden is the war between the United States and Russia in the European theater of operations. In this case, Russia can invade Swedish territory. However, if there are no wars or provocations, an attack by the Russian army on Sweden is unlikely.

According to Hirdman and Ekeus, there are several reasons why Russia will not attack Sweden:

1. Sweden does not represent a strategic goal for Russia, Moscow has no territorial claims to Stockholm.
2. Sweden is a neutral state that has not been a member of any alliances for 200 years, but when attacked, both NATO and the EU can stand up for it.
3. The potential losses of the Russian army in an attack on Sweden may exceed the potential benefits of this attack.
4. Russia is not the Soviet Union. It is strange why in Sweden Russia, led by Putin, who does not express any aggressive plans, is more afraid of the USSR, led by communist leaders who have seized half of Europe.

The authors of the article are confident that Russia will not attack either Finland, Poland or the Baltic states. The suggestions that the Russian army will deliberately attack the West European states that are members of NATO are completely implausible.

NATO itself admits that Russia does not violate the borders of European states, and the conflicts with Georgia and Ukraine are in no way related to the confrontation with Europe, but are rooted in the Soviet past, when long-standing problems came to light after the collapse of the USSR.

Thus, Sweden needs to continue to adhere to its neutral status and not enter into any alliances with the participation of the United States and NATO outside its territory. Strengthen cooperation with Finland and prevent the military presence of foreign states on their territories.

Sweden should not behave in such a way that Russia would have reason to believe that we intend to join NATO, thereby preparing for war. Likewise, we should not instill such hope in the United States

- summarize the authors, adding that in this case an attack on Sweden is unlikely.
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  1. Mavrikiy
    Mavrikiy 12 January 2021 13: 08
    +11
    NATO itself admits that Russia does not violate the borders of European states
    , repeat unlike NATO.
  2. Magic archer
    Magic archer 12 January 2021 13: 10
    +22
    Previously, he often visited Sweden. Great country. I talked to the Swedes. In 2014, when Crimea was returning, the entire local press shouted about aggression and the Swedes and I discussed this issue. They asked, well, Russians, can you attack? And when I answered with a grin, why do we need you, Nicholas and his brother Mikael with his sister furiously showed how we need them laughing time passed. They admitted that I was right and complain very much about the dominance of refugees. Stockholm is no longer as safe as it used to be. And Gothenburg too .. So the conclusions drawn by these gentlemen are just a secret of Punchinel hi
    1. VORON538
      VORON538 12 January 2021 14: 22
      +4
      Sweden for Russia as the notorious "elusive Joe" from an anecdote
      In general, it is not needed ... at all
    2. sleeve
      sleeve 12 January 2021 14: 46
      +2
      Stockholm is no longer so safe, and it is not clear to whom Russia needs "aggression" more ... Maybe Sweden itself?
  3. Avior
    Avior 12 January 2021 13: 11
    +17
    These things are treated with humor in Sweden. smile
    1. Magic archer
      Magic archer 12 January 2021 13: 29
      +2
      Cool video)) watched it 100 times))) especially about the Finns)))
    2. nonsense
      nonsense 12 January 2021 21: 27
      +3
      smile nope, this is:
  4. iouris
    iouris 12 January 2021 13: 13
    +13
    What about the likelihood of Sweden's participation in the NATO attack on the Russian Federation?
  5. kit88
    kit88 12 January 2021 13: 14
    +8
    Evil orcs, by definition, simply have to want to attack the light elves.
  6. HAM
    HAM 12 January 2021 13: 14
    +2
    Who will listen to her then, Sweden! The chef from overseas will tell you to join NATO, so they will join, like dear ones ... they accept as many refugees as necessary, so the already occupied country is afraid of that ...
    Although there are common thoughts ... not all Swedes have a roof leaking yet ..
  7. Dym71
    Dym71 12 January 2021 13: 21
    +5
    Sweden does not represent a strategic goal for Russia, Moscow has no territorial claims to Stockholm.

    Nonsense, we will come up with a blackening wassat
  8. Ros 56
    Ros 56 12 January 2021 13: 25
    +1
    How many times in the history of Sweden has Russia been attacked and Sweden has attacked Russia? Here is the answer to these stupid questions of stupid politicians.
    1. nonsense
      nonsense 12 January 2021 21: 11
      +4
      smile Bad example. You probably think that Russia has NEVER attacked Sweden? - And who started the Northern War of 1700-1721?
      1. unhappy
        unhappy 13 January 2021 08: 57
        0
        Svidomo?
        And maybe you know why Alexander Nevsky is named "Nevsky"? And who came to whom as an uninvited guest?
        1. Petr Vladimirovich
          Petr Vladimirovich 13 January 2021 18: 08
          0
          Doesn't know and doesn't want to know ...
  9. Blacksmith 55
    Blacksmith 55 12 January 2021 13: 26
    +9
    I think Russia will not attack other countries either, just leave it alone, do not threaten or impose an arms race.
    Russia has enough of its own problems, they could be solved, why does it need more, for example, the Baltic countries or Sweden?
  10. AB
    AB 12 January 2021 13: 26
    0
    So let them sit like a mouse under a broom and don't even squeak. And it’s a pity that when they start to squeak, it’s impossible to drive them in the face with the same broom.
    1. Pavel73
      Pavel73 13 January 2021 12: 54
      0
      You shouldn't talk so derogatoryly about far from the worst neighbors. Especially if they reason reasonably.
      1. AB
        AB 14 January 2021 12: 51
        0
        You shouldn't talk so derogatoryly about far from the worst neighbors.

