Military Review

Positive grafting: from Bloomberg, Bild and Saxo Bank

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Positive grafting: from Bloomberg, Bild and Saxo Bank

Russian gas will come to Europe



The authors have repeatedly noted that the Bloomberg agency is difficult to suspect, not only in sympathy, but even simply in loyalty to Russia. No, about our bankers and financiers in power in Bloomberg they can say as much as they like that they are the best in the world.

We understand perfectly well for whom they are really "best". It is all the more important to hear at least something encouraging from an unbiased expert. Especially when it comes to such an important project as Nord Stream 2.


So far, Bloomberg has limited itself to stating that Russia has continued to complete the construction of Nord Stream 2. Without paying any attention to the US sanctions and related restrictive measures:

"The USA could not stop construction!"

As you know, the pipe-laying barge Fortuna arrived to the German shores to replace the crane and pipe-laying vessel "Akademik Chersky" just a few days later, and almost immediately started laying pipes on a 2,6 km section.

Work on the construction of two parallel underwater sections in German waters should be completed by December 31, 2020. Then the authorization period from the German network agency expires (read more "Where are you going," Academician Chersky "?).

At the same time, Bloomberg does not at all forget about the American sanctions. But it is limited to a reminder that now we are talking only about expanding the scope of the measures taken by the American administration back in October.

At the moment, these measures include not only Gazprom and companies that are directly involved in the construction of the gas pipeline. Among the victims are all those who provide various services to the ships involved in the construction, including financial ones.

Winners will not be sued


Bloomberg has not yet given an answer as to how the project operator, the German company Nord Stream-2 AG, managed to get away from the sanctions. But we don't have to look too far for the answer. It has already been published in the popular German publication Bild.


They reported on the decision of the government of the German federal state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, which is likely to become a precedent for the implementation of the project as a whole. Moreover, with the extension for the period of operation of the gas pipeline, which, obviously, will begin in 2021.

In Mecklenburg-Pomerania, they plan to create a climate protection fund, which should help bypass US sanctions against the Russian Nord Stream 2 pipeline. Apparently, Germany promptly took into account the Russian experience of re-registering ships laying pipes in the Baltic.

Let us recall that this allows virtually any American restrictions to be ignored. Moreover, at the moment, the problems with calculations and insurance of work have been removed, since all this is carried out through channels that, in fact, turned out to be within the project.

Most likely, too much of the German Climate Fund will not be required: judging by the Bild publication, it will only have to recognize the Russian pipeline.

“The most important component for the protection of the environment in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern”.

And then already

"To do everything in his power to contribute to the completion of the project."

The fund will create something like a fly-by-night company that the German operator can use to complete the construction of Nord Stream 2.

The three-stage business structure envisages that companies from the Federal Republic of Germany, which have found themselves under US sanctions, will provide their services to the climate fund, and the fund itself - to Gazprom.

At one time, we recall, it was about much more radical ideas of countering the sanctions imposed by Washington against the Russian gas concern and a number of Western companies for working on the pipeline. For example, earlier there was a forecast about the division of the project to exclude the monopoly of the Russian Gazprom, as well as the idea of ​​attracting a major partner from the United States.

Among other things, they even talked about halving the design capacity of the gas pipeline during its operation. And that's all - in order to comply with all sorts of standards with which the United States justified its sanctions or attracted, for example, Denmark and Poland to them.

The German edition writes that

“Technically, German companies will not interact with Nord Stream 2, there will be no sanctions, and the Russian project, thus, can still be implemented.

And the ruble will still be


Last week, one of the most sought-after banking analysts, chief economist at Saxo Bank, Steen Jacobsen, unleashed truly "dire" forecasts for 2021 on the public's head. On the dangers of vaccination, overheating of the economy and impending unemployment ("2021 will be even worse - nightmares of vaccinations, unemployment and digital yuan").


Today we will not impose on our readers a direct connection between the ups and downs with Nord Stream 2 and a new portion of forecasts from the Danish banker.

But let's not exclude it. After all, the new, already encouraging forecast by Steen Jacobsen, first of all, affected just Russia, or rather, its financial system.

To be even clearer - specifically the Russian ruble, its exchange rate and real potential. So, Steen Jacobsen quite unexpectedly promised us a solid strengthening of the ruble, and in the near future.

The dollar, according to his estimates, should fall at the rate of up to 2021 rubles in 65. The streams of information are now so great that overlaps and countless repetitions are inevitable. But the trend, you see, is visible.

Isn't that why the authoritative analyst decided to start the new week with a positive one. However, the positive, in contrast to the spectacular "horror stories", especially circulated around the world (and even in Russia), the business press did not.

Let us recall that a week ago Jacobsen somehow diluted his "horror films" with the expectation of a world energy breakthrough and the chances for the revival of developing countries with natural resources. However, the positive was still clearly not enough.

However, about the "positive" 65 rubles per dollar, many may object and about 65 kopecks. In response, we recall the real fact: the time after the default, when the ruble, which jumped at the turn of 1998 and 1999 from 6 rubles at the exchange rate to 30 or even more, then steadily strengthened for several years. By the summer of 2008, the dollar began to cost us about 23 rubles.

As you can see, the decline in the dollar exchange rate in those years was more than 20 percent, although this did not interfere with the constant rise in consumer prices. Nevertheless (in comparison with the return of the ruble only to last year's levels and local strengthening even by 10 percent), it really was a lot.
Author:
Photos used:
mediaimpact.de, www.home.sax, ru.krymr.com, digiday.com, cartoon by Sergei Yolkin
14 comments
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  1. Kuz
    Kuz 17 December 2020 18: 15
    +20
    As far as I understand, with the completed and operational SP-2, the Russian budget will start receiving income, and Germany will become more independent.
    1. Ilya-spb
      Ilya-spb 17 December 2020 18: 20
      +10
      It's true. I don't understand the other.

