Military Review

Surkov's throwing from "Loneliness of a half-breed" to "ideology of Putinism"

82

The personality of Vladislav Surkov, ex-presidential aide, is well known in Russian political circles. At the beginning of the year, he voluntarily left the political arena and suddenly began to be active again. What is the reason for this?


Who is Surkov


This man, being in the Kremlin cage since 1999 and representing the camp of Russian liberals, has made a lot of effort to form and introduce into Russian society the existing political system known as "sovereign democracy." For a long time he headed the internal policy direction in the Kremlin and proved himself to be an effective manager. He had a hand in the creation in Russia of the parties "Rodina", "Fair Russia" and "United Russia", as well as the youth movement "Nashi" to counter the color revolution in 2005.

Surkov is also well known for his failed policy of overseeing events in Ukraine and Donbass in 2013-2019. It was he who determined the power in today's Donbass republics and built relations with Ukraine.

Since 2018, he was repeatedly predicted to resign, but despite everything, he was in demand and was in his place. Everyone was surprised by his unexpected voluntary resignation immediately after Putin's speech to parliament in January this year with a new program, constitutional changes and the resignation of the liberal government of Medvedev. According to Aleksey Chesnakov, a political analyst close to Surkov, he resigned from his post because of "a change of course in the Ukrainian direction." Quite a controversial statement. Apparently, this was only an excuse, he could not fit into the innovations announced by the president and decided not to wait for his dismissal.

After the resignation, Surkov went into the shadows, and nothing was heard about him. Only in August, in connection with the events in Belarus, information was thrown in that he could supervise the Belarusian direction, but the information was not confirmed.

Surkov is not just a former employee of the Kremlin team, he is in many ways an exponent of the views of its members and one of the significant participants in the implementation of mechanisms for managing Russian society over the past twenty years. For almost a year now, no matter how busy it is, the mechanisms laid down by him continue to operate.

Surkov outlined his views on the Russian state structure and control mechanisms in his two sensational articles "Loneliness of a Half-Blood" (April 2018) and "Putin's Long State" (February 2019). In them, he discusses the special path of Russia and the hopelessness of its integration into Western civilization, the deep Russian people and the inevitability of the introduction of the “ideology of Putinism” (as a well-functioning method of ruling). At the same time, the most original of his statements: "Putin is hardly a Putinist."

What are these views, and how relevant are they now? Now, when a course has been outlined in Russia for changing the political canons laid down in the XNUMXs, when the international situation is fundamentally changing and Russia's place in the future world order is being determined.

The loneliness of a half-breed


In his first article, "The Loneliness of a Half-Blood," Surkov tries to substantiate that Russia went to the East for four centuries and to the West for four centuries, and has not taken root anywhere. He considers:

"Now ideologies of the third way, the third type of civilization, the third world, the third Rome will be in demand."

He emphasizes that for four hundred years before False Dmitry, Russia went to the East and tried to integrate into their system of eastern rule: nothing came of it. Then she tried for four hundred years to become related and integrate into Western civilization. Dynastic marriages and wars for Western values ​​did not produce results, she was not recognized as hers.

An attempt to lean against the West through the Marxist ideology was also unsuccessful, the world revolution did not work, and Russia became the Soviet empire.

At the end of the XNUMXth century, another campaign to the West began: with an almost halving of the territory, population, industrial and military potential and Russian ambitions - to the level of an average European country. But even with such a belittled role, Russia did not fit into the framework of the West.

According to Surkov, in 2014 Russia completed its epic journey to the West, and then the stage of its long geopolitical loneliness began. However, Surkov's assertion that Russia, having returned Crimea, stopped halfway and, fearing the shout of the West, did not fight for its ancestral territories of Novorossia is controversial.

According to the author, Russia is not an Eastern or Western, but an independent civilization. She is a half-breed country. She is everywhere - a relative and nowhere - not native. As befits a half-breed: charismatic, talented, beautiful and lonely. In its loneliness, it can become a leading nation, before which "other peoples and states are parted, step aside and give it a path." She will evoke fear and hatred, curiosity, sympathy, admiration - and at the same time achieve her goals.

The ideas outlined in the article are basically true: Russia has not yet decided on its own way of further development, and the "third way" offered to it is in no way justified. After all, the meanings and ideas in the name of which Russia should implement it are not indicated. It can also be assumed that this article was written in order to keep the author's place on the political Olympus, since at that time the presidential elections had just taken place, and a new team was being selected.

Putin's long state


In the second article, Surkov discusses the system of power established in Russia. He believes that the country should be ruled by a sole leader based on the "ideology of Putinism," and political institutions should be decorative.

In summary, the main ideas of the article are as follows.

After the disastrous 1990s, Russia abandoned the ideological chimeras of the West, began to produce meanings and build its own, special, sovereign version of democratic development.

