I must admit, it was interesting to read the comments on the article about the geopolitical results of 2020.
Simply because such questions are difficult enough to understand. And an unprepared person often simply cannot discern large-scale events.
And the reaction of ideological opponents, for whom such topics are most often terra incognita, was interesting. Although, I confess that I know perfectly well how such people usually react in this case. Either we get personal, or we take the discussion in the other direction ...
Today I would like to slightly expand my understanding of what I wrote about in December. Considering the fact that the situation in any region of the world is formed by many factors, seemingly not particularly important, at first glance, but having their own
we will focus on the region closest to most readers - Europe. More precisely, about what Russia looks like in European politics.
Victories that are not shouted about and which are not seen by radical "patriots"
Tell me, do you believe that there are victories that ordinary people don't even know about? They, when their time comes, appear "out of nowhere" and cause a violent reaction from patriots:
"This is a move!"
"How did we get it this way",
"An accident, but we won again!" ...
"How did we get it this way",
"An accident, but we won again!" ...
The example of Nagorno-Karabakh, I think, is enough to answer this question. And the situation in Ukraine today also answers many supporters of a military solution to the conflict.
Ukraine is successfully defeating itself without the help of Russia. By the way, many Ukrainian citizens are in favor of a quick military solution to the problem.
"Declare war and immediately sign the act of surrender"
Let the "conquerors" feed us and restore our economy ...
But today we are talking about Europe.
What victories were there? What few people talk about in the media and Internet blogs. Considering the announcement that I gave at the beginning of the article, we will not consider Europe in general, but specific countries. This will make it clearer and easier to evaluate the work of our geopolitics specialists.
Let's start with the leading EU countries.
Outwardly, relations between Russia and France have not changed much.
The French president does not run to the phone for any reason to ask for advice from his Russian counterpart. Many times we have heard not very flattering statements about our decisions or actions. But…
Has anyone thought about which state has historically been the "master", for example, Syria, CAR or Libya? Whose influence were these countries? And who is located in these countries today? Who now has a sufficiently serious influence on the governments of these states?
I'm not going to write about the military base in Sudan. Russia in the Red Sea ...
Remember when we were actually there? When did the Russians have military or naval bases there?
There is one more region (already mentioned by me above) in which France played a significant role. Do you remember who settled the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh for many years?
Yes, apart from Russia, it is France.
Well, also the USA. About Americans today, either good or nothing. There, even without Karabakh, merrymaking is planned for years.
And where is France today on the Karabakh issue? Armenia is there. Azerbaijan is there. Russia is there. Turkey is there. And France? No. And there will be no more ...
Like these ones
over the descendants of Napoleon.
And this is just part of the iceberg. Well, you know, icebergs have much less visible topside than hidden under water ...
To be honest, after the British left the EU, it became unclear to me whether the UK is part of Europe politically.
So, I will proceed from geography. Moreover, in relations with this particular country, many, in general, do not see any positive for us. Let's lift the veil of this secret.
British diplomacy is a fairly serious adversary. Probably the most solid of all that exists today.
It is Britain that is famous for its diplomats and diplomatic school with centuries-old traditions. Paradoxically, in this case, our victory was the result of ... our inaction in this direction.
Many remember how the British violently attacked Russia over Novichok and other intrigues of the Russian special services. And our sluggish reaction to these attacks has not been forgotten either. Meli, Emelya - your week. And what happened in the end?
But nothing. Except for another press cliché.
Moreover, Russia's actions in other countries have put the British in an idiotic position. Remember our military doctors in Italy and in other European countries, when they disinfected entire cities ...
The British look bad today. Even in the UK itself, voices of outrage are heard about the government's position on the Covid-19 pandemic. People are dying, and it is important for the government that
"Bast-foot Russia and wild China" did not overtake "civilized countries" in creating a vaccine.
By the way, not many people paid attention to one incident that happened literally before our very eyes almost yesterday.
Remember how hard Western countries promoted the Chinese origin of the coronavirus? Literally every day, the American and European media reported about the bat-eaters from Wuhan, calling the virus Chinese.