      Why do we supply both cheeks for every sanctioned sneeze?

      There is a huge domestic market! Gasification of Russia. You can set tasks for decades! It is possible to increase its energy efficiency by gasifying the country!
      1. Civil
        Civil 17 December 2020 18: 55
        +9
        Quote: Ilya-spb
        There is a huge domestic market! Gasification of Russia. You can set tasks for decades! It is possible to increase its energy efficiency by gasifying the country!

        1. Insolvent client, 175 billion rubles overdue debt as of 01.01.2020 by August has grown to 322 billion rubles.
        2. They pay in rubles, but they need dollars. And they can find rubles anyway.
      2. Svarog
        Svarog 17 December 2020 19: 17
        +15
        Quote: Ilya-spb
        Why do we supply both cheeks for every sanctioned sneeze?

        Because these sneezes are very painful for the economy, which gives nothing to the world, except for raw materials .. Those countries that provide the world with a product with high added value live well .. Pharmaceuticals, Electronics, Mechanical Engineering .. and other areas where serious investments are required and no less serious approach .. For 20 years nothing has been done in this direction. But on the other hand, our oligarchs have the coolest yachts in the world ..
    2. Sling cutter
      Sling cutter 17 December 2020 18: 21
      +18
      Quote: Kuz
      As far as I understand, with the completed and operational SP-2, the Russian budget will start receiving income, and Germany will become more independent.

      First, the Turkish stream was thrown into the sea, now SP-2, which would never have paid off, because SP-1 is 50% full.
      The question remains, who got rich from this? People? No! Gasprim? No!
      And the contractors for the construction of pipelines got rich from this, that is, friends of a friend.
      Now they still have the strength of Siberia under the cut.
      1. Svarog
        Svarog 17 December 2020 19: 19
        +9
        Quote: Stroporez
        And the contractors for the construction of pipelines got rich from this, that is, friends of a friend.

        This is a well-known fact .. which was announced by some journalist .. that the main beneficiary of us is the contractor .. The journalist is no longer heard .. apparently fired.
        1. WIKI
          WIKI 17 December 2020 21: 46
          +5
          Quote: Svarog
          This is a well-known fact .. which was voiced by some journalist.

          "Sberbank CIB: contractors, not shareholders of Gazprom, benefit from the construction of gas pipelines" https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3635491
    3. iouris
      iouris 19 December 2020 12: 01
      0
      Cod spawning will begin soon. Germany will not become independent. There will be no receipts to the RF budget.
  2. FIR FIR
    FIR FIR 17 December 2020 18: 25
    +3
    .. Steen Jacobsen quite unexpectedly promised us a solid strengthening of the ruble, and in the near future.

    For the pipeline oligarchy - this is bad, for the people - it's all the same, it's all the same bad.
    However, many may object to the “positive” 65 rubles per dollar ...

    It's good that the word "positive" is in quotation marks. For some reason, a "strong" or "weak" ruble does not affect the well-being of 90% of the country's population, contrary to all the laws of the economy.
    1. aybolyt678
      aybolyt678 17 December 2020 21: 13
      0
      Quote: FIR FIR
      It's good that the word "positive" is in quotation marks. For some reason, a "strong" or "weak" ruble does not affect the welfare of 90% of the country's population,

      "Strong" or "weak" are terms for the consumer of useless information ... which is why it does not in any way affect the welfare of these most useless consumers.
      To what extent is the RUBLE provided with technological production? it's a question of questions. To build a high-tech metallurgical plant will provide jobs for 20 people, while each job will cost, on average, $ 7 million. It will take a Trillion dollars to provide high-tech jobs for a million people. One million workers will provide XNUMX million servants. Therefore, we need to invest XNUMX trillion dollars in production! and where to get them? and how to ensure the competitiveness of that production? We simply do not have engineers, technologists, chemists of the required level.
      All the talk about the exchange rate is a distraction of the attention of the masses of people from a simple thing - the currency exchange is like a vacuum cleaner that does not allow the accumulation of surplus value in our country and sucks well-being from the circulatory system of the economy.
      contrary to all laws of economics
      why is it contrary to ??? everything is just according to them ... smile if the ruble is not supplied with production but with raw materials, then where will the engineers come from? workers? technologists? and high-tech industries? do you think someone will sell you technology for gas and oil dollars? In the Omsk Region, a shoe factory invested 1989 billion Soviet rubles in imported technology in 2 ... The technology turned out to be espionage, i.e. initially incorrect. Rubles burned out.
  3. rocket757
    rocket757 17 December 2020 18: 31
    -1
    You just need cheap gas, to "green abundance" oh how far!
  4. DED_peer_DED
    DED_peer_DED 17 December 2020 22: 35
    +2
    The dollar, according to his estimates, should fall at the rate of up to 2021 rubles in 65.

    That's it, we'll all live together.
    In which place ?
  5. Stirbjorn
    Stirbjorn 18 December 2020 10: 33
    0
    The dollar, according to his estimates, should fall at the rate of up to 2021 rubles in 65.
    Well, if oil at least rises to 70, then yes, only strong doubts, shale companies will immediately fill the market. The times are not the same, and this applies to this statement.
    In response, we recall the real fact: the time after the default, when the ruble, which jumped at the turn of 1998 and 1999 from 6 rubles at the exchange rate to 30 or even more, then steadily strengthened for several years.
    Because the oil price has been growing steadily, and now there is shale
  6. iouris
    iouris 19 December 2020 12: 00
    0
    "Inoculating positive ..." sounds better.