While everyone was talking about globalization, the Munich speech declared sovereignty and national interests, the disintegration of Russia was stopped. Having collapsed from the level of the USSR to the level of the Russian Federation, Russia began to recover and returned to its only possible state of a great, growing and land-gathering community of nations. The special role assigned to Russia does not allow it to leave the geopolitical scene and determines the complex nature of its statehood.

As a state of a new type, Russia took shape by the mid-XNUMXs, and it is this model of political structure that is the most effective means of survival and the rise of the Russian nation in the coming years and, most likely, for the entire coming century.

The high internal tension associated with the retention of huge heterogeneous spaces turns the military-police functions of the state into the most important and decisive ones. The task of any state is to be a weapon of defense and attack.

There is no deep state in Russia, but there is a deep people. With his gigantic supermass, he creates an irresistible force of cultural gravity, which unites the nation and attracts the elite to their native land.

The political machine created in Russia is built on the ability to hear and understand the people, see through them and act adequately to the people, which is effective and durable. All institutions are subordinated to the main task - confidential communication and interaction of the supreme ruler with citizens. The various branches of government converge on the personality of the leader. Political institutions taken from the West are sometimes considered in our country to be partly ritualistic, established more in order to be "like everyone else." In essence, society trusts only the first person.

The system built in Russia is only gaining momentum, its full capacity is far ahead, and it also has significant export potential.

It is necessary to realize, comprehend and describe the system of power and the whole complex of ideas of "Putinism" as the ideology of the future. Precisely the future, since the real Putin is hardly a "Putinist".

The article contains many controversial and unsubstantiated statements about the future of Russian society. Does Russia need such a political system where everything is subordinated to "confidential communication with the supreme ruler" and he determines the future of the people and the country? The "ideology of Putinism" is also far-fetched. There is no idea in this definition. An ideology calling the nation into the future should not presuppose “confidential communication”, but something else, which requires a separate serious discussion.

Promoting the "ideology of Putinism"


Surkov did not stop there. He decided to promote this ideology on Chesnakov's site "Actual Comments", where a corresponding section was introduced to analyze the ideas he proposed.

Just before his resignation in October 2019, Surkov posted his considerations there, in which he called “Putinism” a global political life hack and a well-functioning method of ruling, and also encourages everyone to investigate it as a working ideology of everyday life.

The discussion did not go well, Surkov's ideas did not find a response in society, and soon Putin made his landmark address to parliament, and other ideas began to be discussed in society.

Surkov is not the kind of person who has been in the shadows for a long time. And already in the fall, information begins to circulate on the Web that on October 31 in the Moscow region a congress of the Union of Donbass Volunteers (SSD, created by Surkov in 2015) will take place, at which the union of the Union and the Rodina party will be announced. Surkov made another call to promote his (or the clans behind him) ideas.

The congress took place, Surkov was present at it and did not appear in front of the media. So far, only announced the joint activities of the SDM and the Rodina party, and the process of forming a new political force has begun.

The time has been chosen very well: the international situation is heating up, the authorities will have to decide in many directions, including internal ones. Support for the United Russia party in power is weakening, and new patriotic parties and forces are needed on the political field, ready to compete with it and support the government.

It should be noted that since February of this year, the second new patriotic project, the party of Zakhar Prilepin "For the Truth", has also begun to unfold. But due to its vague political agenda, this project did not receive a worthy development and failed in the local elections in September. Now (instead of Prilepinsky) Surkov is trying to propose his own project and revive the previously well-known Rodina party by uniting it with militias from the Union of Donbass Volunteers. It is too early to say to what extent the new political force he is forming will perceive the “ideology of Putinism” proposed to it and whether it will be in demand by society. Surkov is a talented manager, but the success of his brainchild depends not only on him personally, despite his colossal experience in political and undercover struggle.

These two political projects are competitors in the patriotic field. And, most likely, it is between them in the coming year that the struggle for a patriotic niche will unfold.

Unfortunately, there is no real patriotic force on the horizon that can adequately defend Russia's interests.
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  1. 7,62h54
    7,62h54 10 November 2020 10: 10
    +5
    "Surkov is a talented manager" is not about politics. Perhaps a chain of burgers or shawarma in management.
    1. Krasnoyarsk
      Krasnoyarsk 10 November 2020 11: 28
      14
      Quote: 7,62x54
      "Surkov is a talented manager"

      What is the reason for such a conclusion? If he is so "talented" and supervised Donbass, then why is he, Donbass, not yet a part of Russia and why does blood continue to flow there?
      Or maybe all this is really happening thanks to Surkov's "talent"?
      1. Arlen
        Arlen 10 November 2020 11: 50
        18
        Quote: Krasnoyarsk
        why is he, Donbass, not yet a part of Russia

        Does our bourgeois-oligarchic government need this? They insist that Donbass is part of the bourgeois-nationalist pro-Western anti-Soviet anti-people anti-Russian occupation Kiev clique.
        1. Lexus
          Lexus 11 November 2020 01: 07
          +6
          Greetings, Comrade! hi
          For our bourgeoisie, we are superfluous, and Donbass even more so.
        2. Gene84
          Gene84 13 November 2020 16: 49
          17
          Quote: Arlen
          Does our bourgeois-oligarchic government need this?