        You say good neighbors. Oh well. That's what lies on the surface, you don't even need to look for it ...
        09.04.2020/XNUMX/XNUMX - Members of the Swedish parliament called on Europe to reintroduce sanctions against Russia in the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe. The Swedish parliamentarians said that after the entry of Crimea into it, Russia is not behaving the way Europe wants.
        15.12.2020/40/XNUMX - The Swedish parliament has decided on a large increase in military spending. The country's defense budget was increased by XNUMX percent. Officials emphasized that Russia was the main reason for this step.
        18.12.2020/XNUMX/XNUMX - Swedish television announced that the country's army is ready to strike at Russian military bases with long-range missiles.
        28.12.2020/XNUMX/XNUMX - The Swedish Foreign Minister said that the main threats to European security are Russia and its "aggression" against Ukraine.
        1. Pavel73
          Pavel73 14 January 2021 14: 09
          0
          Not the worst does not mean the best. There is simply a lot worse.
  11. zwlad
    zwlad 12 January 2021 13: 40
    +1
    Well, now the Swedes will sleep peacefully!
    Russia will not attack!
    1. Pavel73
      Pavel73 13 January 2021 12: 53
      +1
      Long live ABBA and IKEA! :)
  12. tlauicol
    tlauicol 12 January 2021 13: 49
    +2
    1. Sweden does not border on Russia - how to attack it then?
    1. Simargl
      Simargl 13 January 2021 06: 14
      +2
      Quote: Tlauicol
      Sweden does not border on Russia - how to attack it then?
      Does the US attack everyone it can? And they border on only three states.
      1. tlauicol
        tlauicol 13 January 2021 07: 57
        +1
        Quote: Simargl
        Quote: Tlauicol
        Sweden does not border on Russia - how to attack it then?
        Does the US attack everyone it can? And they border on only three states.

        Fleet, bases, landing capabilities. Are we going to cross the ice?
        1. Simargl
          Simargl 13 January 2021 20: 54
          0
          Quote: Tlauicol
          Are we going to cross the ice?
          BDK not enough?
          1. tlauicol
            tlauicol 14 January 2021 07: 07
            0
            Quote: Simargl
            Quote: Tlauicol
            Are we going to cross the ice?
            BDK not enough?

            Marine Regiment? Excluding losses during passage and disembarkation
  13. Vladimir_2U
    Vladimir_2U 12 January 2021 14: 09
    +11
    This is the conclusion reached by Sven Hirdman, a former ambassador
    The amazing world of Western politics: as soon as someone becomes a former, they immediately become noticeably more adequate in their assessments of Russia. Primarily.
  14. Poetry
    Poetry 12 January 2021 14: 14
    +13
    People who pose a danger to Sweden are already inside this very Sweden. Outwardly, they are very different from the native Swedes.
  15. bar
    bar 12 January 2021 14: 14
    +6
    A Russian attack on Sweden is unlikely, unless there is a war between the major powers.

    Gosha! Did they begin to guess? recourse
    1. Crash
      Crash 12 January 2021 16: 56
      0
      Quote: bar
      Did they begin to guess?

      The proximity of Finns and Estonians affects smile
  16. Doccor18
    Doccor18 12 January 2021 14: 17
    +5
    High Commissioner for National Minorities.

    You have to mess with the word "commissar" ...
  17. rocket757
    rocket757 12 January 2021 14: 27
    +1
    Sweden should not behave in such a way that Russia would have reason to believe that we intend to join NATO, thereby preparing for war. Likewise, we should not instill such hope in the United States

    Neither ours nor yours .... A sho, such a normal logic.
  18. businessv
    businessv 12 January 2021 14: 41
    +1
    Strengthen interaction with Finland and prevent the military presence of foreign states on their territories.
    Sweden needs to lobby in the EU Parliament, the creation of the Russian - European Defense Forces and propose to remove from Europe all troops that have no relation to this alliance, and everyone will be happy! smile
  19. Knell wardenheart
    Knell wardenheart 12 January 2021 14: 43
    +1
    It was and remained a bearish Sandinavian corner. Everyone knows their specific "neutrality" on the one hand, on the other hand, everyone also understands that their dem. potential and civil-political position will not allow their authorities to be scattered by their own population for some kind of adventures with a high degree of probability. So they vryatli interest us as a goal, vryatli we interest them as something, another thing is that in the event of a major mess, they are one of the last to crawl to the trough.
  20. Selevc
    Selevc 12 January 2021 14: 46
    +1
    Anyone who is likely to attack the Swedes will cut off and turn back when they see their tank squalor Strv-103 !!!
    Back in the 60s, the Swedes carried out a revolution in tank building by releasing the world's only "crazy" tank !!! Moreover, this tank is so reckless that in order to track a moving target, it needs to turn the entire body of the vehicle, and to monitor the battlefield, you probably need to raise the periscope or send the Carlson gunner to walk on the roof !!! Brilliant Vikings !!!
    1. Pavel73
      Pavel73 13 January 2021 12: 51
      0
      No, a very curious tank. Also floating, too.
      1. Petr Vladimirovich
        Petr Vladimirovich 13 January 2021 18: 11
        0
        And I saw this with a periscope in an American film ...
  21. aleks700
    aleks700 12 January 2021 16: 45
    +1
    These are the agents of Moscow. Shoot. Or extradite to American justice, let him go to prison for 150 years.
  22. Pavel73
    Pavel73 13 January 2021 12: 50
    0
    Well, there are also voices of reason in the West!
  23. Petr Vladimirovich
    Petr Vladimirovich 13 January 2021 18: 18
    0
    It reminded me of how Karl chased August for 8 years across Europe. And I did not catch up ...
    And also the video of the Lipetsk group about the final, Poltava: "and none of us understood, nafuya just came ..." fellow