Military Review

Predictable confrontation in Northern Europe

31

More and more materials appear in the Russian media that NATO is becoming more active in the Nordic countries. Likewise, articles about the activation of the Russian army in these areas are published in the Western media with approximately the same frequency. Such materials cause concern for a certain part of society. Someone calls to completely abandon contact with a potential enemy. Someone generally advocates the option of luring planes, ships, drones into their territory in order to destroy them mercilessly ...


What is the purpose of such publications? As usual, the goal is mercantile. We urgently need to allocate money for strengthening, increasing, building, creating ... Society must put pressure on the president, on parliament, on someone else who can allocate funds to implement the plans of the military.

But much of what journalists use in their publications really exists. Many of the plans that both sides are writing about are actually being implemented. The main headache for the military today is the Arctic. By implementing the program for the development of the northern regions of Russia, the transformation of the Northern Sea Route (NSR) into a year-round cargo transit route, Russia is seriously changing the balance of forces and means that can be used at a critical moment.

The Northern Sea Route is the main irritant for the USA and NATO


Almost immediately after Russia announced the beginning of active work to ensure the year-round operation of the NSR, Western politicians, one after another, started talking about the need to transfer this route to the jurisdiction of international organizations. The NSR should become an international transit route that could be used by all countries of the world.

To which Moscow agreed. Nobody minds everyone using it. However, the operation and construction of facilities in northern conditions cost a lot of money. And the NSR passes through the territorial waters of Russia. This means that you have to pay for using the path. After all, no one is against paying for the passage, for example, of the Panama Canal. The West did not agree to such a formulation of the question.

The West and Russia will not be able to agree on other terms. Our positions, like those of the Americans and Europeans, remain unchanged for a simple reason. Defense capabilities of Russia, the USA and NATO. Nobody will agree to a voluntary deterioration of their own positions. Thus, the alliance is left with only one thing: to put the NSR under full control using all the means of tracking and detection at their disposal.

Northern Europe as a foothold for NATO


The countries of Northern Europe have always been used by NATO troops to organize tracking posts for Soviet and then Russian ships of the Northern fleet... Having a powerful group of submarines, the Northern Fleet could practically control not only the north of Europe, but also the Atlantic and even the US coast. Therefore, ship detection systems in this area are understandable.

In addition, ports were built on the territory of Northern Europe, which are used to replenish the stocks of ships serving on the borders with Russia. Hence the next step. Construction of aerodromes for the use of reconnaissance aircraft if necessary. As you can see, NATO is not doing anything extraordinary. Quite logical steps against a potential enemy.

However, after the start of the Russian program for the development of the Arctic, real panic began in the command of the block. The reconnaissance ships of Norway and NATO are clearly not up to the task. It was not possible to establish control of the entire NSR with their help. And Russia's countermeasures are powerful enough to block ship tracking systems.

Hence the intensification of intelligence aviation... Today, hardly a month goes by when Russian fighter-interceptors do not chase Norway or NATO planes from the Russian borders. And the second, quite logical, decision: the construction of a stationary tracking station directly near the Russian borders. The most promising places for such construction are again in Northern Norway.

A tracking station is being built today on Vardø Island. This is an element of the missile launch detection system, the Globus-3 station. It will allow us to track our missile launches, including tests of new missiles, almost throughout the entire NSR and monitor the European part of Russia almost to the entire depth. At the same time, the priority of aerial reconnaissance remains. The bases of reconnaissance aircraft and drones are being modernized. Such work is being carried out today at the airfields of Bardufoss, Evenes, Banak, Erland and Ryugge.

The situation with NATO ground forces in the region is much worse. The battalions that are in Norway today practically do not solve defense tasks. Rather, they are battalions to guard NATO arsenals to ensure the rapid deployment of ground forces. Arsenals today store weapons and military equipment, which will be enough to deploy two brigades.


An attempt to lose a landing from mainland Europe in 2018 during the Trident Juncture exercise, when more than 50 military practiced active defense, showed NATO command the complete futility of such a defense. Most of the divisions did not fulfill the assigned tasks.