          Camrad hi They don't need anything except money.
          1. Arlen
            Arlen 13 November 2020 18: 39
            +2
            Why is nothing but money needed? It is necessary. This is necessary - power. Without power, they will have no money. hi
      2. mat-vey
        mat-vey 11 November 2020 05: 34
        +1
        Quote: Krasnoyarsk
        Or maybe all this is really happening thanks to Surkov's "talent"?

        Maybe thanks to them, because they'd rather have blood than talk for social justice.
    2. aleksejkabanets
      aleksejkabanets 10 November 2020 12: 05
      +9
      Quote: 7,62x54
      "Surkov is a talented manager"

      Judging by his article "Putin's Long State", this is, first of all, a "talented" ideologue of fascism, of the "Musolinist sense."
      1. Lexus
        Lexus 11 November 2020 01: 36
        +5
        Alexey hi,
        and he is also the inspirer of sycophancy at the "state" level.
        1. aleksejkabanets
          aleksejkabanets 11 November 2020 07: 50
          +2
          Alexey hi
          Quote: lexus
          and he is also the inspirer of sycophancy at the "state" level.

          Others are not kept there.
  2. iouris
    iouris 10 November 2020 10: 11
    11
    Quote: "Unfortunately, there is no real patriotic force on the horizon that can adequately defend Russia's interests." End of quote.
    This means that the Russian Federation is a colony and you don't have to bother about future prospects.
    1. Svarog
      Svarog 10 November 2020 10: 15
      19
      Quote: iouris
      This means that the Russian Federation is a colony and you don't have to bother about future prospects.

      So it is, but you need to bother .. otherwise we will be exterminated, which is already happening .. Russia is dying out ..
      1. Lexus
        Lexus 11 November 2020 01: 13
        +6
        She is maliciously "dying out".
    2. Gene84
      Gene84 13 November 2020 16: 50
      19
      Quote: iouris
      This means that the Russian Federation is a colony and you don't have to bother about future prospects.

      Commodity and raw materials appendage. Under this power, our country has no prospects.
  3. Svarog
    Svarog 10 November 2020 10: 13
    20
    Surkov's opuses have nothing to do with reality .. reasoning on the bench .. What he tried to create on the ruins of the USSR was a stillborn child .. Especially funny when a cult of a person is created who absolutely did not deserve it ..
    The problem is that after the idea of ​​socialism, nothing can be invented better, everything that will be invented will not be organically incorporated into our society. So there is an idea, maybe they just come back to it and, taking into account the mistakes of the past, create a new socialist Russia?
    1. mat-vey
      mat-vey 10 November 2020 10: 19
      +7
      Quote: Svarog
      Surkov's opuses have nothing to do with reality ..

      Well, is it really different for effective ones?
    2. marchcat
      marchcat 10 November 2020 10: 20
      +7
      So there is an idea, maybe they just come back to it and, taking into account the mistakes of the past, create a new socialist Russia?
      But who will give this idea to materialize, while we have such a power and elite?
    3. tihonmarine
      tihonmarine 10 November 2020 10: 27
      +5
      Quote: Svarog
      The problem is that after the idea of ​​socialism, nothing can be invented better, everything that will be invented will not be organically incorporated into our society.

      Just as it is impossible to return to the past, so it is impossible to return to that capitalism and that socialism that were in the past. It is necessary to choose a new path based on the best, innovative ideas.
      1. Svarog
        Svarog 10 November 2020 10: 29
        +6
        Quote: tihonmarine
        It is necessary to choose a new path based on the best, innovative ideas.

        That's right, and there is such an idea ... it needs to be incorporated into modern realities and move in this direction.
        1. tihonmarine
          tihonmarine 10 November 2020 10: 39
          +4
          Quote: Svarog
          and there is such an idea ... it needs to be incorporated into modern realities and move in this direction.

          Based on a non-class society.
          1. Ross xnumx
            Ross xnumx 10 November 2020 11: 55
            +3
            It is possible on the basis of equal rights before the law. In any case, social groups cannot be ignored in society. Someone will always work in the Stakhanov way, and someone will try to build the next pyramid.
      2. Artunis
        Artunis 10 November 2020 12: 11
        0
        Can you share on which ones specifically?
    4. ccsr
      ccsr 10 November 2020 10: 35
      +9
      Quote: Svarog
      Surkov's opuses have nothing to do with reality .. reasoning on the bench ..

      I think that he is more reminiscent of a figure "a la Solzhenitsyn", but a small-town spill, although the ideological umbilical cord may be visible in them, so both dreamed of "equipping Russia."
      In general, in my opinion, Surkov's figure is not the one to listen to his opinion, and his desire to present himself as a "political half-breed" will not lead to anything good - mature people know that not all of them become Pushkin, and sometimes they are motivated before all personal ambitions, and not the good of the Russian people. We have already seen this in our history, so you should not be seduced by such figures.
    5. A. Privalov
      A. Privalov 10 November 2020 10: 48
      0
      Quote: Svarog
      So there is an idea, maybe they just come back to it and, taking into account the mistakes of the past, create a new socialist Russia?