Did not work out. Today few people remember the name "Chinese virus". But we hear about the British virus every day. Strange, isn't it?
But the British got the biggest kick ... again, in Nagorno-Karabakh. And again ... with the inaction of Russian diplomacy. Many analysts were very surprised at the too timely and precise actions of the Turks after the outbreak of the war. And a decent number of UAVs was amazing. Why did this happen?
Several times in the press there have been reports of the involvement of the British MI6 in the operation. Britain has invested too much in Turkey and Azerbaijan to stand on the sidelines when it is possible to snatch something. The British invested in Turkish drones with money and technology. The British also pumped Azerbaijani oil. And it was the British who were profitable to squeeze Russia out of this region.
The Turks, however (let's pretend it's not clear why), threw Britain with the oil-bearing regions of the Caspian.
Moreover, the Russians have become entrenched in the region.
And now this tidbit has become inaccessible for the descendants of the Britons. It remains to be hoped that the war in Syria will continue.
How much criticism have we seen regarding Germany last year. How many accusations of betrayal. And also - in their sycophancy and submission to the United States ...
I will not argue with that. Indeed, European countries, including Germany, are vassals of the United States. The Second World War is not over for them. The occupation continues.
But there is one way to see the situation in the right way. Simple and known to everyone from childhood. But for some reason it was "carefully forgotten" by many analysts. It is necessary to judge not by words, but by deeds. Based on the results of. Simple, isn't it? What do we end up with? For example, according to SP-2?
We have absolutely not what all our opponents are shouting about.
First, Germany has already established a gas distribution network in Europe.
Secondly, today there is no greater ally for Russia than Germany in the issue of completing the SP-2.
See how Merkel bent Denmark? How did the Poles and other Balts shut up? How did it happen that US LNG did not replace Russian gas? And for some reason Russian LNG went eastward - to China?
After all the talk about sanctions, blockades and other nonsense that the Europeans are forced to support by order of the United States, by hook or by crook the idea of creating a pan-European hub is pushed through in Germany.
Yes, the Germans were forced to interrupt cooperation for some time. But again, what's the bottom line?
Even our Ukrainian friends today are once again scratching their heads about gas transit. It was Germany that unambiguously indicated that it would fight for the preservation of the Ukrainian gas transportation system, but ...
Again this is the notorious but.
The Ukrainian gas transportation system is necessary only as a backup route in case of force majeure when supplying the EU with gas from Russia. That is, the Ukrainian gas transportation system will not bring profit.
Again, I will remind some analysts of how much time they have been convincing us that the main thing for Ukraine is to become independent from Russian gas. Well?
Here it is independence, available. In full.
The EU refuses to sell Russian gas at an affordable price. Ukraine cannot buy at European prices. The picture "I fought ..." comes to mind.
How they beat Russian nerves in 2020
Russians (in the broadest sense of the word) have one mental trait that our enemies often use. This is the memory of the past, reverence for the feats of ancestors and the readiness to protect this memory at any time.
Many anti-Russian companies are built on this, from the exaltation of our enemies from among the traitors to the USSR and the former Soviet republics and ending with the demolition of monuments to Soviet soldiers liberators.
Good or bad is not the essence of today's article. Probably, it simply cannot be otherwise in a country where practically every family has a memory of the heroes of the Great Patriotic War. Where there is no family that this war would somehow not affect. This is what makes us different from most Europeans. Descendants of the victors from the descendants of the vanquished ...
2020 has just shown us some great examples of such campaigns. Their task was to destroy our friends with our hands.
I understand that for some, what I will write now will be an unpleasant surprise. I agree that it is difficult to admit even to yourself that you are being used in the dark. Like a doll. Nonetheless…
Let me remind you of some of the events that caused great negativity in the past year among a multitude of not only Russian citizens, but also citizens of the former USSR. Remember how you personally reacted to the decision of some Czech regions to demolish monuments to Soviet commanders? About the monument tank T-34 in a German helmet? And so on? Remember your reaction?