The result of such conclusions was the decision to build a new terminal for US nuclear submarines as the guarantor of Norway's security. True, they did not build a new terminal. We decided to re-equip the already existing port terminal Grotsund.

Why does Norway need it


The Norwegians understand that the increased activity of the NATO military in Northern Europe, in particular in Norway, leads to the risk of being destroyed in the first minutes of a possible war. Even a person ignorant of military affairs understands that such objects that are built or are being built on the territory of this state will be destroyed in the first place. The size of Norway itself suggests that the destruction of military facilities is equal to the destruction of the state as such.

It seems to me that they are trying not to raise the issue of a possible war in Norway deliberately. Most likely, they do not believe in the very possibility of war. Or the fact that after such a war at least some states will survive. But they believe that there will be a rather serious war for the Arctic. And in this war Norway will oppose Russia.

The Norwegians want to use the Americans as their allies in this very confrontation. In an economic war for the resources of the Arctic and for the NSR. Well, the interests of the United States and Norway in this matter coincide. The Americans are trying to oust Russia from European markets, but they understand that they cannot independently fill European countries with goods.

If earlier China could help solve this problem, today the PRC is also an enemy. This is where Norway's North Sea hydrocarbons come in handy. If this assumption is correct, then in the coming years we should expect an increase in the US military and political activity in this region. The Americans will try to put pressure on the government of Norway in order to turn it into another Poland. But for the domestic political cuisine of this country, this is a very dubious event.

Instead of conclusions


Interest in the Arctic has increased dramatically in recent years. Moreover, this interest is not only economic, but also military. The Arctic is becoming a place where the interests of superpowers collide, a place where many countries are striving. However, only a few of them can boast of technologies that work in the conditions of the north. The same Americans, who are rightfully proud of their economic power, look like children in the Arctic.

Interest in the Arctic will lead to confrontation between the superpowers on various issues. However, in the development of the north, Russia today has overtaken most other states by decades. Therefore, it is necessary to react calmly to swarming near our northern borders. Do your job, realize your plans. Do not give in to provocations. All these teachings, construction projects, statements by politicians just need to be stopped. Not to panic and "respond quickly" and is expensive, but calmly make it clear that you won't take us "weakly" today ...

Author:
Photos used:
www.nato.int (video frames)
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  1. Grandfather
    Grandfather 24 August 2020 05: 16 New
    +8
    Therefore, it is necessary to react calmly to swarming near our northern borders. Do your job, realize your plans. Do not give in to provocations. All these teachings, construction projects, statements by politicians just need to be stopped.
    familiar words from history ... it seems in 1941, they said the same.
    1. Pessimist22
      Pessimist22 24 August 2020 05: 44 New
      +5
      - Oh, what happened on the way! We were walking across the steppe, and then from around the corner 17 naked women appeared!
      - Well?
      - Well, as I say, it seemed ...
    2. Ragnar Lodbrok
      Ragnar Lodbrok 24 August 2020 06: 25 New
      +9
      Quote: Dead Day
      it seems in 1941, they said the same.

      This is exactly ... There was a directive number 1, which, in particular, said: "On 22-23.6.41, a sudden attack by the Germans is possible ... The attack may begin with provocative actions. The task of our troops is not to succumb to any provocative actions ..." Again, the author calls not to give in to provocations?
    3. rich
      rich 24 August 2020 07: 11 New
      +1
      Therefore, it is necessary to react calmly to swarming near our northern borders. Do your job, realize your plans. Don't give in to provocations