      Theoretically it is possible, but it will inevitably have to go through all the horrors of the civil war. Nationalization of an already unbalanced economy will lead to ruin, the collapse of a badly structured and self-sufficient agriculture will lead to hunger, and the weakening of the central government and, as a result, the army - to foreign intervention. Think about whether you are ready for this.
      1. mat-vey
        mat-vey 10 November 2020 10: 54
        +2
        Katz offers to surrender?
        1. A. Privalov
          A. Privalov 10 November 2020 11: 11
          +2
          Quote: mat-vey
          Katz offers to surrender?

          I know this meme. Funny ...

          I offered to think about it, but you didn't, alas ...
          1. Victorio
            Victorio 10 November 2020 11: 55
            0
            Quote: A. Privalov
            Quote: mat-vey
            Katz offers to surrender?

            I know this meme. Funny ...

            Я proposed think, but you did not, alas ...

            ===
            and what is your interest?
          2. mat-vey
            mat-vey 10 November 2020 13: 52
            -1
            And you based on what you thought that I did not think? No Pain No Gain. Or do you think that the worms themselves will leave the body?
        2. Alexander I
          Alexander I 10 November 2020 11: 34
          -1
          But he is right, returning to the past is a step back.
      2. Krasnoyarsk
        Krasnoyarsk 10 November 2020 11: 22
        +1
        Quote: A. Privalov

        Theoretically it is possible, but it will inevitably have to go through all the horrors of the civil war. Nationalization of an already unbalanced economy will lead to ruin, the collapse of a badly structured and self-sufficient agriculture will lead to hunger, and the weakening of the central government and, as a result, the army - to foreign intervention. Think about whether you are ready for this.

        Theoretically speaking, you may be right. But ... As life shows, theory is not always confirmed by practice. Therefore, nationalization may not go according to your scenario.
        1. A. Privalov
          A. Privalov 10 November 2020 11: 34
          -1
          Quote: Krasnoyarsk
          Theoretically speaking, you may be right. But ... As life shows, theory is not always confirmed by practice. Therefore, nationalization may not go according to your scenario.

          Dear friend, would you like to start a discussion on the hackneyed topic "How can we equip Russia"? So I’ll give you kind and completely free advice: leave this venture to the piquant vests of the letter nationality. hi
          1. Krasnoyarsk
            Krasnoyarsk 10 November 2020 11: 46
            +2
            Quote: A. Privalov
            Man, you want to start a discussion

            Sorry, didn't you start it, buddy? tongue
            1. A. Privalov
              A. Privalov 10 November 2020 11: 58
              -2
              Quote: Krasnoyarsk
              and didn't you start it,

              No. I just gave a simplified theoretical justification.
              1. Krasnoyarsk
                Krasnoyarsk 10 November 2020 12: 01
                +2
                Quote: A. Privalov

                No. I just gave a simplified theoretical justification.

                And I, in turn, reminded you that theory is not always confirmed by practice. So what are you unhappy with?
                1. A. Privalov
                  A. Privalov 10 November 2020 12: 23
                  -1
                  Quote: Krasnoyarsk
                  And I, in turn, reminded you that theory is not always confirmed by practice. So what are you unhappy with?

                  My dissatisfaction or satisfaction has nothing to do with it.
                  In my opinion, Russians should talk about the arrangement of Russia. You, as a Russian, discuss for your pleasure. As an Israeli, it seems unethical to me to delve deeply into the topic. hi
                  1. Krasnoyarsk
                    Krasnoyarsk 10 November 2020 12: 38
                    +1
                    Quote: A. Privalov
                    As an Israeli, it seems unethical to me to delve deeply into the topic.

                    And rightly so.
      3. Ross xnumx
        Ross xnumx 10 November 2020 12: 02
        +6
        Quote: A. Privalov
        Nationalization of an already unbalanced economy will lead to devastation, the collapse of a badly structured and self-sufficient agriculture will lead to hunger, and the weakening of the central government and, as a result, the army - to foreign intervention. Think about whether you are ready for this.

        Something you have heavily exaggerated. "Wait" with nationalization "is a constant parable of the oligarchs. I won't say anything about the intervention. It is enough to see what program the SPRF offers.
        We are ready to tighten our belts for the future. Are the parasites of Russia ready to tighten their belts or will they prefer the well-known "tie"?
        1. aleksejkabanets
          aleksejkabanets 10 November 2020 12: 27
          +2
          hi
          Quote: ROSS 42
          It is enough to see what program the SPRF offers.

          Yuri Vasilyevich, if it doesn't bother you, tell me who the SPRF are, it's not clear by the abbreviation.
          1. Ross xnumx
            Ross xnumx 10 November 2020 12: 29
            +5
            Quote: aleksejkabanets
            tell me who the SPRF are

            Socialist Party of the Russian Federation (former movement "For New Socialism")
            hi
        2. A. Privalov
          A. Privalov 10 November 2020 12: 33
          0
          Quote: ROSS 42
          Something you have greatly exaggerated the colors.