Any normal person, according to the idea of the organizers of the action, will go out into the street and demand to punish the Czech Republic for indecency. However, the Russian government for some reason did not stir up the conflict. Betrayal of the memory of grandfathers and great-grandfathers? No, a sober assessment of the situation! An ordinary person will not deal with who exactly makes the decision to provoke. He will demand to punish the whole country.
Paradoxically, the Czech Republic is today one of Russia's most important allies in the EU. And the point is not in the special love of the Czechs for Russia. Everything is much more prosaic. The Czech Republic is one of the most industrialized countries in the EU. The competitiveness of industrial products of Czech enterprises is ensured by the low cost of the energy carriers they use. And these carriers are supplied by Russia.
So it turns out that by promoting their interests in the EU, the Czechs are working for Russia as well. Moreover, even these notorious "their interests" the Czechs coordinate with the Russians. As they say, nothing personal - just business. We understand this. Those who don't like it very much also know.
The Kremlin had the political courage not to react to all provocations in the way that radical patriots demanded.
Analysts perfectly calculated those who organized it. And the performers of the actions were not involved in the state power in any way. Township elders, many of whom were clearly bought by Western intelligence services even before they were elected as district or town elders.
And about the monuments ...
I think that this problem will be solved much faster than it seems. The headman is an elected person. And at the same time, it is financially responsible. And the decision of the city or district council can be easily changed under another headman. Well, that's right, thinking out loud.
Victory that everyone saw and almost no one noticed
I would like to tell you about another victory, which perfectly testifies to the attitude of ordinary Europeans towards Russia and towards Russians today.
This victory happened in Austria.
No, the Austrians did not oppose everyone and for Russia. They just perfectly understood their own benefits and supported in the elections those politicians who not only spoke about the interests of citizens, but also did a lot to observe these interests.
Not many people today can say what is remarkable about the small village of Hamilz in the south of Austria. And in 2018, the whole world was buzzing about the wedding that took place there. 53-year-old Austrian Foreign Minister Karin Kneissl married 65-year-old businessman Wolfgang Meilinger. And one of the guests at this wedding was ... Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Many then perceived this fact as a whim of Putin. And yet this is an indicator of the level of mutual trust and mutual cooperation between Austria and Russia even then.
Those who are seriously involved in geopolitical issues are well aware that Austria occupies a special position in Russian foreign policy. As well as the fact that in the near future attempts will be made to change the leadership of the state. Moreover, the federal chancellor at that time was a young European politician Sebastian Kurz.
Sometimes the question arises about the reasons for the good relations between Russia and Austria. They are exactly the same as those of the Czechs. Austria makes good money on Russian energy resources. Given the rather florid history of this state, the Austrians perfectly understood that politics is just a means and a way, if you will, to live well.
So, a political attack began on the Chancellor. A win-win tactic was chosen. The very famous Ibiza Gate. The work was done clumsily
"Daughter of a Russian oligarch"
who allegedly ensured the victory of some candidates in the elections, turned out to be an actress from a completely different country. But since the vice-chancellor and leader of the Freedom Party Heinz-Christian Strache and the deputy chairman of the Freedom Party Johann Gudenus were involved in the scandal, Chancellor Kurz's government resigned.
But the unexpected happened.
In the new elections on September 29, 2019, the Freedom Party wins. And at the beginning of 2020, Sebastian Kurz becomes Federal Chancellor of Austria again!
The people confirmed by this choice their support for Kurz in the policy of rapprochement with Russia.
Europe is slowly turning towards Russia
As you can see, the European states, despite the enormous pressure from the United States, are turning towards Russia politically.
To some extent, this is the result of our work. To some extent, this is a search for a way out of the impasse into which European diplomacy has entered under pressure from Washington. And in some ways it is a desire to simply survive in conditions when the world order is being destroyed.
There are many reasons.
We also cannot speak of a global victory.
Life goes on. This means that the struggle continues. And competition in the markets, and lobbying for their own interests, and oppression of the well-known for the sake of the strong.
But at least two conclusions should be drawn today.
First, European countries are trying to get their foreign policy out of the American press, striving to become more independent in their position.
And secondly, American influence on the decisions of Europeans is decreasing.
The big game continues ...