      All self-respecting countries on "swarming" near their borders immediately raise the issue of this on international platforms and warn those who "swarm" about the possible consequences.
    4. paul3390
      paul3390 24 August 2020 15: 20 New
      0
      The question is why Comrade Stalin urged not to succumb to provocations .. For all the pre-war conflicts, for example Khalkhin-Gol, clearly showed that if countries do not want a big war, even a major clash is not a reason for it. And if they did decide to fight, then any provocations are arranged quite independently, as before the German attack on Poland. So provoke Germany, do not provoke - it will not play any role. Then the question is - if not Germany, then to whom was Joseph Vissarionovich so afraid of giving a formal reason for war against the USSR?
  2. Vladimir61
    Vladimir61 24 August 2020 06: 21 New
    +1
    Yes, all this is not particularly happy. Although, we hope that the arguments of Western strategists and attacks in the media about a possible solution to the problem by military means are futile and untenable. And not because it is troublesome, but because it means only one thing, a global military conflict, which today, it seems to me, no one can dare to.
  3. rocket757
    rocket757 24 August 2020 06: 37 New
    +4
    Everything is now tied to one goal, the task - the desire of mega corporations to receive in excess of profits !!! Military orders are a tasty morsel, an opportunity to earn money in all countries.
    How, what, why, who benefits from it ??? you can argue a lot, but still we will come to the same thing - SUPER PROFIT for a specific someone!
    1. cniza
      cniza 24 August 2020 09: 01 New
      +1
      Quote: rocket757

      How, what, why, who benefits from it ??? you can argue a lot, but still we will come to the same thing - SUPER PROFIT for a specific someone!


      Yes, nothing new has always been and will be ... Greetings! hi
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 24 August 2020 09: 27 New
        +1
        Welcome soldier
        First of all, self-interest !!! the rest of the motives are very later.
        1. cniza
          cniza 24 August 2020 13: 16 New
          +2
          Greed and money have always been the causes of wars and unrest ...
    2. Trapp1st
      Trapp1st 24 August 2020 13: 00 New
      0
      Military orders are a tasty morsel, an opportunity to earn money in all countries.
      Military orders are regularly used for their intended purpose, especially the United States and this is the danger.
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 24 August 2020 13: 08 New
        +1
        Quote: Trapp1st
        Military orders are regularly used for their intended purpose, especially the United States and this is the danger.

        This is true. The danger to the world is no joke.
        1. cniza
          cniza 24 August 2020 13: 17 New
          +1
          Such "games" easily get out of control and then it is very difficult to stop ...
          1. rocket757
            rocket757 24 August 2020 13: 28 New
            +1
            Too dangerous "games" are obtained now, with the modern development of means of killing a person! So you can finish badly, to the brink!
            1. cniza
              cniza 24 August 2020 13: 43 New
              +2
              The fact of the matter is already at the edge, one pleases while we walk in parallel and God forbid cross ...
              1. rocket757
                rocket757 24 August 2020 13: 53 New
                0
                The world, as if waiting, who and when from the "vigorous" powers will say, will make a big bang.
                1. cniza
                  cniza 24 August 2020 13: 59 New
                  +2
                  It is believed that the mind will prevail, but provocations of a third party can work ...
                  1. rocket757
                    rocket757 24 August 2020 14: 11 New
                    +1
                    Believe it is hard to believe, but somehow the messages do not inspire that duty settlements are in some places, they smoke "bamboo", or even stronger sho, they use it! shorter br r r!
    3. lucul
      lucul 24 August 2020 15: 48 New
      0
      How, what, why, who benefits from it ??? you can argue a lot, but still we will come to the same thing - SUPER PROFIT for a specific someone!

      The UN General Secretary has already told you - "50% of all money in the world belongs to only 20 people."
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 24 August 2020 18: 01 New
        0
        Said and said .... it was not news, for no one.
  4. Free wind
    Free wind 24 August 2020 07: 08 New
    0
    Interestingly, in the west, they are building radar stations to track missile launches, this is for attack, we have for protection. We have good rockets, they probably have bad ones. The North Sea route is not needed by anyone, except for us, for the export of oil and gas. It is easier to drive cargo across the calm southern seas in huge container ships than in relatively small but expensive ice-class ships, at incomparably higher costs.
    1. Lord_Bran
      Lord_Bran 24 August 2020 07: 17 New
      +1
      I look and do not understand how the orderlies in the ward do not take away the phone from such a unique specialist-all-rounder on all issues?
  5. Lord_Bran
    Lord_Bran 24 August 2020 07: 14 New
    -1
    Even with total monitoring of the NSR, they have few options. On submarines? - so ours are not fools, they are watching, go. Rockets? - there is air defense. So nothing fundamentally new will happen in the situation.
  6. Olegi1
    Olegi1 24 August 2020 07: 40 New
    +1
    Moreover, this interest is not only economic, but also military.