          I can't offer any other theoretical calculations, sorry. If you thought well and even knowing the previous results, you still decide to implement the theory, then the old rake lies in the same place. Good luck. hi
          1. MMX
            MMX 10 November 2020 20: 10
            0
            Quote: A. Privalov
            Quote: ROSS 42
            Something you have greatly exaggerated the colors.

            I can't offer any other theoretical calculations, sorry. If you thought well and even knowing the previous results, you still decide to implement the theory, then the old rake lies in the same place. Good luck. hi


            What are you, sick one? The USSR laid the foundation for the modern world and Israel (as a small part of this world) in it as well. Israel became a high-tech country thanks to immigrants from the USSR.
            The fact that socialist (left-wing) ideas are taking the leading positions in the Western world is already a fact.
            1. A. Privalov
              A. Privalov 10 November 2020 21: 03
              -2
              Quote: MMX
              What are you, sick one? The USSR laid the foundation for the modern world and Israel (as a small part of this world) in it as well. Israel became a high-tech country thanks to immigrants from the USSR.
              The fact that socialist (left-wing) ideas are taking the leading positions in the Western world is already a fact.

              Have a nice one you too.
              And where do you see socialism here? The fact that a million Jews left the USSR?
              For more details on socialist ideas taking the leading positions, please.
              1. MMX
                MMX 11 November 2020 07: 37
                0
                And where do you see socialism here? The fact that a million Jews left the USSR?

                Socialism is a transitional stage necessary for the redistribution of classes. The USSR was the first country in the world to make an 8-hour working day and equalize the rights of women with men. General accessible education and medicine. These are all the achievements of socialism, but not capitalism. And these benefits were realized, including by Jews, as citizens of the USSR.

                For more details on socialist ideas taking the leading positions, please.


                Yes, all the current achievements in the field of rights and freedoms are all leftist ideas. Actually Donkeys in the United States are socialists.
                1. A. Privalov
                  A. Privalov 11 November 2020 08: 50
                  -1
                  Quote: MMX
                  And where do you see socialism here? The fact that a million Jews left the USSR?

                  Socialism is a transitional stage necessary for the redistribution of classes. The USSR was the first country in the world to make an 8-hour working day and equalize the rights of women with men. General accessible education and medicine. These are all the achievements of socialism, but not capitalism. And these benefits were realized, including by Jews, as citizens of the USSR.

                  For more details on socialist ideas taking the leading positions, please.


                  Yes, all the current achievements in the field of rights and freedoms are all leftist ideas. Actually Donkeys in the United States are socialists.
                  Kind,
                  this is not the point, the discussion on the topic of socialism began much higher in the comment thread with my answer to the participant Svarog at 10:48. If you started reading the comments from him, and not rushed into the middle of the context, perhaps you would understand the topic of the discussion and you would not have to tell me crap about the achievements of socialism and even more about the American Democrats.
                  As for the working day, women's rights, etc., I have to upset you, the USSR is not "ahead of the rest of the planet." But this is not a topic of discussion and I would not like to be distracted by this.
                  I wish you well. hi
                  1. MMX
                    MMX 11 November 2020 11: 25
                    0
                    Yes, I read the line of reasoning. And about the "old rake" it is clear that the Soviet experience (which began with the nationalization of the means of production).

                    As for the working day, women's rights, etc., I have to upset you, the USSR is not "ahead of the rest of the planet."


                    And here you are wrong. It was at the legislative level throughout the country that the USSR was the first (and not separate enterprises, as in the West).
      4. aleksejkabanets
        aleksejkabanets 10 November 2020 12: 21
        +4
        Quote: A. Privalov
        however, it will inevitably have to go through all the horrors of civil war.

        Is not a fact. There may be ways to avoid it.
        Quote: A. Privalov
        Think about whether you are ready for this.

        If everything goes as it is, over time we will not only cease to exist as a state, but most likely as a nation.
      5. Hagen
        Hagen 10 November 2020 12: 39
        -1
        Quote: A. Privalov
        Think about whether you are ready for this.

        The main question of the proposed changes is who will lead these changes? Who will assist? And you are asking a question into the void, because those who read it will not even try not to go to practical events, but even just offer a productive idea. Indeed, apart from streams of reproaches on everything related to the authorities, no one expressed specific accusations and offered no real vision of possible actions. In short, here everyone is ready for anything ... in words.
      6. Svarog
        Svarog 10 November 2020 13: 14
        +4
        Quote: A. Privalov

        Theoretically it is possible, but in this case it will inevitably have to go through all the horrors of the civil war

        Here, about the civil war, you greatly exaggerated .. There will not be many who want to fight for the oligarchs .. this is firstly .. Well, secondly, the situation is not the same, the time for changes has not yet come, and when the civil war comes, it will not be necessary. It is necessary that the idea of ​​a return to socialism take possession of the overwhelming majority of citizens, 70-80% then everything will work out by itself.
        1. A. Privalov
          A. Privalov 10 November 2020 14: 16
          +1
          Quote: Svarog
          It is necessary that the idea of ​​a return to socialism take possession of the overwhelming majority of citizens, 70-80% then everything will work out by itself.


          This path has already been passed.
          1. Svarog
            Svarog 10 November 2020 14: 33
            +9
            Quote: A. Privalov
            This path has already been passed.

            So you have to go through again .. Or there is another option when in 50 years there will be no Russians in Russia and they will all die out .. As the saying goes, you need to choose out of two evils, either a happy life, but through temporary hardships, or as it is, slowly dying out .. Now the population decline is 400 people per year, in 000 years, if everything remains the same, the country's population will decrease by 50 million. people, but taking into account the latest trends in the economy, the situation will only get worse and the decline will naturally increase, as will give birth less and less .. I believe that in 20 years, the citizens of Russia will be 50-30 ml less. This is, on the one hand, on the other, in the worst scenario, the first 40 years will really be difficult .. I don’t believe that we are evolving and that our thieves will be in power.
            1. A. Privalov
              A. Privalov 10 November 2020 15: 39
              0
              Quote: Svarog
              So you have to go through again ..

              Quote: Svarog
              the first 5 years will really be hard ..

              I understand your concerns, but you can't be such a naive idealist!
              It seems to you that I am exaggerating, but I assure you, you will not get off in five years.

              During the TOY civilian, up to 13 million people died from hunger, disease, terror and in battles, including about 1 million Red Army soldiers. Up to 2 million people emigrated from the country. The number of street children in 1922 reached 7 million. Industrial production fell to 4% from the 1913 level. (I quote the numbers from various sources, don't take my word for it, maybe a little more or a little less, that's not the point.)

              THIS war could become much more bloody. The siloviki will not give up power so easily. Can you imagine what will begin when the central government weakens?
              Chechnya and Dagestan will blaze again. The separatists in Ingushetia, Tuva, Tatarstan, Bashkortostan, Yakutia and Buryatia will raise their heads.
              And how many armed gangs will begin to take away and divide everything?
              Nobody will understand: both the right and the guilty will fall under the millstones of "people's anger" indiscriminately.
              It's scary to even think about this!

              God forbid to see the Russian rebellion - meaningless and merciless. Those who are plotting impossible coups in our country are either young and do not know our people, or people who are cruel, with whom is someone else’s little head, and their own penny.
              - A. S. Pushkin, “The Captain's Daughter”


              No, Svarog, I beg you, don't even start! stop
              1. Svarog
                Svarog 10 November 2020 15: 47
                +4
                Quote: A. Privalov
                No, Svarog, I beg you, don't even start!

                Nothing depends on me in this matter, I just express my thoughts and naturally I do not want revolutions. But history repeats itself and if the authorities do not change course and curb appetites, I am afraid sooner or later this will happen.
                And the scale of disasters I would not undertake to predict .. Still, the situation is very different in comparison with 1917 .. although it is indisputable that it will not do without shocks ..
                1. A. Privalov
                  A. Privalov 10 November 2020 15: 52
                  -2
                  Quote: Svarog
                  Nothing depends on me in this matter, I just express my thoughts and naturally I do not want revolutions.

                  I understand that you are not a "fiery revolutionary" and you will not rush to the barricades tomorrow morning, but be careful with your thoughts, they tend to materialize.

                  Be careful with your desires - they tend to come true.
                  The Master and Margarita (Mikhail Afanasyevich Bulgakov)
                  1. Svarog
                    Svarog 10 November 2020 15: 59
                    +6
                    I understand that you are not a "fiery revolutionary" and you will not rush to the barricades tomorrow morning, but be careful with your thoughts, they tend to materialize.

                    Yes, I am not a "fiery revolutionary", but I am a staunch supporter of socialism. And it would not be bad if my thoughts materialized .. and it would be absolutely good if it happened during my life and bloodlessly .. So if thoughts really materialize, then it is necessary that they take possession of as many people as possible. .and, of course, what would people want a bloodless transition of power ..
                    1. A. Privalov
                      A. Privalov 10 November 2020 16: 12
                      +1
                      Good luck and success! hi
                2. mat-vey
                  mat-vey 11 November 2020 05: 46
                  0
                  Quote: Svarog
                  Yet the situation is very different in comparison with 1917.

                  Well, this is if the next war is not stirred up .... And then there will be a drop in production, and homeless children and poverty - and only then a riot or revolution, as history spreads its cards.
                3. mat-vey
                  mat-vey 11 November 2020 05: 48
                  +1
                  Quote: Svarog
                  Nothing depends on me in this matter

                  Well, on whom it depends they live with primitive instincts and selfish interests. And they almost always act on the principle - after me, even a flood.
    6. Elturisto
      Elturisto 10 November 2020 11: 21
      +5
      But who will give. Socialism is, among other things, the state's monopoly on foreign trade, in the interests of developing its own productive forces, and this is contrary to the interests of international capital.
      1. Ross xnumx
        Ross xnumx 10 November 2020 12: 07
        +5
        Quote: ElTuristo
        this is contrary to the interests of international capital.