    I would say this: where there is a serious economic interest, there is also a military one. This is an axiom.
  7. Bez 310
    Bez 310 24 August 2020 07: 49 New
    -2
    In general, the article is "nothing" ...
    Problems with "SMP", attempts to interest foreigners
    this route has not yet been crowned with success.
    Struggle for resources in the Arctic? So far, only in various articles.

    "... in the development of the north, Russia today has overtaken the majority
    other states ... "
    We never have problems with caps for throwing the enemy
    It was.
  8. cniza
    cniza 24 August 2020 08: 58 New
    +1
    Not to panic and "respond quickly" and is expensive, but calmly make it clear that you won't take us "weakly" today ...


    And this should be done not only with regard to the Arctic and the NSR, but in any situation.
  9. Knell wardenheart
    Knell wardenheart 24 August 2020 12: 43 New
    0
    It is very rare for us to answer quickly and expensively today) Where it is expensive there they begin to steal, the more - the more expensive. Where quickly, they start using a lot of contractors who also start stealing, and it comes out a little faster but much more expensive. Or a Potemkin village comes out - in case they keep track of the budget.
    It seems to me that we are in vain tinkering with the NSR as with a written sack - the Earth's climate has changed in different ways, sudden perennial warming came and vice versa, small ice periods, like predicting the weather for a month ahead - there is no certainty that in 10 years the conditions in the Arctic will definitely improve or definitely not worsen. This is not a board where you should place a lot of pieces.
  10. Fizik M
    Fizik M 24 August 2020 13: 20 New
    +2
    slightly realities


    The actual threats in the Arctic are real and they come from the air and from under the water (ice).
    From the air, these are strategic bombers (more than 120 units) and cruise missiles, tactical and carrier-based aircraft, (shock) UAVs of the United States and NATO for long-range airplanes to provide a powerful group of fighters and AWACS.
    From under water (ice) is:
    • actions of the US Navy and Great Britain PLA against the Northern Fleet and especially NSNF;
    • minefields (aviation, submarine and submarine, in the near future - underwater robotic systems (RTC)).
    In addition, we should not forget about the "traditional American occupation in the war" - the seizure of foreign airfields to ensure the most effective use of their aircraft against the enemy.
    The loss of the airfield on about. The boiler room (plans for which allow for the use of long-range aircraft) will have extremely serious strategic consequences. This is not only the loss of the NSR for us, obviously (from previous experience of the US wars) that within a few days at the aerodrome hundreds of flights of military transport aircraft will create not only a powerful air force base of the US Air Force, but also in the short term there will be an aerodrome to ensure strikes deep into the territory of the Russian Federation and the "call to Siberia".

    https://topwar.ru/157104-byt-gotovym-v-arktike-k-realnym-ugrozam-s-vozduha-i-iz-pod-vody-lda.html
    1. lucul
      lucul 24 August 2020 15: 51 New
      -2
      slightly real

      Did they take the Censor? ))))
      1. Fizik M
        Fizik M 24 August 2020 17: 19 New
        +3
        Quote: lucul
        Did they take the Censor? ))))

        the pumps are there for YOUR part
  11. Radius
    Radius 29 August 2020 19: 22 New
    0
    Quote: paul3390
    The question is why Comrade Stalin urged not to succumb to provocations .. For all the pre-war conflicts, for example Khalkhin-Gol, clearly showed that if countries do not want a big war, even a major clash is not a reason for it. And if they did decide to fight, then any provocations are arranged quite independently, as before the German attack on Poland. So provoke Germany, do not provoke - it will not play any role. Then the question is - if not Germany, then to whom was Joseph Vissarionovich so afraid of giving a formal reason for war against the USSR?
    It seems that Vissarionovich had a headache not from a possible war, as such, but from a possible, incomprehensible alliance between England and Germany.