        The creation of the USSR contradicted the interests of international capital, but the foundations of the socialist state were destroyed by the indifference and spinelessness of the citizens, who were so gloriously told about the “disgusting Soviet past”.
        The only thing international capital fears is that people will begin to understand the difference between speculation and productive labor.
        1. Elturisto
          Elturisto 10 November 2020 22: 08
          +3
          It is difficult to disagree. However, the citizens of the USSR had nothing to compare with. The delights of capitalism were horror stories for the majority.
      2. Gene84
        Gene84 13 November 2020 16: 51
        19
        Under no circumstances will modern capital give power to the left. It, capital, will strive with all its might to crush (which is happening now) the entire socialist movement.
        1. Elturisto
          Elturisto 13 November 2020 20: 44
          +2
          You can try to push something, and it even happens at a certain historical period, only with the exhaustion of resources, there will be no choice.
    7. aleksejkabanets
      aleksejkabanets 10 November 2020 12: 14
      +4
      hi
      Quote: Svarog
      Surkov's opuses have nothing to do with reality ..

      But Surkov's opuses have much in common with Mussolini's doctrine.
  4. Peter rybak
    Peter rybak 10 November 2020 10: 13
    +4
    One of those who are not always needed. About five years later he will receive a Hero of Russia, as well as Kiriyenko - a "kinder surprise".
  5. prior
    prior 10 November 2020 10: 16
    10
    "Surkov is a talented manager".
    He, like many other inhabitants of the Kremlin, rightfully deserved his place at the wall ...
  6. tihonmarine
    tihonmarine 10 November 2020 10: 19
    +4
    Unfortunately, there is no real patriotic force on the horizon that can adequately defend Russia's interests.
    Unfortunately this is a fact.
    1. A. Privalov
      A. Privalov 10 November 2020 11: 41
      +4
      Quote: tihonmarine
      Unfortunately, there is no real patriotic force on the horizon that can adequately defend Russia's interests.
      Unfortunately this is a fact.


      "There are few real violent ones - there are no leaders." (C)
      1. Catfish
        Catfish 10 November 2020 11: 51
        +6
        They made you laugh, thanks. smile drinks
    2. Gene84
      Gene84 13 November 2020 16: 52
      17
      I think that this fact will not last long. The time has already come for a new political force to emerge.
  7. Van 16
    Van 16 10 November 2020 10: 23
    +6
    One of those who live in their own, invented world, where "The political machine created in Russia is built on the ability to hear and understand the people."
  8. Daniil Konovalenko
    Daniil Konovalenko 10 November 2020 11: 07
    +4
    So that's who creates political parties in Russia! Here, play! And the selection is good and patriots and conservatives and liberals. smile "Come in, hurry! Buy painting!" laughing
  9. BAI
    BAI 10 November 2020 11: 36
    +5
    Although Surkov comes from a simple family, he has been in the Kremlin since 1999. Those. all connection with the people has been lost, a complete degeneration and lack of understanding of the needs of the people. This is an automatic consequence of a long stay in power. The rule is no exception. Therefore, all his reflections on the fate of the people and the driving motives of the people are of very dubious value. But they are a clear indicator of the intentions of the Kremlin bureaucracy.
  10. Ross xnumx
    Ross xnumx 10 November 2020 11: 38
    +7
    In the second article, Surkov discusses the system of power established in Russia. He believes that the country should be ruled by a sole leader based on "Ideology of Putinism"and political institutions should be decorative.

    Who will tell us briefly, but with facts and arguments, that the "ideology of Putinism" will lead Russia to prosperity? Are there those who will explain the phenomenon itself?
    Then there are only two examples when such a policy causes, to put it mildly, bewilderment.
    First. Quite recently in the material:
    "Merkel has become a defendant in the case of missing billions"
    https://finobzor.ru/99951-merkel-stala-figurantom-dela-o-propavshih-milliardah.html?utm_source=topwar.ru

    sorted out the participation of the first person of Germany in the largest financial scam in the history of the FRG. There are many other examples when the participation of top officials of different countries in questionable cases was brought up for public review. Why is our first person, no matter what affairs he does "before", "instead of" and "during", is either in a "zeroed" state or in a "guaranteed inviolable" state? Maybe this is the ideology of the same name? Strange lobbying for the interests of specific people without a detailed analysis of their activities before the law. Excess (at times !!!) of costs, dubious spending of budgetary funds, eternal “marking time” (20 years - that's for sure) in breakthrough technologies that are presented to the public at “Urya-I-I-I-I-I! !! ". Whose friends (childhood, adolescence and the period of dreams "to go to taxi drivers") carry out government contracts? Who are awarded Hidden Merit titles? Maybe I can give you an example of direct "fooling" gullible users? You are welcome! Material came out today:
    "Russia will be fed by robots: unmanned harvesters are massively introduced by farmers RF "
    https://finobzor.ru/99915-rossiyu-nakormyat-roboty-kombayny-bespilotniki-massovo-vnedryayutsya-agrariyami-rf.html

    Keyword in title - "Massively"... Oh, this mass character !!! Ah, let's put it through a rigorous analysis:
    In total, over 160 thousand hectares of cultivated areas were processed

    Which is 5,9% of all sown area for grain (2 thousand hectares)
    in the Kaliningrad region and in the Kuban, more than 700 thousand tons of grain crops were harvested.

    Which is 0,56% of the total grain harvest in 2020 (125 million tons)
    This is how it is, a simple Russian being.
    Second. For me, this is always the first. Birth rate in the country !!! In the “hard, stagnant” times, the population of the republic increased (on average) by 1 people, with a birth rate of 000-000 people per 13 people. What do we have today? The population of Russia is 14 (as of 1000), which corresponds to the population of the RSFSR in 146 - 748 !!! And in terms of fertility, our country is in 590st place with the result of 2020 people per 1979 population. I will not recall how many people migrated from the country and how many came from the former Soviet republics ...
    These are just two points of a broad program of "innovations", "breakthroughs" and "breakthroughs" ...
    I just doubt that it is necessary to seek the merits of Surkov or some other Kiriyenko in all this.
    The fish rots from the head!!!
  11. Niel-le-Calais
    Niel-le-Calais 10 November 2020 11: 55
    +3
    even if he hated the Russian Federation, it would not have occurred to him to call her a half-breed.
    For I remember how such people were treated throughout the history of mankind.
    RF is not a half-breed. Quite an ordinary country. Always drawn to Europe, just a worse climate.
    Throwing "Surkovs" is associated with the political line of the leadership. They are only executors of the will.
    But there is no will, and there is no plan. There is also a belated reaction. And impulsive actions.
    Surkov himself can do little. Only offer and fulfill.
  12. Force multiplier
    Force multiplier 10 November 2020 12: 01
    0
    Surkov is a bright and talented writer, very popular (as far as possible for a writer) under one of his creative pseudonyms. And it is through his literary work that his personality is better visible. Both of these articles are only a simplified explanation of the current political reality to society on behalf of certain centers of power, and it is difficult to say how much Surkov himself shares the ideas outlined in them and how much he personally suits the role of Russia in the modern world.
    From what is stated in "loneliness", it is possible, if desired, to develop a full-fledged ideology of the third path without a false west-east dilemma. Of course, "loneliness" is an easily recognizable allusion to the personality of the author himself (Surkov, of course, wanted the reader to see it) and he is well aware of which peoples are not fictitious relatives, but really fraternal for the Russian people. The question of whether the third path will be fatal for the country and the people by the national autism of Alexander III or world leadership depends only on the will of the Russian elites
  13. samarin1969
    samarin1969 10 November 2020 18: 36
    +5
    Isn't it too much honor to discuss Surkov's "thoughts"?
    What he actually does and thinks, we are unlikely to know in the near future. Everything is in the shadows there, and no victories are visible on its "fronts". Gray schemes in politics and gray wretchedness of sociology.
    ps I would not like the "marmots" to penetrate the VO. Better the eternal red-and-white sparring of ardent patriots.
  14. skobars
    skobars 11 November 2020 02: 00
    +3
    Surkov is a muddy type and a pest, like all liberals. They say because of him they stopped the seizure of Mariupol by the militia. And if he also oversaw the murky movement - Ours, then this is generally an indicator, since part of the leadership of this movement, having matured, dumped to live abroad. Exactly their name, only to the west and pray.
  15. Toha from KZ
    Toha from KZ 11 November 2020 09: 13
    0
    And for some reason I naively believed that Prilepin was Surkov's project, unsuccessful, but a project. And the party failed not because of vague goals, no one has them at all, but precisely because of the near-minded Prilepin. Take it away there will be a mass of worthy and patriotic minded people
  16. Gato
    Gato 11 November 2020 13: 38
    +1
    Again, a political advertisement testing the taste of Libradril sorts. Who is interested in Mr. Surkov's "mental throwing"?
    1. Gene84
      Gene84 13 November 2020 17: 00
      19
      So liberals are interested in such personalities as Surkov yes
  17. My_log_in
    My_log_in 11 November 2020 18: 02
    0
    The political machine created in Russia is built on the ability to hear and understand the people, see through them and act adequately to the people
    after this phrase I did not read further.
  18. Iskazi
    Iskazi 14 November 2020 14: 43
    -1
    A summary of the possible prospects for the RF, nothing new, but a step in the right direction. The third way is a well-known phenomenon, but there is no one to walk along it. The Kremlin cannot walk along it - it is too affiliated with the West, and communism is discredited, no one will go anywhere ... although they could, it is sad